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Stranraer vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 10/02/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Stranraer
Stranraer
Vs
45%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stranraer win✓ Hit
44.8%
Avg Implied 38.9% · @ 2.36
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.34
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 33.5% · @ 2.74
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D22D31W03L12L20W01L01L00DH·STE18/11A·FOR02/12A·CLY09/12H·BON16/12A·SPA23/12A·ELG06/01H·PET13/01A·STE20/01H·EAS27/01A·BON03/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.671.541.150.652.06
vs Stronger (23)1.091.781.901.300.462.15
vs Similar (7)0.861.290.330.671.251.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L22D12L44D12L32W11D11D12L11DH·EAS18/11H·STR09/12A·PET16/12A·DUM23/12H·STE30/12H·BON06/01A·EAS13/01A·SPA27/01A·ELG30/01H·PET03/02
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.831.071.931.131.73
vs Stronger (26)1.041.691.081.771.001.62
vs Similar (4)1.502.751.003.002.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.3%
@ 1.83+6.4%
Under 2.5
42.7%
@ 1.90-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.9%
Under 3.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.5%
No
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-0 ✓
7.1%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
Stranraer goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
06.2%5.5%4.4%1.9%0.6%
17.3%12%7.3%3.2%1.0%
27.1%9.3%6.1%2.7%0.9%
33.9%5.2%3.4%1.5%0.5%
41.6%2.2%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stranraer goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Stranraer is 0.06 points worse than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Stranraer is 0.22 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Stranraer is 0.14 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StranraerStranraer

For 5.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1306792643423363564391021311107598101212A·BONH·EASA·STEH·PETA·ELGA·SPAH·BONA·CLYA·FORH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6015242321221232216245322353A·BONH·EASA·STEH·PETA·ELGA·SPAH·BONA·CLYA·FORH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

280101211791213101213714887612168722182123252116132815A·BONH·EASA·STEH·PETA·ELGA·SPAH·BONA·CLYA·FORH·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 4.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

14044481043776854652812107140145107H·PETA·ELGA·SPAA·EASH·BONH·STEA·DUMA·PETH·STRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50132221113322321134222245534H·PETA·ELGA·SPAA·EASH·BONH·STEA·DUMA·PETH·STRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

2601112131011119125613911111412678723232221112222261315H·PETA·ELGA·SPAA·EASH·BONH·STEA·DUMA·PETH·STRH·EAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.29.93.63.23.921.121.520.8
vs Stronger (36)9.910.59.33.83.44.221.120.821.3
vs Similar (14)10.69.711.42.92.93.021.323.319.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%58%62%44%38%50%46%58%35%
% under line40%42%38%56%62%50%54%42%65%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.29.83.53.63.420.419.821.0
vs Stronger (46)9.39.19.63.53.63.420.520.021.0
vs Similar (4)11.210.512.03.53.53.519.217.521.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line40%38%42%48%58%38%44%42%46%
% under line60%62%58%52%42%62%56%58%54%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.8
Stenhousemuir
10.6
Stranraer
10.1
Forfar
10.0
East Fife
9.9
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.6
Clyde
9.5
Peterhead
9.1
Spartans
8.9
Elgin
8.5

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Dumbarton
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.2
East Fife
4.2
Elgin
3.8
Forfar
3.6
Stranraer
3.6
Clyde
3.5
Spartans
3.2

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
23.9
Elgin
23.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.2
Forfar
23.0
East Fife
21.5
Stenhousemuir
21.2
Stranraer
21.1
Clyde
20.4
Dumbarton
20.4
Spartans
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.5%
Under 3.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.3%
Under 21.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L12L10W01L10W10W01L01L00DH·STE18/11A·FOR02/12A·CLY09/12H·BON16/12A·SPA23/12A·ELG06/01H·PET13/01A·STE20/01H·EAS27/01A·BON03/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.690.540.411.00
vs Stronger (23)0.570.700.900.500.310.85
vs Similar (7)0.431.140.000.670.751.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W02L22D01L30W11D11D11D10WH·EAS18/11H·STR09/12A·PET16/12A·DUM23/12H·STE30/12H·BON06/01A·EAS13/01A·SPA27/01A·ELG30/01H·PET03/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.930.801.000.600.87
vs Stronger (26)0.650.880.770.920.540.85
vs Similar (4)1.001.251.001.501.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W21W02L02L10W00D00D00DH·STE18/11A·FOR02/12A·CLY09/12H·BON16/12A·SPA23/12A·ELG06/01H·PET13/01A·STE20/01H·EAS27/01A·BON03/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.850.620.241.06
vs Stronger (23)0.521.091.000.800.151.31
vs Similar (7)0.430.140.330.000.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L10W22D11D02L00D00D01L01LH·EAS18/11H·STR09/12A·PET16/12A·DUM23/12H·STE30/12H·BON06/01A·EAS13/01A·SPA27/01A·ELG30/01H·PET03/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.270.930.530.87
vs Stronger (26)0.380.810.310.850.460.77
vs Similar (4)0.501.500.001.501.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.581.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Stranraer and Clyde have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Stranraer and Clyde have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Stranraer and Clyde have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
STR wins
2
Draws
1
CLY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stranraer vs Clyde · H/A from STR
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/23AClyde Vs STR2-2
26/08/23HSTR Vs Clyde1-0
04/01/20AClyde Vs STR3-3
02/11/19HSTR Vs Clyde3-0
14/09/19AClyde Vs STR6-1

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs STR0-0
27/01/24HSTR Vs East Fife0-1
20/01/24AStenhousemuir Vs STR1-0
13/01/24HSTR Vs Peterhead2-0
06/01/24AElgin Vs STR2-1
23/12/23ASpartans Vs STR3-0
16/12/23HSTR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose3-1
09/12/23AClyde Vs STR2-2
02/12/23AForfar Vs STR1-1
18/11/23HSTR Vs Stenhousemuir0-3

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/24HCLY Vs Peterhead1-1
30/01/24AElgin Vs CLY2-1
27/01/24ASpartans Vs CLY1-1
13/01/24AEast Fife Vs CLY1-1
06/01/24HCLY Vs Bonnyrigg Rose3-2
30/12/23HCLY Vs Stenhousemuir1-2
23/12/23ADumbarton Vs CLY4-4
16/12/23APeterhead Vs CLY2-1
09/12/23HCLY Vs Stranraer2-2
18/11/23HCLY Vs East Fife0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.18
HomeWLWWL1.67
AwayDLLLD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%15%
AVG goals2.682.752.62
Over 1.5 %72%79%65%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.101.460.77
Conceded1.581.291.85
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners10.0610.259.88
Cards3.563.213.88
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD0.64
HomeLDLWD0.88
AwayLDDDL0.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %10%19%0%
AVG goals2.802.882.71
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored0.961.040.88
Conceded1.841.851.83
BTTS64%65%62%
Clean Sheet8%12%4%
Corners9.489.199.79
Cards3.503.623.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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