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Stoke vs Derby Result & Analysis

Date: 09/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 3-1
Stoke
Stoke
Vs
38%
32%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Referee: E Bell

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoke win✓ Hit
38.1%
Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.08
Edge
-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.16
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Derby win✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.80
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W01L31W11D11D10W20W06L02L00DH·BLA12/03A·MIL15/03H·QPR29/03A·PRE05/04H·LUT08/04A·CAR12/04H·SHE18/04A·LEE21/04H·SHE25/04A·DER03/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.471.211.070.811.81
vs Stronger (6)0.832.330.501.001.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.041.251.331.080.751.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W32W20W01L00D22D01L31W10W00DH·COV11/03A·PLY15/03H·PRE02/04A·SWA05/04H·BUR08/04A·POR12/04H·LUT18/04A·WES21/04A·HUL26/04H·STO03/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.170.870.731.001.60
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.670.670.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.001.190.920.751.071.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.2%
Under 1.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.0%
@ 2.56+0.5%
Under 2.5
63.0%
@ 1.47-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.5%
Under 3.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.0%
No
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
Stoke goals ↓
Derby goals →
01234
013%10%5.8%1.9%0.5%
112%15%6.7%2.3%0.6%
27.7%7.8%3.9%1.3%0.3%
33.0%3.0%1.5%0.5%0.1%
40.9%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stoke goals (down), columns = Derby goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Stoke is 0.30 points worse than Derby in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Stoke is 0.35 goals worse than Derby in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Stoke is 0.07 goals better than Derby in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Stoke is 7.5 percentage points better than Derby in terms of average possession (52% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StokeStoke

For 4.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

1204583152433469132573491166610105127A·DERH·SHEA·LEEH·SHEA·CARH·LUTA·PREH·QPRA·MILH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

7012321223122341352223514447474A·DERH·SHEA·LEEH·SHEA·CARH·LUTA·PREH·QPRA·MILH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

300910161197161411131213159109138161419271630242524192130A·DERH·SHEA·LEEH·SHEA·CARH·LUTA·PREH·QPRA·MILH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DerbyDerby

For 4.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1305435349436843443374898713912771012H·STOA·HULA·WESH·LUTA·PORH·BURA·SWAH·PREA·PLYH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

90212121224522123213334922333H·STOA·HULA·WESH·LUTA·PORH·BURA·SWAH·PREA·PLYH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 9.3 · Total 21.3

