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Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 30/03/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Stranraer
Stranraer
Vs
50%
29%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stranraer win✗ Miss
49.7%
Avg Implied 46.1% · @ 2.00
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.2%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.42
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.41
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D20W12L12L00D50W02L12L12LH·EAS27/01A·BON03/02H·CLY10/02H·SPA17/02A·DUM24/02H·FOR02/03H·DUM05/03A·PET09/03H·ELG16/03A·EAS23/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.631.601.200.732.07
vs Stronger (21)1.051.861.601.600.552.09
vs Similar (9)1.441.111.600.401.252.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W02L00D12L01L22D01L12L02LH·STR03/02H·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02A·PET20/02A·SPA24/02H·STE02/03H·SPA05/03A·ELG09/03H·CLY16/03A·DUM23/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.401.401.270.931.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.621.312.331.331.001.29
vs Weaker (17)0.821.470.781.220.881.75
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.5%
Under 1.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.8%
@ 1.94-7.3%
Under 2.5
59.2%
@ 1.80+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.4%
Under 3.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.0%
Stranraer goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
011%7.3%3.7%1.1%0.2%
113%14%5.3%1.5%0.3%
210%9.0%3.9%1.1%0.2%
35.0%4.4%1.9%0.5%0.1%
41.8%1.6%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stranraer goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Stranraer is 0.08 points worse than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Stranraer is 0.25 goals worse than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Stranraer is 0.14 goals worse than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StranraerStranraer

For 5.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1303356753666544655679261112912910101311A·EASH·ELGA·PETH·DUMH·FORA·DUMH·SPAH·CLYA·BONH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

90442311212122361524643314962A·EASH·ELGA·PETH·DUMH·FORA·DUMH·SPAH·CLYA·BONH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.0 · Against 9.4 · Total 17.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

24046988146581476781014101211710172211221315242218A·EASH·ELGA·PETH·DUMH·FORA·DUMH·SPAH·CLYA·BONH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

17016275251656113422657679761117741113A·DUMH·CLYA·ELGH·SPAH·STEA·SPAA·PETH·EASH·ELGH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8031211353123113513032383446A·DUMH·CLYA·ELGH·SPAH·STEA·SPAA·PETH·EASH·ELGH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

32095812171514171115151010915151810121014203231262519302822A·DUMH·CLYA·ELGH·SPAH·STEA·SPAA·PETH·EASH·ELGH·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.39.73.73.53.820.420.520.4
vs Stronger (34)9.810.49.33.93.54.120.520.120.8
vs Similar (16)10.310.110.63.23.43.020.221.019.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%62%58%44%38%50%42%50%35%
% under line40%38%42%56%62%50%58%50%65%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.08.94.14.14.023.724.922.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.410.78.34.13.64.625.926.925.0
vs Weaker (31)9.59.79.34.04.43.722.423.820.9
% over line42%48%36%54%56%52%60%64%56%
% under line58%52%64%46%44%48%40%36%44%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.9
Stenhousemuir
10.5
Forfar
10.0
Stranraer
10.0
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Spartans
9.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Peterhead
8.9
Elgin
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.7
Dumbarton
4.2
Stenhousemuir
4.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.1
East Fife
3.9
Elgin
3.7
Stranraer
3.7
Spartans
3.4
Forfar
3.4
Clyde
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.6
Forfar
24.1
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.7
Elgin
23.6
Stenhousemuir
21.7
East Fife
21.5
Dumbarton
20.9
Spartans
20.7
Stranraer
20.4
Clyde
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.3%
Under 9.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.1%
Under 3.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.6%
Under 21.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D00D10W12L00D40W02L00D10WH·EAS27/01A·BON03/02H·CLY10/02H·SPA17/02A·DUM24/02H·FOR02/03H·DUM05/03A·PET09/03H·ELG16/03A·EAS23/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.800.470.471.20
vs Stronger (21)0.570.760.800.500.361.00
vs Similar (9)0.781.000.800.400.751.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L00D02L00D11D00D10W01LH·STR03/02H·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02A·PET20/02A·SPA24/02H·STE02/03H·SPA05/03A·ELG09/03H·CLY16/03A·DUM23/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.670.530.270.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.461.000.670.290.29
vs Weaker (17)0.350.710.440.440.251.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W02L00D00D10W00D12L02LH·EAS27/01A·BON03/02H·CLY10/02H·SPA17/02A·DUM24/02H·FOR02/03H·DUM05/03A·PET09/03H·ELG16/03A·EAS23/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.800.730.270.87
vs Stronger (21)0.481.100.801.100.181.09
vs Similar (9)0.670.110.800.000.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D00D10W01L11D01L02L01LH·STR03/02H·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02A·PET20/02A·SPA24/02H·STE02/03H·SPA05/03A·ELG09/03H·CLY16/03A·DUM23/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.730.730.670.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.000.851.330.670.711.00
vs Weaker (17)0.470.760.330.780.620.75
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls79.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners73.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
STR wins
3
Draws
3
BR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from STR
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR0-0
16/12/23HSTR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose3-1
19/08/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR1-1
01/04/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR1-0
11/02/23HSTR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-1
23/12/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR3-2
13/08/22HSTR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-2

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/24AEast Fife Vs STR2-1
16/03/24HSTR Vs Elgin1-2
09/03/24APeterhead Vs STR2-0
05/03/24HSTR Vs Dumbarton5-0
02/03/24HSTR Vs Forfar0-0
24/02/24ADumbarton Vs STR2-1
17/02/24HSTR Vs Spartans1-2
10/02/24HSTR Vs Clyde2-0
03/02/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR0-0
27/01/24HSTR Vs East Fife0-1

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/03/24ADumbarton Vs BR2-0
16/03/24HBR Vs Clyde1-2
09/03/24AElgin Vs BR1-0
05/03/24HBR Vs Spartans2-2
02/03/24HBR Vs Stenhousemuir0-1
24/02/24ASpartans Vs BR2-1
20/02/24APeterhead Vs BR0-0
17/02/24HBR Vs East Fife0-2
06/02/24HBR Vs Elgin2-0
03/02/24HBR Vs Stranraer0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.10
HomeWLDWL1.54
AwayLDLLL0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%46%15%
AVG goals2.682.622.73
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.121.460.81
Conceded1.561.171.92
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners9.9610.299.65
Cards3.663.503.81
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.12
HomeWLLDL1.16
AwayDDLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.302.641.96
Over 1.5 %66%80%52%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.021.280.76
Conceded1.281.361.20
BTTS42%56%28%
Clean Sheet30%16%44%
Corners9.4610.048.88
Cards4.064.084.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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