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Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris Result & Analysis

Date: 13/06/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 0-0
Suduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole
Vs
36%
35%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Suduva Marijampole win✗ Miss
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
34.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris win✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L11D40W00D40W10W30W11D31W41WA·FK 16/04H·ŠIA19/04H·HEG27/04H·PAN04/05A·VIL07/05A·BAN11/05A·DAI16/05A·DŽI25/05A·TAU28/05H·FK 01/06
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.871.360.431.561.25
vs Stronger (5)1.201.401.001.001.331.67
vs Similar (24)1.460.751.420.331.501.17
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W20W01L10W31W10W30W22D30W40WH·HEG16/04A·PAN19/04H·BAN27/04A·NEP30/04H·FK 04/05A·DŽI09/05H·FK 17/05A·FK 20/05H·ŠIA23/05H·DAI30/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.971.560.941.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.921.002.330.501.571.43
vs Weaker (17)1.240.941.101.201.430.57
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduva Marijampole) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
56.9%
Under 1.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.6%
Under 2.5
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.9%
Under 3.5
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.9%
No
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0 ✓
16.9%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
Suduva Marijampole goals ↓
Kauno Žalgiris goals →
01234
017%12%5.8%1.7%0.4%
114%15%5.8%1.7%0.4%
27.7%6.7%2.9%0.8%0.2%
32.6%2.2%1.0%0.3%0.1%
40.6%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Suduva Marijampole goals (down), columns = Kauno Žalgiris goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kauno Žalgiris
2.08
Hegelmann Litauen
1.86
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.72
Suduva Marijampole
1.64
Šiauliai
1.44
Panevėžys
1.36
Džiugas Telšiai
1.28
Banga
1.17
FK Trakai
0.79
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.50
Dainava
0.50
Suduva Marijampole is 0.44 points worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 2.08).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kauno Žalgiris
1.86
Šiauliai
1.64
Hegelmann Litauen
1.56
Panevėžys
1.56
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
Suduva Marijampole
1.33
Banga
1.06
Džiugas Telšiai
1.03
FK Trakai
1.03
Dainava
0.75
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.50
Suduva Marijampole is 0.53 goals worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.72
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.00
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
Banga
1.00
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
1.19
Džiugas Telšiai
1.25
Panevėžys
1.36
Šiauliai
1.47
FK Trakai
1.97
Dainava
2.11
Suduva Marijampole is 0.28 goals worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.72).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W40W00D10W10W10W10W20W30WA·FK 16/04H·ŠIA19/04H·HEG27/04H·PAN04/05A·VIL07/05A·BAN11/05A·DAI16/05A·DŽI25/05A·TAU28/05H·FK 01/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.300.730.070.670.53
vs Stronger (5)0.400.200.500.000.330.33
vs Similar (24)0.710.330.770.080.640.64
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D10W00D20W01L10W10WH·HEG16/04A·PAN19/04H·BAN27/04A·NEP30/04H·FK 04/05A·DŽI09/05H·FK 17/05A·FK 20/05H·ŠIA23/05H·DAI30/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.400.500.190.430.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.540.690.670.170.431.14
vs Weaker (17)0.410.180.400.200.430.14
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduva Marijampole) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Suduva Marijampole over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva Marijampole over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva Marijampole over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L00D00D30W00D20W01L11D11DA·FK 16/04H·ŠIA19/04H·HEG27/04H·PAN04/05A·VIL07/05A·BAN11/05A·DAI16/05A·DŽI25/05A·TAU28/05H·FK 01/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.530.330.870.73
vs Stronger (5)0.801.200.501.001.001.33
vs Similar (24)0.670.380.540.230.820.55
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W20W01L10W21W10W10W21W20W30WH·HEG16/04A·PAN19/04H·BAN27/04A·NEP30/04H·FK 04/05A·DŽI09/05H·FK 17/05A·FK 20/05H·ŠIA23/05H·DAI30/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.571.060.751.070.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.380.311.670.331.140.29
vs Weaker (17)0.820.760.701.001.000.43
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduva Marijampole) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Suduva Marijampole over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva Marijampole over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduva Marijampole over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.588.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.571.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
DT (22)
€5m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
Suduva Marijampole's squad is €4m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€6m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
NK (1)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Suduva Marijampole's attack is €1m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€2m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
Suduva Marijampole and Kauno Žalgiris have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
NK (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Suduva Marijampole's defence is €2m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€2m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
SM wins
4
Draws
3
KŽ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs SM0-0
09/11/24AKauno Žalgiris Vs SM2-4
17/08/24HSM Vs Kauno Žalgiris1-1
19/06/24HSM Vs Kauno Žalgiris2-2
20/04/24AKauno Žalgiris Vs SM2-1
26/08/23HSM Vs Kauno Žalgiris2-6
22/06/23AKauno Žalgiris Vs SM1-1
23/04/23AKauno Žalgiris Vs SM3-0

Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/06/25HSM Vs FK Trakai4-1
28/05/25ATauras Vs SM1-3
25/05/25ADžiugas Telšiai Vs SM1-1
16/05/25ADainava Vs SM0-3
11/05/25ABanga Vs SM0-1
07/05/25AVilnius FA Vs SM0-4
04/05/25HSM Vs Panevėžys0-0
27/04/25HSM Vs Hegelmann Litauen4-0
19/04/25HSM Vs Šiauliai1-1
16/04/25AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs SM3-0

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/05/25HKŽ Vs Dainava4-0
23/05/25HKŽ Vs Šiauliai3-0
20/05/25AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs KŽ2-2
17/05/25HKŽ Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius3-0
09/05/25ADžiugas Telšiai Vs KŽ0-1
04/05/25HKŽ Vs FK Trakai3-1
30/04/25ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs KŽ0-1
27/04/25HKŽ Vs Banga0-1
19/04/25APanevėžys Vs KŽ0-2
16/04/25HKŽ Vs Hegelmann Litauen3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Suduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.40
HomeWDWDW1.57
AwayWWWDW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%39%33%
AVG goals2.161.702.56
Over 1.5 %56%43%67%
Over 2.5 %38%22%52%
Over 3.5 %22%17%26%
Scored1.161.041.26
Conceded1.000.651.30
BTTS42%35%48%
Clean Sheet38%48%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.86
HomeLWWWW1.88
AwayDWWWD1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%58%50%
AVG goals2.522.542.50
Over 1.5 %62%67%58%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.641.671.62
Conceded0.880.880.88
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet44%38%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris3675
61%
2.1
6726+41
2.6
69%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.90.7
-
2Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen3667
58%
1.9
5643+13
2.8
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.2
-
3FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius3662
47%
1.7
5441+13
2.6
81%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2331.51.1
-
4Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole3659
42%
1.6
4836+12
2.3
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.0
-
5ŠiauliaiŠiauliai3652
39%
1.4
5953+6
3.1
81%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2231.61.5
-
6PanevėžysPanevėžys3649
39%
1.4
5649+7
2.9
81%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.4
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai3646
36%
1.3
3745-8
2.3
64%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.01.2
-
8BangaBanga3642
31%
1.2
3836+2
2.1
58%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.11.0
-
9FK TrakaiFK Trakai3830
18%
0.8
3975-36
3.0
82%
58%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
10DainavaDainava3618
8%
0.5
2776-49
2.9
89%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
11Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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