Stromsgodset vs hodd Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2026

Time: 17:00

Final 3-1

Stromsgodset

53%

24%

23%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

hodd

Norway: 1. Division

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Player market rates 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Stromsgodset’s recent win over Ranheim gives the home side a slight lift as they host hodd, who are on a three-game winning streak after a 4-3 victory. The model favours a home win with a 54% chance, followed by a 24% draw and a 23% away win. The expected total is 3.3 goals, with the most likely total being three goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.7% probability. Stromsgodset average home scoring is one goal per game and they concede two, while hodd average away scoring is 1.56 and they concede 2.33 against similar opponents. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Under 7.5 at 98.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.1%, Under 6.5 at 95.2%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.4%, and Home +2 handicap at 90.3%. The model’s edge is strongest on the Away under 2.5 HT goals selection, where it outperforms the market by 8%.

Results analysis

Stromsgodset’s three-goal triumph over hodd kept the model’s forecast on target, extending the home side’s three-game winning run. The pre-match favourite was a home win, given a 53% chance, and the result confirmed the model’s call. The final score of 3-1 matched the predicted outcome. The model’s selections proved remarkably accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.7%, Under 7.5 at 98.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.1%, Under 6.5 at 95.2%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.4%. Only Home under 2.5 2H goals missed, at 92.7%. The model’s overall performance was a clear success.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Stromsgodset win✓ Hit

53.4%

Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.22

Edge

-22.2%

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.25

10Bet

1.25

888Sport

1.25

Unibet

1.24

Pinnacle

1.23

Draw✗ Miss

23.6%

Avg Implied 14.8% · @ 6.21

Edge

+8.8%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

6.97

1xBet

6.65

Marathonbet

6.65

Dafabet

6.60

Betfair

6.50

hodd win✗ Miss

23.0%

Avg Implied 9.6% · @ 9.60

Edge

+13.4%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

12.00

BetVictor

11.50

Marathonbet

10.75

1xBet

10.60

Betfair

10.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stromsgodset

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.3

Avg scored

1.9

Avg conceded

2.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.37	2.30	1.07	2.21	1.62	2.38
vs Stronger (12)	0.92	2.75	1.17	2.50	0.67	3.00
vs Similar (17)	1.41	2.12	1.00	2.00	1.78	2.22
vs Weaker (1)	6.00	0.00	-	-	6.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	10% (-12pp vs league)

This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hodd

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.3

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

2.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.57	2.10	1.87	1.73	1.27	2.47
vs Stronger (6)	1.00	3.50	1.50	2.50	0.75	4.00
vs Similar (23)	1.70	1.83	1.92	1.62	1.40	2.10
vs Weaker (1)	2.00	0.00	-	-	2.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	13% (-9pp vs league)

This opponent (Stromsgodset) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

84.5%

@ 1.07-2.6%

Under 1.5

15.5%

@ 7.27+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.10

Bet365

1.10

Superbet

1.07

Betfair

1.07

Unibet

1.06

Under

888Sport

8.50

Betfair

8.00

BetVictor

8.00

1xBet

7.30

Bet365

7.00

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

63.1%

@ 1.28-9.2%

Under 2.5

36.9%

@ 3.36+9.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.33

Betano

1.32

Superbet

1.30

BetVictor

1.29

Pinnacle

1.29

Under

888Sport

3.70

10Bet

3.55

Pinnacle

3.52

Bet365

3.40

BetVictor

3.40

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

40.9%

@ 1.75-12.0%

Under 3.5

59.1%

@ 1.97+12.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Pinnacle

1.81

Betfair

1.80

Betano

1.80

Superbet

1.78

Under

888Sport

2.10

SBO

2.09

10Bet

2.05

Pinnacle

2.01

Betfair

2.00

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

62.9%

@ 1.62+5.9%

37.1%

@ 2.15-5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.73

Betfair

1.67

Superbet

1.67

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.66

888Sport

2.40

10Bet

2.30

Unibet

2.23

William Hil

2.15

Betfair

2.15

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

10.7%@ 11.73+6.8%

2-1

9.7%@ 8.41+4.3%

2-0

7.7%@ 8.07+2.1%

1-0

6.7%@ 11.03+2.6%

3-1 ✓

6.4%@ 8.76+1.2%

1-2

6.1%@ 24.29+4.3%

2-2

6.1%@ 16.35+3.3%

3-0

5.1%@ 8.34-0.3%

Stromsgodset goals ↓

	hodd goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.8%	3.9%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
1	6.7%	11%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
2	7.7%	9.7%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
3	5.1%	6.4%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%
4	2.5%	3.2%	2.0%	0.8%	0.3%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stromsgodset goals (down), columns = hodd goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Stabaek

2.50

Kongsvinger

2.17

hodd

2.14

Haugesund

2.14

Stromsgodset

1.86

Bryne

1.86

Lyn

1.83

Strommen

1.67

Egersund

1.57

Sogndal

1.17

ODD Ballklubb

1.14

Asane

0.83

Sandnes ULF

0.57

Raufoss

0.50

Ranheim

0.50

Moss

0.29

Stromsgodset is 0.29 points worse than hodd in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 2.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Stabaek

3.50

Haugesund

3.14

Lyn

3.00

Kongsvinger

2.83

Ranheim

2.50

hodd

2.43

Stromsgodset

2.14

ODD Ballklubb

2.00

Strommen

2.00

Sogndal

1.83

Egersund

1.71

Asane

1.67

Moss

1.29

Bryne

1.14

Sandnes ULF

1.14

Raufoss

1.00

Stromsgodset is 0.29 goals worse than hodd in terms of goals scored per game (2.14 vs 2.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Bryne

1.00

Stabaek

1.17

Haugesund

1.57

Stromsgodset

1.57

Egersund

1.71

Kongsvinger

1.83

Strommen

1.83

Sogndal

2.00

Lyn

2.17

Moss

2.29

ODD Ballklubb

2.29

Sandnes ULF

2.29

Asane

2.33

hodd

2.86

Raufoss

3.00

Ranheim

3.33

Stromsgodset is 1.29 goals better than hodd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 2.86).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Stromsgodset or Draw✓ Hit

77.0%

Avg Implied 90.1% · @ 1.04

Edge

-13.1%

53%

24%

23%

covers Stromsgodset + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.07

888Sport

1.06

William Hil

1.06

BetVictor

1.06

Bet365

1.05

Stromsgodset or hodd✓ Hit

76.4%

Avg Implied 85.7% · @ 1.09

Edge

-9.4%

53%

24%

23%

covers Stromsgodset + hodd

Best 5 market prices

888Sport

1.13

Bet365

1.12

Betano

1.11

William Hil

1.11

BetVictor

1.10

Draw or hodd✗ Miss

46.6%

Avg Implied 24.2% · @ 3.87

Edge

+22.4%

53%

24%

23%

covers Draw + hodd

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

4.33

1xBet

4.15

Marathonbet

4.15

Bet365

4.00

Betano

4.00

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Stromsgodset over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

