This opponent (jerv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
jerv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
2.11
0.90
1.60
0.62
2.75
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
2.73
1.00
2.75
0.57
2.71
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.14
0.83
0.83
1.00
3.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
22% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stromsgodset) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.6%
Under 1.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.8%
Under 2.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.0%
Under 3.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
Stromsgodset goals ↓
jerv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
2.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
1
6.9%
8.8%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
2
9.3%
9.6%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
7.4%
7.7%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
4
4.5%
4.6%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Stromsgodset goals (down), columns = jerv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molde
2.60
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Rosenborg
1.87
Lillestrom
1.77
Kongsvinger
1.50
ODD Ballklubb
1.50
Valerenga
1.47
Tromso
1.43
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.37
Aalesund
1.30
Haugesund
1.27
Viking
1.17
Stromsgodset
1.10
Ham-Kam
1.03
Sandefjord
0.84
Kristiansund BK
0.77
jerv
0.67
Stromsgodset is 0.43 points better than jerv in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.87
Molde
2.37
Rosenborg
2.30
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.90
Valerenga
1.73
Lillestrom
1.63
Viking
1.60
Tromso
1.53
Sandefjord
1.47
Stromsgodset
1.47
ODD Ballklubb
1.43
Haugesund
1.40
Kristiansund BK
1.23
Ham-Kam
1.10
Aalesund
1.07
Kongsvinger
1.00
jerv
1.00
Stromsgodset is 0.47 goals better than jerv in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Molde
0.83
Lillestrom
1.13
Bodo/Glimt
1.37
Ham-Kam
1.43
Rosenborg
1.47
ODD Ballklubb
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Haugesund
1.53
Valerenga
1.63
Tromso
1.63
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.80
Viking
1.80
Stromsgodset
1.83
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Sandefjord
2.19
jerv
2.30
Kongsvinger
2.50
Stromsgodset is 0.47 goals better than jerv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 2.30).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
61%
Kongsvinger
54%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
54%
Valerenga
54%
Viking
53%
Molde
52%
ODD Ballklubb
52%
Lillestrom
52%
Sandefjord
50%
Rosenborg
49%
Stromsgodset
49%
Haugesund
48%
Tromso
48%
Aalesund
46%
Kristiansund BK
46%
jerv
45%
Ham-Kam
40%
Stromsgodset is 3.9 percentage points better than jerv in terms of average possession (49% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Stromsgodset
For 5.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.1 · Total 19.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
jerv
For 5.2 · Against 6.8 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stromsgodset
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
12.2
12.4
11.9
3.4
3.6
3.2
19.2
18.8
19.8
vs Stronger (7)
13.3
15.2
10.7
4.0
5.0
2.7
17.0
19.2
14.0
vs Similar (10)
11.4
10.2
12.6
3.0
2.4
3.6
20.8
18.4
23.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
82%
67%
100%
41%
44%
38%
35%
22%
50%
% under line
18%
33%
0%
59%
56%
62%
65%
78%
50%
This opponent (jerv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
jerv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (18)
12.1
11.8
12.5
3.6
3.4
3.9
22.4
22.6
22.1
vs Stronger (11)
12.4
11.8
12.7
3.5
3.8
3.3
22.0
24.2
20.7
vs Similar (7)
11.7
11.8
11.0
3.9
3.2
8.0
23.0
21.5
32.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
94%
90%
100%
39%
40%
38%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
6%
10%
0%
61%
60%
62%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (Stromsgodset) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sarpsborg 08 FF
12.8
Sandefjord
12.3
Stromsgodset
12.2
Haugesund
12.2
jerv
12.1
Valerenga
11.6
Ham-Kam
11.5
Kristiansund BK
11.4
Viking
11.3
Lillestrom
11.0
Molde
10.9
ODD Ballklubb
10.5
Bodo/Glimt
10.4
Aalesund
10.1
Rosenborg
9.8
Tromso
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Viking
4.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4.2
jerv
4.1
Haugesund
4.1
Molde
3.9
Lillestrom
3.8
Rosenborg
3.7
ODD Ballklubb
3.5
Stromsgodset
3.4
Aalesund
3.3
Valerenga
3.3
Kristiansund BK
3.3
Bodo/Glimt
3.1
Ham-Kam
3.0
Sandefjord
2.5
Tromso
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Haugesund
22.7
Aalesund
22.5
Tromso
22.5
jerv
22.4
Kristiansund BK
21.4
Lillestrom
21.1
Sarpsborg 08 FF
20.4
Valerenga
20.3
Viking
20.2
Molde
20.2
Rosenborg
20.1
Ham-Kam
19.3
Stromsgodset
19.2
Bodo/Glimt
18.4
ODD Ballklubb
17.1
Sandefjord
16.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
72.7%
Under 9.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.9%
Under 3.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
40.8%
Under 21.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Stromsgodset
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.82
0.59
1.11
0.33
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.57
1.25
0.25
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.40
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
71% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (jerv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
jerv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.22
0.94
0.30
0.80
0.12
1.12
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
1.27
0.50
1.50
0.14
1.14
vs Similar (7)
0.14
0.43
0.17
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
56% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Stromsgodset) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Stromsgodset over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Stromsgodset
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.59
0.94
0.78
1.22
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.86
1.25
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.00
0.40
1.40
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
41% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (jerv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
jerv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
1.17
0.60
0.80
0.50
1.62
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.45
0.50
1.25
0.43
1.57
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Stromsgodset) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Stromsgodset over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Stromsgodset
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen33%
Johan Hove30%
Jonatan Braut Brunes23%
Jack Ipalibo18%
Fred Friday15%
Herman Stengel10%
Gustav Valsvik10%
Ernest Boahene9%
Lars Christopher Vilsvik8%
Ole Kristian Enersen5%
Kristoffer Tokstad5%
Niklas Gunnarsson5%
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen5%
Thomas Grogaard3%
Ari Leifsson0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Halldor Stenevik0%
Sondre Fosnaess Hanssen0%
Kreshnik Krasniqi0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Fabian Holst-Larsen0%
Albert Palmberg Thorsen0%
Jonas Therkelsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonas Therkelsen50%
Ernest Boahene27%
Halldor Stenevik26%
Lars Christopher Vilsvik25%
Fabian Holst-Larsen25%
Kreshnik Krasniqi20%
Herman Stengel10%
Kristoffer Tokstad10%
Niklas Gunnarsson9%
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen9%
Fred Friday8%
Jonatan Braut Brunes8%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen7%
Thomas Grogaard7%
Ole Kristian Enersen5%
Jack Ipalibo5%
Gustav Valsvik3%
Viljar Myhra3%
Johan Hove3%
Ari Leifsson0%
Sondre Fosnaess Hanssen0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Albert Palmberg Thorsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Herman Stengel28%
Fabian Holst-Larsen25%
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen20%
Lars Christopher Vilsvik12%
Albert Palmberg Thorsen12%
Halldor Stenevik11%
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen9%
Fred Friday8%
Thomas Grogaard7%
Johan Hove7%
Jack Ipalibo5%
Gustav Valsvik3%
Ari Leifsson0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Kristoffer Tokstad0%
Sondre Fosnaess Hanssen0%
Jonatan Braut Brunes0%
Ernest Boahene0%
Kreshnik Krasniqi0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Ole Kristian Enersen0%
Jonas Therkelsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lars-Jørgen Salvesen27%
Johan Hove27%
Fred Friday15%
Jonatan Braut Brunes15%
Herman Stengel10%
Kristoffer Tokstad10%
Halldor Stenevik7%
Gustav Valsvik7%
Ole Kristian Enersen5%
Jack Ipalibo5%
Lars Christopher Vilsvik4%
Ari Leifsson0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Thomas Grogaard0%
Viljar Myhra0%
Sondre Fosnaess Hanssen0%
Ernest Boahene0%
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen0%
Kreshnik Krasniqi0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Fabian Holst-Larsen0%
Albert Palmberg Thorsen0%
Jonas Therkelsen0%
jerv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Schröter42%
Peter Wilson20%
Mikael Ugland19%
Aral Şimşir15%
Erik Brenden14%
Daniel Håkans14%
Willis Alvés Furtado11%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo11%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau10%
John Olav Norheim7%
Mathias Haarup4%
Mathias Wichmann3%
Jeremy Cijntje0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Erik Tobias Sandberg0%
Leandro Fernandes0%
Iman Mafi0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Oystein Ovretveit0%
Torje Wichne0%
Erlend Hustad0%
Dylan Mboumbouni0%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen0%
Henrik Bredeli0%
Kristian Sirum Novak0%
Thomas Ness0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leandro Fernandes47%
Thomas Ness25%
Erik Brenden24%
Willis Alvés Furtado22%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau20%
Erik Tobias Sandberg19%
John Olav Norheim17%
Iman Mafi17%
Mikael Ugland14%
Jeremy Cijntje12%
Dylan Mboumbouni12%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen12%
Kristian Sirum Novak12%
Torje Wichne10%
Aral Şimşir10%
Erlend Hustad10%
Henrik Bredeli8%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo7%
Oystein Ovretveit4%
Mathias Wichmann3%
Mathias Haarup0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Peter Wilson0%
Daniel Håkans0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Felix Schröter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Wilson20%
Felix Schröter17%
Aral Şimşir15%
Erlend Hustad14%
Iman Mafi11%
Henrik Bredeli8%
Torje Wichne7%
Mathias Wichmann7%
Leandro Fernandes7%
Erik Brenden5%
Mathias Haarup4%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo4%
Jeremy Cijntje0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Erik Tobias Sandberg0%
Daniel Håkans0%
Mikael Ugland0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Oystein Ovretveit0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Dylan Mboumbouni0%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen0%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau0%
Kristian Sirum Novak0%
Willis Alvés Furtado0%
Thomas Ness0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Wilson30%
Felix Schröter25%
Daniel Håkans14%
Willis Alvés Furtado11%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo11%
John Olav Norheim10%
Mikael Ugland10%
Erik Brenden5%
Mathias Haarup0%
Jeremy Cijntje0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Erik Tobias Sandberg0%
Leandro Fernandes0%
Iman Mafi0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Oystein Ovretveit0%
Torje Wichne0%
Mathias Wichmann0%
Erlend Hustad0%
Dylan Mboumbouni0%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen0%
Henrik Bredeli0%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau0%
Kristian Sirum Novak0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Thomas Ness0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Norway: Eliteserien 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
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Molde
Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg
Lillestrom
ODD Ballklubb
Valerenga
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Aalesund
Haugesund
Viking
Ham-Kam
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
Kongsvinger