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Stjarnan vs Breidablik Result & Analysis

Date: 07/08/2022
Time: 19:15
Final 5-2
Stjarnan
Stjarnan
Vs
24%
27%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Breidablik
Breidablik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan win✓ Hit
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Breidablik win✗ Miss
49.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StjarnanStjarnan

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W10W22D11D11D03L30W22D22DH·VAL15/05A·KA 21/05H·IBV29/05A·KEF16/06H·KR 20/06A·FH 04/07H·LEI11/07A·IA 17/07H·VIK30/07A·FRA03/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.401.141.292.501.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)2.091.551.401.202.671.83
vs Weaker (4)1.251.000.501.502.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BreidablikBreidablik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D10W41W32W20W00D12L31W13LH·KR 23/06A·IBV02/07A·UE 07/07H·UE 14/07A·KEF17/07H·BUD21/07A·FH 24/07A·BUD28/07H·IA 01/08H·BAŞ04/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.501.053.201.201.800.90
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (12)2.750.923.330.832.171.00
vs Weaker (7)2.291.003.671.331.250.75
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.6%
Under 3.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.2%
Stjarnan goals ↓
Breidablik goals →
01234
07.9%9.8%9.0%4.9%2.0%
16.0%13%9.6%5.2%2.1%
23.8%6.3%5.1%2.8%1.1%
31.4%2.2%1.8%1.0%0.4%
40.4%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stjarnan goals (down), columns = Breidablik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.33
KA Akureyri
1.96
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.78
KR Reykjavik
1.41
Keflavik
1.37
Stjarnan
1.37
Valur Reykjavik
1.30
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.19
Fram Reykjavik
1.15
FH hafnarfjordur
0.93
IA Akranes
0.93
Leiknir R.
0.78
Stjarnan is 0.96 points worse than Breidablik in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 2.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Breidablik
2.44
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.44
Keflavik
2.07
KA Akureyri
2.00
Fram Reykjavik
1.96
Valur Reykjavik
1.70
Stjarnan
1.63
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.59
KR Reykjavik
1.56
FH hafnarfjordur
1.33
IA Akranes
1.33
Leiknir R.
1.04
Stjarnan is 0.81 goals worse than Breidablik in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 2.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
1.11
KR Reykjavik
1.48
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.52
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.70
Keflavik
1.78
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.85
Stjarnan
1.93
IA Akranes
2.33
Fram Reykjavik
2.33
Leiknir R.
2.44
Stjarnan is 0.93 goals worse than Breidablik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StjarnanStjarnan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D21W10W00D03L20W00D12LH·VAL15/05A·KA 21/05H·IBV29/05A·KEF16/06H·KR 20/06A·FH 04/07H·LEI11/07A·IA 17/07H·VIK30/07A·FRA03/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.800.140.711.500.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.000.820.200.401.671.17
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.001.501.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BreidablikBreidablik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D10W11D11D00D00D01L00D01LH·KR 23/06A·IBV02/07A·UE 07/07H·UE 14/07A·KEF17/07H·BUD21/07A·FH 24/07A·BUD28/07H·IA 01/08H·BAŞ04/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.401.200.400.600.40
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (12)0.830.421.000.330.670.50
vs Weaker (7)1.140.292.000.330.500.25
Clean sheet %65% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stjarnan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Breidablik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Breidablik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Breidablik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StjarnanStjarnan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W01L01L11D00D10W22D10WH·VAL15/05A·KA 21/05H·IBV29/05A·KEF16/06H·KR 20/06A·FH 04/07H·LEI11/07A·IA 17/07H·VIK30/07A·FRA03/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.601.000.571.000.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.090.731.200.801.000.67
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.500.001.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BreidablikBreidablik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D30W21W20W00D11D31W12LH·KR 23/06A·IBV02/07A·UE 07/07H·UE 14/07A·KEF17/07H·BUD21/07A·FH 24/07A·BUD28/07H·IA 01/08H·BAŞ04/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.652.000.801.200.50
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (12)1.920.502.330.501.500.50
vs Weaker (7)1.140.711.671.000.750.50
Clean sheet %45% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stjarnan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Breidablik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Breidablik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Breidablik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.4%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Breidablik · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson25%
Kristinn Jónsson20%
Davíð Ingvarsson20%
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson17%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson17%
Óli Valur Ómarsson17%
Damir Muminović0%
Viktor Karl Einarsson0%
Andri Yeoman0%
Aron Bjarnason0%
Kristinn Steindorsson0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Valgeir Valgeirsson0%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson0%
Gabriel Snaer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristinn Steindorsson33%
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson33%
Damir Muminović20%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson20%
Viktor Karl Einarsson17%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson17%
Óli Valur Ómarsson17%
Kristinn Jónsson0%
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson0%
Davíð Ingvarsson0%
Andri Yeoman0%
Aron Bjarnason0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Valgeir Valgeirsson0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Gabriel Snaer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Óli Valur Ómarsson33%
Gabriel Snaer20%
Viktor Karl Einarsson17%
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson17%
Kristinn Jónsson0%
Damir Muminović0%
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson0%
Davíð Ingvarsson0%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson0%
Andri Yeoman0%
Aron Bjarnason0%
Kristinn Steindorsson0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Valgeir Valgeirsson0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson33%
Aron Bjarnason20%
Kristinn Jónsson0%
Damir Muminović0%
Viktor Karl Einarsson0%
Davíð Ingvarsson0%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson0%
Andri Yeoman0%
Kristinn Steindorsson0%
Óli Valur Ómarsson0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Valgeir Valgeirsson0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson0%
Gabriel Snaer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
Stjarnan and Breidablik have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Stjarnan and Breidablik have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
Stjarnan and Breidablik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
LR (9)
€0m
Stjarnan and Breidablik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
STJ wins
0
Draws
1
BRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stjarnan vs Breidablik · H/A from STJ
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/22ABreidablik Vs STJ3-2