86.4%

@ 1.02-6.5%

Under

13.6%

@ 13.25+6.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.03

Bet365

1.03

888Sport

1.03

1xBet

1.01

Under

888Sport

15.00

Bet365

15.00

1xBet

13.00

Betfair

10.00

Stromsgodset over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

59.2%

@ 1.20-17.9%

Under

40.8%

@ 4.04+17.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.24

Bet365

1.22

Superbet

1.22

1xBet

1.22

Unibet

1.20

Under

Betfair

4.50

888Sport

4.33

BetVictor

4.20

Marathonbet

4.10

Bet365

4.00

Stromsgodset over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

32.1%

@ 1.68-23.2%

Under

67.9%

@ 2.08+23.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.72

Superbet

1.70

Marathonbet

1.69

Pinnacle

1.69

BetVictor

1.67

Under

Pinnacle

2.14

BetVictor

2.10

888Sport

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Betfair

2.10

Stromsgodset over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

14.1%

@ 2.71-20.1%

Under

85.9%

@ 1.41+20.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.85

Betano

2.75

Betfair

2.75

BetVictor

2.75

Superbet

2.72

Under

1xBet

1.45

Bet365

1.44

Betano

1.42

Pinnacle

1.40

Superbet

1.40

hodd over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

71.7%

@ 1.55+12.0%

Under

28.3%

@ 2.30-12.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.63

Pinnacle

1.62

Betano

1.60

BetVictor

1.60

Marathonbet

1.59

Under

888Sport

2.63

10Bet

2.50

Unibet

2.40

Pinnacle

2.27

Superbet

2.25

hodd over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

35.9%

@ 3.67+10.6%

Under

64.1%

@ 1.24-10.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

4.10

Marathonbet

4.05

1xBet

3.90

Superbet

3.80

Pinnacle

3.80

Under

888Sport

1.33

10Bet

1.28

Unibet

1.27

Pinnacle

1.25

Betano

1.25

hodd over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

13.4%

@ 9.91+3.9%

Under

86.6%

@ 1.04-3.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

13.00

Marathonbet

11.25

Betfair

10.00

Superbet

10.00

Betano

8.50

Under

888Sport

1.06

Betano

1.05

Bet365

1.04

Betfair

1.03

1xBet

1.03

hodd over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

3.9%

@ 25.17+0.1%

Under

96.1%

@ 1.01-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

34.00

888Sport

29.00

Betano

12.50

Under

Betano

1.01

888Sport

1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Stromsgodset, so a minus line means Stromsgodset give that many goals of a start and hodd receive them. At -1, Stromsgodset must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Stromsgodset win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Stromsgodset)Actual: Draw

Stromsgodset -2

15.5%

@ 2.45-21.1%

Draw -2

16.5%

@ 4.12-5.3%

hodd +2

68.0%

@ 2.16+26.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

2.55

Bet365

2.50

Unibet

2.48

Betfair

2.40

Marathonbet

2.33

Draw

Bet365

4.50

Marathonbet

4.20

10Bet

4.00

Betfair

4.00

Unibet

3.90

Away

Marathonbet

2.23

Betfair

2.20

Bet365

2.20

10Bet

2.10

Unibet

2.08

Handicap -1 (Stromsgodset)Actual: Stromsgodset

Stromsgodset -1

32.0%

@ 1.58-24.8%

Draw -1

21.4%

@ 4.33+0.7%

hodd +1

46.6%

@ 4.01+24.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Unibet

1.63

Marathonbet

1.60

Bet365

1.57

Betfair

1.53

Draw

Bet365

4.75

Betfair

4.33

Marathonbet

4.25

Unibet

4.00

Away

Betfair

4.33

Marathonbet

4.15

Bet365

4.00

Unibet

3.55

Handicap +1 (Stromsgodset)Actual: Stromsgodset

Stromsgodset +1

77.0%

@ 1.08-7.2%

Draw +1

13.2%

@ 8.97+3.1%

hodd -1

9.8%

@ 16.12+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.11

Bet365

1.05

Draw

Bet365

13.00

Marathonbet

4.95

Away

Bet365

26.00

Marathonbet

6.25

Handicap +2 (Stromsgodset)Actual: Stromsgodset

Stromsgodset +2

90.2%

@ 1.03-0.7%

Draw +2

6.6%

@ 17.00+1.1%

hodd -2

3.2%

@ 26.00-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.03

Draw

Bet365

17.00

Away

Bet365

26.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stromsgodset

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	1.13	0.57	1.07	0.81	1.19
vs Stronger (12)	0.58	1.58	0.67	1.33	0.50	1.83
vs Similar (17)	0.53	0.88	0.50	0.88	0.56	0.89
vs Weaker (1)	5.00	0.00	-	-	5.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	37% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hodd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.90	0.97	1.27	0.73	0.53	1.20
vs Stronger (6)	0.83	1.33	1.50	1.00	0.50	1.50
vs Similar (23)	0.91	0.91	1.23	0.69	0.50	1.20
vs Weaker (1)	1.00	0.00	-	-	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	43% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Stromsgodset) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

65.5%

@ 1.16-14.5%

Under 0.5

34.5%

@ 4.64+14.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.21

Bet365

1.17

William Hil

1.17

Superbet

1.16

BetVictor

1.15

Under

Betfair

5.00

10Bet

5.00

Bet365

5.00

BetVictor

4.80

William Hil

4.60

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

30.6%

@ 1.82-20.6%

Under 1.5

69.4%

@ 1.91+20.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.93

1xBet

1.88

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathonbet

1.88

BetVictor

1.83

Under

10Bet

2.05

SBO

2.04

Bet365

2.00

Pinnacle

1.91

Betfair

1.91

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

9.9%

@ 3.59-15.8%

Under 2.5

90.1%

@ 1.25+15.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

3.90

Betano

3.65

1xBet

3.60

William Hil

3.60

Marathonbet

3.60

Under

Bet365

1.30

Superbet

1.26

William Hil

1.25

Betfair

1.25

Betano

1.24

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Stromsgodset over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

