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Stoke vs Swansea Result & Analysis

Date: 13/12/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 2-1
Stoke
Stoke
Vs
44%
30%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Referee: R Ricardo

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stoke win✓ Hit
44.3%
Avg Implied 45.4% · @ 2.07
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.23
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swansea win✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.68
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L10W51W30W01L12L30W12L04L01LA·MIL21/10A·POR25/10H·BRI01/11A·OXF04/11H·COV08/11A·LEI22/11H·CHA25/11H·HUL29/11A·SHE06/12A·IPS10/12
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.101.400.930.871.27
vs Stronger (4)0.252.000.500.500.003.50
vs Similar (25)1.321.001.671.081.000.92
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W13L11D12L14L03L12L23L20W10WH·NOR25/10H·MAN29/10A·CHA01/11A·PRE05/11H·IPS08/11A·BRI22/11H·DER25/11A·WES29/11H·OXF06/12H·POR09/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.301.561.390.921.17
vs Stronger (3)1.002.331.003.501.000.00
vs Similar (26)1.271.191.531.130.911.27
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.5%
@ 2.22+0.3%
Under 2.5
57.5%
@ 1.62-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.7%
Under 3.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
8.8%
2-1 ✓
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.6%
Stoke goals ↓
Swansea goals →
01234
011%8.0%4.6%1.5%0.4%
112%14%6.4%2.1%0.5%
28.8%8.8%4.4%1.5%0.4%
34.1%4.1%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.4%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stoke goals (down), columns = Swansea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Stoke is 0.20 points worse than Swansea in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Stoke is 0.13 goals worse than Swansea in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Stoke is 0.07 goals better than Swansea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Stoke is 2.7 percentage points worse than Swansea in terms of average possession (52% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StokeStoke

For 5.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

170437978510367104102623716155109171485A·IPSA·SHEH·HULH·CHAA·LEIH·COVA·OXFH·BRIA·PORA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

8011212411263331332122362864353A·IPSA·SHEH·HULH·CHAA·LEIH·COVA·OXFH·BRIA·PORA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.9 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

270111113812151313111699136131015871322212726271819232320A·IPSA·SHEH·HULH·CHAA·LEIH·COVA·OXFH·BRIA·PORA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

For 5.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1205610217426545827438231112861191011115H·PORH·OXFA·WESH·DERA·BRIH·IPSA·PREA·CHAH·MANH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

8023242122531311315632284024H·PORH·OXFA·WESH·DERA·BRIH·IPSA·PREA·CHAH·MANH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 11.9 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

