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Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 15:45
Final 2-0
Suduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole
Vs
48%
27%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Panevėžys
Panevėžys
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Suduva Marijampole is the favourite to win this Lithuania: A Lyga match against Panevėžys, with a 47% chance of a home win. The match is expected to be relatively low-scoring, with an average of 2.8 goals expected, and the most likely total number of goals is 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.7%.

Suduva Marijampole have been in good form, with a 2-game winning streak, and they have scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 0.83 goals at home. Panevėžys, on the other hand, have scored an average of 1.44 goals and conceded 2.11 goals when playing away against teams of similar strength.

The model's selection is the home win, with a 47% chance of winning. The draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 26%. The model also suggests the Over 1.5 selection, with a probability of 78.4%.

Results analysis

The win extends Suduva Marijampole’s four-game winning run, with a 2-0 triumph over Panevėžys. The model’s favourite was a home win, and with a 48 % probability it proved correct. The match delivered on the model’s selections: Under 7.5 goals hit, as did the 99 %-likely Away under 2.5 HT goals, the 97.9 % Under 6.5, the 97.8 % Away under 2.5 2H goals, the 97.4 % Away under 3.5 goals, the 95.6 % Home under 2.5 HT goals, the 94.3 % Under 5.5 and the 92.1 % Away under 1.5 HT goals. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was reported once.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Suduva Marijampole win✓ Hit
47.8%
Avg Implied 60.3% · @ 1.49
Edge
-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.57
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 3.86
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Unibet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
Panevėžys win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 16.5% · @ 5.43
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
5.90
1xBet
5.82
Unibet
5.75
Bet365
5.75
Pinnacle
5.72

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D21W10W22D12L22D00D51W30W20WA·DŽI18/10H·DAI23/10H·KAU27/10H·ŠIA02/11A·HEG08/11A·MIN28/04H·TRA06/07H·HEG20/07A·BAN09/08A·DŽI17/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.031.601.201.400.87
vs Stronger (7)1.001.001.001.251.000.67
vs Similar (22)1.641.001.821.181.450.82
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L31W20W30W12L11D03L11D20W01LA·KAU02/11H·FK 08/11A·RAD29/04A·ATM20/05A·MIN23/06H·HEG04/07A·KAU11/07H·DŽI03/08A·TRA10/08A·ŠIA17/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.201.231.002.001.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.381.381.201.001.551.73
vs Weaker (9)2.330.781.331.002.830.67
Clean sheet %30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduva Marijampole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
@ 1.20+0.9%
Under 1.5
23.6%
@ 3.70-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.7%
@ 1.71-3.0%
Under 2.5
49.3%
@ 1.98+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.80
Bet365
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.7%
@ 2.69-5.0%
Under 3.5
71.3%
@ 1.37+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
Superbet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.70
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.5%
@ 1.79+3.6%
No
45.5%
@ 1.86-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.88
Unibet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.80
No
Betfair
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.86

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 6.96+6.8%
1-0
9.5%@ 6.48+2.9%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.15+3.4%
2-0 ✓
8.6%@ 6.77+2.2%
0-0
7.9%@ 11.12+4.0%
1-2
6.5%@ 15.94+3.8%
0-1
6.2%@ 14.46+3.2%
2-2
5.2%@ 14.76+2.3%
Suduva Marijampole goals ↓
Panevėžys goals →
01234
07.9%6.2%4.1%1.5%0.4%
19.5%13%6.5%2.4%0.7%
28.6%9.5%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.6%5.1%2.8%1.0%0.3%
41.8%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Suduva Marijampole goals (down), columns = Panevėžys goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
Suduva Marijampole is 1.29 points better than Panevėžys in terms of average points per game (2.67 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
Suduva Marijampole is 1.21 goals better than Panevėžys in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
Suduva Marijampole is 0.67 goals better than Panevėžys in terms of goals conceded per game (0.33 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Suduva Marijampole or Draw✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied 83.2% · @ 1.09
Edge
-8.2%
48%
27%
25%
covers Suduva Marijampole + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Suduva Marijampole or Panevėžys✓ Hit
72.8%
Avg Implied 77.3% · @ 1.17
Edge
-4.5%
48%
27%
25%
covers Suduva Marijampole + Panevėžys
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
SBO
1.17
Draw or Panevėžys✗ Miss
52.2%
Avg Implied 39.5% · @ 2.30
Edge
+12.7%
48%
27%
25%
covers Draw + Panevėžys
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.42
Betfair
2.40
Unibet
2.38
1xBet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.32