54.3%

@ 1.32-15.7%

Under

45.7%

@ 3.08+15.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.35

1xBet

1.29

Under

1xBet

3.20

Betano

2.95

Stromsgodset over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

18.2%

@ 2.44-19.9%

Under

81.8%

@ 1.50+19.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.52

Marathonbet

2.49

Pinnacle

2.48

Unibet

2.38

Superbet

2.37

Under

Pinnacle

1.53

Superbet

1.52

1xBet

1.51

Unibet

1.49

Marathonbet

1.47

Stromsgodset over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.3%

@ 5.45-13.6%

Under

96.7%

@ 1.11+13.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.50

Betano

5.40

Under

Betano

1.12

1xBet

1.10

hodd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

36.2%

@ 2.74+2.3%

Under

63.8%

@ 1.41-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.06

Superbet

2.77

Marathonbet

2.76

Betano

2.75

1xBet

2.60

Under

Unibet

1.45

1xBet

1.44

Betano

1.40

Superbet

1.39

Marathonbet

1.38

hodd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

7.6%

@ 10.05-1.6%

Under

92.4%

@ 1.02+1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

12.00

1xBet

9.90

Betano

8.25

Under

Betano

1.04

1xBet

1.01

hodd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.3%

@ 10.75-7.4%

Under

98.7%

@ 1.02+7.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

10.75

Under

Betano

1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stromsgodset

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.9

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	1.17	0.50	1.14	0.81	1.19
vs Stronger (12)	0.33	1.17	0.50	1.17	0.17	1.17
vs Similar (17)	0.88	1.24	0.50	1.12	1.22	1.33
vs Weaker (1)	1.00	0.00	-	-	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	33% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hodd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.9

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	1.13	0.60	1.00	0.73	1.27
vs Stronger (6)	0.17	2.17	0.00	1.50	0.25	2.50
vs Similar (23)	0.78	0.91	0.69	0.92	0.90	0.90
vs Weaker (1)	1.00	0.00	-	-	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	33% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Stromsgodset) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

76.0%

@ 1.09-9.7%

Under 0.5

24.0%

@ 6.52+9.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.11

Betano

1.10

Superbet

1.09

Bet365

1.08

1xBet

1.07

Under

Bet365

8.00

1xBet

6.80

Superbet

6.20

William Hil

5.80

Betano

5.80

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

41.8%

@ 1.49-20.2%

Under 1.5

58.2%

@ 2.43+20.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.57

Superbet

1.51

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.49

Marathonbet

1.49

Under

Bet365

2.62

Unibet

2.50

10Bet

2.45

Betano

2.42

1xBet

2.41

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

18.7%

@ 2.51-18.2%

Under 2.5

81.3%

@ 1.47+18.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

2.75

Superbet

2.55

1xBet

2.50

Marathonbet

2.50

Unibet

2.45

Under

Bet365

1.53

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.46

Marathonbet

1.46

Unibet

1.46

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Stromsgodset over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

