Stirling vs Forfar Result & Analysis

Stirling’s visit to Forfar is tipped to end in an away win, the model’s pick, with a 49% chance of a Forfar victory, 27% for a draw and 24% for a Stirling win. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, with the most likely total being two goals at a 26% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% chance, and that is the only scoreline to mention. Stirling, playing at home against a side of similar strength, averages one goal scored and 1.62 conceded, while Forfar, on the road, scores 1.71 and concedes just one on average against comparable opponents. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners at 84.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 83.9%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.2%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.8% (miss), Under 25.5 fouls at 72.4%, Under 3.5 cards at 71.5%, and Over 2.5 cards at 70.4%. Stirling’s recent form shows a dip after a 0-4 loss, while Forfar comes off a 1-1 draw.

The pre-match favourite, Forfar, fell short as Stirling held them to a 1-1 draw, extending the home side’s recent run of one win in five. The model had tipped an away win with a 49% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the expected total of 2.7 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 12.9%. The model’s selections performed largely as predicted: Under 11.5 corners hit at 84.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 83.9%, Over 1.5 at 76.2%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.5%, Under 25.5 fouls at 72.4%, Under 3.5 at 71.5%, and Over 2.5 cards at 70.4%. Only the Over 19.5 fouls pick missed at 74.8%.