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Suhareka vs Mitrovica Prediction & Stats

Date: 12/09/2026
Time: 14:30
Suhareka
Suhareka
Vs
58%
23%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mitrovica
Mitrovica
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Suhareka are tipped to win, with a 58% chance of triumph, 23% for a draw and 19% for Mitrovica. The match is expected to see about 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is 2, a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.7% chance. Suhareka, playing at home against a weaker side, have an average of 0.0 goals scored and conceded in recent home matches, while Mitrovica’s away form shows 0.0 goals scored and conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Under 6.5 (95.9%), Home +2 handicap (92.7%), Under 5.5 (90.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.2%), Home over 0.5 goals (87.0%) and Home under 3.5 goals (85.0%). Suhareka’s recent win and Mitrovica’s draw suggest a competitive start, yet the odds favour a home victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Suhareka win
58.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica win
18.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SuharekaSuhareka

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L31W35L23L31W24L63W50W02L21WA·FC 12/04H·KIK19/04A·TRE26/04A·DIN03/05H·RIL09/05A·LIR16/05H·TEF23/05H·IST15/08A·VËL23/08H·2 K29/08
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.731.871.271.802.20
vs Stronger (5)1.002.200.502.001.332.33
vs Similar (22)2.091.682.251.251.902.20
vs Weaker (3)1.331.330.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mitrovica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MitrovicaMitrovica

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D00DA·TRE16/08H·KIK23/08A·KF 30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.000.000.000.501.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.000.000.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.6%
Under 2.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
Suhareka goals ↓
Mitrovica goals →
01234
05.3%3.8%2.6%1.0%0.3%
17.9%11%5.3%1.9%0.5%
29.1%9.9%5.4%2.0%0.5%
36.2%6.7%3.7%1.3%0.4%
43.1%3.4%1.9%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Suhareka goals (down), columns = Mitrovica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Suhareka is 0.09 points worse than Mitrovica in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Suhareka is 0.36 goals better than Mitrovica in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Suhareka is 0.39 goals worse than Mitrovica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Suhareka or Draw
81.2%
Avg Implied -
58%
23%
19%
covers Suhareka + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Suhareka or Mitrovica
77.0%
Avg Implied -
58%
23%
19%
covers Suhareka + Mitrovica
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mitrovica
41.8%
Avg Implied -
58%
23%
19%
covers Draw + Mitrovica
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Suhareka over/under 0.5
Over
87.0%
Under
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5
Over
60.5%
Under
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5
Over
33.4%
Under
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 3.5
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 0.5
Over
66.5%
Under
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 1.5
Over
29.9%
Under
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 2.5
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Suhareka, so a minus line means Suhareka give that many goals of a start and Mitrovica receive them. At -1, Suhareka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Suhareka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Suhareka)
Suhareka -2
18.0%
Draw -2
18.0%
Mitrovica +2
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Suhareka)
Suhareka -1
36.0%
Draw -1
22.3%
Mitrovica +1
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Suhareka)
Suhareka +1
81.2%
Draw +1
11.5%
Mitrovica -1
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Suhareka)
Suhareka +2
92.7%
Draw +2
5.2%
Mitrovica -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SuharekaSuhareka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W02L11D00D01L00D10W00D11DA·FC 12/04H·KIK19/04A·TRE26/04A·DIN03/05H·RIL09/05A·LIR16/05H·TEF23/05H·IST15/08A·VËL23/08H·2 K29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.620.250.430.93
vs Stronger (5)0.600.600.500.500.670.67
vs Similar (21)0.430.670.580.250.221.22
vs Weaker (4)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mitrovica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MitrovicaMitrovica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D00DA·TRE16/08H·KIK23/08A·KF 30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.000.000.000.501.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.000.000.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.4%
Under 0.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.0%
Under 1.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.4%
Under 2.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
52.6%
Under
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.4%
Under
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SuharekaSuhareka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D21W33D12L31W23L63W40W02L10WA·FC 12/04H·KIK19/04A·TRE26/04A·DIN03/05H·RIL09/05A·LIR16/05H·TEF23/05H·IST15/08A·VËL23/08H·2 K29/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.131.500.941.141.36
vs Stronger (5)0.401.600.001.500.671.67
vs Similar (21)1.671.001.920.921.331.11
vs Weaker (4)0.751.250.500.501.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mitrovica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MitrovicaMitrovica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00DA·TRE16/08H·KIK23/08A·KF 30/08
Avg total
0.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %100% (+71pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.5%
Under 0.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.5%
Under 1.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.5%
Under 2.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.4%
Under
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
30.4%
Under
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.5%
Under
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mitrovica over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.5%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.2%-------
Under 6.595.9%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals95.0%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals93.4%-------
Home +2 handicap92.7%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.1%-------
Under 5.590.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals90.2%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals87.0%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals87.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals85.0%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals83.6%-------
Over 1.583.0%-------
Home or Draw81.2%-------
Home +1 handicap81.2%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals79.6%-------
Under 4.579.2%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals77.5%-------
Home or Away77.0%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals75.5%-------
Over 0.5 HT goals74.4%-------
Away under 1.5 goals70.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
SUH wins
0
Draws
0
MIT wins

Head-to-head

Suhareka vs Mitrovica · H/A from SUH
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

SuharekaSuhareka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HSUH Vs 2 Korriku2-1
23/08/26AVëllaznimi Vs SUH2-0
15/08/26HSUH Vs Istogu5-0
23/05/26HSUH Vs Tefik Canga6-3
16/05/26ALiria Prizren Vs SUH4-2
09/05/26HSUH Vs Rilindja 19743-1
03/05/26ADinamo Ferizaj Vs SUH3-2
26/04/26ATrepça'89 Vs SUH5-3
19/04/26HSUH Vs Kika3-1
12/04/26AFC Besa Peja Vs SUH1-0

MitrovicaMitrovica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AKF Lepenci Vs MIT0-0
23/08/26HMIT Vs Kika0-0
16/08/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs MIT3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Suhareka
Suhareka
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.34
HomeWWWWW1.69
AwayLLLLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals3.503.543.46
Over 1.5 %88%85%92%
Over 2.5 %72%81%62%
Over 3.5 %46%50%42%
Scored1.722.001.42
Conceded1.781.542.04
BTTS68%73%62%
Clean Sheet10%15%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Mitrovica
Mitrovica
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDD0.67
HomeD1.00
AwayLD0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals1.330.002.00
Over 1.5 %33%0%50%
Over 2.5 %33%0%50%
Over 3.5 %33%0%50%
Scored0.330.000.50
Conceded1.000.001.50
BTTS33%0%50%
Clean Sheet67%100%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VëllaznimiVëllaznimi39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
2Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj37
67%
2.3
81+7
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.3
-
3TrepçaTrepça'8937
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
4Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5SuharekaSuhareka36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
62 Korriku2 Korriku36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
7Rilindja 1974Rilindja 197434
33%
1.3
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VjosaVjosa33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
9Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku33
0%
1.0
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10KikaKika33
0%
1.0
11+0
0.7
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.3
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja33
33%
1.0
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.0
-
12Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
13Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re33
33%
1.0
26-4
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
14IstoguIstogu33
33%
1.0
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
15KF LepenciKF Lepenci32
0%
0.7
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
16MitrovicaMitrovica32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.0
-
17FerizajFerizaj31
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
18Tefik CangaTefik Canga31
0%
0.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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