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Strasbourg vs Monaco Prediction & Stats

Date: 12/09/2026
Time: 15:15
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Vs
42%
25%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Monaco
Monaco
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Strasbourg’s recent 2-1 win over Lens fuels optimism as they host Monaco, who are riding a four-game winning streak that ended with a 2-0 victory over Marseille. The model projects a home win with a 42% chance, a draw at 25% and an away win at 33%. The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.6% probability. Strasbourg averages 1.92 goals scored and 1.38 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Monaco concedes 2.0 goals away and scores 1.67. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.1% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.9% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.7% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (94.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (92.3% with a 4% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (89.2%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Strasbourg win
42.1%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.10
Edge
+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
Pinnacle
3.17
Unibet
3.15
Betano
3.15
Draw
24.5%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.73
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.86
Dafabet
3.80
Betfair
3.80
Marathonbet
3.78
10Bet
3.75
Monaco win
33.4%
Avg Implied 44.1% · @ 2.15
Edge
-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.19
Betano
2.18
Pinnacle
2.16
Dafabet
2.16

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

StrasbourgStrasbourg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L32W01L12L01L11D21W54W04L21WH·NIC22/04A·LOR26/04A·RAY30/04H·TOU03/05H·RAY07/05A·ANG10/05A·STA13/05H·MON17/05A·MAR21/08H·LEN29/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.401.751.381.791.43
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (22)1.771.451.921.381.561.56
vs Weaker (7)1.861.141.001.002.201.20
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MonacoMonaco

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L22D22D21W01L45L32W10W41W20WA·PAR10/04H·AUX19/04A·TOU25/04A·MET02/05H·LIL10/05A·STR17/05A·GOR20/08A·LE 23/08H·GOR27/08H·MAR30/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.571.921.151.761.88
vs Stronger (4)2.003.002.003.002.003.00
vs Similar (12)1.581.421.500.831.672.00
vs Weaker (14)2.001.292.331.171.751.38
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.1%
@ 1.18+6.8%
Under 1.5
13.9%
@ 4.52-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.80
Unibet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.45
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.7%
@ 1.63+7.3%
Under 2.5
34.3%
@ 2.29-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Under
1xBet
2.36
Unibet
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.8%
@ 2.52+6.5%
Under 3.5
56.2%
@ 1.50-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.51
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Both teams to score
Yes
67.3%
@ 1.53+6.4%
No
32.7%
@ 2.39-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
No
William Hil
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Unibet
2.40
Betano
2.40

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%@ 6.95+4.2%
2-1
8.7%@ 10.06+4.3%
1-2
7.7%@ 8.32+2.3%
2-2
6.9%@ 11.00+2.8%
2-0
5.5%@ 15.91+2.7%
3-1
5.2%@ 19.75+2.9%
1-0
5.1%@ 11.66+1.3%
0-1
4.4%@ 9.59-0.2%
Strasbourg goals ↓
Monaco goals →
01234
04.4%4.4%4.3%2.3%0.9%
15.1%11%7.7%4.1%1.6%
25.5%8.7%6.9%3.6%1.4%
33.3%5.2%4.1%2.2%0.9%
41.5%2.3%1.9%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Strasbourg goals (down), columns = Monaco goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Marseille
1.74
Rennes
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Estac Troyes
1.04
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Le Mans
0.83
Strasbourg is 0.03 points worse than Monaco in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.11
Auxerre
1.00
Le Havre
0.94
Le Mans
0.88
Angers
0.85
Strasbourg is 0.06 goals worse than Monaco in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Le Havre
1.29
Auxerre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Estac Troyes
1.85
Le Mans
2.32
Strasbourg is 0.21 goals better than Monaco in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Angers
42%
Strasbourg is 0.1 percentage points worse than Monaco in terms of average possession (54% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

StrasbourgStrasbourg

For 4.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.2

đźš© Corners

1603643464525683157929971092111161611H·LENA·MARH·MONA·STAA·ANGH·RAYH·TOUA·RAYA·LORH·NIC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

