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Suhareka vs Vëllaznimi Result & Analysis

Date: 05/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-3
Suhareka
Suhareka
Vs
31%
28%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The match between Suhareka and Vëllaznimi is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. The odds are close: 31% for a Suhareka victory, 28% for a draw, and 41% for Vëllaznimi to come out on top. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high scoring game, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 26% of the time. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 13.5% chance of that exact result.

Suhareka, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded. Vëllaznimi, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include an 76% chance that the total will exceed 1.5 goals and a 71.9% chance that it will stay under 3.5 goals. Each selection is presented with its own probability, and the edge for the over 1.5 pick is noted. This balanced outlook reflects the recent form of both sides, with Suhareka fresh from a win and Vëllaznimi riding a three-game winning streak.

Results analysis

The away side secured a 1-3 victory, extending their three-game winning streak. The model’s favourite, Away win, came through with a 41% probability, and the call was correct. The predicted 2-goal total fell short of the 2.7 expectation, yet the Over 1.5 selection hit, reflecting the 76% chance, while the Under 3.5 missed, as the 71.9% probability proved too optimistic. Home form was mixed with a recent win, but the stronger opposition and higher conceding average left the home side vulnerable. The model’s suggested picks were largely accurate, with only the Under 3.5 falling short. Overall, the predictions matched the outcome well.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Suhareka win✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi win✓ Hit
40.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SuharekaSuhareka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W23L00D02L22D23L13L42W21W21WA·TEF16/11A·VJO22/11H·KEK07/02A·VUS15/02H·FER22/02A·2 K28/02H·IST08/03A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03A·RAM29/03
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.531.731.401.671.67
vs Stronger (3)1.331.671.001.502.002.00
vs Similar (21)1.901.482.101.401.731.55
vs Weaker (6)1.171.671.001.331.332.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L40W32W00D41W10W00D01L20WA·VUS16/11A·FER22/11H·2 K08/02A·IST15/02H·PRI21/02A·TRE28/02H·RAM08/03A·TRE15/03A·FC 22/03H·KIK29/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.620.851.850.621.381.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.671.001.001.000.501.00
vs Weaker (23)1.740.831.920.581.551.09
Clean sheet %42% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
Suhareka goals ↓
Vëllaznimi goals →
01234
08.1%8.7%7.2%3.5%1.3%
17.2%13%8.8%4.3%1.5%
25.2%7.5%5.5%2.6%1.0%
32.1%3.1%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.7%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Suhareka goals (down), columns = Vëllaznimi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Suhareka is 0.76 points worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 2.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Vjosa
1.15
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Suhareka is 0.06 goals better than Vëllaznimi in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Vjosa
1.79
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Suhareka is 0.85 goals worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 0.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SuharekaSuhareka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D12L00D00D01L03L20W10WH·TRE22/10H·DIN26/10H·LIR08/11A·VJO22/11H·KEK07/02A·VUS15/02H·FER22/02A·2 K28/02A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.590.410.540.77
vs Stronger (5)0.601.000.670.670.501.50
vs Similar (20)0.500.550.550.360.440.78
vs Weaker (5)0.800.200.670.331.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D11D01L00D21W00D00D00D00DA·VJO01/11H·KEK08/11A·VUS16/11A·FER22/11H·2 K08/02A·IST15/02H·PRI21/02H·RAM08/03A·TRE15/03A·FC 22/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.730.450.820.55
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Weaker (19)0.890.420.800.401.000.44
Clean sheet %55% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SuharekaSuhareka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L12L11D00D02L21W20W22D11DH·TRE22/10H·DIN26/10H·LIR08/11A·VJO22/11H·KEK07/02A·VUS15/02H·FER22/02A·2 K28/02A·PRI15/03H·TRE22/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.130.821.121.081.15
vs Stronger (5)0.601.000.331.001.001.00
vs Similar (20)1.101.101.091.181.111.00
vs Weaker (5)0.601.400.331.001.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W01L01L40W11D00D10W00D01LA·VJO01/11H·KEK08/11A·VUS16/11A·FER22/11H·2 K08/02A·IST15/02H·PRI21/02H·RAM08/03A·TRE15/03A·FC 22/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.411.180.180.270.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.670.001.000.000.500.00
vs Weaker (19)0.740.471.200.200.220.78
Clean sheet %64% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Suhareka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Suhareka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suhareka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SUH wins
1
Draws
0
VËL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Suhareka vs Vëllaznimi · H/A from SUH
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25AVëllaznimi Vs SUH2-2

SuharekaSuhareka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs SUH1-2
22/03/26HSUH Vs Trepça Mitrovicë2-1
15/03/26APrizreni Vs SUH2-4
08/03/26HSUH Vs Istogu1-3
28/02/26A2 Korriku Vs SUH3-2
22/02/26HSUH Vs Feronikeli2-2
15/02/26AVushtrria Vs SUH2-0
07/02/26HSUH Vs KEK-u0-0
22/11/25AVjosa Vs SUH3-2
16/11/25ATefik Canga Vs SUH1-2

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/26HVËL Vs Kika2-0
22/03/26AFC Besa Peja Vs VËL1-0
15/03/26ATrepça'89 Vs VËL0-0
08/03/26HVËL Vs Ramiz Sadiku1-0
28/02/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs VËL1-4
21/02/26HVËL Vs Prizreni0-0
15/02/26AIstogu Vs VËL2-3
08/02/26HVËL Vs 2 Korriku4-0
22/11/25AFeronikeli Vs VËL2-0
16/11/25AVushtrria Vs VËL2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Suhareka
Suhareka
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.20
HomeLDDLW1.32
AwayLLLWW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals3.183.003.36
Over 1.5 %88%80%96%
Over 2.5 %70%72%68%
Over 3.5 %40%36%44%
Scored1.461.521.40
Conceded1.721.481.96
BTTS66%64%68%
Clean Sheet12%20%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.96
HomeWWDWW2.38
AwayLWWDL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%69%46%
AVG goals2.462.462.46
Over 1.5 %65%69%62%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %27%23%31%
Scored1.621.851.38
Conceded0.850.621.08
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet42%54%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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