Sutjeska vs Jezero Result & Analysis

Sutjeska are the clear favourite, with a 50% chance of victory, a 25% draw probability and a 25% chance for Jezero. The match is expected to see 3.1 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 23%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 11.6% chance. Sutjeska, playing at home against a weaker opponent, normally scores 2.33 goals and concedes 1.83, while Jezero, on the road against a stronger side, averages 1.75 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selection is Over 1.5, with an 82.1% probability of hitting. The home win percentage is 50%, the draw percentage 25% and the away win percentage 25%. The only suggested pick is Over 1.5 with 82.1%.

The win that started Sutjeska’s recent run of five matches was enough to keep them from the upset that the model had predicted. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 50% probability, but the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The only other selection made by the model was Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.1% chance, and it hit as the final score saw two goals. Sutjeska, who had just beaten Mladost DG 5-1, were unable to convert their home advantage, while Jezero, coming off a defeat, managed a single goal. The outcome was a clear surprise for the prediction engine.