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Stranraer vs Clyde Result & Analysis

Date: 28/12/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Stranraer
Stranraer
Vs
48%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Stranraer win✗ Miss
47.7%
Avg Implied 35.4% · @ 2.58
Edge
+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.6%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.34
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Clyde win✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied 37.3% · @ 2.45
Edge
-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D32W01L21W12L11D31W00D11DA·EDI05/10H·PET19/10A·THR25/10A·ELG02/11A·EAS09/11H·BON16/11H·BRO30/11A·SPA10/12H·EDI14/12A·STI21/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.330.861.291.001.38
vs Stronger (22)1.091.321.001.331.201.30
vs Similar (8)0.501.380.001.000.671.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D13L11D22D01L31W32W23L24L20WH·SPA05/10A·STI19/10A·ELG26/10H·BON02/11A·EDI09/11H·EAS16/11H·PET07/12A·SPA14/12A·ELG17/12H·FOR21/12
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.471.201.001.601.93
vs Stronger (27)1.481.591.231.151.712.00
vs Similar (3)0.670.331.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.6%
@ 1.87+3.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
@ 1.87-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
Stranraer goals ↓
Clyde goals →
01234
07.1%5.8%4.0%1.6%0.5%
18.7%13%6.7%2.6%0.8%
28.2%9.5%5.5%2.2%0.6%
34.5%5.3%3.1%1.2%0.3%
41.9%2.2%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stranraer goals (down), columns = Clyde goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Stranraer is 0.08 points worse than Clyde in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Stranraer is 0.42 goals worse than Clyde in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.36).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Stranraer is 0.33 goals better than Clyde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

StranraerStranraer

For 4.8 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1809894243261262253552331713651887876A·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·BONA·EASA·ELGH·PETA·EDIH·STIA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8022123141153342432234155287655A·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·BONA·EASA·ELGH·PETA·EDIH·STIA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

260661211999129617910710168129712231821152617262016A·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·BONA·EASA·ELGH·PETA·EDIH·STIA·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

For 4.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

14031054861256428493724139143116813106H·FORA·ELGA·SPAH·PETH·EASA·EDIH·BONA·STIH·SPAA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

110413121442132563112154383511323H·FORA·ELGA·SPAH·PETH·EASA·EDIH·BONA·STIH·SPAA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 9.1 · Total 23.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

31066861551991310161015141310186161512142028232629232431H·FORA·ELGA·SPAH·PETH·EASA·EDIH·BONA·STIH·SPAA·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StranraerStranraer

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.110.33.43.23.519.419.019.7
vs Stronger (36)9.38.99.63.42.93.920.119.420.9
vs Similar (14)10.89.811.53.34.42.717.517.617.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%48%52%46%42%50%32%33%30%
% under line50%52%48%54%58%50%68%67%70%
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.510.03.43.83.121.921.322.6
vs Stronger (42)9.39.19.53.23.82.622.421.922.8
vs Similar (8)11.811.013.04.63.66.319.918.821.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line51%52%50%44%52%36%58%57%59%
% under line49%48%50%56%48%64%42%43%41%
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.7
Edinburgh City
10.0
Stranraer
9.9
Forfar
9.8
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.7
Clyde
9.5
East Fife
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Elgin
8.9
Peterhead
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.6
Elgin
4.2
Edinburgh City
4.2
Stirling
4.1
Forfar
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
Clyde
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Spartans
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.2
Elgin
24.8
Forfar
24.5
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.4
East Fife
22.5
Edinburgh City
22.4
Clyde
21.9
Spartans
21.9
Stirling
21.1
Stranraer
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.9%
Under 9.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.3%
Under 3.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.5%
Under 21.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L01L10W11D01L21W00D00DA·EDI05/10H·PET19/10A·THR25/10A·ELG02/11A·EAS09/11H·BON16/11H·BRO30/11A·SPA10/12H·EDI14/12A·STI21/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.570.360.430.380.69
vs Stronger (22)0.450.550.420.420.500.70
vs Similar (8)0.120.620.000.500.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W11D00D10W21W12L03L10WH·SPA05/10A·STI19/10A·ELG26/10H·BON02/11A·EDI09/11H·EAS16/11H·PET07/12A·SPA14/12A·ELG17/12H·FOR21/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.470.470.670.93
vs Stronger (27)0.630.780.540.540.711.00
vs Similar (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StranraerStranraer

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D31W00D11D01L10W10W00D11DA·EDI05/10H·PET19/10A·THR25/10A·ELG02/11A·EAS09/11H·BON16/11H·BRO30/11A·SPA10/12H·EDI14/12A·STI21/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.500.860.620.69
vs Stronger (22)0.640.770.580.920.700.60
vs Similar (8)0.380.750.000.500.500.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L11D01L21W11D11D21W10WH·SPA05/10A·STI19/10A·ELG26/10H·BON02/11A·EDI09/11H·EAS16/11H·PET07/12A·SPA14/12A·ELG17/12H·FOR21/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.730.530.931.00
vs Stronger (27)0.850.810.690.621.001.00
vs Similar (3)0.670.331.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stranraer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stranraer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stranraer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls79.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Stranraer and Clyde have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stranraer and Clyde have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
Stranraer and Clyde have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
STR wins
2
Draws
3
CLY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stranraer vs Clyde · H/A from STR
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24AClyde Vs STR1-0
06/04/24AClyde Vs STR1-0
10/02/24HSTR Vs Clyde2-0
09/12/23AClyde Vs STR2-2
26/08/23HSTR Vs Clyde1-0
04/01/20AClyde Vs STR3-3
02/11/19HSTR Vs Clyde3-0
14/09/19AClyde Vs STR6-1

StranraerStranraer

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/24AStirling Vs STR1-1
14/12/24HSTR Vs Edinburgh City0-0
10/12/24ASpartans Vs STR1-3
30/11/24HSTR Vs Broxburn Athletic1-1
16/11/24HSTR Vs Bonnyrigg Rose1-2
09/11/24AEast Fife Vs STR1-2
02/11/24AElgin Vs STR1-0
25/10/24AThreave Rovers Vs STR2-3
19/10/24HSTR Vs Peterhead0-0
05/10/24AEdinburgh City Vs STR1-2

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/24HCLY Vs Forfar2-0
17/12/24AElgin Vs CLY4-2
14/12/24ASpartans Vs CLY3-2
07/12/24HCLY Vs Peterhead3-2
16/11/24HCLY Vs East Fife3-1
09/11/24AEdinburgh City Vs CLY1-0
02/11/24HCLY Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-2
26/10/24AElgin Vs CLY1-1
19/10/24AStirling Vs CLY3-1
05/10/24HCLY Vs Spartans1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stranraer
Stranraer
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD0.94
HomeLDLDD1.21
AwayWLWWD0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%29%15%
AVG goals2.522.542.50
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored1.081.290.88
Conceded1.441.251.62
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet20%33%8%
Corners9.739.1410.26
Cards3.843.713.96
Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.14
HomeDDWWW1.40
AwayLDLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals3.102.603.60
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %58%48%68%
Over 3.5 %40%36%44%
Scored1.441.201.68
Conceded1.661.401.92
BTTS64%52%76%
Clean Sheet20%28%12%
Corners9.739.4810.00
Cards3.804.093.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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