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Suhareka vs Tefik Canga Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 6-3
Suhareka
Suhareka
Vs
46%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tefik Canga
Tefik Canga
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Suhareka are tipped to win, with a 46 % chance of triumph, 26 % for a draw and 29 % for Tefik Canga to come away with the victory. The model expects an average of 3.1 goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 23 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.8 % chance. Suhareka’s home form shows they score 1.8 and concede 1.3 against similar opponents, while Tefik Canga away average 1.55 goals scored and 1.64 conceded against comparable sides. The model’s selection includes an 82.4 % chance of Over 1.5 goals, a hit in the last result. The predictions also list the home win percentage, the draw percentage and the away win percentage as required.

Results analysis

The recent form narrative is clear: Suhareka, after a defeat, is on a winning streak that now extends with a decisive victory, while Tefik Canga, still recovering from three straight losses, fell short. The final score was 6-3, confirming the home win that the model predicted with a 46 % probability. The model’s favourite was indeed correct. The only suggested pick was Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.4 % chance, and it hit as the match produced nine goals. All selections settled, the predictions largely aligned with the outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Suhareka win✓ Hit
45.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga win✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SuharekaSuhareka

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W21W21W13L01L31W35L23L31W24LA·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03A·RAM29/03H·VËL05/04A·FC 12/04H·KIK19/04A·TRE26/04A·DIN03/05H·RIL09/05A·LIR16/05
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.731.571.291.692.12
vs Stronger (4)1.252.250.502.002.002.50
vs Similar (22)1.681.731.801.301.582.08
vs Weaker (4)1.751.251.500.502.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L12L34L22D21W10W12L13L10WA·VUS15/03H·FER23/03A·2 K28/03H·IST04/04A·PRI12/04H·TRE17/04A·RAM25/04H·VËL02/05A·FC 09/05H·KIK16/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.471.381.251.361.71
vs Stronger (3)1.002.001.502.500.001.00
vs Similar (23)1.391.391.251.171.551.64
vs Weaker (4)1.501.502.000.501.002.50
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.5%
Under 2.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.2%
Under 3.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.0%
No
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
Suhareka goals ↓
Tefik Canga goals →
01234
05.6%5.1%4.1%1.9%0.6%
16.9%12%7.2%3.2%1.1%
26.9%9.3%6.3%2.8%0.9%
34.0%5.4%3.6%1.6%0.5%
41.7%2.3%1.6%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Suhareka goals (down), columns = Tefik Canga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Suhareka is 0.12 points better than Tefik Canga in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Vjosa
1.15
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Suhareka is 0.35 goals better than Tefik Canga in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Vjosa
1.79
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Suhareka is 0.21 goals worse than Tefik Canga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SuharekaSuhareka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L20W10W11D01L10W02L11D00D01LA·2 K28/02A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03H·VËL05/04A·FC 12/04H·KIK19/04A·TRE26/04A·DIN03/05H·RIL09/05A·LIR16/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.690.380.430.93
vs Stronger (5)0.800.800.670.671.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.450.700.700.300.201.10
vs Weaker (5)0.800.200.670.331.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L01L00D21W10W00D01L00D10WH·KEK07/03A·VUS15/03H·FER23/03A·2 K28/03A·PRI12/04H·TRE17/04A·RAM25/04H·VËL02/05A·FC 09/05H·KIK16/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.390.570.310.460.470.67
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (20)0.350.400.330.330.360.45
vs Weaker (4)0.751.000.500.501.001.50
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SuharekaSuhareka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W22D11D02L00D21W33D12L31W23LA·2 K28/02A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03H·VËL05/04A·FC 12/04H·KIK19/04A·TRE26/04A·DIN03/05H·RIL09/05A·LIR16/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.131.001.001.291.29
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.331.331.001.50
vs Similar (20)1.401.001.400.901.401.10
vs Weaker (5)0.601.400.331.001.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D12L01L11D10W11D13L00DH·KEK07/03A·VUS15/03H·FER23/03A·2 K28/03A·PRI12/04H·TRE17/04A·RAM25/04H·VËL02/05A·FC 09/05H·KIK16/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.790.920.540.801.00
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.501.500.000.00
vs Similar (20)0.900.850.670.441.091.18
vs Weaker (4)0.750.501.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %39% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (27)
€2m
VUS (19)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
SUH wins
0
Draws
0
TC wins

Head-to-head

Suhareka vs Tefik Canga · H/A from SUH
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/25ATefik Canga Vs SUH1-2

SuharekaSuhareka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26ALiria Prizren Vs SUH4-2
09/05/26HSUH Vs Rilindja 19743-1
03/05/26ADinamo Ferizaj Vs SUH3-2
26/04/26ATrepça'89 Vs SUH5-3
19/04/26HSUH Vs Kika3-1
12/04/26AFC Besa Peja Vs SUH1-0
05/04/26HSUH Vs Vëllaznimi1-3
29/03/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs SUH1-2
22/03/26HSUH Vs Trepça Mitrovicë2-1
15/03/26APrizreni Vs SUH2-4

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HTC Vs Kika1-0
09/05/26AFC Besa Peja Vs TC3-1
02/05/26HTC Vs Vëllaznimi1-2
25/04/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs TC0-1
17/04/26HTC Vs Trepça Mitrovicë2-1
12/04/26APrizreni Vs TC2-2
04/04/26HTC Vs Istogu3-4
28/03/26A2 Korriku Vs TC2-1
23/03/26HTC Vs Feronikeli0-1
15/03/26AVushtrria Vs TC3-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Suhareka
Suhareka
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.16
HomeLWLWW1.40
AwayWLLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals3.363.243.48
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %72%80%64%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored1.521.641.40
Conceded1.841.602.08
BTTS70%76%64%
Clean Sheet8%12%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Tefik Canga
Tefik Canga
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.21
HomeLLWLW1.47
AwayLLDWL0.94
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%47%25%
AVG goals2.822.712.94
Over 1.5 %79%71%88%
Over 2.5 %55%53%56%
Over 3.5 %27%24%31%
Scored1.361.471.25
Conceded1.451.241.69
BTTS61%59%62%
Clean Sheet15%18%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
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Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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