59.2%

@ 1.19-18.7%

Under

40.8%

@ 4.17+18.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.20

1xBet

1.17

Under

1xBet

4.30

Betano

4.05

Stromsgodset over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

27.7%

@ 1.91-20.9%

Under

72.3%

@ 1.80+20.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.95

1xBet

1.90

Marathonbet

1.89

Betano

1.88

Under

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.81

Marathonbet

1.81

Superbet

1.77

Stromsgodset over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over

Over

7.3%

@ 3.62-18.1%

Under

92.7%

@ 1.24+18.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.70

Betano

3.55

Under

Betano

1.25

1xBet

1.22

hodd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

48.1%

@ 2.25+7.0%

Under

51.9%

@ 1.57-7.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

2.31

Superbet

2.27

Betano

2.25

1xBet

2.17

Under

1xBet

1.61

Betano

1.57

Superbet

1.56

Marathonbet

1.53

hodd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

13.0%

@ 7.43+0.6%

Under

87.0%

@ 1.06-0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

8.60

1xBet

7.30

Betano

6.40

Under

Betano

1.08

1xBet

1.05

Marathonbet

1.04

hodd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

2.9%

@ 11.25-5.3%

Under

97.1%

@ 1.01+5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

11.25

Under

Betano

1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.7%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.4%	✓ Hit
Under 7.5	98.2%	1.02	Betano 1.03	Bet365 1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	+4.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	97.1%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.7%	1.11	Betano 1.12	1xBet 1.10	-	-	-	+13.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	96.1%	1.01	Betano 1.01	888Sport 1.01	-	-	-	-0.1%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	95.2%	1.04	Betano 1.07	Bet365 1.06	BetVictor 1.05	Marathonbet 1.02	1xBet 1.02	+6.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	92.7%	1.24	Betano 1.25	1xBet 1.22	-	-	-	+18.1%	✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals	92.4%	1.02	Betano 1.04	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+1.6%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	90.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-0.7%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	90.1%	1.25	Bet365 1.30	Superbet 1.26	William Hil 1.25	Betfair 1.25	Betano 1.24	+15.8%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	88.8%	1.16	888Sport 1.20	Betano 1.18	Pinnacle 1.18	Betfair 1.17	Bet365 1.17	+9.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	87.0%	1.06	Betano 1.08	1xBet 1.05	Marathonbet 1.04	-	-	-0.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	86.6%	1.04	888Sport 1.06	Betano 1.05	Bet365 1.04	Betfair 1.03	1xBet 1.03	-3.9%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	86.4%	1.02	Betfair 1.03	Bet365 1.03	888Sport 1.03	1xBet 1.01	-	-6.5%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	84.5%	1.07	Betano 1.10	Bet365 1.10	Superbet 1.07	Betfair 1.07	Unibet 1.06	-2.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	81.8%	1.50	Pinnacle 1.53	Superbet 1.52	1xBet 1.51	Unibet 1.49	Marathonbet 1.47	+19.9%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	81.3%	1.47	Bet365 1.53	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.46	Marathonbet 1.46	Unibet 1.46	+18.2%	✗ Miss
Under 4.5	77.1%	1.42	888Sport 1.50	10Bet 1.45	Pinnacle 1.43	Unibet 1.43	1xBet 1.42	+11.7%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	77.0%	1.04	Betano 1.07	888Sport 1.06	William Hil 1.06	BetVictor 1.06	Bet365 1.05	-13.1%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	77.0%	1.08	Marathonbet 1.11	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-7.2%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	76.4%	1.09	888Sport 1.13	Bet365 1.12	Betano 1.11	William Hil 1.11	BetVictor 1.10	-9.4%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	76.0%	1.09	William Hil 1.11	Betano 1.10	Superbet 1.09	Bet365 1.08	1xBet 1.07	-9.7%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	71.7%	1.55	1xBet 1.63	Pinnacle 1.62	Betano 1.60	BetVictor 1.60	Marathonbet 1.59	+12.0%	✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Stromsgodset · 2025/26

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Jonas Therkelsen29%

Marko Farji24%

Jesper Taaje15%

Johan Johanessen Bakke12%

Alie Conteh12%

Logi Tomasson11%

Herman Stengel10%

Nikolaj Möller10%

Kreshnik Krasniqi10%

Ole Kristian Enersen8%

Gustav Wikheim7%

Lars Christopher Vilsvik7%

Gustav Valsvik7%

Fredrik Kristensen Dahl7%

Fredrik Pau Vilaseca Ardraa7%

Marcus Mehnert5%

Bent Sormo0%

Eirik Johansen0%

Per Kristian Bråtveit0%

Elias Hoff Melkersen0%

Sivert Eriksen Westerlund0%

James Ampofo0%

Andreas Heredia-Randen0%

Samuel Silalahi0%

André Stavas Skistad0%

Mats Spiten0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Johan Johanessen Bakke25%

Logi Tomasson22%

Marko Farji21%

Jesper Taaje19%

Fredrik Pau Vilaseca Ardraa17%

Jonas Therkelsen14%

Gustav Valsvik14%

Elias Hoff Melkersen12%

Marcus Mehnert10%

Kreshnik Krasniqi10%

James Ampofo8%

Ole Kristian Enersen8%

Gustav Wikheim7%

Lars Christopher Vilsvik7%

Bent Sormo5%

Per Kristian Bråtveit4%

Fredrik Kristensen Dahl3%

Eirik Johansen0%

Herman Stengel0%

Sivert Eriksen Westerlund0%

Nikolaj Möller0%

Alie Conteh0%

Andreas Heredia-Randen0%

Samuel Silalahi0%

André Stavas Skistad0%

Mats Spiten0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Gustav Wikheim21%

James Ampofo17%

Marko Farji14%

Elias Hoff Melkersen12%

Lars Christopher Vilsvik11%

Fredrik Kristensen Dahl10%

Fredrik Pau Vilaseca Ardraa10%

Marcus Mehnert10%

Ole Kristian Enersen8%

Johan Johanessen Bakke6%

Alie Conteh6%

Gustav Valsvik3%

Herman Stengel3%

Logi Tomasson0%

Bent Sormo0%

Eirik Johansen0%

Per Kristian Bråtveit0%

Jesper Taaje0%

Sivert Eriksen Westerlund0%

Kreshnik Krasniqi0%

Nikolaj Möller0%

Andreas Heredia-Randen0%

Jonas Therkelsen0%

Samuel Silalahi0%

André Stavas Skistad0%

Mats Spiten0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Alie Conteh31%

Marko Farji28%

Logi Tomasson22%

Jonas Therkelsen14%

Elias Hoff Melkersen12%

Johan Johanessen Bakke12%

Fredrik Pau Vilaseca Ardraa7%

Gustav Valsvik3%

Herman Stengel3%

Gustav Wikheim0%

Bent Sormo0%

Eirik Johansen0%

Lars Christopher Vilsvik0%

Per Kristian Bråtveit0%

Marcus Mehnert0%

Fredrik Kristensen Dahl0%

Jesper Taaje0%

Sivert Eriksen Westerlund0%

Kreshnik Krasniqi0%

Nikolaj Möller0%

James Ampofo0%

Ole Kristian Enersen0%

Andreas Heredia-Randen0%

Samuel Silalahi0%

André Stavas Skistad0%

Mats Spiten0%

Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (24)

€9m

OB (25)

€9m

HAU (24)

€9m

STR (22)

€7m

BRY (21)

€6m

KON (24)

€6m

EGE (25)

€5m

SOG (19)

€4m

MOS (21)

€4m

LYN (23)

€4m

RAN (22)

€4m

HOD (20)

€3m

ASA (22)

€3m

SU (21)

€3m

RAU (17)

€2m

STR (19)

€2m

Stromsgodset's squad is €4m more valuable than hodd's (€7m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

STA (9)

€5m

STR (9)

€3m

HAU (8)

€3m

KON (10)

€3m

OB (6)

€3m

BRY (6)

€2m

MOS (6)

€2m

HOD (7)

€1m

ASA (7)

€1m

RAN (6)

€1m

EGE (5)

€1m

LYN (5)

€1m

SOG (6)

€1m

SU (5)

€1m

STR (5)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

Stromsgodset's attack is €2m more valuable than hodd's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

OB (7)

€3m

HAU (6)

€2m

STR (5)

€2m

STA (5)

€2m

LYN (9)

€2m

BRY (5)

€1m

EGE (8)

€1m

RAN (5)

€1m

SOG (5)

€1m

SU (7)

€1m

KON (3)

€1m

MOS (6)

€1m

HOD (4)

€1m

RAU (4)

€0m

ASA (4)

€0m

STR (4)

€0m

Stromsgodset's midfield is €1m more valuable than hodd's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

HAU (10)

€4m

OB (12)

€3m

STA (10)

€3m

BRY (10)

€2m

SOG (8)

€2m

EGE (12)

€2m

STR (8)

€2m

KON (11)

€2m

MOS (9)

€2m

ASA (11)

€2m

RAN (11)

€2m

HOD (9)

€1m

LYN (9)

€1m

RAU (9)

€1m

SU (9)

€1m

STR (10)

€1m

Stromsgodset and hodd have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting

STR wins

Draws

HOD wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Stromsgodset vs hodd · H/A from STR

