Strommen’s recent 2-game winning streak fuels optimism, yet the model still favours an Asane victory, with a 40% chance of winning versus 35% for a home win and 25% for a draw. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a lively affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11% probability. Strommen averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.83 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Asane, playing away, averages 1.44 scored and 2.22 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98%), Under 6.5 (94.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (92%), Away under 3.5 goals (90.6%), Under 5.5 (88.1%), Over 1.5 (85.3%), Away +2 handicap (82%), and Away over 0.5 goals (81.9%). These picks reflect the projected high-scoring nature of the match, with both sides likely to find the net.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Strommen win
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asane win
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Strommen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.38
1.92
1.86
2.29
3.00
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
4.00
5.00
4.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.70
1.70
1.50
1.83
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
5.00
1.50
-
-
5.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
15% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asane
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
2.00
1.50
1.79
1.31
2.19
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
2.00
1.40
1.80
0.83
2.17
vs Similar (18)
1.50
2.00
1.56
1.78
1.44
2.22
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Strommen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.4%
Under 2.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.3%
Under 3.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
66.5%
No
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
Strommen goals ↓
Asane goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
5.2%
5.3%
3.0%
1.3%
1
4.8%
11%
8.5%
4.9%
2.1%
2
4.7%
8.0%
6.8%
3.9%
1.7%
3
2.5%
4.3%
3.7%
2.1%
0.9%
4
1.0%
1.7%
1.5%
0.8%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Strommen goals (down), columns = Asane goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Strommen is 0.83 points better than Asane in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Strommen is 0.33 goals better than Asane in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Strommen is 0.50 goals better than Asane in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 2.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Strommen or Draw
60.3%
Avg Implied -
35%
25%
40%
covers Strommen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Strommen or Asane
75.1%
Avg Implied -
35%
25%
40%
covers Strommen + Asane
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Asane
64.7%
Avg Implied -
35%
25%
40%
covers Draw + Asane
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Strommen over/under 0.5
Over
79.9%
Under
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strommen over/under 1.5
Over
47.7%
Under
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strommen over/under 2.5
Over
21.8%
Under
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strommen over/under 3.5
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5
Over
81.9%
Under
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5
Over
51.0%
Under
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5
Over
24.6%
Under
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 3.5
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Strommen, so a minus line means Strommen give that many goals of a start and Asane receive them. At -1, Strommen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Strommen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Strommen)
Strommen -2
7.1%
Draw -2
10.7%
Asane +2
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Strommen)
Strommen -1
17.9%
Draw -1
17.5%
Asane +1
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Strommen)
Strommen +1
60.3%
Draw +1
18.7%
Asane -1
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Strommen)
Strommen +2
78.9%
Draw +2
12.2%
Asane -2
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Strommen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.85
1.00
0.71
1.29
1.00
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
4.00
0.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.80
0.83
0.83
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
54% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asane
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.00
0.86
0.79
0.69
1.19
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.73
0.80
0.40
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
1.22
0.89
1.00
0.67
1.44
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Strommen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Strommen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strommen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strommen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Strommen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.54
0.92
1.14
1.00
2.00
0.83
vs Stronger (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.90
0.67
1.00
1.25
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
1.00
-
-
3.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Asane) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asane
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.64
1.00
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.27
0.60
1.40
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.78
0.67
0.78
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Strommen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Strommen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strommen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strommen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asane over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Strommen's squad is €1m less valuable than Asane's (€2m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Strommen and Asane have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Strommen and Asane have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Strommen and Asane have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stabaek
Haugesund
hodd
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
Bryne
Lyn
Egersund
ODD Ballklubb
Sogndal
Sandnes ULF
Ranheim
Raufoss
Moss