PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Stoke vs Hull Result & Analysis

Date: 29/11/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 1-2
Stoke
Stoke
Vs
47%
28%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hull
Hull
England: Championship
Referee: L Doughty
Match preview & prediction

Stoke are tipped to win, with a 47% chance of a home victory, 28% for a draw and 25% for Hull. The match is expected to see about 2.6 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.2% probability. Stoke, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.92 conceded, while Hull, on the road, averages 1.33 scored and 1.53 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 80.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 76.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.3%, Under 3.5 goals at 72.6% and Under 25.5 fouls at 70.2%. Stoke have come off a win and Hull are unbeaten in their last five, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Hull snatched a 2-1 victory over Stoke, overturning the pre-match favourite that the model had tipped for a home win at 47%. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win, so the model’s pick was wrong. The model had also suggested a range of other outcomes: Under 5.5 cards at 80.4% missed, Over 19.5 fouls at 76.7% hit, Over 1.5 at 75.3% hit, Over 2.5 cards at 74.3% hit, Under 3.5 at 72.6% hit, and Under 25.5 fouls at 70.2% missed. Stoke were coming off a win in their last five, while Hull remained unbeaten in their last five.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoke win✗ Miss
47.4%
Avg Implied 55.1% · @ 1.71
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.76
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hull win✓ Hit
24.9%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.73
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D11D10W02L10W51W30W01L12L30WA·MID30/09A·BLA04/10H·WRE18/10A·MIL21/10A·POR25/10H·BRI01/11A·OXF04/11H·COV08/11A·LEI22/11H·CHA25/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.001.400.801.001.20
vs Stronger (4)0.752.500.500.501.004.50
vs Similar (25)1.320.801.670.921.000.69
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HullHull

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D10W32W21W11D20W12L32W23L02LH·PRE30/09H·SHE04/10A·BIR18/10H·LEI21/10H·CHA25/10A·NOR01/11A·DER04/11H·POR08/11A·QPR22/11H·IPS25/11
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.401.471.271.331.53
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (29)1.451.381.571.211.331.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
Under 1.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.3%
@ 1.81-2.6%
Under 2.5
50.7%
@ 1.95+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 3.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.4%
No
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
1-2 ✓
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
Stoke goals ↓
Hull goals →
01234
08.3%6.5%4.1%1.5%0.4%
19.9%13%6.5%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.4%5.1%1.8%0.5%
34.6%4.9%2.6%1.0%0.3%
41.8%1.9%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stoke goals (down), columns = Hull goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Stoke is 0.44 points worse than Hull in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.63).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Stoke is 0.38 goals worse than Hull in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.49).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Stoke is 0.13 goals better than Hull in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Stoke is 6.9 percentage points better than Hull in terms of average possession (52% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StokeStoke

For 5.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

1705103671041026236467855109171485101313H·CHAA·LEIH·COVA·OXFH·BRIA·PORA·MILH·WREA·BLAA·MID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

80112633313321221122864353222H·CHAA·LEIH·COVA·OXFH·BRIA·PORA·MILH·WREA·BLAA·MID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.6

⚠️ Fouls

2701313111699136131015871385955826271819232320131413H·CHAA·LEIH·COVA·OXFH·BRIA·PORA·MILH·WREA·BLAA·MID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HullHull

For 4.5 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

160365955564662177949539141011108816138H·IPSA·QPRH·PORA·DERA·NORH·CHAH·LEIA·BIRH·SHEH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

1002211312121127322141413331041H·IPSA·QPRH·PORA·DERA·NORH·CHAH·LEIA·BIRH·SHEH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.3

⚠️ Fouls

26012109861471312889812147131311922172020201720212620H·IPSA·QPRH·PORA·DERA·NORH·CHAH·LEIA·BIRH·SHEH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.310.13.73.63.821.222.519.8
vs Stronger (8)10.610.810.33.04.81.217.318.815.3
vs Similar (41)9.68.910.13.93.54.321.923.420.4
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-3.03.0-21.021.0-
% over line54%50%58%52%52%52%46%58%33%
% under line46%50%42%48%48%48%54%42%67%
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HullHull

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.39.910.63.43.23.621.622.320.8
vs Stronger (3)9.710.58.02.72.53.022.022.521.0
vs Similar (46)10.39.910.83.53.53.621.522.320.8
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line65%54%76%40%44%36%43%50%36%
% under line35%46%24%60%56%64%57%50%64%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.2
Sheffield Weds
11.0
Portsmouth
10.6
Norwich
10.5
Oxford
10.5
Sheffield United
10.5
Hull
10.2
QPR
10.2
Millwall
10.1
Leicester
10.1
Ipswich
10.1
Stoke
10.0
Blackburn
9.9
West Brom
9.8
Southampton
9.8
Middlesbrough
9.8
Derby
9.8
Watford
9.7
Preston
9.6
Bristol City
9.5
Wrexham
9.4
Birmingham
9.1
Swansea
9.1
Charlton
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Portsmouth
4.2
Southampton
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Stoke
3.9
QPR
3.9
Norwich
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Sheffield United
3.7
Preston
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Swansea
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.5
Coventry
3.5
Blackburn
3.5
Hull
3.5
Charlton
3.4
Derby
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.4
Wrexham
3.4
Bristol City
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Oxford
3.3
Millwall
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Southampton
23.6
Birmingham
23.4
Blackburn
23.3
Swansea
23.3
Millwall
23.1
Portsmouth
23.0
QPR
22.9
Charlton
22.8
Sheffield Weds
22.7
Sheffield United
22.3
Ipswich
22.2
Middlesbrough
22.1
Watford
22.1
Norwich
22.0
Hull
21.6
Preston
21.6
Leicester
21.5
Derby
21.3
Oxford
21.3
West Brom
21.1
Stoke
21.0
Coventry
20.7
Wrexham
20.2
Bristol City
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.4%
Under 9.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.7%
Under 21.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W02L00D30W20W00D02L30WA·MID30/09A·BLA04/10H·WRE18/10A·MIL21/10A·POR25/10H·BRI01/11A·OXF04/11H·COV08/11A·LEI22/11H·CHA25/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.800.330.200.80
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.500.000.003.50
vs Similar (25)0.560.400.920.420.230.38
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HullHull

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W21W20W00D00D01L22D11D00DH·PRE30/09H·SHE04/10A·BIR18/10H·LEI21/10H·CHA25/10A·NOR01/11A·DER04/11H·POR08/11A·QPR22/11H·IPS25/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.530.530.600.53
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.590.550.570.570.600.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D00D10W21W10W01L10W00DA·MID30/09A·BLA04/10H·WRE18/10A·MIL21/10A·POR25/10H·BRI01/11A·OXF04/11H·COV08/11A·LEI22/11H·CHA25/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.430.600.470.800.40
vs Stronger (4)0.500.750.000.501.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.760.400.750.500.770.31
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HullHull