⚠️ Fouls

31010915111210913181314812711101346819262222312219211714H·STOA·HULA·WESH·LUTA·PORH·BURA·SWAH·PREA·PLYH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.010.13.73.73.621.422.220.7
vs Stronger (6)11.012.010.32.75.51.218.022.015.3
vs Similar (43)9.99.810.13.93.74.021.922.221.6
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line51%45%57%60%67%54%51%59%43%
% under line49%55%43%40%33%46%49%41%57%
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.210.03.23.03.321.321.321.3
vs Stronger (6)11.811.712.02.32.32.319.319.319.3
vs Similar (42)9.910.19.83.43.23.621.621.621.6
vs Weaker (2)8.08.0-0.51.00.022.022.0-
% over line53%54%52%42%40%44%51%50%52%
% under line47%46%48%58%60%56%49%50%48%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.7
Sheffield Weds
11.2
Portsmouth
10.8
QPR
10.8
Millwall
10.5
Hull
10.5
Sheffield United
10.5
Southampton
10.4
Oxford
10.3
Stoke
10.3
Derby
10.3
West Brom
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Ipswich
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.0
Blackburn
10.0
Watford
9.9
Bristol City
9.8
Swansea
9.7
Leicester
9.7
Charlton
9.5
Birmingham
9.4
Preston
9.2
Wrexham
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Portsmouth
4.3
Blackburn
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Preston
4.0
Southampton
3.9
West Brom
3.9
Charlton
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
QPR
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Sheffield Weds
3.8
Oxford
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Wrexham
3.6
Hull
3.6
Derby
3.3
Millwall
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
25.0
Portsmouth
24.3
Preston
24.0
Millwall
24.0
Blackburn
23.6
Southampton
23.6
Sheffield Weds
23.6
Charlton
23.5
QPR
23.3
Swansea
23.2
Watford
23.0
Ipswich
22.6
Norwich
22.5
Hull
22.3
Sheffield United
22.0
West Brom
21.8
Leicester
21.8
Wrexham
21.4
Stoke
21.4
Coventry
21.3
Derby
21.3
Middlesbrough
21.2
Oxford
21.2
Bristol City
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.2%
Under 9.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.6%
Under 3.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.3%
Under 21.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D20W01L00D00D10W05L01L00DH·BLA12/03A·MIL15/03H·QPR29/03A·PRE05/04H·LUT08/04A·CAR12/04H·SHE18/04A·LEE21/04H·SHE25/04A·DER03/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.500.430.440.94
vs Stronger (6)0.331.500.000.500.502.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.500.580.420.420.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D00D00D00D01L20W00D00DH·COV11/03A·PLY15/03H·PRE02/04A·SWA05/04H·BUR08/04A·POR12/04H·LUT18/04A·WES21/04A·HUL26/04H·STO03/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.400.530.270.330.53
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.330.330.002.00
vs Similar (26)0.460.350.580.250.360.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L11D10W11D10W10W01L01L00DH·BLA12/03A·MIL15/03H·QPR29/03A·PRE05/04H·LUT08/04A·CAR12/04H·SHE18/04A·LEE21/04H·SHE25/04A·DER03/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.710.640.380.88
vs Stronger (6)0.500.830.500.500.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.540.750.750.670.330.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Derby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DerbyDerby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D20W01L00D22D00D11D10W00DH·COV11/03A·PLY15/03H·PRE02/04A·SWA05/04H·BUR08/04A·POR12/04H·LUT18/04A·WES21/04A·HUL26/04H·STO03/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.330.470.671.07
vs Stronger (4)0.250.250.330.330.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.540.850.330.500.711.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.582.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards77.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls71.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé11%
Divin Mubama11%
Million Manhoef10%
Sam Gallagher10%
Milan Smit7%
Ben Gibson7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Ben Wilmot5%
Róbert Boženík4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Bosun Lawal3%
Steven​ N'Zonzi3%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ben Pearson3%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Tchamadeu42%
Maksym Talovierov42%
Ben Pearson35%
Favour Fawunmi25%
Bosun Lawal23%
Sydney Agina20%
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé14%
Ashley Phillips14%
Ben Wilmot14%
Tommy Simkin12%
Divin Mubama11%
Tatsuki Seko9%
Róbert Boženík8%
Million Manhoef8%
Viktor Johansson8%
Ben Gibson7%
Steven​ N'Zonzi6%
Tomáš Rigo6%
Jun-Ho Bae4%
Aaron Cresswell4%
Sam Gallagher0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Milan Smit0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sorba Thomas21%
Jamie Donley17%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Million Manhoef8%
Lamine Cissé8%
Junior Tchamadeu8%
Milan Smit7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Eric Bocat6%
Lewis Baker6%
Viktor Johansson4%
Divin Mubama4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Tatsuki Seko2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Divin Mubama14%
Lamine Cissé14%
Million Manhoef12%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi12%
Sorba Thomas11%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Milan Smit7%
Bosun Lawal7%
Lewis Baker6%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ben Wilmot3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Derby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Carlton Morris32%
Patrick Agyemang24%
Sammie Szmodics23%
Rhian Brewster23%
Jaydon Banel21%
Ben Brereton Díaz17%
Sondre Langås12%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen9%
Bobby Clark9%
Matthew Clarke7%
David Ozoh6%
Liam Thompson6%
Oscar Fraulo5%
Joe Ward5%
Craig Forsyth5%
Ebou Adams4%
Andreas Weimann4%
Callum Elder3%
Dion Sanderson2%
Josh Vickers0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Lewis Travis0%
Danny Batth0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Derry Murkin0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Max Johnston0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Travis39%
Sammie Szmodics38%
Ebou Adams35%
Callum Elder30%
Liam Thompson28%
Dion Sanderson20%
Oscar Fraulo20%
David Ozoh20%
Matthew Clarke20%
Ben Brereton Díaz20%
Bobby Clark18%
Carlton Morris16%
Sondre Langås16%
Patrick Agyemang16%
Ryan Nyambe14%
Josh Vickers11%
Kayden Jackson10%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen9%
Craig Forsyth9%
Danny Batth8%
Derry Murkin8%
Andreas Weimann7%
Joe Ward7%
Jaydon Banel7%
Max Johnston7%
Rhian Brewster3%
Jacob Widell Zetterström3%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Dajaune Brown0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Elder20%
Joe Ward20%
Derry Murkin17%
Andreas Weimann11%
Corey Blackett-Taylor10%
Matthew Clarke9%
Patrick Agyemang8%
Sammie Szmodics8%
Ben Brereton Díaz7%
Max Johnston7%
Bobby Clark7%
Rhian Brewster6%
Carlton Morris6%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen6%
Sondre Langås4%
Lewis Travis4%
Josh Vickers0%
Ebou Adams0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Danny Batth0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Liam Thompson0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrick Agyemang18%
Carlton Morris10%
Sammie Szmodics8%
Ben Brereton Díaz5%
Matthew Clarke4%
Sondre Langås4%
Rhian Brewster3%
Bobby Clark2%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen0%
Josh Vickers0%
Ebou Adams0%
Craig Forsyth0%
Andreas Weimann0%
Ryan Nyambe0%
Lewis Travis0%
Danny Batth0%
Callum Elder0%
Kayden Jackson0%
Joe Ward0%
Corey Blackett-Taylor0%
Richard O'Donnell0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Derry Murkin0%
Jacob Widell Zetterström0%
Dion Sanderson0%
Liam Thompson0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Max Johnston0%
Dajaune Brown0%
David Ozoh0%
Jaydon Banel0%
Cruz Allen0%
Owen Eames0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Stoke's squad is €22m more valuable than Derby's (€79m vs €57m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Stoke's attack is €11m more valuable than Derby's (€35m vs €25m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Stoke's midfield is €2m less valuable than Derby's (€11m vs €14m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Stoke's defence is €14m more valuable than Derby's (€32m vs €18m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
STK wins
2
Draws
2
DER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stoke vs Derby · H/A from STK
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25ADerby Vs STK0-0
02/11/24HSTK Vs Derby2-1
30/12/21HSTK Vs Derby1-2
18/09/21ADerby Vs STK2-1
20/03/21HSTK Vs Derby1-0
12/12/20ADerby Vs STK0-0