3006981313111020710131451281078131215212430172717181525H·PORH·OXFA·WESH·DERA·BRIH·IPSA·PREA·CHAH·MANH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.510.03.93.83.921.523.020.0
vs Stronger (8)9.710.88.33.24.81.818.418.818.0
vs Similar (41)9.79.210.24.03.64.322.124.120.3
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-3.03.0-21.021.0-
% over line52%50%54%54%56%52%48%62%33%
% under line48%50%46%46%44%48%52%38%67%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.09.43.63.83.422.922.723.2
vs Stronger (4)8.510.07.05.55.06.025.021.029.0
vs Similar (45)9.18.79.63.53.83.122.823.022.6
vs Weaker (1)15.015.0-2.02.0-18.018.0-
% over line41%43%38%48%46%50%57%57%57%
% under line59%57%62%52%54%50%43%43%43%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.2
Sheffield Weds
10.9
Norwich
10.5
Portsmouth
10.5
Oxford
10.5
Sheffield United
10.4
Hull
10.2
Millwall
10.2
Derby
10.1
Leicester
10.0
Southampton
10.0
QPR
10.0
Middlesbrough
10.0
Blackburn
10.0
Ipswich
9.9
Stoke
9.9
Watford
9.7
West Brom
9.7
Preston
9.6
Bristol City
9.5
Wrexham
9.5
Birmingham
9.4
Swansea
9.1
Charlton
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.3
Portsmouth
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
Stoke
3.9
QPR
3.9
Norwich
3.8
Southampton
3.8
Swansea
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Preston
3.6
Blackburn
3.6
Sheffield United
3.5
Leicester
3.5
Middlesbrough
3.5
Coventry
3.5
Hull
3.4
Charlton
3.4
Derby
3.4
Bristol City
3.3
West Brom
3.3
Oxford
3.3
Sheffield Weds
3.3
Wrexham
3.3
Millwall
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Blackburn
23.7
Birmingham
23.4
Southampton
23.4
Millwall
23.1
Swansea
23.0
Portsmouth
22.8
QPR
22.8
Charlton
22.6
Sheffield Weds
22.6
Middlesbrough
22.5
Ipswich
22.5
Sheffield United
22.2
Norwich
22.1
Watford
21.9
Hull
21.7
Preston
21.5
Leicester
21.5
Stoke
21.4
Oxford
21.4
West Brom
21.2
Derby
21.1
Coventry
20.6
Bristol City
20.1
Wrexham
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.8%
Under 9.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.0%
Under 3.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.9%
Under 21.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D30W20W00D02L30W10W03L01LA·MIL21/10A·POR25/10H·BRI01/11A·OXF04/11H·COV08/11A·LEI22/11H·CHA25/11H·HUL29/11A·SHE06/12A·IPS10/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.800.330.200.93
vs Stronger (4)0.251.500.500.000.003.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.520.920.420.230.62
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D00D01L01L02L01L20W20W00DH·NOR25/10H·MAN29/10A·CHA01/11A·PRE05/11H·IPS08/11A·BRI22/11H·DER25/11A·WES29/11H·OXF06/12H·POR09/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.670.720.330.42
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.501.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.540.620.670.730.360.45
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W21W10W01L10W00D02L01L00DA·MIL21/10A·POR25/10H·BRI01/11A·OXF04/11H·COV08/11A·LEI22/11H·CHA25/11H·HUL29/11A·SHE06/12A·IPS10/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.600.600.670.33
vs Stronger (4)0.000.500.000.500.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.760.480.750.670.770.31
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L11D11D13L01L11D03L00D10WH·NOR25/10H·MAN29/10A·CHA01/11A·PRE05/11H·IPS08/11A·BRI22/11H·DER25/11A·WES29/11H·OXF06/12H·POR09/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.890.670.580.75
vs Stronger (3)0.671.670.502.501.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.730.580.870.400.550.82
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards84.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls82.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.578.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé11%
Divin Mubama11%
Million Manhoef10%
Sam Gallagher10%
Milan Smit7%
Ben Gibson7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Ben Wilmot5%
Róbert Boženík4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Bosun Lawal3%
Steven​ N'Zonzi3%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ben Pearson3%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Tchamadeu42%
Maksym Talovierov42%
Ben Pearson35%
Favour Fawunmi25%
Bosun Lawal23%
Sydney Agina20%
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé14%
Ashley Phillips14%
Ben Wilmot14%
Tommy Simkin12%
Divin Mubama11%
Tatsuki Seko9%
Róbert Boženík8%
Million Manhoef8%
Viktor Johansson8%
Ben Gibson7%
Steven​ N'Zonzi6%
Tomáš Rigo6%
Jun-Ho Bae4%
Aaron Cresswell4%
Sam Gallagher0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Milan Smit0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sorba Thomas21%
Jamie Donley17%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Million Manhoef8%
Lamine Cissé8%
Junior Tchamadeu8%
Milan Smit7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Eric Bocat6%
Lewis Baker6%
Viktor Johansson4%
Divin Mubama4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Tatsuki Seko2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Divin Mubama14%
Lamine Cissé14%
Million Manhoef12%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi12%
Sorba Thomas11%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Milan Smit7%
Bosun Lawal7%
Lewis Baker6%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ben Wilmot3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Vipotnik43%
Adam Idah19%
Bobby Wales17%
Liam Cullen12%
Ronald10%
Leo Walta10%
Ethan Galbraith9%
Gonçalo Franco8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Josh Key6%
Zeidane Inoussa3%
Jay Fulton3%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Ben Cabango2%
Josh Tymon2%
Cameron Burgess2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Melker Widell0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Stamenić34%
Ishé Samuels-Smith25%
Josh Tymon20%
Jay Fulton18%
Ben Cabango17%
Gonçalo Franco16%
Ethan Galbraith16%
Cameron Burgess16%
Melker Widell14%
Zeidane Inoussa14%
Josh Key12%
Liam Cullen12%
Malick Yalcouyé8%
Ronald8%
Adam Idah7%
Joel Ward6%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Žan Vipotnik4%
Lawrence Vigouroux2%
Manuel Benson0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Leo Walta0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Tymon20%
Bobby Wales17%
Ishé Samuels-Smith12%
Ronald10%
Josh Key9%
Gustavo Nunes8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Kaelan Casey8%
Adam Idah7%
Zeidane Inoussa7%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Gonçalo Franco6%
Žan Vipotnik6%
Malick Yalcouyé6%
Melker Widell5%
Liam Cullen2%
Ethan Galbraith2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Vipotnik18%
Ji-sung Eom10%
Adam Idah7%
Ethan Galbraith5%
Josh Tymon4%
Liam Cullen2%
Melker Widell2%
Gonçalo Franco2%
Ronald2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Josh Key0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Zeidane Inoussa0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Stoke's squad is €12m less valuable than Swansea's (€79m vs €91m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Stoke's attack is €20m less valuable than Swansea's (€35m vs €56m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Stoke's midfield is €2m more valuable than Swansea's (€11m vs €9m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Stoke's defence is €6m more valuable than Swansea's (€32m vs €26m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
STK wins
3
Draws
1
SWA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stoke vs Swansea · H/A from STK
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25HSTK Vs Swansea3-1
05/10/24ASwansea Vs STK0-0
10/04/24ASwansea Vs STK3-0
12/12/23HSTK Vs Swansea1-1
21/02/23ASwansea Vs STK1-3
31/08/22HSTK Vs Swansea1-1
08/02/22HSTK Vs Swansea3-0
17/08/21ASwansea Vs STK1-3

