Strommen’s recent run of two straight defeats has left them struggling to find the back of the net, scoring only 1.2 goals per game at home while conceding 2.0. Raufoss, on the other hand, has been more productive on the road, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded against similar opposition. The model therefore picks an away win, with a 44% chance, followed by a home win at 32% and a draw at 24%. The expected total is 3.4 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.4% probability. The model’s strongest edge lies in the Under 7.5 total goals selection, boasting a 97.6% probability and a 1% edge over the market. Other suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6% +8% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% +6% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.5% +6% edge), Under 6.5 (94.0% +1% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.9% +7% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (92.6% +8% edge) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (90.4% +5% edge).
Results analysis
The upset came as Strommen, riding a win to end a mixed run, overturned the pre-match favourite Raufoss, who had just snapped a four-game losing streak. The final score was 3-1, a home victory that left the model’s pick of an away win wrong. The model had assigned a 44% chance to the away side, but the outcome proved otherwise. Every suggested selection was a hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.0%, Under 7.5 at 97.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.5%, Under 6.5 at 94.0%, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.5%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 90.9%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each selection’s result was noted.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Strommen win✓ Hit
32.0%
Avg Implied 48.7% · @ 1.88
Edge
-16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.92
Dafabet
1.91
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.67
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.95
10Bet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Dafabet
3.70
Raufoss win✗ Miss
43.9%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.50
Edge
+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.80
Dafabet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
Betano
3.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Strommen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.36
2.09
1.67
2.50
3.20
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
4.00
5.00
4.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.50
1.88
1.20
2.00
2.00
1.67
vs Weaker (2)
5.00
1.50
-
-
5.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
18% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raufoss
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
2.07
1.07
1.50
1.56
2.56
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
2.15
0.57
1.43
0.83
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.82
2.00
1.57
1.57
2.00
2.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Strommen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.6%
@ 1.18+7.6%
Under 1.5
13.4%
@ 4.42-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
888Sport
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.47
BetVictor
4.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.6%
@ 1.58+8.0%
Under 2.5
33.4%
@ 2.24-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
Under
10Bet
2.50
888Sport
2.45
Unibet
2.33
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.8%
@ 2.48+7.1%
Under 3.5
55.2%
@ 1.50-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Under
10Bet
1.62
888Sport
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.8%
@ 1.53+7.4%
No
32.2%
@ 2.33-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
No
10Bet
2.50
888Sport
2.40
Unibet
2.40
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%@ 6.67+3.8%
1-2
8.8%@ 10.71+4.7%
2-1
7.4%@ 7.53+1.6%
2-2
6.9%@ 10.95+2.9%
0-2
5.6%@ 18.77+3.2%
1-3
5.5%@ 23.78+3.6%
0-1
5.1%@ 12.15+1.4%
2-3
4.3%@ 24.58+2.5%
Strommen goals ↓
Raufoss goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
5.1%
5.6%
3.5%
1.6%
1
4.1%
10%
8.8%
5.5%
2.5%
2
4.0%
7.4%
6.9%
4.3%
2.0%
3
2.1%
3.9%
3.6%
2.2%
1.0%
4
0.8%
1.5%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Strommen goals (down), columns = Raufoss goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Ranheim
0.50
Raufoss
0.50
Moss
0.29
Strommen is 1.17 points better than Raufoss in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Strommen is 1.00 goals better than Raufoss in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Strommen is 1.17 goals better than Raufoss in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 3.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Strommen or Draw✓ Hit
56.1%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.25
Edge
-18.1%
32%
24%
44%
covers Strommen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.29
888Sport
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Strommen or Raufoss✓ Hit
75.8%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.3%
32%
24%
44%
covers Strommen + Raufoss
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw or Raufoss✗ Miss
68.0%
Avg Implied 50.3% · @ 1.85
Edge
+17.8%
32%
24%
44%
covers Draw + Raufoss
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.91
SBO
1.91
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
William Hil
1.85
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Strommen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.2%
@ 1.13-2.4%
Under
20.8%
@ 5.04+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Strommen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.6%
@ 1.72-7.1%
Under
53.4%
@ 2.00+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.76
BetVictor
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Under
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.08
888Sport
2.05
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Strommen over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
20.9%
@ 3.26-7.6%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.30+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.45
BetVictor
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.26
Under
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Strommen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 6.96-6.0%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.08+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
6.60
888Sport
6.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Raufoss over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.4%
@ 1.31+13.8%
Under
15.6%
@ 3.16-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
888Sport
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
Betfair
3.20
Raufoss over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
55.5%
@ 2.52+18.6%
Under
44.5%
@ 1.47-18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.72
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Marathonbet
2.59
Under
888Sport
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Raufoss over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
28.5%
@ 6.11+13.3%
Under
71.5%
@ 1.10-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
6.10
Under
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Raufoss over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 14.92+5.4%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.03-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
888Sport
