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Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 08:30
Final 5-2
Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II
Vs
33%
27%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rapid Wien II
Rapid Wien II
Austria: 2. Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Sturm Graz II’s recent run of two straight defeats has left them struggling to find the net, averaging just one goal per home game while conceding 1.8. Rapid Wien II, on the other hand, has been more productive away, scoring 1.36 and conceding 1.43 against similar opposition. The model’s strongest edge is on the Away win, with a 40% chance, compared to 33% for a home victory and 27% for a draw. The expected total is 2.9 goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.7% chance. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98%, edge 8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%, edge 7%), Under 6.5 (97.1%, edge 8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%, edge 9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.6%, edge 6%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.8%, edge 6%) and Away under 3.5 goals (93.1%, edge 5%).

Results analysis

Sturm Graz II’s win extends their recent run, ending the match 5-2 to secure a home victory. The pre-match favourite, the model’s “Away win” at 40% probability, proved wrong. The model’s selection was not correct. Among the suggested picks, “Under 7.5” hit at 99% confidence, “Away under 2.5 HT goals” hit at 98.1%, “Home under 2.5 HT goals” hit at 97.8%, “Away under 2.5 2H goals” hit at 96.5%, and “Away under 3.5 goals” hit at 93.1%. The picks “Home under 2.5 2H goals” at 97.1% missed, as did “Under 6.5” at 97.1% and “Home under 3.5 goals” at 94.8%. The final score of 5-2 confirmed the home side’s triumph, contradicting the model’s expectation.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturm Graz II win✓ Hit
33.3%
Avg Implied 34.1% · @ 2.69
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.79
Betano
2.75
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.63
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.84
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Rapid Wien II win✗ Miss
39.8%
Avg Implied 40.5% · @ 2.27
Edge
-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.35
Dafabet
2.34
Pinnacle
2.32
Bet365
2.30
Unibet
2.28

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D12L02L02L12L04L42W02L13LA·FIR12/04H·AUS18/04A·ADM26/04H·AUS02/05A·WSP08/05H·RAP14/05A·FIR01/08H·FLO08/08H·ADM15/08A·SCH22/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.730.941.750.931.71
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.971.761.001.800.931.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W14L03L12L10W21W10W13L21W02LA·SV 06/04H·WSP10/04A·AUS17/04A·AUS03/05H·FIR08/05A·STU14/05A·ADM31/07H·VOI08/08A·WSP14/08H·FLO22/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.501.201.601.271.40
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (29)1.281.521.201.601.361.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
@ 1.13-2.4%
Under 1.5
20.2%
@ 5.20+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Under
Betfair
6.00
Pinnacle
5.63
BetVictor
5.40
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.6%
@ 1.47-7.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
@ 2.51+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.60
Betfair
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
Unibet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.2%
@ 2.18-9.5%
Under 3.5
66.8%
@ 1.63+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
Betfair
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.7%
@ 1.42-5.5%
No
40.3%
@ 2.65+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.41
No
Betfair
2.80
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.69
Marathonbet
2.64
Superbet
2.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 6.89+6.3%
1-2
8.8%@ 8.22+3.5%
2-1
7.9%@ 9.01+3.1%
0-1
7.2%@ 10.81+3.1%
0-0
6.6%@ 15.06+3.7%
1-0
6.4%@ 11.83+2.7%
0-2
6.4%@ 12.77+2.9%
2-2
6.1%@ 9.66+1.5%
Sturm Graz II goals ↓
Rapid Wien II goals →
01234
06.6%7.2%6.4%3.2%1.2%
16.4%13%8.8%4.5%1.7%
25.2%7.9%6.1%3.1%1.2%
32.4%3.7%2.8%1.4%0.5%
40.8%1.3%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sturm Graz II goals (down), columns = Rapid Wien II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
Sturm Graz II and Rapid Wien II are level in average points per game (both 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
Sturm Graz II is 0.80 goals better than Rapid Wien II in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
Sturm Graz II is 0.40 goals worse than Rapid Wien II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.60 vs 2.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (47)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.410.01.00.81.221.819.624.8
vs Stronger (3)10.010.0-1.01.50.024.024.0-
vs Similar (47)10.310.510.01.00.81.221.518.824.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%57%60%16%12%20%58%43%80%
% under line42%43%40%84%88%80%42%57%20%
This opponent (Sturm Graz II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.5%
@ 1.70-8.1%
Under 9.5
53.5%
@ 2.05+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.08
Bet365
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.4%
Under 3.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.3%
Under 21.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sturm Graz II or Draw✓ Hit
60.2%
Avg Implied 59.1% · @ 1.56
Edge
+1.1%
33%
27%
40%
covers Sturm Graz II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
BetVictor
1.57
Sturm Graz II or Rapid Wien II✓ Hit
73.0%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.23
Edge
-2.0%
33%
27%
40%
covers Sturm Graz II + Rapid Wien II
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw or Rapid Wien II✗ Miss
66.7%
Avg Implied 65.8% · @ 1.40
Edge
+0.9%
33%
27%
40%
covers Draw + Rapid Wien II
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.41