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/25AIpswich Vs STK1-0
06/12/25ASheffield United Vs STK4-0
29/11/25HSTK Vs Hull1-2
25/11/25HSTK Vs Charlton3-0
22/11/25ALeicester Vs STK2-1
08/11/25HSTK Vs Coventry0-1
04/11/25AOxford Vs STK0-3
01/11/25HSTK Vs Bristol City5-1
25/10/25APortsmouth Vs STK0-1
21/10/25AMillwall Vs STK2-0

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/25HSWA Vs Portsmouth1-0
06/12/25HSWA Vs Oxford2-0
29/11/25AWest Brom Vs SWA3-2
25/11/25HSWA Vs Derby1-2
22/11/25ABristol City Vs SWA3-0
08/11/25HSWA Vs Ipswich1-4
05/11/25APreston Vs SWA2-1
01/11/25ACharlton Vs SWA1-1
29/10/25HSWA Vs Manchester City1-3
25/10/25HSWA Vs Norwich2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.26
HomeWWLWL1.52
AwayWWLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.322.282.36
Over 1.5 %64%60%68%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %24%28%20%
Scored1.081.280.88
Conceded1.241.001.48
BTTS40%40%40%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners9.739.509.96
Cards4.023.964.08
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.28
HomeLLLWW1.61
AwayDDLLL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%23%
AVG goals2.562.642.45
Over 1.5 %70%75%64%
Over 2.5 %52%50%55%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored1.141.430.77
Conceded1.421.211.68
BTTS48%54%41%
Clean Sheet28%32%23%
Corners9.169.009.38
Cards3.673.793.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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