StjarnanStjarnan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/22AFram Reykjavik Vs STJ2-2
30/07/22HSTJ Vs Vikingur Reykjavik2-2
17/07/22AIA Akranes Vs STJ0-3
11/07/22HSTJ Vs Leiknir R.0-3
04/07/22AFH hafnarfjordur Vs STJ1-1
20/06/22HSTJ Vs KR Reykjavik1-1
16/06/22AKeflavik Vs STJ2-2
29/05/22HSTJ Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-0
21/05/22AKA Akureyri Vs STJ0-2
15/05/22HSTJ Vs Valur Reykjavik1-0

BreidablikBreidablik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/22HBRE Vs Başakşehir1-3
01/08/22HBRE Vs IA Akranes3-1
28/07/22ABuducnost Podgorica Vs BRE2-1
24/07/22AFH hafnarfjordur Vs BRE0-0
21/07/22HBRE Vs Buducnost Podgorica2-0
17/07/22AKeflavik Vs BRE2-3
14/07/22HBRE Vs UE Santa Coloma4-1
07/07/22AUE Santa Coloma Vs BRE0-1
02/07/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs BRE0-0
23/06/22HBRE Vs KR Reykjavik4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Stjarnan
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDD1.67
HomeWWDLD1.43
AwayWDDWD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%29%50%
AVG goals3.272.434.00
Over 1.5 %87%71%100%
Over 2.5 %60%43%75%
Over 3.5 %40%29%50%
Scored1.871.142.50
Conceded1.401.291.50
BTTS60%57%62%
Clean Sheet33%29%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Breidablik
Breidablik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL2.35
HomeWWWWL2.70
AwayDWWDL2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %75%90%60%
AVG goals3.554.402.70
Over 1.5 %80%100%60%
Over 2.5 %75%90%60%
Over 3.5 %55%80%30%
Scored2.503.201.80
Conceded1.051.200.90
BTTS60%70%50%
Clean Sheet40%30%50%
Corners9.008.679.50
Cards5.674.508.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2763
74%
2.3
6627+39
3.4
78%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
2KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2753
59%
2.0
5430+24
3.1
78%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.1
-
3Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2748
48%
1.8
6641+25
4.0
93%
89%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.5
-
4KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2738
33%
1.4
4240+2
3.0
70%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
5KeflavikKeflavik2737
41%
1.4
5648+8
3.9
85%
78%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.11.8
-
6StjarnanStjarnan2737
37%
1.4
4452-8
3.6
93%
70%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.9
-
7Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2735
37%
1.3
4644+2
3.3
81%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
8IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2732
30%
1.2
4350-7
3.4
85%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2731
26%
1.1
5363-10
4.3
96%
78%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.02.3
-
10FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2725
22%
0.9
3646-10
3.0
81%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.7
-
11IA AkranesIA Akranes2725
22%
0.9
3663-27
3.7
89%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
12Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2721
19%
0.8
2866-38
3.5
78%
70%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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