This Scotland: League Two match between Stirling and Stranraer on August 22nd is finely balanced, with Stirling coming off two straight defeats and Stranraer having just won their previous match. Stirling has a 39% chance of winning at home, while Stranraer has a 32% chance of taking the three points. The model's pick is a home win for Stirling. The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 13.4%.
Stirling has averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded at home, while Stranraer has averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded away from home. The model suggests taking Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 76.6%, and Under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 71.1%. The home win percentage is 39%, the draw percentage is 28%, and the away win percentage is 32%.
Results analysis
The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, Home win, failed to deliver a victory, with the match ending in a 2-2 draw. Stirling had been coming off a draw in their last five matches, while Stranraer had also finished their previous game with a 2-2 stalemate. The model had assigned a 39 % chance to a home win, yet the result was a draw, so the favourite was wrong. All the model’s selections were correct: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.3 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4 %, Under 6.5 at 97.9 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.9 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.1 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.9 %, and Home under 3.5 goals at 94.3 %. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and each pick was noted as hit.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Stirling win✗ Miss
39.4%
Avg Implied 32.1% · @ 2.83
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.92
Pinnacle
2.90
William Hil
2.90
BetVictor
2.90
Dafabet
2.90
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.38
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.54
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.45
Dafabet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.40
Stranraer win✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied 41.0% · @ 2.22
Edge
-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.38
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.27
William Hil
2.25
Dafabet
2.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Stirling
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.63
1.00
1.38
1.53
1.82
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
1.77
1.00
1.67
1.29
1.86
vs Similar (14)
1.50
1.36
1.17
0.83
1.75
1.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
2.33
0.00
3.00
1.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stranraer
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.43
1.19
1.19
1.21
1.71
vs Stronger (19)
1.16
1.37
1.00
1.20
1.33
1.56
vs Similar (11)
1.27
1.55
1.50
1.17
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
@ 1.22+0.9%
Under 1.5
23.4%
@ 3.79-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.0%
@ 1.74-2.5%
Under 2.5
49.0%
@ 2.00+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.9%
@ 2.81-3.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
@ 1.37+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
Betano
2.77
Under
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.2%
@ 1.61-1.3%
No
43.8%
@ 2.18+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Betfair
1.60
No
Betfair
2.30
William Hil
2.25
BetVictor
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Betano
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.31+6.3%
2-1
8.7%@ 9.68+4.1%
1-0
8.3%@ 9.81+3.7%
0-0
7.8%@ 11.11+3.8%
1-2
7.8%@ 8.41+2.5%
0-1
7.3%@ 8.62+2.1%
2-0
6.8%@ 14.60+3.7%
2-2 ✓
5.6%@ 11.59+1.7%
Stirling goals ↓
Stranraer goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
7.3%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
1
8.3%
13%
7.8%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.8%
8.7%
5.6%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.2%
4.2%
2.7%
1.1%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.5%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stirling goals (down), columns = Stranraer goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Elgin
2.20
Clyde
2.00
Forfar
1.60
Edinburgh City
1.60
Stranraer
1.40
Spartans
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Kelty Hearts
1.20
Stirling
0.80
Dumbarton
0.60
Stirling is 0.60 points worse than Stranraer in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Elgin
3.40
Spartans
2.40
Clyde
2.20
Edinburgh City
1.40
Kelty Hearts
1.40
Forfar
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.20
Stirling
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Dumbarton
0.40
Stirling and Stranraer are level in goals scored per game (both 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Forfar
1.00
Elgin
1.00
Clyde
1.20
Stranraer
1.20
Annan Athletic
1.40
Edinburgh City
1.60
Dumbarton
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Spartans
2.20
Stirling
2.40
Stirling is 1.20 goals worse than Stranraer in terms of goals conceded per game (2.40 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Stirling
For 3.2 · Against 7.8 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stranraer
For 7.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stirling
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.0
11.2
3.1
2.8
3.3
20.9
19.5
22.2
vs Stronger (22)
10.6
11.0
10.3
2.8
2.3
3.2
21.2
19.8
22.3
vs Similar (24)
11.7
11.9
11.5
3.5
3.3
3.6
21.0
19.8
22.2
vs Weaker (4)
9.8
6.5
13.0
2.8
3.0
2.5
19.8
17.0
22.5
% over line
55%
61%
50%
44%
39%
48%
39%
22%
55%
% under line
45%
39%
50%
56%
61%
52%
61%
78%
45%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stranraer
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.6
11.3
3.0
2.8
3.3
22.7
23.1
22.3
vs Stronger (33)
10.9
10.2
11.7
2.6
2.3
3.1
23.0
23.5
22.5
vs Similar (17)
10.9
11.0
10.8
3.8
4.0
3.7
22.2
22.5
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
67%
56%
46%
42%
50%
58%
56%
61%
% under line
39%
33%
44%
54%
58%
50%
42%
44%
39%
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.9
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Annan Athletic
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Forfar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Edinburgh City
5.1
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Dumbarton
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Clyde
21.7
Stirling
21.1
Dumbarton
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.8%
@ 1.67+6.3%
Under 9.5
38.2%
@ 2.08-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.5%
Under 3.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
46.6%
Under 21.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stirling or Draw✓ Hit
67.5%
Avg Implied 59.2% · @ 1.55
Edge
+8.3%
39%
28%
32%
covers Stirling + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
BetVictor
1.57
Stirling or Stranraer✗ Miss
71.9%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.2%
39%
28%
32%
covers Stirling + Stranraer
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Draw or Stranraer✓ Hit
60.6%
Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.35
Edge
-7.1%
39%
28%
32%
covers Draw + Stranraer
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.35