9022311212223135421234431454935H·LENA·MARH·MONA·STAA·ANGH·RAYH·TOUA·RAYA·LORH·NIC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

29010111267111110131671971514151698721181821292622292515H·LENA·MARH·MONA·STAA·ANGH·RAYH·TOUA·RAYA·LORH·NIC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MonacoMonaco

For 6.1 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.2

đźš© Corners

140564247476452952411311111611111071461412H·MARH·GORA·LE A·GORA·STRH·LILA·META·TOUH·AUXA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

5042232221132232314254342551H·MARH·GORA·LE A·GORA·STRH·LILA·META·TOUH·AUXA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.3 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

280910910121315131171310151010171986519192528182325272711H·MARH·GORA·LE A·GORA·STRH·LILA·META·TOUH·AUXA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StrasbourgStrasbourg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.38.64.03.74.423.521.725.6
vs Stronger (2)8.011.05.02.52.03.020.514.027.0
vs Similar (35)9.39.68.84.03.94.223.121.924.6
vs Weaker (13)8.38.08.64.23.24.925.322.427.4
% over line43%50%35%56%46%67%67%65%70%
% under line57%50%65%44%54%33%33%35%30%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MonacoMonaco

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.58.910.14.34.04.523.623.623.6
vs Stronger (7)10.89.012.73.94.73.219.720.019.3
vs Similar (20)9.29.19.33.93.83.924.225.223.1
vs Weaker (23)9.58.710.04.73.95.324.022.924.8
% over line49%35%62%66%61%70%65%70%62%
% under line51%65%38%34%39%30%35%30%38%
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

đźš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Nice
10.5
Rennes
10.5
Lens
10.3
Auxerre
10.0
Lyon
9.9
Stade Brestois 29
9.7
Lille
9.6
Monaco
9.6
Paris FC
9.4
Paris Saint Germain
9.3
Le Mans
9.3
Toulouse
9.3
Angers
9.2
Marseille
9.1
Le Havre
9.0
Strasbourg
8.9
Lorient
8.9
Estac Troyes
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Auxerre
4.8
Lyon
4.6
Marseille
4.5
Lens
4.5
Le Mans
4.4
Lille
4.4
Toulouse
4.3
Monaco
4.3
Rennes
4.3
Strasbourg
4.2
Le Havre
4.0
Nice
4.0
Lorient
4.0
Estac Troyes
3.9
Paris FC
3.9
Stade Brestois 29
3.7
Angers
3.4
Paris Saint Germain
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
27.1
Estac Troyes
27.0
Le Havre
26.8
Auxerre
25.7
Toulouse
25.4
Lyon
25.1
Stade Brestois 29
25.0
Lens
24.8
Rennes
24.0
Lille
24.0
Monaco
23.5
Strasbourg
23.5
Nice
23.4
Marseille
23.4
Lorient
22.8
Angers
22.7
Paris FC
22.3
Paris Saint Germain
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.2%
@ 1.94+5.8%
Under 9.5
46.8%
@ 1.75-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.94
Under
Unibet
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
58.4%
Under 21.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Strasbourg or Draw
66.6%
Avg Implied 55.6% · @ 1.70
Edge
+11.0%
42%
25%
33%
covers Strasbourg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.70
Strasbourg or Monaco
75.5%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.26
Edge
+0.2%
42%
25%
33%
covers Strasbourg + Monaco
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Draw or Monaco
57.9%
Avg Implied 69.2% · @ 1.37
Edge
-11.3%
42%
25%
33%
covers Draw + Monaco
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Strasbourg over/under 0.5
Over
83.4%
@ 1.26+9.8%
Under
16.6%
@ 3.52-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.82
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
1xBet
3.40
Strasbourg over/under 1.5
Over
53.6%
@ 2.30+13.0%
Under
46.4%
@ 1.57-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Unibet
2.32
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Strasbourg over/under 2.5
Over
26.9%
@ 5.26+9.1%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.13-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Unibet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Strasbourg over/under 3.5
Over
10.8%
@ 12.18+3.0%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.03-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
12.20
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Monaco over/under 0.5
Over
79.6%
@ 1.16-0.2%
Under
20.4%
@ 4.58+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.60
Unibet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Monaco over/under 1.5
Over
47.1%
@ 1.86-3.1%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.88+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Betfair
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Unibet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.88
Monaco over/under 2.5
Over
21.3%
@ 3.70-3.8%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.24+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.86
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Under
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Monaco over/under 3.5
Over
7.7%
@ 8.08-3.8%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.05+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Unibet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Strasbourg, so a minus line means Strasbourg give that many goals of a start and Monaco receive them. At -1, Strasbourg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Strasbourg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Strasbourg)
Strasbourg -2
10.1%
@ 13.25+3.3%
Draw -2
12.9%
@ 8.25+2.0%
Monaco +2
77.0%
@ 1.10-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
13.00
Betfair
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
7.50
Away
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Handicap -1 (Strasbourg)
Strasbourg -1
23.0%
@ 5.94+7.8%
Draw -1
19.1%
@ 4.82+0.4%
Monaco +1
57.9%
@ 1.36-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Handicap +1 (Strasbourg)
Strasbourg +1
66.6%
@ 1.69+13.4%
Draw +1
16.7%
@ 3.99-5.8%
Monaco -1
16.6%
@ 3.70-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.80
Away
10Bet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Handicap +2 (Strasbourg)
Strasbourg +2
83.4%
@ 1.22+9.8%
Draw +2
10.1%
@ 5.97-5.0%
Monaco -2
6.6%
@ 7.92-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