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sturm Graz II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.9%
@ 1.20-2.7%
Under
25.1%
@ 4.14+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Sturm Graz II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.1%
@ 2.00-6.4%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.74+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Sturm Graz II over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
16.2%
@ 4.18-6.0%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.19+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.30
1xBet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Sturm Graz II over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
5.2%
@ 8.82-5.4%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.04+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.40
Bet365
8.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Rapid Wien II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.3%
@ 1.15-2.2%
Under
21.7%
@ 4.75+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.95
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.65
Rapid Wien II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.1%
@ 1.80-6.6%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.93+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Betfair
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Rapid Wien II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 3.51-6.6%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.26+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Under
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Rapid Wien II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 7.05-6.3%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.07+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.00
Betano
7.00
1xBet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Sturm Graz II, so a minus line means Sturm Graz II give that many goals of a start and Rapid Wien II receive them. At -1, Sturm Graz II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sturm Graz II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sturm Graz II)Actual: Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II -2
5.6%
@ 8.22-4.7%
Draw -2
10.0%
@ 6.47-3.1%
Rapid Wien II +2
84.4%
@ 1.11+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
6.45
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Sturm Graz II)Actual: Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II -1
15.6%
@ 5.10-2.0%
Draw -1
17.7%
@ 4.72-1.3%
Rapid Wien II +1
66.7%
@ 1.41+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Handicap +1 (Sturm Graz II)Actual: Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II +1
60.2%
@ 1.58+3.7%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 4.21-1.5%
Rapid Wien II -1
20.1%
@ 4.01-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Away
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
10Bet
3.90
Handicap +2 (Sturm Graz II)Actual: Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II +2
79.9%
@ 1.18+4.2%
Draw +2
12.2%
@ 6.68-1.2%
Rapid Wien II -2
7.9%
@ 8.13-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Bet365
6.50
Away
Betfair
9.00
Marathonbet
7.90
Bet365
7.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W11D01L02L01L02L22D01L12LA·FIR12/04H·AUS18/04A·ADM26/04H·AUS02/05A·WSP08/05H·RAP14/05A·FIR01/08H·FLO08/08H·ADM15/08A·SCH22/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.900.380.880.500.93
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.450.900.400.870.500.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D01L10W00D10W10W02L10W00DA·SV 06/04H·WSP10/04A·AUS17/04A·AUS03/05H·FIR08/05A·STU14/05A·ADM31/07H·VOI08/08A·WSP14/08H·FLO22/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.470.470.870.53
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (29)0.690.480.470.470.930.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.7%
@ 1.24-3.9%
Under 0.5
29.3%
@ 3.64+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Under
BetVictor
3.80
William Hil
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.9%
@ 2.17-8.0%
Under 1.5
65.1%
@ 1.63+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
BetVictor
1.63
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
11.2%
@ 4.62-8.8%
Under 2.5
88.8%
@ 1.16+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.00
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
William Hil
4.60
Superbet
4.55
Under
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sturm Graz II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.0%
@ 1.85-3.1%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.86+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Sturm Graz II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.8%
@ 5.34-3.6%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.12+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Sturm Graz II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 12.50-5.3%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Rapid Wien II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.8%
@ 1.74-10.4%
Under
57.2%
@ 1.98+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Rapid Wien II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.9%
@ 4.66-7.8%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.15+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.55
1xBet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Rapid Wien II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 11.25-6.4%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L01L00D11D02L20W01L01LA·FIR12/04H·AUS18/04A·ADM26/04H·AUS02/05A·WSP08/05H·RAP14/05A·FIR01/08H·FLO08/08H·ADM15/08A·SCH22/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.560.880.430.79
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.520.860.600.930.430.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L02L02L10W11D00D11D11D02LA·SV 06/04H·WSP10/04A·AUS17/04A·AUS03/05H·FIR08/05A·STU14/05A·ADM31/07H·VOI08/08A·WSP14/08H·FLO22/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.731.130.400.87
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.591.030.731.130.430.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.9%
@ 1.13-3.2%
Under 0.5
21.1%
@ 5.15+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
Superbet
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.1%
@ 1.68-11.2%
Under 1.5
55.9%
@ 2.08+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Under
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.3%
@ 3.09-12.6%
Under 2.5
82.7%
@ 1.32+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Under
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sturm Graz II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.2%
@ 1.59-5.9%
Under
47.8%
@ 2.21+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Superbet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Sturm Graz II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
16.4%
@ 3.82-7.8%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.22+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Sturm Graz II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
2.9%
@ 8.95-7.5%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.04+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Rapid Wien II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.0%
@ 1.50-13.0%
Under
51.0%
@ 2.44+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.50
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Rapid Wien II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 3.29-11.2%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.28+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Rapid Wien II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 8.17-7.8%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.04+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+5.3%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
---+6.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.8%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
---+5.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.1%1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
---+7.5%✗ Miss
Under 6.597.1%1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
--+6.9%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.5%1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
--+7.8%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.8%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-+5.4%✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals93.1%1.07
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-+6.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.592.5%1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
+6.3%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals88.8%1.16
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+8.8%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.1%1.15
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-+7.8%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.1%--------
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.2%1.12
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-+3.6%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap84.4%1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
---+7.9%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals83.8%1.19
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+6.0%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.6%1.22
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
-+7.8%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals83.1%1.28
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-+11.2%✓ Hit
Under 4.583.1%1.24
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+8.3%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals82.7%1.32
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+12.6%✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls81.0%--------
Away under 2.5 goals80.2%1.26
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+6.6%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap79.9%1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
--+4.2%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.8%1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-2.4%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals78.9%1.13
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.12
-3.2%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals78.3%1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-2.2%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.2%1.39
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
--+10.5%-
Home over 0.5 goals74.9%1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
-2.7%✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards74.4%--------
Home or Away73.0%1.23
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
-2.0%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals70.7%1.24
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
-3.9%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Sturm Graz II and Rapid Wien II have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Sturm Graz II and Rapid Wien II have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
Sturm Graz II and Rapid Wien II have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Sturm Graz II and Rapid Wien II have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
SGI wins
2
Draws
2
RWI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II · H/A from SGI
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/26HSGI Vs Rapid Wien II1-2
29/11/25ARapid Wien II Vs SGI1-1
22/02/25HSGI Vs Rapid Wien II1-0
10/08/24ARapid Wien II Vs SGI4-2
07/04/23ARapid Wien II Vs SGI0-4
07/08/22HSGI Vs Rapid Wien II1-1

Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26ASchwarz-Weiß Bregenz Vs SGI3-1
15/08/26HSGI Vs Admira Wacker0-2
08/08/26HSGI Vs Floridsdorfer AC4-2
01/08/26AFirst Vienna Vs SGI4-0
14/05/26HSGI Vs Rapid Wien II1-2
08/05/26AWSPG Wels Vs SGI2-0
02/05/26HSGI Vs Austria Salzburg0-2
26/04/26AAdmira Wacker Vs SGI2-1
18/04/26HSGI Vs Austria Klagenfurt1-1
12/04/26AFirst Vienna Vs SGI2-1

Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HRWI Vs Floridsdorfer AC0-2
14/08/26AWSPG Wels Vs RWI1-2
08/08/26HRWI Vs Voitsberg1-3
31/07/26AAdmira Wacker Vs RWI0-1
14/05/26ASturm Graz II Vs RWI1-2
08/05/26HRWI Vs First Vienna1-0
03/05/26AAustria Klagenfurt Vs RWI2-1
17/04/26AAustria Lustenau Vs RWI3-0
10/04/26HRWI Vs WSPG Wels1-4
06/04/26ASV Kapfenberg Vs RWI0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II
Austria: 2. Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.00
HomeDLLWL1.00
AwayLLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals2.882.882.88
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.221.231.21
Conceded1.661.651.67
BTTS60%54%67%
Clean Sheet14%12%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Rapid Wien II
Rapid Wien II
Austria: 2. Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.14
HomeLLWLL1.12
AwayLLWWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals3.022.963.08
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.281.201.36
Conceded1.741.761.72
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners10.3810.6210.00
Cards4.383.386.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC BW LinzFC BW Linz512
80%
2.4
133+10
3.2
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.60.6
-
2FC LieferingFC Liefering510
60%
2.0
138+5
4.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.61.6
-
3First ViennaFirst Vienna510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.81.2
-
4Floridsdorfer ACFloridsdorfer AC510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.2
-
5Austria SalzburgAustria Salzburg59
60%
1.8
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.01.4
-
6Wacker InnsbruckWacker Innsbruck59
60%
1.8
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
7Austria Vienna (Am)Austria Vienna (Am)59
60%
1.8
76+1
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.2
-
8Schwarz-Weiß BregenzSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz57
40%
1.4
610-4
3.2
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.0
-
9Admira WackerAdmira Wacker56
40%
1.2
65+1
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.0
-
10SKU AmstettenSKU Amstetten56
20%
1.2
66+0
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
11Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II56
40%
1.2
1013-3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.02.6
-
12Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II56
40%
1.2
611-5
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.22.2
-
13VoitsbergVoitsberg55
20%
1.0
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
14WSPG WelsWSPG Wels54
20%
0.8
610-4
3.2
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.0
-
15SKN ST. PoltenSKN ST. Polten53
20%
0.6
14-3
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.20.8
-
16SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg53
20%
0.6
612-6
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.4
-
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →

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