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Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 12:30
Final 0-0
Super Nova
Super Nova
Vs
39%
27%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
Latvia: Virsliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

In the Latvia: Virsliga, Super Nova hosts BFC Daugavpils on August 22. A recent storyline to consider is Super Nova's poor form, coming off a defeat to FK Liepaja, whereas BFC Daugavpils is on a 2-game winning run. The match is finely balanced, with Super Nova holding a 39% chance of winning, BFC Daugavpils at 33%, and a 27% chance of a draw. The model's selection is a home win. An average of 2.9 goals are expected, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.9% probability. At home, Super Nova averages 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, similar to BFC Daugavpils' away form, which averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. The model suggests an Over 1.5 goal selection with 79% probability. In terms of match result, Super Nova has a 39% chance of winning, a 27% chance of a draw, and BFC Daugavpils has a 33% chance of winning. The model also suggests a Super Nova win with 39% probability, an Over 1.5 goal selection with 79% probability, and a BFC Daugavpils win with 33% probability.

Results analysis

The unexpected 0-0 draw saw the pre-match favourite, a home win, miss its mark, with the model’s pick proving wrong. Super Nova, fresh from a draw, and BFC Daugavpils, also coming off a stalemate, produced a tight, low-scoring affair that ended in a draw. The model’s selection of a home win, with a 39% chance, was incorrect. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.1%) and Home under 3.5 goals (93.5%). The match confirmed the model’s low-scoring predictions, but not its favourite.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Super Nova win✗ Miss
39.4%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.79
Edge
+15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.23
Dafabet
4.10
Marathonbet
3.98
Betano
3.95
BetVictor
3.90
Draw✓ Hit
27.3%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.45
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Pinnacle
3.57
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
BFC Daugavpils win✗ Miss
33.3%
Avg Implied 49.8% · @ 1.82
Edge
-16.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.83

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Super NovaSuper Nova

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D00D22D13L30W21W12L20W12LA·TUK28/09H·FS 04/10A·GRO18/10A·BFC25/10H·RĪG02/11H·FK 09/11A·TUK01/07H·OGR06/07H·GRO20/07H·FK 09/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.431.241.351.231.54
vs Stronger (13)1.312.231.252.251.402.20
vs Similar (17)1.180.821.220.561.121.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (BFC Daugavpils) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D22D12L13L13L31W40W01L21W20WA·FS 18/10H·SUP25/10H·FK 02/11A·MET09/11A·RĪG30/06H·FK 04/07A·OGR19/07A·AUD26/07H·FS 01/08H·TUK08/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.671.871.731.271.60
vs Stronger (5)0.803.400.504.001.003.00
vs Similar (22)1.641.181.921.331.301.00
vs Weaker (3)2.332.334.002.001.502.50
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Super Nova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.0%
@ 1.24+4.6%
Under 1.5
21.0%
@ 3.59-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
Unibet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.80+2.8%
Under 2.5
45.7%
@ 1.91-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.90
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
BetVictor
1.82
Under
Unibet
2.06
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
@ 2.98+1.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
@ 1.34-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
2.95
Superbet
2.95
Under
Unibet
1.41
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.8%
@ 1.69+4.2%
No
41.2%
@ 2.03-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
No
Unibet
2.18
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
Bet365
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 6.08+5.9%
2-1
8.7%@ 11.19+4.9%
1-2
8.0%@ 7.43+2.2%
1-0
7.4%@ 10.40+3.3%
0-0 ✓
6.9%@ 10.21+2.8%
0-1
6.7%@ 6.83+0.4%
2-0
6.4%@ 18.23+4.1%
2-2
5.9%@ 12.63+2.6%
Super Nova goals ↓
BFC Daugavpils goals →
01234
06.9%6.7%5.3%2.4%0.8%
17.4%13%8.0%3.6%1.2%
26.4%8.7%5.9%2.7%0.9%
33.2%4.4%3.0%1.3%0.5%
41.2%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Super Nova goals (down), columns = BFC Daugavpils goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rīgas FS
2.43
Riga
2.29
Auda
2.00
FK Liepaja
1.88
BFC Daugavpils
1.62
Super Nova
1.33
Grobiņa
1.00
FS Jelgava
0.86
Ogre United
0.57
Tukums
0.38
Super Nova is 0.29 points worse than BFC Daugavpils in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga
3.00
Rīgas FS
2.57
FK Liepaja
2.00
BFC Daugavpils
1.50
Super Nova
1.17
Grobiņa
1.14
FS Jelgava
1.14
Auda
1.14
Ogre United
1.00
Tukums
0.75
Super Nova is 0.33 goals worse than BFC Daugavpils in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Auda
0.57
Rīgas FS
0.86
BFC Daugavpils
0.88
Super Nova
1.00
Riga
1.14
FK Liepaja
1.25
FS Jelgava
1.71
Tukums
2.38
Grobiņa
2.57
Ogre United
3.00
Super Nova is 0.12 goals worse than BFC Daugavpils in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Super Nova or Draw✓ Hit
66.7%
Avg Implied 50.3% · @ 1.81
Edge
+16.4%
39%
27%
33%
covers Super Nova + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.03
Marathonbet
1.89
BetVictor
1.83
William Hil
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Super Nova or BFC Daugavpils✗ Miss
72.7%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.23
Edge
-1.7%
39%
27%
33%
covers Super Nova + BFC Daugavpils
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Draw or BFC Daugavpils✓ Hit
60.6%
Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.21
Edge
-14.7%
39%
27%
33%
covers Draw + BFC Daugavpils
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.21