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stirling over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
@ 1.29+4.5%
Under
23.9%
@ 3.25-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
BetVictor
3.25
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Stirling over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.9%
@ 2.43+3.9%
Under
58.1%
@ 1.49-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Marathonbet
2.43
1xBet
2.43
Under
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Stirling over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 5.47+0.7%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.10-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Stirling over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 10.00-3.6%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Stranraer over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.2%
@ 1.21-4.1%
Under
27.8%
@ 3.88+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Stranraer over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.7%
@ 2.04-8.8%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.70+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
BetVictor
1.70
Stranraer over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 4.23-7.9%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.18+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Stranraer over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 8.38-7.0%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.05+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Stirling, so a minus line means Stirling give that many goals of a start and Stranraer receive them. At -1, Stirling must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stirling win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stirling)Actual: Stranraer
Stirling -2
7.3%
@ 9.38-1.8%
Draw -2
12.0%
@ 6.40-1.3%
Stranraer +2
80.7%
@ 1.10+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
12.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Stirling)Actual: Stranraer
Stirling -1
19.3%
@ 5.30+2.6%
Draw -1
20.1%
@ 4.47+0.3%
Stranraer +1
60.6%
@ 1.40-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.95
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betfair
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Away
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Handicap +1 (Stirling)Actual: Stirling
Stirling +1
67.5%
@ 1.55+10.8%
Draw +1
17.9%
@ 3.97-4.4%
Stranraer -1
14.6%
@ 4.18-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Betfair
1.53
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Away
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Handicap +2 (Stirling)Actual: Stirling
Stirling +2
85.4%
@ 1.18+9.7%
Draw +2
9.6%
@ 6.42-4.3%
Stranraer -2
5.0%
@ 8.55-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
Away
Marathonbet
8.60
Bet365
8.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stirling
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.00
0.38
0.85
0.35
1.12
vs Stronger (13)
0.15
1.00
0.17
1.00
0.14
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.93
0.67
0.50
0.38
1.25
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.33
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stranraer
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.56
0.62
0.71
1.07
vs Stronger (19)
0.63
0.74
0.40
0.60
0.89
0.89
vs Similar (11)
0.64
1.00
0.83
0.67
0.40
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.5%
@ 1.32-0.5%
Under 0.5
30.5%
@ 3.07+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.6%
@ 2.52-4.0%
Under 1.5
67.4%
@ 1.46+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.62
Betfair
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Marathonbet
2.53
Under
William Hil
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
Betfair
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.6%
@ 6.04-4.7%
Under 2.5
89.4%
@ 1.09+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.4%
@ 2.10+1.4%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.65-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Stirling over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 6.73-1.5%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.07+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.10
Marathonbet
7.10
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Stirling over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 11.00-6.2%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.5%
@ 1.87-6.9%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.82+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.78
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
10.6%
@ 5.47-6.2%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.10+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.60
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 10.25-7.4%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.02+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stirling
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.63
0.62
0.54
1.18
0.71
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
0.77
0.83
0.67
1.14
0.86
vs Similar (14)
1.00
0.43
0.50
0.33
1.38
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stranraer
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.62
0.56
0.50
0.64
vs Stronger (19)
0.53
0.63
0.60
0.60
0.44
0.67
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.55
0.67
0.50
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Stirling) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.9%
Under 0.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.1%
Under 1.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.6%
Under 2.5
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stirling over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.7%
Under
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
17.9%
Under
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stirling over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
-
-
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-
+6.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.1%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.4%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-
+9.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.6%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
80.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.6%
1.22
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.1%
1.29
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
73.3%
1.38
1xBet
1.38
-
-
-
-
+7.1%
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.2%
1.21
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.18
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.9%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
-1.2%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.1%
1.37
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
+3.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (4)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Stirling and Stranraer have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stirling and Stranraer have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
Stirling and Stranraer have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stirling and Stranraer have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Scotland: League Two 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Elgin
Clyde
Forfar
Edinburgh City
Spartans
Annan Athletic
Kelty Hearts
Dumbarton