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Strommen, so a minus line means Strommen give that many goals of a start and Raufoss receive them. At -1, Strommen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Strommen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Strommen)Actual: Draw
Strommen -2
6.1%
@ 6.58-7.5%
Draw -2
9.6%
@ 5.36-7.1%
Raufoss +2
84.3%
@ 1.29+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Unibet
6.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
4.90
Away
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Strommen)Actual: Strommen
Strommen -1
15.7%
@ 3.24-11.8%
Draw -1
16.2%
@ 3.80-7.3%
Raufoss +1
68.0%
@ 1.82+19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.18
Unibet
3.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.70
Away
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.73
Handicap +1 (Strommen)Actual: Strommen
Strommen +1
56.1%
@ 1.25-15.4%
Draw +1
19.4%
@ 5.52+3.1%
Raufoss -1
24.5%
@ 7.35+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.35
Unibet
5.20
Away
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.30
Unibet
6.75
Handicap +2 (Strommen)Actual: Strommen
Strommen +2
75.5%
@ 1.08-11.7%
Draw +2
13.5%
@ 12.00+5.6%
Raufoss -2
11.0%
@ 19.00+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Strommen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
1.18
0.50
1.50
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
4.00
0.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
45% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raufoss
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
0.57
0.71
0.81
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.62
0.29
0.57
0.50
0.67
vs Similar (17)
0.94
1.06
0.86
0.86
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Strommen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.28-0.6%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 3.35+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.1%
@ 2.33-5.8%
Under 1.5
65.9%
@ 1.54+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Betano
2.42
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Under
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.60
William Hil
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 5.51-4.4%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.11+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Strommen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.5%
@ 1.68-6.6%
Under
51.5%
@ 2.06+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.65
Under
Unibet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Strommen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
16.1%
@ 4.57-4.2%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.16+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.65
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Strommen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 9.00-8.3%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.03+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Raufoss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.9%
@ 2.15-2.0%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.61+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
Unibet
2.05
Under
Unibet
1.66
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Raufoss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 7.27-3.7%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.06+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Raufoss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 11.25-6.4%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Strommen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
0.91
1.17
1.00
2.40
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.88
0.60
1.00
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
1.00
-
-
3.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Raufoss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raufoss
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.20
0.50
0.79
0.75
1.56
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.54
0.29
0.86
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.94
0.71
0.71
1.00
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Strommen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.8%
@ 1.17-2.6%
Under 0.5
23.2%
@ 4.52+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.35
Betano
4.35
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.9%
@ 1.79-5.8%
Under 1.5
54.1%
@ 1.92+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Bet365
1.80
Under
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
1.97
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 3.53-5.0%
Under 2.5
78.8%
@ 1.25+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.52
1xBet
3.52
Bet365
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Strommen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
56.4%
@ 1.48-6.0%
Under
43.6%
@ 2.46+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.46
Superbet
2.42
Strommen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 3.20-11.4%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.30+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Strommen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 7.85-4.2%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.04+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
Raufoss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.0%
@ 1.83+0.4%
Under
49.0%
@ 1.87-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Raufoss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 5.07-2.6%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.13+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.10
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Raufoss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 9.75-5.1%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.5%
1.08
Betano
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.9%
1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
88.2%
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
86.7%
1.06
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Betano
1.08
Unibet
1.07
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.6%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
84.4%
1.31
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+13.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.13
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.3%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
-
+14.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.9%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.30
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.2%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.1%
1.30
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+7.6%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.8%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
75.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-11.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
73.8%
1.19
10Bet
1.25
888Sport
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-4.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.28
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
71.5%
1.10
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-13.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Strommen and Raufoss have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Strommen and Raufoss have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Strommen and Raufoss have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Strommen and Raufoss have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stabaek
Haugesund
hodd
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
Bryne
Lyn
Egersund
ODD Ballklubb
Sogndal
Asane
Sandnes ULF
Ranheim
Moss