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Super Nova over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.6%
@ 1.40+12.0%
Under
22.4%
@ 2.67-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.30
Under
10Bet
2.95
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
Marathonbet
2.47
Super Nova over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.0%
@ 2.79+11.1%
Under
56.0%
@ 1.37-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
2.98
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.55
Unibet
2.48
Under
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
Super Nova over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.0%
@ 7.43+6.7%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.04-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.40
Bet365
7.00
Under
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Super Nova over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 12.00-1.3%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.01+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
12.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
BFC Daugavpils over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.3%
@ 1.18-3.9%
Under
25.7%
@ 4.23+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
3.95
BFC Daugavpils over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.4%
@ 1.84-10.5%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.83+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.88
Unibet
1.88
1xBet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
BFC Daugavpils over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 3.59-9.9%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.23+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
BFC Daugavpils over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 8.00-6.8%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.06+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Under
Bet365
1.06

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Super Nova, so a minus line means Super Nova give that many goals of a start and BFC Daugavpils receive them. At -1, Super Nova must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Super Nova win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Super Nova)Actual: BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova -2
7.6%
@ 19.00+2.7%
Draw -2
12.1%
@ 11.00+3.6%
BFC Daugavpils +2
80.3%
@ 1.08-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.08
Handicap -1 (Super Nova)Actual: BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova -1
19.7%
@ 7.25+7.6%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 4.98+2.1%
BFC Daugavpils +1
60.6%
@ 1.25-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.50
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.25
Draw
Marathonbet
5.45
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap +1 (Super Nova)Actual: Super Nova
Super Nova +1
66.7%
@ 1.81+19.0%
Draw +1
17.8%
@ 3.48-7.0%
BFC Daugavpils -1
15.5%
@ 3.13-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.89
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.71
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.42
Unibet
3.15
Away
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
2.97
Unibet
2.85
Handicap +2 (Super Nova)Actual: Super Nova
Super Nova +2
84.5%
@ 1.29+15.5%
Draw +2
10.0%
@ 5.22-7.1%
BFC Daugavpils -2
5.5%
@ 6.40-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
5.80

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Super NovaSuper Nova

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D01L01L20W11D00D00D10WA·TUK28/09H·FS 04/10A·GRO18/10A·BFC25/10H·RĪG02/11H·FK 09/11A·TUK01/07H·OGR06/07H·GRO20/07H·FK 09/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.530.530.380.92
vs Stronger (13)0.621.080.620.880.601.40
vs Similar (17)0.350.410.440.220.250.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (BFC Daugavpils) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D12L01L10W10W01L10W00DA·FS 18/10H·SUP25/10H·FK 02/11A·MET09/11A·RĪG30/06H·FK 04/07A·OGR19/07A·AUD26/07H·FS 01/08H·TUK08/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.800.670.400.80
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.501.000.331.33
vs Similar (22)0.550.550.830.580.200.50
vs Weaker (3)1.331.331.001.001.501.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Super Nova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.6%
@ 1.34-1.0%
Under 0.5
32.4%
@ 2.93+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.01
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.9%
@ 2.57-2.7%
Under 1.5
67.1%
@ 1.43+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.60
Under
Unibet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.1%
@ 6.37-3.4%
Under 2.5
88.9%
@ 1.08+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.05
Betfair
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
BetVictor
1.06

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Super Nova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.3%
@ 2.44+7.6%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.48-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Super Nova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 8.55+0.5%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.01-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.80
1xBet
8.30
Under
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Super Nova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.6%
@ 1.74-11.3%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.96+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.88
BFC Daugavpils over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 4.78-7.7%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.12+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.65
Under
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
BFC Daugavpils over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Super NovaSuper Nova

