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Stirling vs Edinburgh City Result & Analysis

Date: 28/03/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Stirling
Stirling
Vs
34%
28%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stirling win✓ Hit
33.5%
Avg Implied 42.5% · @ 2.10
Edge
-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.37
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City win✗ Miss
38.3%
Avg Implied 31.0% · @ 2.88
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D03L01L20W11D02L33D03L23LA·FOR24/01H·STR31/01H·CLY17/02A·ELG21/02H·ANN24/02H·DUM28/02A·SPA03/03A·ANN07/03H·FOR14/03A·EAS21/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.901.001.861.691.94
vs Stronger (12)1.252.001.251.751.252.12
vs Similar (15)1.471.670.881.502.141.86
vs Weaker (3)1.332.671.003.502.001.00
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D21W02L00D05L03L00D41W03L03LH·ANN24/01A·DUM31/01H·EAS07/02A·SPA14/02A·CLY21/02A·ELG24/02H·FOR28/02H·STR07/03A·ANN14/03H·ELG21/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.901.402.201.201.60
vs Stronger (12)1.001.750.832.171.171.33
vs Similar (12)1.581.671.672.001.501.33
vs Weaker (6)1.332.672.002.670.672.67
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.6%
@ 1.66-4.4%
Under 2.5
49.4%
@ 2.03+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-0 ✓
7.5%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
Stirling goals ↓
Edinburgh City goals →
01234
08.0%8.2%6.6%3.1%1.1%
17.5%13%8.6%4.0%1.4%
25.7%7.9%5.6%2.6%0.9%
32.5%3.4%2.4%1.1%0.4%
40.8%1.1%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stirling goals (down), columns = Edinburgh City goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Stirling is 0.03 points worse than Edinburgh City in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Stirling is 0.03 goals better than Edinburgh City in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.25).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Stirling is 0.25 goals better than Edinburgh City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StirlingStirling

For 2.8 · Against 6.6 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1401819744482123444544691078121478910A·EASH·FORA·ANNA·SPAH·DUMH·ANNA·ELGH·CLYH·STRA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

804411354113213113218285434421A·EASH·FORA·ANNA·SPAH·DUMH·ANNA·ELGH·CLYH·STRA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 9.0 · Total 19.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

2906171291514117981078691110516623212918171714201522A·EASH·FORA·ANNA·SPAH·DUMH·ANNA·ELGH·CLYH·STRA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

For 3.4 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1303322452446251973673664961071010139H·ELGA·ANNH·STRH·FORA·ELGA·CLYA·SPAH·EASA·DUMH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

804244231322342334236854472663H·ELGA·ANNH·STRH·FORA·ELGA·CLYA·SPAH·EASA·DUMH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 14.2 · Total 27.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

35012152088188151516141291415201310141427282623312623352328H·ELGA·ANNH·STRH·FORA·ELGA·CLYA·SPAH·EASA·DUMH·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.710.63.73.43.920.920.221.7
vs Stronger (23)10.910.910.93.73.14.120.619.821.2
vs Similar (23)10.711.110.23.63.43.721.421.021.9
vs Weaker (4)9.59.011.04.24.73.019.518.024.0
% over line59%70%48%48%44%52%39%30%48%
% under line41%30%52%52%56%48%61%70%52%
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.08.99.04.64.64.624.225.323.0
vs Stronger (22)9.18.29.94.34.73.924.926.623.3
vs Similar (17)8.58.28.95.14.75.524.324.324.2
vs Weaker (11)9.411.07.84.54.25.022.825.020.6
% over line43%36%50%72%72%72%73%77%68%
% under line57%64%50%28%28%28%27%23%32%
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
East Kilbride
10.7
Stirling
10.6
Dumbarton
10.4
Elgin
10.4
Stranraer
10.2
Annan Athletic
9.7
Clyde
9.6
Forfar
8.9
Edinburgh City
8.9
Spartans
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.7
Edinburgh City
5.3
Forfar
4.5
Clyde
4.5
Elgin
4.4
Spartans
4.3
Stirling
4.2
Stranraer
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Dumbarton
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
27.0
Forfar
24.5
Edinburgh City
24.5
Elgin
22.5
Stranraer
22.2
Clyde
22.1
Annan Athletic
21.7
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.2
Dumbarton
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.0%
Under 3.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.6%
Under 21.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W02L00D10W10W01L03L03L02LA·FOR24/01H·STR31/01H·CLY17/02A·ELG21/02H·ANN24/02H·DUM28/02A·SPA03/03A·ANN07/03H·FOR14/03A·EAS21/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.100.361.140.441.06
vs Stronger (12)0.331.000.251.250.380.88
vs Similar (15)0.471.130.500.880.431.43
vs Weaker (3)0.331.330.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D02L00D02L03L00D21W03L02LH·ANN24/01A·DUM31/01H·EAS07/02A·SPA14/02A·CLY21/02A·ELG24/02H·FOR28/02H·STR07/03A·ANN14/03H·ELG21/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.900.801.000.670.80
vs Stronger (12)0.581.000.671.330.500.67
vs Similar (12)0.750.670.670.500.830.83
vs Weaker (6)1.001.171.331.330.671.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StirlingStirling

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L01L10W01L01L30W00D21WA·FOR24/01H·STR31/01H·CLY17/02A·ELG21/02H·ANN24/02H·DUM28/02A·SPA03/03A·ANN07/03H·FOR14/03A·EAS21/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.800.640.711.250.88
vs Stronger (12)0.921.001.000.500.881.25
vs Similar (15)1.000.530.380.621.710.43
vs Weaker (3)1.001.331.001.501.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Edinburgh City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D10W00D00D03L00D00D20W00D01LH·ANN24/01A·DUM31/01H·EAS07/02A·SPA14/02A·CLY21/02A·ELG24/02H·FOR28/02H·STR07/03A·ANN14/03H·ELG21/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.601.200.530.80
vs Stronger (12)0.420.750.170.830.670.67
vs Similar (12)0.831.001.001.500.670.50
vs Weaker (6)0.331.500.671.330.001.67
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Edinburgh City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards72.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Stirling and Edinburgh City have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stirling and Edinburgh City have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
Stirling and Edinburgh City have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stirling and Edinburgh City have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
STI wins
0
Draws
3
EC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stirling vs Edinburgh City · H/A from STI
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26AEdinburgh City Vs STI1-4
01/11/25HSTI Vs Edinburgh City0-1
02/08/25AEdinburgh City Vs STI1-2
29/03/25HSTI Vs Edinburgh City2-1
01/02/25AEdinburgh City Vs STI4-3
07/12/24HSTI Vs Edinburgh City0-3
03/08/24AEdinburgh City Vs STI1-2
27/04/24AEdinburgh City Vs STI1-3

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26AEast Kilbride Vs STI3-2
14/03/26HSTI Vs Forfar0-3
07/03/26AAnnan Athletic Vs STI3-3
03/03/26ASpartans Vs STI2-0
28/02/26HSTI Vs Dumbarton1-1
24/02/26HSTI Vs Annan Athletic2-0
21/02/26AElgin Vs STI1-0
17/02/26HSTI Vs Clyde0-3
31/01/26HSTI Vs Stranraer1-1
24/01/26AForfar Vs STI0-1

Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26HEC Vs Elgin0-3
14/03/26AAnnan Athletic Vs EC3-0
07/03/26HEC Vs Stranraer4-1
28/02/26HEC Vs Forfar0-0
24/02/26AElgin Vs EC3-0
21/02/26AClyde Vs EC5-0
14/02/26ASpartans Vs EC0-0
07/02/26HEC Vs East Kilbride0-2
31/01/26ADumbarton Vs EC1-2
24/01/26HEC Vs Annan Athletic2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.10
HomeDLWDL1.08
AwayWLLDL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.942.962.92
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.221.161.28
Conceded1.721.801.64
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners10.6610.7410.57
Cards4.163.744.62
Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.30
HomeDLDWL1.24
AwayWDLLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%32%40%
AVG goals3.203.482.92
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %40%56%24%
Scored1.341.641.04
Conceded1.861.841.88
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners8.958.869.05
Cards5.235.185.27

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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