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Stirling vs Spartans Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Stirling
Stirling
Vs
20%
24%
56%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Stirling a 20% win probability against Spartans in the Scotland: League Two on 2026-05-02, with 24% for the draw and 56% for Spartans. The model estimates around 3.1 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (22%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (10.9%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (83%).

Results analysis

Stirling finished 2-2 against Spartans (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 20% home win, 24% draw and 56% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (83%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stirling win✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied 16.9% · @ 5.29
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.5%
Avg Implied 22.5% · @ 3.99
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Spartans win✗ Miss
56.2%
Avg Implied 60.6% · @ 1.48
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StirlingStirling

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L33D03L23L10W13L12L22D11DH·DUM28/02A·SPA03/03A·ANN07/03H·FOR14/03A·EAS21/03H·EDI28/03A·CLY04/04A·DUM11/04H·ELG18/04A·STR25/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.771.001.791.441.75
vs Stronger (10)1.001.801.251.500.832.00
vs Similar (16)1.381.500.881.501.881.50
vs Weaker (4)1.252.751.003.501.502.00
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L21W10W11D11D30W12L20W11DH·STI03/03A·DUM07/03H·CLY14/03H·FOR17/03A·FOR21/03H·EAS28/03A·EDI04/04H·STR11/04A·ANN18/04H·ELG25/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.101.271.002.001.20
vs Stronger (3)3.000.671.501.006.000.00
vs Similar (4)2.001.501.000.503.002.50
vs Weaker (23)1.391.091.271.091.501.08
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.4%
@ 1.61+3.5%
Under 2.5
39.6%
@ 2.12-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.0%
Under 3.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-2 ✓
5.6%
Stirling goals ↓
Spartans goals →
01234
05.4%7.8%8.7%5.8%2.9%
14.0%11%9.9%6.6%3.3%
22.8%5.6%5.6%3.7%1.8%
31.1%2.1%2.1%1.4%0.7%
40.3%0.6%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stirling goals (down), columns = Spartans goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Kilbride
1.92
Spartans
1.78
Clyde
1.56
Forfar
1.39
Stranraer
1.31
Elgin
1.22
Annan Athletic
1.14
Dumbarton
1.11
Edinburgh City
1.08
Stirling
1.06
Stirling is 0.72 points worse than Spartans in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.78).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Kilbride
2.14
Spartans
1.67
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.42
Forfar
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.31
Dumbarton
1.31
Stirling
1.28
Stranraer
1.28
Edinburgh City
1.25
Stirling is 0.39 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.67).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spartans
1.08
Clyde
1.14
Stranraer
1.28
East Kilbride
1.28
Forfar
1.31
Elgin
1.53
Annan Athletic
1.61
Dumbarton
1.69
Stirling
1.75
Edinburgh City
2.00
Stirling is 0.67 goals worse than Spartans in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.08).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StirlingStirling

For 3.5 · Against 7.8 · Total 11.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

16031343610510761819744481671615139107812A·STRH·ELGA·DUMA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·ANNA·SPAH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8031113221344113541134252482854A·STRH·ELGA·DUMA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·ANNA·SPAH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

2901210891111138101061712915141179822172221202321291817A·STRH·ELGA·DUMA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·ANNA·SPAH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SpartansSpartans

For 6.1 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1604383671156462574374447111316108127118H·ELGA·ANNH·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUMH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8023211422411124412145354423835H·ELGA·ANNH·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUMH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

33019141113613104159101010141389571133241914242024211418H·ELGA·ANNH·STRA·EDIH·EASA·FORH·FORH·CLYA·DUMH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StirlingStirling

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.711.04.13.74.520.820.021.6
vs Stronger (19)10.710.410.94.53.75.320.419.421.2
vs Similar (26)11.011.210.83.83.54.221.320.921.7
vs Weaker (5)10.69.013.03.84.72.519.818.022.5
% over line60%68%52%56%48%64%38%28%48%
% under line40%32%48%44%52%36%62%72%52%
This opponent (Spartans) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SpartansSpartans

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.09.14.24.24.320.521.319.6
vs Stronger (4)8.07.58.54.23.05.524.025.023.0
vs Similar (9)8.18.08.23.62.54.422.023.520.8
vs Weaker (37)9.49.39.54.44.74.119.820.618.8
% over line44%42%46%64%62%67%40%46%33%
% under line56%58%54%36%38%33%60%54%67%
This opponent (Stirling) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.8
Dumbarton
10.5
East Kilbride
10.4
Stranraer
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Forfar
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.4
Clyde
4.4
Elgin
4.3
Spartans
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Stirling
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
26.7
Forfar
24.1
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Stranraer
22.1
Clyde
22.1
Annan Athletic
22.0
Stirling
20.8
Spartans
20.5
Dumbarton
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.2%
Under 9.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.3%
Under 3.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
32.9%
Under 21.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ē 6. Odd / Even

ðŸĨ… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 8. Handicap

ðŸ”Ĩ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Stirling vs Spartans · H/A from STI
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/26ASpartans Vs STI2-0
13/12/25HSTI Vs Spartans1-1
20/09/25ASpartans Vs STI1-3
08/03/25ASpartans Vs STI0-0
04/02/25HSTI Vs Spartans1-3
16/11/24ASpartans Vs STI3-0
31/08/24HSTI Vs Spartans1-0

StirlingStirling

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AStranraer Vs STI1-1
18/04/26HSTI Vs Elgin2-2
11/04/26ADumbarton Vs STI2-1
04/04/26AClyde Vs STI3-1
28/03/26HSTI Vs Edinburgh City1-0
21/03/26AEast Kilbride Vs STI3-2
14/03/26HSTI Vs Forfar0-3
07/03/26AAnnan Athletic Vs STI3-3
03/03/26ASpartans Vs STI2-0
28/02/26HSTI Vs Dumbarton1-1

SpartansSpartans

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HSPA Vs Elgin1-1
18/04/26AAnnan Athletic Vs SPA0-2
11/04/26HSPA Vs Stranraer1-2
04/04/26AEdinburgh City Vs SPA0-3
28/03/26HSPA Vs East Kilbride1-1
21/03/26AForfar Vs SPA1-1
17/03/26HSPA Vs Forfar1-0
14/03/26HSPA Vs Clyde2-1
07/03/26ADumbarton Vs SPA3-0
03/03/26HSPA Vs Stirling2-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Stirling
Stirling
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.16
HomeWDLWD1.24
AwayDLLLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals2.982.923.04
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %58%60%56%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.301.281.32
Conceded1.681.641.72
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners10.8410.6811.00
Cards4.083.684.48
Spartans
Spartans
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWD1.72
HomeWWDLD1.73
AwayLLDWW1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals2.702.233.21
Over 1.5 %82%69%96%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %26%19%33%
Scored1.581.311.88
Conceded1.120.921.33
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet34%38%29%
Corners9.069.009.12
Cards4.244.194.29

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East KilbrideEast Kilbride3669
58%
1.9
7746+31
3.4
92%
69%
50%
10.4
58%
5.6
83%
26.4
81%
0
0002.11.3
-
2SpartansSpartans3664
50%
1.8
6039+21
2.8
83%
53%
28%
9.4
47%
4.0
58%
19.9
33%
0
0001.71.1
-
3ClydeClyde3656
39%
1.6
5841+17
2.8
83%
53%
33%
9.8
42%
4.1
61%
21.4
44%
0
0001.61.1
-
4ForfarForfar3650
36%
1.4
5147+4
2.7
72%
50%
36%
9.2
50%
4.1
58%
23.8
67%
0
0001.41.3
-
5StranraerStranraer3647
33%
1.3
4646+0
2.6
78%
50%
28%
11.0
63%
4.3
66%
22.5
57%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ElginElgin3644
31%
1.2
5155-4
2.9
86%
56%
25%
10.5
60%
4.2
60%
22.8
60%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3641
28%
1.1
4758-11
2.9
78%
56%
36%
9.9
50%
4.4
64%
23.8
72%
0
0001.31.6
-
8DumbartonDumbarton3640
28%
1.1
4761-14
3.0
92%
58%
28%
10.6
54%
3.5
46%
20.8
46%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3639
28%
1.1
4572-27
3.2
86%
69%
44%
9.5
51%
5.2
80%
23.8
66%
0
0001.22.0
-
10StirlingStirling3638
25%
1.1
4663-17
3.0
83%
58%
36%
11.4
58%
4.1
58%
20.7
36%
0
0001.31.8
-
Scotland: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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