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Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 16/11/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Stranraer
Stranraer
Vs
46%
29%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stranraer win✗ Miss
46.2%
Avg Implied 33.7% · @ 2.72
Edge
+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.17
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied 37.4% · @ 2.45
Edge
-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L21W12L02L21W00D32W01L21WH·ELG24/08A·BON31/08H·EAS14/09A·FOR21/09H·STI28/09A·EDI05/10H·PET19/10A·THR25/10A·ELG02/11A·EAS09/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.371.141.210.811.50
vs Stronger (20)1.001.451.101.500.901.40
vs Similar (10)0.901.201.250.500.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D21W20W12L20W01L05L20W22D20WA·EDI17/08H·CLY24/08H·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09A·EAS05/10H·EDI19/10A·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.171.250.881.001.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.001.501.141.140.861.86
vs Weaker (16)1.250.881.330.671.141.14
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.0%
@ 2.04-0.8%
Under 2.5
55.0%
@ 1.72+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
1-2 ✓
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
Stranraer goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
09.7%7.3%4.3%1.5%0.4%
111%14%6.3%2.1%0.5%
29.0%9.1%4.6%1.6%0.4%
34.4%4.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.6%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stranraer goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Stranraer is 0.06 points worse than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Stranraer is 0.17 goals worse than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.11).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Stranraer is 0.56 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.72).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StranraerStranraer

For 4.1 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

18061262253552332525266188787627712A·EASA·ELGH·PETA·EDIH·STIA·FORH·EASA·BONH·ELGA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80115334243223144211312876555624A·EASA·ELGH·PETA·EDIH·STIA·FORH·EASA·BONH·ELGA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

26096179107101681297127128111413815261726201619202521A·EASA·ELGH·PETA·EDIH·STIA·FORH·EASA·BONH·ELGA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 4.5 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

16064883311347772553115108111471477816H·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STRH·CLYA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

11042652232216422244354611453104679H·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STRH·CLYA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

3201991415156111613112012161181210913928292127243227201922H·ELGA·CLYH·EDIA·EASH·FORA·STIA·ELGH·STRH·CLYA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.610.23.53.53.519.819.520.2
vs Stronger (34)9.59.19.93.63.33.920.319.721.0
vs Similar (16)10.810.910.83.23.92.818.819.018.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line56%55%57%46%42%50%33%36%30%
% under line44%45%43%54%58%50%67%64%70%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.54.54.24.824.124.923.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)9.510.08.94.54.34.726.428.024.7
vs Weaker (28)9.89.69.94.54.24.922.422.422.4
% over line46%52%40%60%60%60%62%64%60%
% under line54%48%60%40%40%40%38%36%40%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.4
Stranraer
9.9
Edinburgh City
9.9
Forfar
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.6
Spartans
9.4
Clyde
9.2
Peterhead
8.8
Elgin
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.0
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.5
Edinburgh City
4.1
Stirling
4.0
Elgin
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
East Fife
3.8
Forfar
3.7
Clyde
3.6
Spartans
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Elgin
24.6
Forfar
24.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.1
Edinburgh City
21.9
East Fife
21.9
Spartans
21.6
Clyde
21.4
Stirling
21.1
Stranraer
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.4%
Under 9.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.5%
Under 3.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
58.2%
Under 21.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W11D01L10W00D01L01L10WH·ELG24/08A·BON31/08H·EAS14/09A·FOR21/09H·STI28/09A·EDI05/10H·PET19/10A·THR25/10A·ELG02/11A·EAS09/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.640.290.310.88
vs Stronger (20)0.400.550.500.300.300.80
vs Similar (10)0.600.701.000.250.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L20W00D10W00D02L00D11D10WA·EDI17/08H·CLY24/08H·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09A·EAS05/10H·EDI19/10A·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.500.250.430.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.570.570.430.430.71
vs Weaker (16)0.440.310.440.110.430.57
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D11D01L01L11D00D31W00D11DH·ELG24/08A·BON31/08H·EAS14/09A·FOR21/09H·STI28/09A·EDI05/10H·PET19/10A·THR25/10A·ELG02/11A·EAS09/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.500.930.500.62
vs Stronger (20)0.600.900.601.200.600.60
vs Similar (10)0.300.500.250.250.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W00D12L10W01L03L20W11D10WA·EDI17/08H·CLY24/08H·STR31/08A·ELG14/09A·STI21/09H·FOR28/09A·EAS05/10H·EDI19/10A·CLY02/11H·ELG09/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.750.620.570.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.930.570.710.431.14
vs Weaker (16)0.810.560.890.560.710.57
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards85.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards70.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
STR wins
3
Draws
4
BR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stranraer vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from STR
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR2-0
30/03/24HSTR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose1-1
03/02/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR0-0
16/12/23HSTR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose3-1
19/08/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR1-1
01/04/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR1-0
11/02/23HSTR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-1
23/12/22ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR3-2

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24AEast Fife Vs STR1-2
02/11/24AElgin Vs STR1-0
25/10/24AThreave Rovers Vs STR2-3
19/10/24HSTR Vs Peterhead0-0
05/10/24AEdinburgh City Vs STR1-2
28/09/24HSTR Vs Stirling0-2
21/09/24AForfar Vs STR2-1
14/09/24HSTR Vs East Fife2-1
31/08/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR2-0
24/08/24HSTR Vs Elgin1-1

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24HBR Vs Elgin2-0
02/11/24AClyde Vs BR2-2
19/10/24HBR Vs Edinburgh City2-0
05/10/24AEast Fife Vs BR5-0
28/09/24HBR Vs Forfar0-1
21/09/24AStirling Vs BR0-2
14/09/24AElgin Vs BR2-1
31/08/24HBR Vs Stranraer2-0
24/08/24HBR Vs Clyde2-1
17/08/24AEdinburgh City Vs BR2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW0.94
HomeDDWLD1.38
AwayLWWLW0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%38%12%
AVG goals2.602.582.62
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.041.330.77
Conceded1.561.251.85
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet20%33%8%
Corners9.939.6410.22
Cards3.893.774.00
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.20
HomeWWLWW1.48
AwayDLWLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.582.522.64
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %44%36%52%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.301.521.08
Conceded1.281.001.56
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners9.649.809.48
Cards4.524.244.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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