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25ADerby Vs STK0-0
25/04/25HSTK Vs Sheffield United0-2
21/04/25ALeeds Vs STK6-0
18/04/25HSTK Vs Sheffield Weds2-0
12/04/25ACardiff Vs STK0-1
08/04/25HSTK Vs Luton1-1
05/04/25APreston Vs STK1-1
29/03/25HSTK Vs QPR3-1
15/03/25AMillwall Vs STK1-0
12/03/25HSTK Vs Blackburn1-0

DerbyDerby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25HDER Vs Stoke0-0
26/04/25AHull Vs DER0-1
21/04/25AWest Brom Vs DER1-3
18/04/25HDER Vs Luton0-1
12/04/25APortsmouth Vs DER2-2
08/04/25HDER Vs Burnley0-0
05/04/25ASwansea Vs DER1-0
02/04/25HDER Vs Preston2-0
15/03/25APlymouth Vs DER2-3
11/03/25HDER Vs Coventry2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.08
HomeWWDWL1.33
AwayLDWLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals2.522.542.50
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %40%42%38%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.121.330.92
Conceded1.401.211.58
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners10.0710.0010.13
Cards4.074.054.09
Derby
Derby
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD1.16
HomeWWDLD1.52
AwayWLDWW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%44%16%
AVG goals2.221.922.52
Over 1.5 %66%60%72%
Over 2.5 %38%32%44%
Over 3.5 %16%8%24%
Scored1.061.160.96
Conceded1.160.761.56
BTTS46%32%60%
Clean Sheet28%44%12%
Corners10.1110.1710.04
Cards3.363.123.61

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches