Stranraer vs Forfar Result & Analysis

The contest between Stranraer and Forfar is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win at 35%. A draw comes in close at 31%, and an away win sits just behind at 34%. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 14.6%. Stranraer, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 0.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, while Forfar, on the road, averages 1.17 scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 81.4%, Under 3.5 goals at 80.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 73.2%, Under 25.5 fouls at 72.5%, and Under 11.5 corners at 70.6%. Each pick is listed with its probability, and the edge is noted where applicable. The match remains finely balanced, with no clear favourite beyond the slight edge for a Stranraer victory.

The 0-0 draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, was tipped with a 35% chance and the model’s call was wrong. Stranraer, fresh from a win, had been on a 5-match run of WDWLL, while Forfar, coming off a draw, had a DLWDW streak. The match ended in a stalemate, the most likely score 1-1 being missed. The model’s selections largely held: Under 5.5 cards hit at 81.4%, Under 3.5 hit at 80.4%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 74.6%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 73.2%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 72.5%, but Under 11.5 corners missed at 70.6%. The final result was a draw.