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Stirling vs Edinburgh City Result & Analysis

Date: 29/03/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Stirling
Stirling
Vs
35%
28%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stirling win✓ Hit
34.8%
Avg Implied 35.2% · @ 2.61
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.37
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City win✗ Miss
36.9%
Avg Implied 37.5% · @ 2.45
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W34L13L31W31W03L10W00D11D12LH·BON25/01A·EDI01/02H·SPA04/02H·ELG08/02H·FOR15/02A·STR22/02H·EAS01/03A·SPA08/03A·BON15/03H·PET22/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.631.801.471.401.80
vs Stronger (18)1.561.611.801.501.251.75
vs Similar (9)1.671.891.501.501.802.20
vs Weaker (3)1.671.003.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W14L43W10W50W21W01L10W02L52WA·CLY17/01A·EAS25/01H·STI01/02A·FOR08/02H·SPA15/02A·ELG22/02H·STR01/03A·BON08/03A·PET15/03H·EAS22/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.271.871.401.401.13
vs Stronger (19)1.631.632.001.501.221.78
vs Similar (5)2.600.603.001.502.330.00
vs Weaker (6)0.830.670.671.001.000.33
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.6%
@ 1.83-0.4%
Under 2.5
49.4%
@ 1.91+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.1%
No
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1 ✓
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
Stirling goals ↓
Edinburgh City goals →
01234
07.9%8.0%6.3%2.9%1.0%
17.7%13%8.4%3.8%1.3%
25.9%8.1%5.6%2.6%0.9%
32.6%3.6%2.5%1.1%0.4%
40.9%1.2%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stirling goals (down), columns = Edinburgh City goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Stirling is 0.22 points worse than Edinburgh City in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Stirling is 0.11 goals worse than Edinburgh City in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Stirling is 0.28 goals worse than Edinburgh City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StirlingStirling

For 4.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

160371479644441285561021051610851010612H·PETA·BONA·SPAH·EASA·STRH·FORH·ELGH·SPAA·EDIH·BON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60323121132221331335431343346H·PETA·BONA·SPAH·EASA·STRH·FORH·ELGH·SPAA·EDIH·BON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 8.6 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

29013714811510111181514179531369152022162119292681924H·PETA·BONA·SPAH·EASA·STRH·FORH·ELGH·SPAA·EDIH·BON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

For 3.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

100262415467224546534486610969688H·EASA·PETA·BONH·STRA·ELGH·SPAA·FORH·STIA·EASA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7033432232451231343136743665474H·EASA·PETA·BONH·STRA·ELGH·SPAA·FORH·STIA·EASA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

