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Sutjeska vs Buducnost Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 1-3
Sutjeska
Sutjeska
Vs
24%
25%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutjeska win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica win✓ Hit
51.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SutjeskaSutjeska

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L03L20W21W11D20W21W12L10WH·DEČ07/12A·BUD22/02H·PET26/02H·ARS02/03A·BOK08/03H·MOR12/03A·OTR16/03H·JEZ29/03A·JED02/04A·DEČ06/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.030.931.131.130.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.851.050.401.301.300.80
vs Weaker (10)1.401.002.000.800.801.20
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W20W51W31W21W51W33D52W11D33DH·PET07/12H·SUT22/02A·ARS26/02H·BOK02/03A·MOR08/03H·OTR12/03A·JEZ16/03H·JED29/03A·DEČ02/04A·PET06/04
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.330.832.470.802.200.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.800.801.710.711.880.88
vs Weaker (15)2.870.873.120.882.570.86
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
1-3 ✓
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
Sutjeska goals ↓
Buducnost Podgorica goals →
01234
05.9%7.8%8.1%5.0%2.3%
14.7%12%9.7%5.9%2.7%
23.5%6.3%5.8%3.6%1.6%
31.4%2.5%2.3%1.4%0.6%
40.4%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Sutjeska goals (down), columns = Buducnost Podgorica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.36
Petrovac
1.67
Sutjeska
1.42
Dečić
1.33
Bokelj
1.22
Mornar
1.22
Arsenal Tivat
1.21
Jedinstvo
1.19
Jezero
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
0.97
Lovćen
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Sutjeska is 0.94 points worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 2.36).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.50
Petrovac
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.25
Otrant-Olympic
1.19
Sutjeska
1.11
Mornar
1.11
Jezero
0.97
Arsenal Tivat
0.95
Dečić
0.94
Bokelj
0.86
Lovćen
0.00
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Sutjeska is 1.39 goals worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Buducnost Podgorica
0.81
Dečić
0.86
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.00
Petrovac
1.03
Sutjeska
1.06
Jezero
1.16
Arsenal Tivat
1.24
Bokelj
1.39
Otrant-Olympic
1.47
Mornar
1.47
Jedinstvo
1.61
Lovćen
2.00
Sutjeska is 0.25 goals worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 0.81).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SutjeskaSutjeska

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L02L00D21W00D10W11D11D00DH·DEČ07/12A·BUD22/02H·PET26/02H·ARS02/03A·BOK08/03H·MOR12/03A·OTR16/03H·JEZ29/03A·JED02/04A·DEČ06/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.530.470.470.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.450.450.300.500.600.40
vs Weaker (10)0.600.301.000.400.200.20
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W20W11D10W21W12L32W01L10WH·PET07/12H·SUT22/02A·ARS26/02H·BOK02/03A·MOR08/03H·OTR12/03A·JEZ16/03H·JED29/03A·DEČ02/04A·PET06/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.430.930.470.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.330.570.290.750.38
vs Weaker (15)1.070.531.250.620.860.43
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Sutjeska over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SutjeskaSutjeska

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L20W00D11D10W10W01L10WH·DEČ07/12A·BUD22/02H·PET26/02H·ARS02/03A·BOK08/03H·MOR12/03A·OTR16/03H·JEZ29/03A·JED02/04A·DEČ06/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.400.670.670.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.400.600.100.800.700.40
vs Weaker (10)0.800.701.000.400.601.00
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W31W20W11D30W21W20W10W23LH·PET07/12H·SUT22/02A·ARS26/02H·BOK02/03A·MOR08/03H·OTR12/03A·JEZ16/03H·JED29/03A·DEČ02/04A·PET06/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.401.530.331.400.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.130.471.140.431.120.50
vs Weaker (15)1.800.331.880.251.710.43
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Sutjeska over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
Sutjeska's squad is €2m more valuable than Buducnost Podgorica's (€5m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Sutjeska's attack is €1m more valuable than Buducnost Podgorica's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Sutjeska and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Sutjeska and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
SUT wins
4
Draws
4
BP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Sutjeska vs Buducnost Podgorica · H/A from SUT
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25ABuducnost Podgorica Vs SUT2-0
06/10/24HSUT Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-1
11/08/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs SUT1-1
27/04/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs SUT2-2
03/03/24HSUT Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-1
28/10/23ABuducnost Podgorica Vs SUT1-0
20/08/23HSUT Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-2
29/04/23HSUT Vs Buducnost Podgorica2-2

SutjeskaSutjeska

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25ADečić Vs SUT0-1
02/04/25AJedinstvo Vs SUT2-1
29/03/25HSUT Vs Jezero2-1
16/03/25AOtrant-Olympic Vs SUT0-2
12/03/25HSUT Vs Mornar1-1
08/03/25ABokelj Vs SUT1-2
02/03/25HSUT Vs Arsenal Tivat2-0
26/02/25HSUT Vs Petrovac0-3
22/02/25ABuducnost Podgorica Vs SUT2-0
07/12/24HSUT Vs Dečić1-1

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25APetrovac Vs BP3-3
02/04/25ADečić Vs BP1-1
29/03/25HBP Vs Jedinstvo5-2
16/03/25AJezero Vs BP3-3
12/03/25HBP Vs Otrant-Olympic5-1
08/03/25AMornar Vs BP1-2
02/03/25HBP Vs Bokelj3-1
26/02/25AArsenal Tivat Vs BP1-5
22/02/25HBP Vs Sutjeska2-0
07/12/24HBP Vs Petrovac3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Sutjeska
Sutjeska
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.48
HomeDLWDW1.52
AwayLWWLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.182.322.04
Over 1.5 %72%84%60%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %10%8%12%
Scored1.161.241.08
Conceded1.021.080.96
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet26%16%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDD1.94
HomeWWWWW2.12
AwayWWDDD1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%64%52%
AVG goals3.063.162.96
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored2.082.321.84
Conceded0.980.841.12
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3685
72%
2.4
9029+61
3.3
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.50.8
-
2PetrovacPetrovac3660
47%
1.7
5037+13
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.0
-
3SutjeskaSutjeska3651
39%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
4DečićDečić3648
28%
1.3
3431+3
1.8
58%
22%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.90.9
-
5Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3846
29%
1.2
3647-11
2.2
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.2
-
6JezeroJezero3845
29%
1.2
3744-7
2.1
63%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.2
-
7MornarMornar3644
33%
1.2
4053-13
2.6
83%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.5
-
8BokeljBokelj3644
36%
1.2
3150-19
2.2
64%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.4
-
9JedinstvoJedinstvo3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3635
25%
1.0
4353-10
2.7
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11LovćenLovćen21
0%
0.5
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
12Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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