StrasbourgStrasbourg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D11D01L10W21W13L00D01LH·NIC22/04A·LOR26/04A·RAY30/04H·TOU03/05H·RAY07/05A·ANG10/05A·STA13/05H·MON17/05A·MAR21/08H·LEN29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.810.620.860.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (22)0.730.550.770.540.670.56
vs Weaker (7)1.140.571.001.001.200.40
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MonacoMonaco

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L02L20W00D00D31W10W10W20W10WA·PAR10/04H·AUX19/04A·TOU25/04A·MET02/05H·LIL10/05A·STR17/05A·GOR20/08A·LE 23/08H·GOR27/08H·MAR30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.850.460.710.59
vs Stronger (4)1.001.002.002.000.670.67
vs Similar (12)0.500.420.500.170.500.67
vs Weaker (14)0.930.501.000.500.880.50
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.1%
@ 1.29+2.7%
Under 0.5
24.9%
@ 3.41-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.36
Marathonbet
3.36
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.9%
@ 2.37+0.3%
Under 1.5
60.1%
@ 1.55-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Marathonbet
2.42
1xBet
2.42
Unibet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Under
William Hil
1.57
Betfair
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 5.31-3.6%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.13+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Strasbourg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
52.5%
@ 2.04+6.8%
Under
47.5%
@ 1.71-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
Unibet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Strasbourg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.5%
@ 6.39+1.1%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.08-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.55
10Bet
6.25
Unibet
6.25
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
Strasbourg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.8%
@ 11.75-5.2%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Monaco over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.9%
@ 1.77-2.7%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.96+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Unibet
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Monaco over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.5%
@ 4.86-5.5%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.14+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Unibet
4.80
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Monaco over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.9%
@ 10.75-5.8%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

StrasbourgStrasbourg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L31W01L01L00D01L00D41W04L20WH·NIC22/04A·LOR26/04A·RAY30/04H·TOU03/05H·RAY07/05A·ANG10/05A·STA13/05H·MON17/05A·MAR21/08H·LEN29/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.830.940.750.930.93
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (22)1.050.911.150.850.891.00
vs Weaker (7)0.710.570.000.001.000.80
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MonacoMonaco

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W02L21W01L14L22D00D21W10WA·PAR10/04H·AUX19/04A·TOU25/04A·MET02/05H·LIL10/05A·STR17/05A·GOR20/08A·LE 23/08H·GOR27/08H·MAR30/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.031.080.691.061.29
vs Stronger (4)1.002.000.001.001.332.33
vs Similar (12)1.081.001.000.671.171.33
vs Weaker (14)1.070.791.330.670.880.88
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Strasbourg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.0%
@ 1.16+1.7%
Under 0.5
18.0%
@ 4.74-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.80
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Betano
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
55.0%
@ 1.82+3.4%
Under 1.5
45.0%
@ 1.95-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Unibet
1.93
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
26.6%
@ 3.52+0.2%
Under 2.5
73.4%
@ 1.27-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.70
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Unibet
1.25

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Strasbourg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.3%
@ 1.73+4.5%
Under
41.7%
@ 2.01-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
Strasbourg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.5%
@ 4.51+2.9%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.17-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Strasbourg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.1%
@ 9.50-4.8%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.04+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Monaco over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.1%
@ 1.52-5.1%
Under
43.9%
@ 2.40+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.36
Monaco over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.1%
@ 3.46-4.6%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.26+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.48
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Monaco over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.3%
@ 7.90-6.5%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.06+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.7%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.2%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+5.2%
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.1%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+5.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.9%1.04
Betano
1.04
----+4.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals94.7%1.06
Betano
1.06
----+6.5%
Under 6.594.3%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-+0.3%
Away under 3.5 goals92.3%1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
+3.8%
Home under 3.5 goals89.2%1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
----3.0%
Under 5.587.3%1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Unibet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-1.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals86.5%1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
+5.5%
Over 1.586.1%1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
+6.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals86.1%1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
+3.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals84.5%1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Unibet
1.06
-1.1%
Home over 0.5 goals83.4%1.26
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
+9.8%
Home +2 handicap83.4%1.22
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
+9.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals82.0%1.16
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+1.7%
Under 5.5 cards80.6%-------
Away over 0.5 goals79.6%1.16
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
-0.2%
Away under 2.5 goals78.7%1.24
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
+3.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals77.9%1.26
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
-+4.6%
Away +2 handicap77.0%1.10
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
--5.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals76.5%1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
--2.9%
Home or Away75.5%1.26
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
+0.2%
Over 0.5 HT goals75.1%1.29
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+2.7%
Under 4.574.7%1.18
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-4.6%
Over 2.5 cards74.1%-------
Over 19.5 fouls74.1%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals73.4%1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Unibet
1.25
-0.2%
Under 25.5 fouls73.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals73.1%1.13
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
-9.1%
Under 11.5 corners70.6%1.27
Unibet
1.27
-----1.6%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Strasbourg · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joaquin Panichelli44%