3001812141512121214713151111146131713131730292426202625193030H·EASA·PETA·BONH·STRA·ELGH·SPAA·FORH·STIA·EASA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.610.03.73.83.621.420.922.0
vs Stronger (32)10.410.310.53.73.93.521.220.422.1
vs Similar (15)10.211.09.43.53.63.522.221.722.7
vs Weaker (3)10.013.08.53.73.04.020.023.018.5
% over line64%82%45%54%52%56%48%41%55%
% under line36%18%55%46%48%44%52%59%45%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.29.04.04.43.724.024.523.5
vs Stronger (34)9.19.58.73.94.33.623.123.422.9
vs Similar (9)9.49.29.84.95.24.525.726.624.5
vs Weaker (7)8.78.09.33.13.52.725.826.025.7
% over line39%43%35%60%67%54%68%71%65%
% under line61%57%65%40%33%46%32%29%35%
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.3
Forfar
9.6
East Fife
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.6
Clyde
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.3
Stranraer
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Elgin
9.0
Peterhead
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.3
Elgin
4.6
Forfar
4.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.5
Edinburgh City
4.4
Stirling
4.0
Clyde
4.0
Stranraer
4.0
East Fife
3.9
Spartans
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Forfar
24.5
Elgin
24.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.3
Edinburgh City
23.6
East Fife
22.8
Clyde
22.6
Spartans
21.9
Stirling
21.0
Stranraer
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.6%
Under 9.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.6%
Under 3.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.7%
Under 21.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W12L02L20W11D02L00D00D10W11DH·BON25/01A·EDI01/02H·SPA04/02H·ELG08/02H·FOR15/02A·STR22/02H·EAS01/03A·SPA08/03A·BON15/03H·PET22/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.801.070.800.730.80
vs Stronger (18)1.000.671.200.700.750.62
vs Similar (9)0.781.110.751.000.801.20
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D21W10W20W11D00D00D00D20WA·CLY17/01A·EAS25/01H·STI01/02A·FOR08/02H·SPA15/02A·ELG22/02H·STR01/03A·BON08/03A·PET15/03H·EAS22/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.370.670.600.730.13
vs Stronger (19)0.630.470.700.700.560.22
vs Similar (5)1.600.201.500.501.670.00
vs Weaker (6)0.170.170.000.330.330.00
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D11D11D20W01L10W00D01L01LH·BON25/01A·EDI01/02H·SPA04/02H·ELG08/02H·FOR15/02A·STR22/02H·EAS01/03A·SPA08/03A·BON15/03H·PET22/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.730.670.671.00
vs Stronger (18)0.560.940.600.800.501.12
vs Similar (9)0.890.780.750.501.001.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.332.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W14L22D00D30W10W01L10W02L32WA·CLY17/01A·EAS25/01H·STI01/02A·FOR08/02H·SPA15/02A·ELG22/02H·STR01/03A·BON08/03A·PET15/03H·EAS22/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.901.200.800.671.00
vs Stronger (19)1.001.161.300.800.671.56
vs Similar (5)1.000.401.501.000.670.00
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.670.670.670.33
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards84.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Stirling and Edinburgh City have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stirling and Edinburgh City have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Stirling and Edinburgh City have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stirling and Edinburgh City have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
STI wins
0
Draws
2
EC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stirling vs Edinburgh City · H/A from STI
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/25AEdinburgh City Vs STI4-3
07/12/24HSTI Vs Edinburgh City0-3
03/08/24AEdinburgh City Vs STI1-2
27/04/24AEdinburgh City Vs STI1-3
24/02/24HSTI Vs Edinburgh City4-0
09/12/23AEdinburgh City Vs STI1-3
05/08/23HSTI Vs Edinburgh City1-0
30/04/22HSTI Vs Edinburgh City5-0

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/25HSTI Vs Peterhead1-2
15/03/25ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STI1-1
08/03/25ASpartans Vs STI0-0
01/03/25HSTI Vs East Fife1-0
22/02/25AStranraer Vs STI3-0
15/02/25HSTI Vs Forfar3-1
08/02/25HSTI Vs Elgin3-1
04/02/25HSTI Vs Spartans1-3
01/02/25AEdinburgh City Vs STI4-3
25/01/25HSTI Vs Bonnyrigg Rose3-0

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/25HEC Vs East Fife5-2
15/03/25APeterhead Vs EC2-0
08/03/25ABonnyrigg Rose Vs EC0-1
01/03/25HEC Vs Stranraer0-1
22/02/25AElgin Vs EC1-2
15/02/25HEC Vs Spartans5-0
08/02/25AForfar Vs EC0-1
01/02/25HEC Vs Stirling4-3
25/01/25AEast Fife Vs EC4-1
17/01/25AClyde Vs EC0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.14
HomeLWWWL1.40
AwayLLLDD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.982.923.04
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.361.481.24
Conceded1.621.441.80
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners10.3010.649.95
Cards4.164.274.05
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.08
HomeLWWLW1.21
AwayLWWWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals3.123.422.85
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %36%42%31%
Scored1.241.461.04
Conceded1.881.961.81
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners9.099.248.96
Cards4.555.004.13

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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