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Suduva Marijampole over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.9%
@ 1.10-3.5%
Under
20.1%
@ 5.52+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Under
1xBet
5.80
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Suduva Marijampole over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.6%
@ 1.59-10.7%
Under
52.4%
@ 2.22+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Suduva Marijampole over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.7%
@ 2.78-11.3%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.37+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.76
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Under
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Suduva Marijampole over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 5.80-8.0%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.10+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
Bet365
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Panevėžys over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.8%
@ 1.61+9.2%
Under
33.2%
@ 2.17-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.28
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Superbet
2.07
Panevėžys over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.1%
@ 3.81+6.1%
Under
69.9%
@ 1.21-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Superbet
1.16
Panevėžys over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 9.40+0.0%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.04-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.80
Bet365
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Panevėžys over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 17.00-97.4%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Suduva Marijampole, so a minus line means Suduva Marijampole give that many goals of a start and Panevėžys receive them. At -1, Suduva Marijampole must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Suduva Marijampole win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Suduva Marijampole)Actual: Draw
Suduva Marijampole -2
10.6%
@ 4.29-10.1%
Draw -2
14.9%
@ 4.42-5.2%
Panevėžys +2
74.4%
@ 1.50+15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Away
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.48
Handicap -1 (Suduva Marijampole)Actual: Suduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole -1
25.6%
@ 2.37-11.6%
Draw -1
22.2%
@ 3.52-2.7%
Panevėžys +1
52.2%
@ 2.32+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.33
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Away
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.32
Bet365
2.25
Handicap +1 (Suduva Marijampole)Actual: Suduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole +1
75.0%
@ 1.10-6.8%
Draw +1
14.9%
@ 8.00+3.7%
Panevėžys -1
10.0%
@ 13.00+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
13.00
Handicap +2 (Suduva Marijampole)Actual: Suduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole +2
90.0%
@ 1.03-2.3%
Draw +2
7.0%
@ 19.00+2.0%
Panevėžys -2
3.0%
@ 34.00+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
34.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D01L00D01L00D30W20W00DA·DŽI18/10H·DAI23/10H·KAU27/10H·ŠIA02/11A·HEG08/11A·MIN28/04H·TRA06/07H·HEG20/07A·BAN09/08A·DŽI17/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.530.600.400.27
vs Stronger (7)0.140.570.250.750.000.33
vs Similar (22)0.590.360.640.550.550.18
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W00D10W01L00D02L10W10W01LA·KAU02/11H·FK 08/11A·RAD29/04A·ATM20/05A·MIN23/06H·HEG04/07A·KAU11/07H·DŽI03/08A·TRA10/08A·ŠIA17/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.620.461.060.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.710.710.600.500.820.91
vs Weaker (9)1.220.220.670.331.500.17
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduva Marijampole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.31+3.4%
Under 0.5
27.2%
@ 2.96-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.14
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.4%
@ 2.45-2.5%
Under 1.5
65.6%
@ 1.44+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.53
William Hil
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Betfair
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 5.46-3.3%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.09+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.25
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Suduva Marijampole over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
56.0%
@ 1.60-1.9%
Under
44.0%
@ 2.19+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.28
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.03
Suduva Marijampole over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.0%
@ 3.81-5.0%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.20+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Suduva Marijampole over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 10.00-4.8%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.01+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Panevėžys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.3%
@ 2.77+3.1%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.38-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
2.71
1xBet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.33
Panevėžys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W10W21W12L21W00D21W10W20WA·DŽI18/10H·DAI23/10H·KAU27/10H·ŠIA02/11A·HEG08/11A·MIN28/04H·TRA06/07H·HEG20/07A·BAN09/08A·DŽI17/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.601.070.601.000.60
vs Stronger (7)0.860.430.750.501.000.33
vs Similar (22)1.050.641.180.640.910.64
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W20W20W11D11D01L01L10W00DA·KAU02/11H·FK 08/11A·RAD29/04A·ATM20/05A·MIN23/06H·HEG04/07A·KAU11/07H·DŽI03/08A·TRA10/08A·ŠIA17/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.620.540.940.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.670.670.600.500.730.82
vs Weaker (9)1.110.560.670.671.330.50
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduva Marijampole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.6%
@ 1.20+1.3%
Under 0.5
21.4%
@ 4.08-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
William Hil
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.8%
@ 1.94-1.7%
Under 1.5
54.2%
@ 1.76+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Under
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.6%
@ 3.98-2.5%
Under 2.5
79.4%
@ 1.20+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Under
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.17

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Suduva Marijampole over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
64.9%
@ 1.41-0.2%
Under
35.1%
@ 2.62+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.55
Suduva Marijampole over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
26.2%
@ 2.87-5.8%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.34+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.83
Under
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Suduva Marijampole over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 7.60-3.7%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.04+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Under
1xBet
1.04
Panevėžys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 2.29+5.3%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.53-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Panevėžys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 7.90-0.0%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.03+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Panevėžys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+5.7%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.6%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.8%✓ Hit
Under 5.594.3%1.02
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
BetVictor
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+5.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals92.1%1.10
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.08
---+8.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals91.7%1.04
1xBet
1.04
----+3.7%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals90.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----0.0%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap90.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03
-----2.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals88.5%1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
---+0.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.5%1.09
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.08
+3.3%✓ Hit
Under 4.586.2%1.12
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
+5.4%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals81.0%1.20
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
---+5.0%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals79.9%1.10
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.08
---3.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals79.4%1.20
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.17
-+2.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals78.6%1.20
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-+1.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals78.3%1.37
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.35
-+11.3%✓ Hit
Over 1.576.4%1.20
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
+0.9%✓ Hit
Home or Draw75.0%1.09
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
-8.2%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap75.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----6.8%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap74.4%1.50
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.48
---+15.3%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals73.8%1.34
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
---+5.8%✗ Miss
Home or Away72.8%1.17
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
SBO
1.17
-4.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals72.8%1.31
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
+3.4%✗ Miss
Under 3.571.3%1.37
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
+5.0%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
Suduva Marijampole and Panevėžys have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
Suduva Marijampole and Panevėžys have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
Suduva Marijampole and Panevėžys have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
Suduva Marijampole and Panevėžys have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
SM wins
3
Draws
4
PAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Suduva Marijampole vs Panevėžys · H/A from SM
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/25HSM Vs Panevėžys0-2
12/09/25HSM Vs Panevėžys1-1
07/07/25APanevėžys Vs SM1-2
04/05/25HSM Vs Panevėžys0-0
16/03/25APanevėžys Vs SM2-0
01/09/24APanevėžys Vs SM0-0
26/06/24HSM Vs Panevėžys1-3
02/05/24APanevėžys Vs SM1-0

Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26ADžiugas Telšiai Vs SM0-2
09/08/26ABanga Vs SM0-3
20/07/26HSM Vs Hegelmann Litauen5-1
06/07/26HSM Vs TransINVEST Vilnius0-0
28/04/26AMinija Vs SM2-2
08/11/25AHegelmann Litauen Vs SM2-1
02/11/25HSM Vs Šiauliai2-2
27/10/25HSM Vs Kauno Žalgiris1-0
23/10/25HSM Vs Dainava2-1
18/10/25ADžiugas Telšiai Vs SM0-0

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26AŠiauliai Vs PAN1-0
10/08/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs PAN0-2
03/08/26HPAN Vs Džiugas Telšiai1-1
11/07/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs PAN3-0
04/07/26HPAN Vs Hegelmann Litauen1-1
23/06/26AMinija Vs PAN2-1
20/05/26AAtmosfera Vs PAN0-3
29/04/26ARadviliškis Vs PAN0-2
08/11/25HPAN Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius3-1
02/11/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs PAN3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Suduva Marijampole
Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.76
HomeWWDDW1.91
AwayDLDWW1.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals2.522.352.67
Over 1.5 %70%61%78%
Over 2.5 %50%43%56%
Over 3.5 %28%30%26%
Scored1.561.521.59
Conceded0.960.831.07
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet44%48%41%
Corners---
Cards---
Panevėžys
Panevėžys
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.52
HomeWLWDD1.57
AwayWLLWL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%41%
AVG goals2.942.293.41
Over 1.5 %80%67%90%
Over 2.5 %54%33%69%
Over 3.5 %30%19%38%
Scored1.781.332.10
Conceded1.160.951.31
BTTS50%38%59%
Clean Sheet34%38%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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