Emmanuel Emegha33%
Martial Godo30%
Sebastian Nanasi26%
Julio Enciso24%
Dilane Bakwa20%
Diego Moreira12%
Abdoul Ouattara9%
Maxi Oyedele7%
ValentĂ­n Barco7%
Guéla Doué6%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw5%
Kendry Páez5%
Ismael Doukouré5%
Samir El Mourabet4%
Andrew Omobamidele2%
Ben Chilwell0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Junior Mwanga0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Félix Lemaréchal0%
Mike Penders0%
Rafael Luis0%
Gessime Yassine0%
Rabby Nzingoula0%
Mathis Amougou0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
AarĂłn Anselmino0%
Tyrese Noubissie0%
Yaya Diémé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yaya Diémé67%
Maxi Oyedele29%
Emmanuel Emegha28%
Tyrese Noubissie25%
Diego Moreira24%
Mamadou Sarr22%
ValentĂ­n Barco21%
Guéla Doué21%
Andrew Omobamidele17%
Ismael Doukouré16%
Mathis Amougou16%
Ben Chilwell15%
Samir El Mourabet15%
Junior Mwanga12%
Rabby Nzingoula12%
Mike Penders10%
Kendry Páez10%
Martial Godo9%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw8%
Joaquin Panichelli8%
Lucas Høgsberg8%
Félix Lemaréchal6%
Rafael Luis6%
Gessime Yassine5%
Julio Enciso5%
Abdoul Ouattara5%
Sebastian Nanasi3%
Dilane Bakwa0%
David Datro Fofana0%
AarĂłn Anselmino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dilane Bakwa40%
Guéla Doué21%
Diego Moreira17%
ValentĂ­n Barco16%
Sebastian Nanasi15%
Julio Enciso14%
Félix Lemaréchal12%
Martial Godo11%
Emmanuel Emegha11%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw10%
Ben Chilwell9%
Joaquin Panichelli8%
Rafael Luis6%
Gessime Yassine5%
Ismael Doukouré5%
Samir El Mourabet4%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Junior Mwanga0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Maxi Oyedele0%
Mike Penders0%
Abdoul Ouattara0%
Rabby Nzingoula0%
Mathis Amougou0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Kendry Páez0%
AarĂłn Anselmino0%
Tyrese Noubissie0%
Yaya Diémé0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joaquin Panichelli38%
Julio Enciso29%
Félix Lemaréchal19%
Martial Godo18%
Junior Mwanga12%
Emmanuel Emegha11%
Sebastian Nanasi9%
ValentĂ­n Barco7%
Gessime Yassine5%
Abdoul Ouattara5%
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw3%
Diego Moreira2%
Ismael Doukouré2%
Ben Chilwell0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Guéla Doué0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Maxi Oyedele0%
Mike Penders0%
Rafael Luis0%
Rabby Nzingoula0%
Mathis Amougou0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Kendry Páez0%
Samir El Mourabet0%
AarĂłn Anselmino0%
Tyrese Noubissie0%
Yaya Diémé0%
Monaco
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paris Brunner75%
Mika Biereth50%
Aleksandr Golovin33%
Mamadou Coulibaly33%
Eric Dier25%
Lamine Camara25%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Vanderson0%
Nazinho0%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Mathys Detourbet0%
Anis Soubeir0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandr Golovin33%
Mathys Detourbet33%
Lukáš Hrádecký25%
Denis Zakaria25%
Vanderson25%
Nazinho25%
Lamine Camara25%
Anis Soubeir25%
Eric Dier0%
Mika Biereth0%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo0%
Paris Brunner0%
Mamadou Coulibaly0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nazinho50%
Aleksandr Golovin33%
Mamadou Coulibaly33%
Mathys Detourbet33%
Eric Dier25%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo25%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Mika Biereth0%
Vanderson0%
Lamine Camara0%
Paris Brunner0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Anis Soubeir0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paris Brunner50%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo25%
Aleksandr Golovin0%
Eric Dier0%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Mika Biereth0%
Vanderson0%
Nazinho0%
Lamine Camara0%
Mamadou Coulibaly0%
Sadibou Sané0%
Mathys Detourbet0%
Anis Soubeir0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
LM (26)
€24m
Strasbourg's squad is €22m less valuable than Monaco's (€304m vs €326m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
LM (6)
€4m
Strasbourg's attack is €36m less valuable than Monaco's (€112m vs €148m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
LM (8)
€5m
Strasbourg's midfield is €29m less valuable than Monaco's (€56m vs €84m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
LM (12)
€15m
Strasbourg's defence is €43m more valuable than Monaco's (€136m vs €93m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
STR wins
1
Draws
5
MON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Strasbourg vs Monaco · H/A from STR
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HSTR Vs Monaco5-4
05/02/26HSTR Vs Monaco3-1
31/08/25AMonaco Vs STR3-2
19/04/25AMonaco Vs STR0-0
09/11/24HSTR Vs Monaco1-3
10/03/24HSTR Vs Monaco0-1
20/08/23AMonaco Vs STR3-0
02/04/23AMonaco Vs STR4-3

StrasbourgStrasbourg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HSTR Vs Lens2-1
21/08/26AMarseille Vs STR4-0
17/05/26HSTR Vs Monaco5-4
13/05/26AStade Brestois 29 Vs STR1-2
10/05/26AAngers Vs STR1-1
07/05/26HSTR Vs Rayo Vallecano0-1
03/05/26HSTR Vs Toulouse1-2
30/04/26ARayo Vallecano Vs STR1-0
26/04/26ALorient Vs STR2-3
22/04/26HSTR Vs Nice0-2

MonacoMonaco

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HMON Vs Marseille2-0
27/08/26HMON Vs Gornik Zabrze4-1
23/08/26ALe Havre Vs MON0-1
20/08/26AGornik Zabrze Vs MON2-3
17/05/26AStrasbourg Vs MON5-4
10/05/26HMON Vs Lille0-1
02/05/26AMetz Vs MON1-2
25/04/26AToulouse Vs MON2-2
19/04/26HMON Vs Auxerre2-2
10/04/26AParis FC Vs MON4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Strasbourg
Strasbourg
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.70
HomeLLLWW1.85
AwayWLDWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%43%
AVG goals3.042.933.17
Over 1.5 %82%85%78%
Over 2.5 %66%67%65%
Over 3.5 %32%26%39%
Scored1.741.811.65
Conceded1.301.111.52
BTTS64%63%65%
Clean Sheet20%26%13%
Corners8.949.268.57
Cards4.203.884.57
Monaco
Monaco
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.60
HomeWDLWW1.78
AwayDWLWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%41%
AVG goals3.303.003.56
Over 1.5 %72%70%74%
Over 2.5 %64%57%70%
Over 3.5 %54%52%56%
Scored1.701.781.63
Conceded1.601.221.93
BTTS64%52%74%
Clean Sheet26%39%15%
Corners9.568.9110.11
Cards4.323.964.63

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LilleLille37
67%
2.3
52+3
2.3
67%
33%
33%
8.0
33%
2.7
33%
22.3
67%
312
133102761.70.7
56%
2MonacoMonaco26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
11.0
100%
4.5
100%
22.0
50%
326
14884931.50.0
54%
3Paris FCParis FC24
50%
2.0
30+3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
5.5
0%
1.5
0%
14.0
0%
176
5954621.50.0
50%
4LyonLyon24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.0
100%
2.0
0%
22.0
50%
293
12282891.50.5
55%
5RennesRennes24
50%
2.0
54+1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
21.5
50%
241
87441092.52.0
54%
6Estac TroyesEstac Troyes24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
6.0
0%
1.0
0%
17.0
0%
36
711171.00.5
-
7LensLens23
50%
1.5
64+2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.0
50%
187
52241123.02.0
51%
8MarseilleMarseille23
50%
1.5
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
9.0
50%
4.0
100%
18.5
0%
225
9168662.01.0
57%
9AngersAngers23
50%
1.5
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
13.5
100%
4.5
100%
23.0
100%
73
3011321.51.5
42%
10StrasbourgStrasbourg23
50%
1.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
8.0
0%
4.0
100%
19.5
0%
304
112561361.02.5
54%
11Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 2922
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
6.5
0%
3.0
50%
28.0
50%
64
2520192.02.0
43%
12Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
7.5
50%
3.5
50%
15.5
0%
1477
6384304092.02.0
69%
13Le MansLe Mans21
0%
0.5
45-1
4.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
4.0
50%
25.0
50%
24
45152.02.5
-
14Le HavreLe Havre21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
10.5
100%
3.5
50%
24.0
100%
55
923230.51.0
47%
15LorientLorient21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
8.0
0%
0.5
0%
18.0
0%
87
2032350.51.0
45%
16ToulouseToulouse31
0%
0.3
25-3
2.3
67%
33%
33%
9.0
33%
2.3
33%
27.3
67%
115
3039460.71.7
42%
17NiceNice21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
1.0
0%
15.0
0%
152
6231600.01.5
47%
18AuxerreAuxerre20
0%
0.0
38-5
5.5
100%
100%
100%
13.5
100%
4.0
50%
24.5
100%
84
2328331.54.0
44%
France: Ligue 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

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