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D00D21W12L10W10W12L20W02LA·TUK28/09H·FS 04/10A·GRO18/10A·BFC25/10H·RĪG02/11H·FK 09/11A·TUK01/07H·OGR06/07H·GRO20/07H·FK 09/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.710.820.850.62
vs Stronger (13)0.691.150.621.380.800.80
vs Similar (17)0.820.410.780.330.880.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (BFC Daugavpils) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L12L01L12L21W30W00D11D20WA·FS 18/10H·SUP25/10H·FK 02/11A·MET09/11A·RĪG30/06H·FK 04/07A·OGR19/07A·AUD26/07H·FS 01/08H·TUK08/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.931.071.070.870.80
vs Stronger (5)0.402.200.003.000.671.67
vs Similar (22)1.090.641.080.751.100.50
vs Weaker (3)1.001.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Super Nova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.0%
Under 0.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.4%
Under 1.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.6%
Under 2.5
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Super Nova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.2%
Under
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Super Nova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.9%
Under
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Super Nova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.9%
Under
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.2%
Under
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFC Daugavpils over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+3.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+6.8%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+1.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.593.0%1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.03
--+1.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.9%1.01
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
----0.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals88.9%1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
+3.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.6%1.12
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
---+7.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap84.5%1.29
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
---+15.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals84.3%1.23
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
--+9.9%✓ Hit
Under 4.583.9%1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-+0.2%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals83.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals81.0%1.04
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
---6.7%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap80.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08
-----6.3%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.0%1.24
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
+4.6%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals77.6%1.40
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.30
+12.0%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals77.0%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals74.3%1.18
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
---3.9%✗ Miss
Home or Away72.7%1.23
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
-1.7%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (27)
€16m
RF (29)
€11m
AUD (25)
€6m
FL (21)
€5m
OU (27)
€3m
SN (24)
€3m
GRO (25)
€3m
FJ (23)
€3m
BD (21)
€3m
TUK (20)
€2m
Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (10)
€7m
RF (15)
€6m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (7)
€2m
OU (12)
€2m
GRO (10)
€1m
SN (8)
€1m
FJ (8)
€1m
TUK (7)
€1m
BD (7)
€1m
Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (5)
€3m
RF (4)
€2m
SN (6)
€1m
FL (4)
€1m
BD (6)
€1m
OU (4)
€1m
GRO (6)
€1m
FJ (5)
€0m
AUD (3)
€0m
TUK (3)
€0m
Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (12)
€6m
RF (10)
€3m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (10)
€2m
FJ (10)
€1m
GRO (9)
€1m
TUK (10)
€1m
OU (11)
€1m
BD (8)
€1m
SN (10)
€1m
Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
SN wins
3
Draws
4
BD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils · H/A from SN
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25ABFC Daugavpils Vs SN2-2
02/08/25HSN Vs BFC Daugavpils1-1
01/06/25HSN Vs BFC Daugavpils4-1
15/04/25ABFC Daugavpils Vs SN1-1
23/09/23HSN Vs BFC Daugavpils0-1
05/07/23ABFC Daugavpils Vs SN2-0
14/05/23HSN Vs BFC Daugavpils0-4
01/04/23ABFC Daugavpils Vs SN3-0

Super NovaSuper Nova

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/26HSN Vs FK Liepaja1-2
20/07/26HSN Vs Grobiņa2-0
06/07/26HSN Vs Ogre United1-2
01/07/26ATukums Vs SN1-2
09/11/25HSN Vs FK Liepaja3-0
02/11/25HSN Vs Rīgas FS1-3
25/10/25ABFC Daugavpils Vs SN2-2
18/10/25AGrobiņa Vs SN0-0
04/10/25HSN Vs FS Jelgava1-1
28/09/25ATukums Vs SN2-1

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HBD Vs Tukums2-0
01/08/26HBD Vs FS Jelgava2-1
26/07/26AAuda Vs BD1-0
19/07/26AOgre United Vs BD0-4
04/07/26HBD Vs FK Liepaja3-1
30/06/26ARīgas FS Vs BD3-1
09/11/25AMetta / LU Vs BD3-1
02/11/25HBD Vs FK Liepaja1-2
25/10/25HBD Vs Super Nova2-2
18/10/25AFS Jelgava Vs BD0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Super Nova
Super Nova
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.30
HomeLWLWL1.40
AwayLLDDW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.822.882.76
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.541.601.48
Conceded1.281.281.28
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners---
Cards---
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.32
HomeDLWWW1.59
AwayDLLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%22%
AVG goals3.283.443.09
Over 1.5 %80%85%74%
Over 2.5 %62%67%57%
Over 3.5 %42%37%48%
Scored1.501.701.26
Conceded1.781.741.83
BTTS66%63%70%
Clean Sheet22%22%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS717
71%
2.4
186+12
3.4
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
6232.60.9
-
2RigaRiga716
71%
2.3
218+13
4.1
100%
86%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7363.01.1
-
3FK LiepajaFK Liepaja815
62%
1.9
1610+6
3.2
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.2
-
4AudaAuda714
57%
2.0
84+4
1.7
57%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3031.10.6
-
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils813
50%
1.6
127+5
2.4
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.9
-
6Super NovaSuper Nova68
33%
1.3
76+1
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
7GrobiņaGrobiņa77
29%
1.0
818-10
3.7
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.12.6
-
8FS JelgavaFS Jelgava76
29%
0.9
812-4
2.9
71%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.7
-
9Ogre UnitedOgre United74
14%
0.6
721-14
4.0
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.03.0
-
10TukumsTukums83
12%
0.4
619-13
3.1
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.82.4
-
Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

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