Sturm Graz II, riding a recent win after a mixed five-game run, looks poised to outscore Voitsberg, whose last outing ended in defeat. The model favours a home win, with a 47% chance, a 23% draw, and a 30% away victory. The expected total is 3.5 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.9% probability. Sturm Graz II averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.80 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Voitsberg, on the road, nets 1.77 and concedes 1.62. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (97.2%), Under 6.5 (93.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (92.7%), Over 2.5 cards (87.9%), Over 1.5 (87.7%), Home over 0.5 goals (86.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (86.1%) and Home +2 handicap (85.6%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Sturm Graz II win
46.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg win
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Sturm Graz II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.73
1.19
1.75
0.93
1.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.10
1.76
1.27
1.80
0.93
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Voitsberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.43
1.06
1.31
1.79
1.57
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
1.80
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.36
1.36
0.92
1.08
1.77
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.7%
Under 1.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.5%
Under 2.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
68.9%
No
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
3-2
4.6%
Sturm Graz II goals ↓
Voitsberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
3.6%
3.5%
1.8%
0.7%
1
4.9%
9.9%
7.0%
3.6%
1.4%
2
5.7%
8.9%
6.9%
3.6%
1.4%
3
3.8%
5.9%
4.6%
2.4%
0.9%
4
1.9%
2.9%
2.3%
1.2%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sturm Graz II goals (down), columns = Voitsberg goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
Sturm Graz II is 0.20 points better than Voitsberg in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
Sturm Graz II is 0.60 goals better than Voitsberg in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
Sturm Graz II is 0.60 goals worse than Voitsberg in terms of goals conceded per game (2.60 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Sturm Graz II
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Voitsberg
For 6.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sturm Graz II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Voitsberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
9.0
8.4
9.6
2.8
2.9
2.7
25.3
27.2
23.4
vs Stronger (6)
10.0
9.0
11.0
2.0
1.4
5.0
36.0
41.0
31.0
vs Similar (41)
8.9
8.4
9.5
2.9
3.3
2.5
24.3
25.9
22.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
25%
45%
38%
42%
35%
70%
75%
64%
% under line
65%
75%
55%
62%
58%
65%
30%
25%
36%
This opponent (Sturm Graz II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.4%
Under 9.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.1%
Under 3.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.6%
Under 21.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Sturm Graz II or Draw
70.3%
Avg Implied -
47%
23%
30%
covers Sturm Graz II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz II or Voitsberg
76.5%
Avg Implied -
47%
23%
30%
covers Sturm Graz II + Voitsberg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Voitsberg
53.2%
Avg Implied -
47%
23%
30%
covers Draw + Voitsberg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Sturm Graz II over/under 0.5
Over
86.1%
Under
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz II over/under 1.5
Over
58.8%
Under
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz II over/under 2.5
Over
31.7%
Under
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz II over/under 3.5
Over
13.9%
Under
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5
Over
78.9%
Under
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 1.5
Over
46.1%
Under
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 2.5
Over
20.6%
Under
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 3.5
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Sturm Graz II, so a minus line means Sturm Graz II give that many goals of a start and Voitsberg receive them. At -1, Sturm Graz II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Sturm Graz II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Sturm Graz II)
Sturm Graz II -2
12.7%
Draw -2
14.3%
Voitsberg +2
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Sturm Graz II)
Sturm Graz II -1
27.1%
Draw -1
19.7%
Voitsberg +1
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Sturm Graz II)
Sturm Graz II +1
70.3%
Draw +1
15.3%
Voitsberg -1
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Sturm Graz II)
Sturm Graz II +2
85.6%
Draw +2
8.9%
Voitsberg -2
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Sturm Graz II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.90
0.50
0.88
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.52
0.90
0.53
0.87
0.50
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Voitsberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.38
0.69
1.21
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
0.75
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.56
0.25
0.58
1.15
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sturm Graz II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Sturm Graz II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.69
0.88
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.59
0.86
0.73
0.93
0.43
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Voitsberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.69
0.62
0.57
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.80
0.67
0.50
0.62
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Sturm Graz II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sturm Graz II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sturm Graz II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →