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Suhareka vs Kika Result & Analysis

Date: 19/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
Suhareka
Suhareka
Vs
45%
30%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kika
Kika
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Suhareka are the clear favorites to win at home, with a 45% chance of victory, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 24% chance of a Kika win. The match is expected to see about 2.3 goals in total, and the most probable total is two goals, a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.1% chance. Suhareka have been solid at home against similarly ranked opponents, scoring an average of 1.89 goals and conceding 1.33. Kika, on the other hand, have struggled away, scoring only 0.7 and conceding 1.1 on average. The model’s selection includes an Under 3.5 goal pick at 80.6%. The recent form story is that Suhareka come off a win, while Kika come off a draw. All figures are presented as percentages, and every selection is named with its probability.

Results analysis

Suhareka’s win extends their recent run, finishing the match 3-1 to secure a home victory. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win with a 45% probability, and the call proved correct. The only suggested selection was Under 3.5 goals, with an 80.6% probability, but it missed as the match produced four goals. Suhareka entered the game on a winning streak, having just beaten 2 Korriku 2-1, while Kika arrived after a draw, having drawn 1-1 with Dinamo Ferizaj. The final score of 3-1 confirmed the home side’s triumph, matching the model’s prediction.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Suhareka win✓ Hit
45.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kika win✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SuharekaSuhareka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L22D23L13L42W21W21W13L01LH·KEK07/02A·VUS15/02H·FER22/02A·2 K28/02H·IST08/03A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03A·RAM29/03H·VËL05/04A·FC 12/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.571.531.471.471.67
vs Stronger (4)1.252.001.002.002.002.00
vs Similar (20)1.651.451.891.331.451.55
vs Weaker (6)1.171.671.001.331.332.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KikaKika

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L20W11D10W20W10W02L01L01LH·VUS08/02A·FER14/02H·2 K22/02A·IST28/02H·PRI08/03A·TRE15/03H·RAM22/03A·VËL29/03H·FC 05/04A·TRE12/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.211.211.070.501.36
vs Stronger (5)0.201.800.502.000.001.67
vs Similar (21)1.101.051.451.000.701.10
vs Weaker (2)0.001.500.000.000.003.00
Clean sheet %36% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.5%
Under 1.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.6%
Under 2.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 3.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.4%
Suhareka goals ↓
Kika goals →
01234
012%8.3%4.4%1.4%0.3%
113%14%5.9%1.8%0.4%
29.4%8.6%4.0%1.2%0.3%
34.2%3.9%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.4%1.3%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Suhareka goals (down), columns = Kika goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Suhareka is 0.32 points better than Kika in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Vjosa
1.15
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Suhareka is 1.03 goals better than Kika in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 0.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Vjosa
1.79
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Suhareka is 0.53 goals worse than Kika in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SuharekaSuhareka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L00D00D01L03L20W10W11D01LH·LIR08/11A·VJO22/11H·KEK07/02A·VUS15/02H·FER22/02A·2 K28/02A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03H·VËL05/04A·FC 12/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.650.470.540.69
vs Stronger (5)0.800.800.750.751.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.500.600.600.400.400.80
vs Weaker (5)0.800.200.670.331.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KikaKika

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D02L00D01L20W10W00D00DA·VJO16/11A·KEK22/11H·VUS08/02A·FER14/02H·2 K22/02A·IST28/02A·TRE15/03H·RAM22/03H·FC 05/04A·TRE12/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.550.360.450.360.64
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.501.000.000.00
vs Similar (17)0.410.590.380.380.440.78
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %68% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SuharekaSuhareka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D00D02L21W20W22D11D02L00DH·LIR08/11A·VJO22/11H·KEK07/02A·VUS15/02H·FER22/02A·2 K28/02A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03H·VËL05/04A·FC 12/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.130.711.181.001.08
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.251.251.001.00
vs Similar (20)1.001.051.001.201.000.90
vs Weaker (5)0.601.400.331.001.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KikaKika

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L20W10W00D00D01L01LA·VJO16/11A·KEK22/11H·VUS08/02A·FER14/02H·2 K22/02A·IST28/02A·TRE15/03H·RAM22/03H·FC 05/04A·TRE12/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.640.640.730.270.55
vs Stronger (4)0.001.250.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (17)0.590.530.880.750.330.33
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kika over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
SUH wins
0
Draws
0
KIK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Suhareka vs Kika · H/A from SUH
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25AKika Vs SUH2-3

SuharekaSuhareka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26AFC Besa Peja Vs SUH1-0
05/04/26HSUH Vs Vëllaznimi1-3
29/03/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs SUH1-2
22/03/26HSUH Vs Trepça Mitrovicë2-1
15/03/26APrizreni Vs SUH2-4
08/03/26HSUH Vs Istogu1-3
28/02/26A2 Korriku Vs SUH3-2
22/02/26HSUH Vs Feronikeli2-2
15/02/26AVushtrria Vs SUH2-0
07/02/26HSUH Vs KEK-u0-0

KikaKika

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26ATrepça'89 Vs KIK1-0
05/04/26HKIK Vs FC Besa Peja0-1
29/03/26AVëllaznimi Vs KIK2-0
22/03/26HKIK Vs Ramiz Sadiku1-0
15/03/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs KIK0-2
08/03/26HKIK Vs Prizreni1-0
28/02/26AIstogu Vs KIK1-1
22/02/26HKIK Vs 2 Korriku2-0
14/02/26AFeronikeli Vs KIK3-0
08/02/26HKIK Vs Vushtrria0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Suhareka
Suhareka
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.18
HomeDDLWL1.28
AwayLLWWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals3.163.163.16
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %70%76%64%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.441.561.32
Conceded1.721.601.84
BTTS66%68%64%
Clean Sheet10%16%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Kika
Kika
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.18
HomeDWWWL1.64
AwayLDWLL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%14%
AVG goals2.072.291.86
Over 1.5 %64%57%71%
Over 2.5 %32%36%29%
Over 3.5 %14%29%0%
Scored0.861.210.50
Conceded1.211.071.36
BTTS29%36%21%
Clean Sheet36%43%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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