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D11D01L11D20W11D10W12L02LH·PRE30/09H·SHE04/10A·BIR18/10H·LEI21/10H·CHA25/10A·NOR01/11A·DER04/11H·POR08/11A·QPR22/11H·IPS25/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.870.930.730.731.00
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (29)0.860.831.000.640.731.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards80.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls76.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.575.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls70.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé11%
Divin Mubama11%
Million Manhoef10%
Sam Gallagher10%
Milan Smit7%
Ben Gibson7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Ben Wilmot5%
Róbert Boženík4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Bosun Lawal3%
Steven​ N'Zonzi3%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ben Pearson3%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Tchamadeu42%
Maksym Talovierov42%
Ben Pearson35%
Favour Fawunmi25%
Bosun Lawal23%
Sydney Agina20%
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé14%
Ashley Phillips14%
Ben Wilmot14%
Tommy Simkin12%
Divin Mubama11%
Tatsuki Seko9%
Róbert Boženík8%
Million Manhoef8%
Viktor Johansson8%
Ben Gibson7%
Steven​ N'Zonzi6%
Tomáš Rigo6%
Jun-Ho Bae4%
Aaron Cresswell4%
Sam Gallagher0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Milan Smit0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sorba Thomas21%
Jamie Donley17%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Million Manhoef8%
Lamine Cissé8%
Junior Tchamadeu8%
Milan Smit7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Eric Bocat6%
Lewis Baker6%
Viktor Johansson4%
Divin Mubama4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Tatsuki Seko2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Divin Mubama14%
Lamine Cissé14%
Million Manhoef12%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi12%
Sorba Thomas11%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Milan Smit7%
Bosun Lawal7%
Lewis Baker6%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ben Wilmot3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Hull
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oliver McBurnie40%
Joe Gelhardt34%
Lewis Koumas16%
Matt Crooks14%
Kyle Joseph14%
Mohamed Belloumi12%
Enis Destan11%
Joel Ndala11%
Darko Gyabi10%
Liam Millar8%
Kieran Dowell7%
John Egan6%
Akin Famewo6%
Babajide David Akintola5%
Semi Ajayi4%
Regan Slater4%
John Lundstram3%
Charlie Hughes2%
Ivor Pandur0%
Ryan Giles0%
Paddy McNair0%
Kasey Palmer0%
Dillon Phillips0%
Lewie Coyle0%
Amir Hadžiahmetović0%
Matty Jacob0%
Cody Drameh0%
Toby Collyer0%
Abu Kamara0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Cathal McCarthy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Toby Collyer40%
Matt Crooks37%
John Lundstram35%
Lewie Coyle27%
Oliver McBurnie24%
Enis Destan22%
Babajide David Akintola19%
Ryan Giles19%
John Egan19%
Charlie Hughes19%
Joe Gelhardt18%
Ivor Pandur17%
Regan Slater17%
Kyle Joseph14%
Kieran Dowell13%
Paddy McNair13%
Cathal McCarthy12%
Akin Famewo12%
Semi Ajayi8%
Mohamed Belloumi8%
Liam Millar8%
Cody Drameh8%
Joel Ndala5%
Amir Hadžiahmetović3%
Kasey Palmer0%
Dillon Phillips0%
Matty Jacob0%
Darko Gyabi0%
Abu Kamara0%
Lewis Koumas0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Giles19%
Oliver McBurnie14%
Matt Crooks14%
Liam Millar13%
Mohamed Belloumi12%
Joe Gelhardt11%
Kyle Joseph10%
Yu Hirakawa10%
Babajide David Akintola10%
Kasey Palmer9%
Lewie Coyle9%
Cody Drameh8%
Paddy McNair7%
Amir Hadžiahmetović5%
Semi Ajayi4%
Regan Slater4%
Charlie Hughes2%
Ivor Pandur0%
Akin Famewo0%
John Egan0%
Kieran Dowell0%
John Lundstram0%
Dillon Phillips0%
Matty Jacob0%
Enis Destan0%
Darko Gyabi0%
Toby Collyer0%
Abu Kamara0%
Joel Ndala0%
Lewis Koumas0%
Cathal McCarthy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Belloumi24%
Oliver McBurnie24%
Joe Gelhardt16%
Liam Millar13%
Kyle Joseph8%
Matt Crooks3%
John Egan2%
Babajide David Akintola0%
Semi Ajayi0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Regan Slater0%
Ryan Giles0%
Akin Famewo0%
Kieran Dowell0%
John Lundstram0%
Paddy McNair0%
Kasey Palmer0%
Dillon Phillips0%
Lewie Coyle0%
Amir Hadžiahmetović0%
Matty Jacob0%
Cody Drameh0%
Enis Destan0%
Darko Gyabi0%
Toby Collyer0%
Abu Kamara0%
Joel Ndala0%
Lewis Koumas0%
Charlie Hughes0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Cathal McCarthy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Stoke's squad is €27m less valuable than Hull's (€79m vs €105m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Stoke's attack is €13m more valuable than Hull's (€35m vs €22m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Stoke's midfield is €20m less valuable than Hull's (€11m vs €31m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Stoke's defence is €20m less valuable than Hull's (€32m vs €52m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
STK wins
1
Draws
2
HUL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stoke vs Hull · H/A from STK
DateH/AGameScore
01/02/25AHull Vs STK1-2
20/09/24HSTK Vs Hull1-3
29/03/24AHull Vs STK0-2
24/09/23HSTK Vs Hull1-3
11/02/23HSTK Vs Hull0-0
13/09/22AHull Vs STK0-3
16/01/22AHull Vs STK0-2
25/09/21HSTK Vs Hull2-0

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/11/25HSTK Vs Charlton3-0
22/11/25ALeicester Vs STK2-1
08/11/25HSTK Vs Coventry0-1
04/11/25AOxford Vs STK0-3
01/11/25HSTK Vs Bristol City5-1
25/10/25APortsmouth Vs STK0-1
21/10/25AMillwall Vs STK2-0
18/10/25HSTK Vs Wrexham1-0
04/10/25ABlackburn Vs STK1-1
30/09/25AMiddlesbrough Vs STK0-0

HullHull

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/11/25HHUL Vs Ipswich0-2
22/11/25AQPR Vs HUL3-2
08/11/25HHUL Vs Portsmouth3-2
04/11/25ADerby Vs HUL2-1
01/11/25ANorwich Vs HUL0-2
25/10/25HHUL Vs Charlton1-1
21/10/25HHUL Vs Leicester2-1
18/10/25ABirmingham Vs HUL2-3
04/10/25HHUL Vs Sheffield United1-0
30/09/25HHUL Vs Preston2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.26
HomeDWWLW1.52
AwayDLWWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.322.242.40
Over 1.5 %66%60%72%
Over 2.5 %40%36%44%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.101.240.96
Conceded1.221.001.44
BTTS42%36%48%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners9.719.2910.12
Cards3.903.794.00
Hull
Hull
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.22
HomeWWDWL1.36
AwayLWWLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.542.642.44
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.201.281.12
Conceded1.341.361.32
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet18%8%28%
Corners10.299.9210.64
Cards3.473.383.56

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches