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Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar Prediction & Stats

Date: 06/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Stjarnan
Stjarnan
Vs
59%
22%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Stjarnan’s recent two-game winning streak fuels the model’s confidence that a home win is the most likely outcome, with a 59% chance versus 22% for a draw and 19% for an IBV victory. The average goal expectation sits at 3.4, and the single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for Stjarnan, a 9.7% probability. Stjarnan’s home form is strong against weaker opposition, scoring an average of 2.8 goals and conceding only 0.8, while IBV, playing away against stronger teams, averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. The model’s edge appears most pronounced in the “Away under 2.5 HT goals” pick, with a 98.5% probability and an 8% edge, reflecting the low scoring propensity of IBV in the first half. Additional selections include “Away under 2.5 2H goals” at 98.0% with a 9% edge, “Under 7.5” at 97.7% with a 7% edge, “Away under 3.5 goals” at 96.6% with a 7% edge, “Home under 2.5 HT goals” at 94.9% with a 7% edge, “Under 6.5” at 94.2% with a 7% edge, “Home +2 handicap” at 92.3%, and “Away under 1.5 HT goals” at 92.2% with a 9% edge.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stjarnan win
59.3%
Avg Implied 52.5% · @ 1.74
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.82
Dafabet
1.79
1xBet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Draw
21.7%
Avg Implied 22.5% · @ 4.07
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Dafabet
4.10
IBV Vestmannaeyjar win
19.0%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.65
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.78
Pinnacle
3.76
1xBet
3.76
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StjarnanStjarnan

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W21W13L05L15L32W10W13L42W20WH·SEL05/04H·KR 13/05A·AFT10/06A·KR 19/07A·IA 26/07A·VAL03/08H·KEF09/08A·FRA17/08H·THO23/08A·BRE31/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.772.401.471.602.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.962.042.201.801.772.23
vs Weaker (7)2.140.862.800.800.501.00
Clean sheet %13% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-524L22D25L22D01L12L22D13L01L01LA·FYL11/03H·THR04/04A·KR 12/07H·KA 19/07A·BRE27/07H·FRA01/08A·VIK09/08H·IA 16/08A·KEF23/08H·THO29/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.571.351.471.081.69
vs Stronger (11)1.181.361.431.430.751.25
vs Similar (19)1.261.681.301.501.221.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.3%
@ 1.08+1.0%
Under 1.5
13.7%
@ 6.25-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Under
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.45
Marathonbet
6.45
Betano
5.60
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.2%
@ 1.32-3.4%
Under 2.5
33.8%
@ 3.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Unibet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.09
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.97
1xBet
2.97
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.3%
@ 1.84-6.1%
Under 3.5
55.7%
@ 1.88+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Under
Unibet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Both teams to score
Yes
63.1%
@ 1.37-4.6%
No
36.9%
@ 2.86+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
No
1xBet
2.94
William Hil
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
Betano
2.85
Bet365
2.75

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.7%@ 8.38+4.2%
1-1
9.7%@ 8.72+4.4%
2-0
8.1%@ 11.92+4.2%
3-1
7.1%@ 11.04+3.0%
1-0
6.4%@ 12.92+2.9%
3-0
5.9%@ 15.62+3.0%
2-2
5.8%@ 10.33+1.4%
1-2
5.3%@ 12.46+1.6%
Stjarnan goals ↓
IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals →
01234
04.2%3.1%2.4%1.0%0.3%
16.4%9.7%5.3%2.1%0.6%
28.1%9.7%5.8%2.3%0.7%
35.9%7.1%4.3%1.7%0.5%
43.3%3.9%2.4%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stjarnan goals (down), columns = IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
Stjarnan is 1.46 points better than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 0.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
Stjarnan is 0.71 goals better than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
Stjarnan is 0.30 goals worse than IBV Vestmannaeyjar in terms of goals conceded per game (2.43 vs 2.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stjarnan or Draw
81.0%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.23
Edge
+6.1%
59%
22%
19%
covers Stjarnan + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Stjarnan or IBV Vestmannaeyjar
78.3%
Avg Implied 77.8% · @ 1.19
Edge
+0.5%
59%
22%
19%
covers Stjarnan + IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Draw or IBV Vestmannaeyjar
40.7%
Avg Implied 47.2% · @ 1.96
Edge
-6.5%
59%
22%
19%
covers Draw + IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
Betano
1.98
William Hil
1.95

