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Stjarnan vs Fram Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2024
Time: 19:15
Final 1-1
Stjarnan
Stjarnan
Vs
63%
21%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan win✗ Miss
62.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik win✗ Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StjarnanStjarnan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D03L11D11D02L13L10W21W10W41WA·FJO22/02H·HK 29/02H·NJA05/03A·KR 08/03A·VIK06/04H·KR 12/04H·VAL19/04A·AUG24/04A·FYL29/04H·IA 05/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.032.540.771.241.24
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.681.142.700.600.831.58
vs Weaker (8)2.120.752.001.332.200.40
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L22D11D20W01L10W30W11D21WH·IR 16/02A·VAL24/02H·IBV02/03A·THR09/03H·VES07/04H·VIK15/04A·KR 20/04A·ÁRB25/04A·VAL29/04H·FYL05/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.671.861.291.002.00
vs Stronger (8)1.001.500.671.671.201.40
vs Similar (22)1.551.732.181.180.912.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.2%
Under 2.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.4%
No
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%
1-1 ✓
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
Stjarnan goals ↓
Fram Reykjavik goals →
01234
04.3%2.9%2.1%0.8%0.2%
17.0%9.5%4.7%1.7%0.5%
28.9%9.8%5.3%1.9%0.5%
36.7%7.4%4.0%1.5%0.4%
43.8%4.2%2.3%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stjarnan goals (down), columns = Fram Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.30
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.19
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
Stjarnan
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.37
IA Akranes
1.37
FH hafnarfjordur
1.26
KR Reykjavik
1.26
Fram Reykjavik
1.11
HK Kopavogur
0.93
Vestri
0.93
Fylkir
0.78
Stjarnan is 0.44 points better than Fram Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.52
Valur Reykjavik
2.44
Breidablik
2.33
KR Reykjavik
2.07
Stjarnan
1.89
IA Akranes
1.81
KA Akureyri
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.59
Fram Reykjavik
1.41
HK Kopavogur
1.26
Fylkir
1.19
Vestri
1.19
Stjarnan is 0.48 goals better than Fram Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.15
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.22
Valur Reykjavik
1.56
Stjarnan
1.59
IA Akranes
1.74
KA Akureyri
1.78
Fram Reykjavik
1.81
KR Reykjavik
1.81
FH hafnarfjordur
1.85
Vestri
1.96
Fylkir
2.22
HK Kopavogur
2.63
Stjarnan is 0.22 goals better than Fram Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.81).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StjarnanStjarnan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D01L01L11D10W10W00D11DA·FJO22/02H·HK 29/02H·NJA05/03A·KR 08/03A·VIK06/04H·KR 12/04H·VAL19/04A·AUG24/04A·FYL29/04H·IA 05/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.371.460.230.470.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.820.451.400.300.330.58
vs Weaker (8)1.120.121.670.000.800.20
Clean sheet %67% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W01L20W00D10W10W00D21WH·IR 16/02A·VAL24/02H·IBV02/03A·THR09/03H·VES07/04H·VIK15/04A·KR 20/04A·ÁRB25/04A·VAL29/04H·FYL05/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.671.000.360.310.94
vs Stronger (8)0.380.880.331.000.400.80
vs Similar (22)0.730.591.180.180.271.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stjarnan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StjarnanStjarnan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L01L11D10W01L02L00D11D10W30WA·THO18/02A·FJO22/02H·NJA05/03A·KR 08/03A·VIK06/04H·KR 12/04H·VAL19/04A·AUG24/04A·FYL29/04H·IA 05/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.380.460.760.76
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.860.681.300.300.501.00
vs Weaker (8)1.500.501.671.001.400.20
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Fram Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L12L01L10W00D01L00D20W11D00DH·IR 16/02A·VAL24/02H·IBV02/03A·THR09/03H·VES07/04H·VIK15/04A·KR 20/04A·ÁRB25/04A·VAL29/04H·FYL05/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.000.860.930.691.06
vs Stronger (8)0.620.620.330.670.800.60
vs Similar (22)0.821.141.001.000.641.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stjarnan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stjarnan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fram Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
Stjarnan and Fram Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
Stjarnan and Fram Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
Stjarnan and Fram Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
Stjarnan and Fram Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
STJ wins
2
Draws
1
FR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stjarnan vs Fram Reykjavik · H/A from STJ
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/23HSTJ Vs Fram Reykjavik4-0
08/05/23AFram Reykjavik Vs STJ2-1
03/08/22AFram Reykjavik Vs STJ2-2
07/05/22HSTJ Vs Fram Reykjavik1-1

StjarnanStjarnan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/24HSTJ Vs IA Akranes4-1
29/04/24AFylkir Vs STJ0-1
24/04/24AAugnablik Vs STJ1-2
19/04/24HSTJ Vs Valur Reykjavik1-0
12/04/24HSTJ Vs KR Reykjavik1-3
06/04/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs STJ2-0
08/03/24AKR Reykjavik Vs STJ1-1
05/03/24HSTJ Vs Njardvik1-1
29/02/24HSTJ Vs HK Kopavogur0-3
22/02/24AFjolnir Vs STJ1-1

Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/24HFR Vs Fylkir2-1
29/04/24AValur Reykjavik Vs FR1-1
25/04/24AÁrbær Vs FR0-3
20/04/24AKR Reykjavik Vs FR0-1
15/04/24HFR Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-1
07/04/24HFR Vs Vestri2-0
09/03/24AThrottur Reykjavik Vs FR1-1
02/03/24HFR Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-2
24/02/24AValur Reykjavik Vs FR2-1
16/02/24HFR Vs IR Reykjavik1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Stjarnan
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.46
HomeLDLWW1.96
AwayDDLWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%62%27%
AVG goals3.243.672.85
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %58%71%46%
Over 3.5 %38%50%27%
Scored1.682.291.12
Conceded1.561.381.73
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.16
HomeLDWLW1.63
AwayLDWWD0.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%48%9%
AVG goals3.623.813.39
Over 1.5 %86%89%83%
Over 2.5 %70%78%61%
Over 3.5 %54%56%52%
Scored1.642.041.17
Conceded1.981.782.22
BTTS72%78%65%
Clean Sheet12%11%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2762
70%
2.3
6331+32
3.5
93%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.1
-
2Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2759
67%
2.2
6833+35
3.7
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.51.2
-
3Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2744
44%
1.6
6642+24
4.0
89%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.6
-
4StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5143+8
3.5
89%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.6
-
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2737
41%
1.4
4947+2
3.6
85%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.7
-
6KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2737
37%
1.4
4448-4
3.4
85%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.8
-
7KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2734
33%
1.3
5649+7
3.9
85%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.11.8
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2734
33%
1.3
4350-7
3.4
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2730
30%
1.1
3849-11
3.2
78%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.8
-
10VestriVestri2725
22%
0.9
3253-21
3.1
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
11HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2725
26%
0.9
3471-37
3.9
93%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.32.6
-
12FylkirFylkir2721
19%
0.8
3260-28
3.4
81%
67%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.2
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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