Stranraer vs Annan Athletic Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 43% chance for Annan Athletic, a 29% chance for Stranraer and a 28% chance of a draw. The expected total goals sit at 2.7, but the most likely total is two goals, a 26% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.3% chance. Stranraer, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.08 goals scored and 0.92 conceded, while Annan Athletic, away against a weaker side, averages 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners at 82.4%, Under 25.5 fouls at 82.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.4%, Over 1.5 at 76.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.4%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.2%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.2%, and Under 3.5 at 71.6%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.

The upset came early as Stranraer overturned the pre-match favourite, Annan Athletic, with a 1-0 win that extended the home side’s recent winning run. The model had tipped an away victory at 43 percent, but that call was wrong. The final score of 1-0 confirmed the home side’s triumph. The model’s selections delivered a mix of hits and misses: Under 11.5 corners hit at 82.4 percent, Under 25.5 fouls missed at 82.4 percent, Under 5.5 cards hit at 80.4 percent, Over 1.5 missed at 76.2 percent, Over 2.5 cards hit at 74.4 percent, Under 10.5 corners hit at 73.2 percent and Under 3.5 hit at 71.6 percent. The match finished with a single goal, a result that surprised the model’s prediction.