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stjarnan over/under 0.5
Over
89.0%
@ 1.07+2.4%
Under
11.0%
@ 6.92-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Under
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.20
Stjarnan over/under 1.5
Over
64.7%
@ 1.45+0.4%
Under
35.3%
@ 2.61-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.61
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.59
Stjarnan over/under 2.5
Over
37.9%
@ 2.39-0.9%
Under
62.1%
@ 1.52+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.47
Marathonbet
2.42
1xBet
2.42
Betfair
2.38
Under
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
Stjarnan over/under 3.5
Over
18.2%
@ 4.58-2.0%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.16+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Betano
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Under
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5
Over
69.9%
@ 1.23-5.7%
Under
30.1%
@ 3.80+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
3.90
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.75
Betfair
3.75
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5
Over
33.7%
@ 2.11-10.3%
Under
66.3%
@ 1.66+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Betfair
2.10
Under
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Unibet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5
Over
12.0%
@ 4.53-8.4%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.16+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 3.5
Over
3.4%
@ 9.08-6.9%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.04+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stjarnan, so a minus line means Stjarnan give that many goals of a start and IBV Vestmannaeyjar receive them. At -1, Stjarnan must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stjarnan win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stjarnan)
Stjarnan -2
19.8%
@ 4.65+1.1%
Draw -2
18.0%
@ 4.85+0.1%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar +2
62.1%
@ 1.37-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Bet365
4.75
Unibet
3.95
Draw
Marathonbet
5.30
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.10
Away
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.33
Handicap -1 (Stjarnan)
Stjarnan -1
37.9%
@ 2.59+4.4%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 3.92-0.6%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar +1
40.7%
@ 1.95-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.72
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.38
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.35
Away
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Bet365
1.95
Unibet
1.86
Handicap +1 (Stjarnan)
Stjarnan +1
81.0%
@ 1.23+8.5%
Draw +1
11.3%
@ 5.95-3.6%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -1
7.7%
@ 7.05-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Away
Marathonbet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Handicap +2 (Stjarnan)
Stjarnan +2
92.3%
@ 1.08+5.6%
Draw +2
5.3%
@ 12.00-2.5%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -2
2.4%
@ 17.00-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
17.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StjarnanStjarnan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W10W02L03L11D00D12L30W20WH·SEL05/04H·KR 13/05A·AFT10/06A·KR 19/07A·IA 26/07A·VAL03/08H·KEF09/08A·FRA17/08H·THO23/08A·BRE31/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.771.070.800.870.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.960.831.000.800.920.85
vs Weaker (7)1.000.571.200.800.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L12L01L00D02L11D01L01L01LA·FYL11/03H·THR04/04A·KR 12/07H·KA 19/07A·BRE27/07H·FRA01/08A·VIK09/08H·IA 16/08A·KEF23/08H·THO29/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.410.760.690.69
vs Stronger (11)0.550.550.570.710.500.25
vs Similar (19)0.530.840.300.800.780.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.1%
@ 1.18-4.2%
Under 0.5
25.9%
@ 4.25+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Betfair
4.50
William Hil
4.40
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.3%
@ 1.90-12.4%
Under 1.5
63.7%
@ 1.81+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Under
Betfair
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.4%
@ 3.83-9.7%
Under 2.5
85.6%
@ 1.21+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.85
Marathonbet
3.80
William Hil
3.80
1xBet
3.78
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stjarnan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
58.6%
@ 1.51-2.8%
Under
41.4%
@ 2.41+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
1xBet
2.40
Betano
2.30
Stjarnan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
21.8%
@ 3.46-4.9%
Under
78.2%
@ 1.26+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Stjarnan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.4%
@ 8.55-6.4%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.5%
@ 1.93-10.5%
Under
62.5%
@ 1.78+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.99
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.6%
@ 5.60-8.9%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.11+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
@ 10.25-8.1%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.02+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StjarnanStjarnan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D03L03L12L21W10W01L12L00DH·SEL05/04H·KR 13/05A·AFT10/06A·KR 19/07A·IA 26/07A·VAL03/08H·KEF09/08A·FRA17/08H·THO23/08A·BRE31/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.001.330.670.731.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.001.221.201.000.851.38
vs Weaker (7)1.140.291.600.000.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L21W13L21W01L10W11D12L00D00DA·FYL11/03H·THR04/04A·KR 12/07H·KA 19/07A·BRE27/07H·FRA01/08A·VIK09/08H·IA 16/08A·KEF23/08H·THO29/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.940.710.381.00
vs Stronger (11)0.640.820.860.710.251.00
vs Similar (19)0.740.841.000.700.441.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.1%
@ 1.10-3.5%
Under 0.5
18.9%
@ 6.08+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Under
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.40
William Hil
5.80
Betano
5.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.0%
@ 1.54-12.0%
Under 1.5
52.0%
@ 2.31+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Under
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
23.6%
@ 2.64-11.4%
Under 2.5
76.4%
@ 1.43+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
William Hil
1.40

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stjarnan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
66.9%
@ 1.33-2.3%
Under
33.1%
@ 3.00+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Under
Betano
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Stjarnan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.5%
@ 2.54-7.8%
Under
71.5%
@ 1.45+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.58
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Stjarnan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.7%
@ 5.70-7.4%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.10+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.7%
@ 1.65-12.4%
Under
56.3%
@ 2.10+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.03
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.4%
@ 4.08-11.2%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.19+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.10
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 8.25-9.0%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.04+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+8.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.8%1.04
Betano
1.04
----+9.0%
Under 7.597.7%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
--+6.5%
Away under 3.5 goals96.6%1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
--+6.9%
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.6%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
---+6.4%
Under 6.594.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Betano
1.06
--+6.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.4%1.11
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
--+8.9%
Home +2 handicap92.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+5.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals91.3%1.10
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
---+7.4%
Home over 0.5 goals89.0%1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-+2.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals88.6%1.19
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
--+11.2%
Away under 2.5 goals88.0%1.16
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+8.4%
Under 5.587.0%1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+6.3%
Over 1.586.3%1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-+1.0%
Under 2.5 HT goals85.6%1.21
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
+9.7%
Home under 3.5 goals81.8%1.16
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+2.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals81.1%1.10
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.08
--3.5%
Home or Draw81.0%1.23
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+6.1%
Home +1 handicap81.0%1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
---+8.5%
Home or Away78.3%1.19
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
+0.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals78.2%1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.26
--+4.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals76.4%1.43
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
William Hil
1.40
+11.4%
Under 4.574.3%1.36
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.33
+6.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals74.1%1.18
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-4.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals71.5%1.45
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
--+7.8%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
Stjarnan's squad is €1m more valuable than IBV Vestmannaeyjar's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
Stjarnan and IBV Vestmannaeyjar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
STJ wins
0
Draws
3
IV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar · H/A from STJ
DateH/AGameScore
14/07/25AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs STJ1-0
28/04/25HSTJ Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-3
08/02/25HSTJ Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar3-2
05/08/23AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs STJ0-2
13/05/23HSTJ Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar4-0
28/08/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs STJ3-1
29/05/22HSTJ Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-0

StjarnanStjarnan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26ABreidablik Vs STJ0-2
23/08/26HSTJ Vs Thor Akureyri4-2
17/08/26AFram Reykjavik Vs STJ3-1
09/08/26HSTJ Vs Keflavik1-0
03/08/26AValur Reykjavik Vs STJ2-3
26/07/26AIA Akranes Vs STJ5-1
19/07/26AKR Reykjavik Vs STJ5-0
10/06/26AAfturelding Vs STJ3-1
13/05/26HSTJ Vs KR Reykjavik2-1
05/04/26HSTJ Vs Selfoss2-1

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HIV Vs Thor Akureyri0-1
23/08/26AKeflavik Vs IV1-0
16/08/26HIV Vs IA Akranes1-3
09/08/26AVikingur Reykjavik Vs IV2-2
01/08/26HIV Vs Fram Reykjavik1-2
27/07/26ABreidablik Vs IV1-0
19/07/26HIV Vs KA Akureyri2-2
12/07/26AKR Reykjavik Vs IV5-2
04/04/26HIV Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-2
11/03/26AFylkir Vs IV4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stjarnan
Stjarnan
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.62
HomeDWWWW1.93
AwayLLWLW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%59%35%
AVG goals3.944.153.70
Over 1.5 %94%93%96%
Over 2.5 %80%89%70%
Over 3.5 %58%67%48%
Scored2.022.331.65
Conceded1.921.812.04
BTTS80%81%78%
Clean Sheet12%15%9%
Corners---
Cards---
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.08
HomeDDLLL1.39
AwayLLLDL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%39%19%
AVG goals3.102.873.30
Over 1.5 %78%78%78%
Over 2.5 %54%57%52%
Over 3.5 %38%35%41%
Scored1.481.611.37
Conceded1.621.261.93
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet20%26%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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