Date	H/A	Game	Score
04/07/26	A	hodd Vs STR	4-3

Stromsgodset

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	A	Modum FK Vs STR	0-6
15/08/26	A	Ranheim Vs STR	1-3
09/08/26	H	STR Vs Egersund	0-2
01/08/26	A	Bryne Vs STR	0-2
25/07/26	H	STR Vs Lyn	1-1
04/07/26	A	hodd Vs STR	4-3
30/11/25	A	Rosenborg Vs STR	6-0
22/11/25	H	STR Vs Sandefjord	2-6
09/11/25	A	Kristiansund BK Vs STR	2-1
02/11/25	H	STR Vs Viking	1-2

hodd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
16/08/26	H	HOD Vs Strommen	4-3
09/08/26	A	Sandnes ULF Vs HOD	3-4
02/08/26	H	HOD Vs Moss	2-1
27/07/26	A	Stabaek Vs HOD	6-0
04/07/26	H	HOD Vs Stromsgodset	4-3
08/11/25	H	HOD Vs Aalesund	0-0
01/11/25	A	Egersund Vs HOD	0-0
25/10/25	H	HOD Vs Stabaek	1-3
22/10/25	A	Kongsvinger Vs HOD	3-0
18/10/25	H	HOD Vs Asane	3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Stromsgodset

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWLWW	1.00
Home	LLLDL	1.04
Away	LLWWW	0.96

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	29%	27%
AVG goals	3.22	2.79	3.62
Over 1.5 %	84%	88%	81%
Over 2.5 %	60%	50%	69%
Over 3.5 %	36%	17%	54%
Scored	1.36	1.04	1.65
Conceded	1.86	1.75	1.96
BTTS	54%	54%	54%
Clean Sheet	20%	17%	23%
Corners	12.24	12.00	12.50
Cards	3.18	3.35	3.00

hodd

Norway: 1. Division

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLWWW	1.32
Home	LDWWW	1.48
Away	LLDLW	1.16

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	40%	28%
AVG goals	3.20	3.16	3.24
Over 1.5 %	80%	76%	84%
Over 2.5 %	60%	60%	60%
Over 3.5 %	40%	44%	36%
Scored	1.42	1.56	1.28
Conceded	1.78	1.60	1.96
BTTS	64%	68%	60%
Clean Sheet	16%	12%	20%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Stabaek	6	15	83%	2.5	21	7	+14	4.7	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	5	2	3	3.5	1.2	-
2	Haugesund	7	15	71%	2.1	22	11	+11	4.7	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	2	4	3.1	1.6	-
3	hodd	7	15	71%	2.1	17	20	-3	5.3	100%	100%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	2.4	2.9	-
4	Kongsvinger	6	13	67%	2.2	17	11	+6	4.7	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	2	2.8	1.8	-
5	Stromsgodset	7	13	57%	1.9	15	11	+4	3.7	100%	57%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	7	3	2	2	2.1	1.6	-
6	Bryne	7	13	57%	1.9	8	7	+1	2.1	86%	29%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	1	2	1.1	1.0	-
7	Lyn	6	11	50%	1.8	18	13	+5	5.2	100%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	2	1	3.0	2.2	-
8	Egersund	7	11	43%	1.6	12	12	+0	3.4	100%	71%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	2	1.7	1.7	-
9	Strommen	6	10	50%	1.7	12	11	+1	3.8	83%	83%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	2.0	1.8	-
10	ODD Ballklubb	7	8	29%	1.1	14	16	-2	4.3	71%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	3	3	2.0	2.3	-
11	Sogndal	6	7	33%	1.2	11	12	-1	3.8	100%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.8	2.0	-
12	Asane	6	5	17%	0.8	10	14	-4	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	2	1.7	2.3	-
13	Sandnes ULF	7	4	14%	0.6	8	16	-8	3.4	86%	43%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.1	2.3	-
14	Ranheim	6	3	17%	0.5	15	20	-5	5.8	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	2.5	3.3	-
15	Raufoss	6	3	17%	0.5	6	18	-12	4.0	100%	83%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	1	1.0	3.0	-
16	Moss	7	2	0%	0.3	9	16	-7	3.6	100%	100%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	1.3	2.3	-

Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches

Stromsgodset vs hodd Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Stromsgodset

hodd

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Stromsgodset

hodd

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Stromsgodset

hodd

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

🎽 13. Player market rates

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Stromsgodset

hodd

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature