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Stoke vs Southampton Prediction & Stats

Date: 03/03/2027
Time: 19:45
Stoke
Stoke
Vs
28%
26%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoke win
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Southampton win
45.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L13L13L02L20W12L13L11D14L10WA·WRE18/04H·MIL21/04H·POR25/04A·BRI02/05H·OLD08/08H·SWA15/08A·SOU22/08H·HUL25/08A·WOL29/08H·NOR01/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.501.351.350.621.69
vs Stronger (5)1.201.801.671.670.502.00
vs Similar (24)0.961.501.231.380.641.64
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D31W00D11D20W12L31W14L51W11DH·IPS28/04A·PRE02/05A·MID09/05H·MID12/05A·COL08/08A·WAT16/08H·STO22/08H·WES25/08H·MIL29/08A·BIR01/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.002.131.001.931.00
vs Stronger (2)1.501.502.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)2.081.042.251.081.921.00
vs Weaker (4)2.000.501.500.502.500.50
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
Stoke goals ↓
Southampton goals →
01234
06.5%7.8%7.4%4.1%1.7%
15.7%12%9.4%5.2%2.1%
24.3%7.1%5.9%3.3%1.4%
31.8%3.0%2.5%1.4%0.6%
40.6%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stoke goals (down), columns = Southampton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Stoke is 0.51 points worse than Southampton in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Stoke is 0.62 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Stoke is 0.03 goals worse than Southampton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Stoke is 4.5 percentage points worse than Southampton in terms of average possession (52% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StokeStoke

For 5.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

1703517142445331528111162885696179128H·NORA·WOLH·HULA·SOUH·SWAH·OLDA·BRIH·PORH·MILA·WRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

90224111631321312314529434231H·NORA·WOLH·HULA·SOUH·SWAH·OLDA·BRIH·PORH·MILA·WRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 9.6 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

31016101513125211014814111379138118826281731222520221916H·NORA·WOLH·HULA·SOUH·SWAH·OLDA·BRIH·PORH·MILA·WRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SouthamptonSouthampton

For 5.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.5

🚩 Corners

1905381125428451115111510598197612616121514A·BIRH·MILH·WESH·STOA·WATA·COLH·MIDA·MIDA·PREH·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

9023212363644213215329982421A·BIRH·MILH·WESH·STOA·WATH·MIDA·MIDA·PREH·IPSA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

