Stranraer vs Stirling Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 42% chance for Stirling, a 32% chance for Stranraer and a 26% chance of a draw. The average number of goals expected is 3.0, but the most likely total is 2, with a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 12.3% chance. Stranraer, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Stirling, on the road against a similar side, averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 82.8%, Over 1.5 at 81.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 72.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 71.8% and Under 11.5 corners at 70.6%. These picks reflect the expected flow of the match.

The match finished 0-3 in favour of Stirling, extending their recent win streak after a 2-0 victory over Kelty Hearts. The model had named an away win as the favourite with a 42% probability, and this call proved correct. The prediction of 2-1 was not realised, but the model’s other selections largely held up. Under 5.5 cards hit at 82.8%, Over 1.5 hit at 81.1%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 74.6%, and Under 11.5 corners hit at 70.6%. The model’s picks for Under 25.5 fouls and Over 2.5 cards missed, with probabilities of 72.6% and 71.8% respectively. Overall, the model’s forecast was largely accurate.