3408126107810219125141519127611101920161531211934191729A·BIRH·MILH·WESH·STOA·WATA·COLH·MIDA·MIDA·PREH·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.39.811.11.61.61.521.421.221.8
vs Stronger (5)10.014.08.01.42.01.018.727.014.5
vs Similar (44)10.79.812.21.51.51.621.820.324.2
vs Weaker (1)6.06.0-3.03.0-25.025.0-
% over line40%42%38%18%19%17%50%58%38%
% under line60%58%62%82%81%83%50%42%62%
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.311.411.11.61.91.220.922.818.2
vs Stronger (2)13.013.013.02.03.01.019.020.018.0
vs Similar (44)11.511.311.71.61.81.421.323.318.2
vs Weaker (4)8.010.06.00.83.00.020.021.019.0
% over line68%73%62%18%15%21%37%55%12%
% under line32%27%38%82%85%79%63%45%88%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.6%
Under 9.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.1%
Under 3.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
49.5%
Under 21.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Stoke or Draw
54.5%
Avg Implied -
28%
26%
46%
covers Stoke + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke or Southampton
73.6%
Avg Implied -
28%
26%
46%
covers Stoke + Southampton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Southampton
71.9%
Avg Implied -
28%
26%
46%
covers Draw + Southampton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Stoke over/under 0.5
Over
71.8%
Under
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5
Over
36.1%
Under
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5
Over
13.5%
Under
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5
Over
81.0%
Under
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5
Over
49.4%
Under
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5
Over
23.2%
Under
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 3.5
Over
8.7%
Under
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stoke, so a minus line means Stoke give that many goals of a start and Southampton receive them. At -1, Stoke must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stoke win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Stoke)
Stoke -2
4.1%
Draw -2
8.2%
Southampton +2
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Stoke)
Stoke -1
12.3%
Draw -1
15.8%
Southampton +1
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Stoke)
Stoke +1
54.5%
Draw +1
21.0%
Southampton -1
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Stoke)
Stoke +2
75.5%
Draw +2
14.1%
Southampton -2
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L01L01L00D11D11D11D12L10WA·WRE18/04H·MIL21/04H·POR25/04A·BRI02/05H·OLD08/08H·SWA15/08A·SOU22/08H·HUL25/08A·WOL29/08H·NOR01/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.650.410.380.69
vs Stronger (5)0.800.601.000.000.501.50
vs Similar (24)0.500.540.620.540.360.55
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D11D00D02L11D11D21W10WH·IPS28/04A·PRE02/05A·MID09/05H·MID12/05A·COL08/08A·WAT16/08H·STO22/08H·WES25/08H·MIL29/08A·BIR01/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.471.000.400.470.53
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.581.000.500.420.67
vs Weaker (4)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L12L01L20W01L02L00D02L00DA·WRE18/04H·MIL21/04H·POR25/04A·BRI02/05H·OLD08/08H·SWA15/08A·SOU22/08H·HUL25/08A·WOL29/08H·NOR01/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.970.710.940.231.00
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.671.670.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.460.960.620.850.271.09
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Southampton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SouthamptonSouthampton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W00D00D20W10W20W03L30W01LH·IPS28/04A·PRE02/05A·MID09/05H·MID12/05A·COL08/08A·WAT16/08H·STO22/08H·WES25/08H·MIL29/08A·BIR01/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.531.130.601.470.47
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.380.461.250.581.500.33
vs Weaker (4)1.000.500.500.501.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Southampton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.0%-------
Under 6.597.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.0%-------
Under 5.592.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals91.3%-------
Away +2 handicap87.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals86.5%-------
Under 4.582.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals81.0%-------
Under 25.5 fouls80.2%-------
Over 1.580.1%-------
Under 5.5 cards78.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals76.8%-------
Over 2.5 cards75.8%-------
Home +2 handicap75.5%-------
Home or Away73.6%-------
Draw or Away71.9%-------
Away +1 handicap71.9%-------
Home over 0.5 goals71.8%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Róbert Boženík33%
Ethan Galbraith33%
Eric Bocat20%
S. Gallagher17%
G. Hirst0%
Sorba Thomas0%
B. Johnson0%
B. Wilmot0%
Svante Ingelsson0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
V. Johansson0%
M. Manhoef0%
T. Rigo0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Luke Graham0%
Jun-Ho Bae0%
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bosun Lawal50%
Jun-Ho Bae40%
S. Gallagher33%
Svante Ingelsson33%
Maksym Talovierov33%
Ethan Galbraith33%
G. Hirst25%
Luke Graham25%
Sorba Thomas20%
B. Johnson0%
B. Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
V. Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
M. Manhoef0%
T. Rigo0%
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
T. Rigo25%
Sorba Thomas20%
Jun-Ho Bae20%
S. Gallagher17%
G. Hirst0%
B. Johnson0%
B. Wilmot0%
Svante Ingelsson0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Ethan Galbraith0%
V. Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
M. Manhoef0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Luke Graham0%
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Gallagher33%
T. Rigo25%
G. Hirst0%
Sorba Thomas0%
B. Johnson0%
B. Wilmot0%
Svante Ingelsson0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Ethan Galbraith0%
V. Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
M. Manhoef0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Luke Graham0%
Jun-Ho Bae0%
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré0%
Southampton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyle Larin67%
Léo Scienza33%
Romeo Akachukwu33%
Ryan Manning20%
Tom Fellows20%
D. Mubama20%
Finn Azaz17%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
J. Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Manning40%
J. Bree33%
Flynn Downes33%
N. Wood-Gordon25%
Tom Fellows20%
D. Mubama20%
Cyle Larin17%
Léo Scienza17%
Cameron Bragg17%
J. Stephens0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Finn Azaz0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Finn Azaz50%
Ryan Manning40%
Léo Scienza33%
Flynn Downes17%
Cameron Bragg17%
Cyle Larin0%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
J. Bree0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
D. Mubama0%
Kuryu Matsuki0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyle Larin83%
Kuryu Matsuki17%
J. Stephens0%
N. Wood-Gordon0%
Ryan Manning0%
J. Bree0%
Flynn Downes0%
Daniel Peretz0%
Lewis Dobbin0%
Finn Azaz0%
Samuel Edozie0%
Tom Fellows0%
Léo Scienza0%
D. Mubama0%
Cameron Bragg0%
Romeo Akachukwu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Stoke's squad is €126m less valuable than Southampton's (€79m vs €205m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Stoke's attack is €37m less valuable than Southampton's (€35m vs €72m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Stoke's midfield is €42m less valuable than Southampton's (€11m vs €53m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Stoke's defence is €47m less valuable than Southampton's (€32m vs €79m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
STK wins
0
Draws
4
SOU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stoke vs Southampton · H/A from STK
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26ASouthampton Vs STK3-1
31/01/26HSTK Vs Southampton0-2
23/08/25ASouthampton Vs STK1-2
29/10/24ASouthampton Vs STK3-2
27/04/24ASouthampton Vs STK0-1
03/10/23HSTK Vs Southampton0-1

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HSTK Vs Norwich1-0
29/08/26AWolves Vs STK4-1
25/08/26HSTK Vs Hull1-1
22/08/26ASouthampton Vs STK3-1
15/08/26HSTK Vs Swansea1-2
08/08/26HSTK Vs Oldham2-0
02/05/26ABristol City Vs STK2-0
25/04/26HSTK Vs Portsmouth1-3
21/04/26HSTK Vs Millwall1-3
18/04/26AWrexham Vs STK2-0

SouthamptonSouthampton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26ABirmingham Vs SOU1-1
29/08/26HSOU Vs Millwall5-1
25/08/26HSOU Vs West Ham1-4
22/08/26HSOU Vs Stoke3-1
16/08/26AWatford Vs SOU2-1
08/08/26AColchester Vs SOU0-2
12/05/26HSOU Vs Middlesbrough1-1
09/05/26AMiddlesbrough Vs SOU0-0
02/05/26APreston Vs SOU1-3
28/04/26HSOU Vs Ipswich2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.12
HomeLWLDW1.48
AwayLLLLL0.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%41%17%
AVG goals2.342.562.09
Over 1.5 %70%74%65%
Over 2.5 %42%52%30%
Over 3.5 %20%22%17%
Scored1.041.410.61
Conceded1.301.151.48
BTTS46%59%30%
Clean Sheet30%33%26%
Corners10.3610.1510.61
Cards4.064.004.13
Southampton
Southampton
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.82
HomeDDWLW2.00
AwayWDWLD1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%56%48%
AVG goals3.062.843.28
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.861.881.84
Conceded1.200.961.44
BTTS70%60%80%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners11.1211.2011.04
Cards3.843.843.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SwanseaSwansea410
75%
2.5
71+6
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.2
25%
4.2
100%
22.2
75%
91
569261.80.2
55%
2QPRQPR410
75%
2.5
73+4
2.5
75%
75%
25%
8.5
50%
2.8
25%
18.8
25%
71
2915271.80.8
46%
3CharltonCharlton410
75%
2.5
63+3
2.2
75%
50%
0%
10.5
75%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
31
183101.50.8
42%
4SouthamptonSouthampton47
50%
1.8
105+5
3.8
100%
75%
50%
11.2
50%
6.5
75%
22.0
25%
205
7253792.51.2
56%
5WolvesWolves47
50%
1.8
118+3
4.8
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
4.2
75%
23.2
50%
273
79791162.82.0
-
6MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough47
50%
1.8
75+2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
10.2
75%
3.0
50%
21.0
25%
142
7427411.81.2
59%
7Bristol CityBristol City47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
3.2
25%
22.5
50%
66
2919181.81.5
49%
8West BromWest Brom47
50%
1.8
76+1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
2.0
0%
21.8
25%
52
1522151.81.5
52%
9BirminghamBirmingham46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
25%
9.2
50%
3.7
33%
23.0
75%
93
4612351.21.0
54%
10Sheffield UnitedSheffield United46
25%
1.5
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
50%
10.8
75%
3.3
67%
23.2
75%
110
2932491.21.0
52%
11MillwallMillwall46
50%
1.5
68-2
3.5
100%
75%
25%
11.2
75%
4.0
50%
20.8
50%
85
3029251.52.0
48%
12WrexhamWrexham45
25%
1.2
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.8
50%
2.5
0%
23.5
100%
77
1523391.51.0
48%
13West HamWest Ham45
25%
1.2
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
50%
12.5
100%
4.0
75%
20.0
25%
274
84481412.01.8
-
14BlackburnBlackburn45
25%
1.2
55+0
2.5
75%
75%
25%
10.0
75%
4.5
100%
21.8
50%
36
157141.21.2
48%
15WatfordWatford45
25%
1.2
45-1
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.8
75%
4.8
75%
20.2
25%
88
2838221.01.2
51%
16BoltonBolton44
25%
1.0
45-1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
11.0
75%
3.2
25%
19.8
25%
17
4491.01.2
-
17DerbyDerby44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
100%
75%
25%
11.8
75%
4.2
50%
23.5
100%
57
2514181.21.8
44%
18LincolnLincoln44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
50%
50%
25%
12.2
100%
3.2
50%
25.0
75%
12
3260.81.2
-
19CardiffCardiff43
0%
0.8
67-1
3.2
100%
75%
50%
13.2
75%
3.5
50%
22.5
100%
29
154101.51.8
-
20NorwichNorwich43
25%
0.8
57-2
3.0
75%
75%
25%
9.2
50%
4.8
75%
23.0
75%
107
4631291.21.8
54%
21PortsmouthPortsmouth43
25%
0.8
58-3
3.2
100%
75%
50%
11.8
100%
2.8
25%
25.0
50%
32
135141.22.0
50%
22StokeStoke43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
75%
75%
50%
7.8
0%
5.5
100%
26.8
100%
79
3511321.02.2
52%
23BurnleyBurnley42
0%
0.5
510-5
3.8
100%
75%
75%
8.5
25%
4.8
75%
20.0
0%
115
708371.22.5
-
24PrestonPreston40
0%
0.0
39-6
3.0
75%
75%
50%
8.5
25%
3.5
50%
25.0
75%
43
173220.82.2
46%
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches