The contest between SV Darmstadt 98 and Hannover 96 is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. The predicted probabilities are 38 % for a Darmstadt victory, 26 % for a draw and 36 % for a Hannover win. The average number of goals expected is 3.1, but the most likely total is 2, with a 23 % chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12 % probability. Darmstadt, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 1.93 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Hannover, on the road against a comparable side, averages 1.86 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.7 % with a 3 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.1 % with a 5 % edge), Under 6.5 (96.4 % with a 3 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.0 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.8 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (93.6 % with a 7 % edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (92.7 % with a 1 % edge).
Results analysis
The surprise came early as the pre-match favourite, a home win, failed to materialise, with Hannover 96 snatching a 0-1 away victory. The model had tipped a home win at 38% probability, but the result proved wrong. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win. All the suggested picks were settled and hit: Under 7.5 at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.1%, Under 6.5 at 96.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.8%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 92.5%. Darmstadt’s recent form of LLDLD after two straight defeats was halted, while Hannover’s WLLDD, coming off a win, continued their positive run. The model’s overall prediction missed the mark, but its ancillary selections proved accurate.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
SV Darmstadt 98 win✗ Miss
37.9%
Avg Implied 31.1% · @ 3.01
Edge
+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.11
Bet365
3.10
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Dafabet
3.10
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.71
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
Unibet
3.85
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Pinnacle
3.77
Hannover 96 win✓ Hit
35.4%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.15
Edge
-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.24
Dafabet
2.19
SBO
2.18
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.15
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SV Darmstadt 98
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.43
1.87
1.13
1.33
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.60
1.43
1.87
1.13
1.33
1.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hannover 96
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.37
1.53
1.33
1.87
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.73
1.23
1.54
1.23
1.92
1.23
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
2.67
3.00
3.00
1.50
2.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.9%
@ 1.15-0.3%
Under 1.5
19.1%
@ 4.97+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.28
Superbet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.3%
@ 1.52-4.1%
Under 2.5
42.7%
@ 2.42+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Pinnacle
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.9%
@ 2.32-5.7%
Under 3.5
65.1%
@ 1.58+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.35
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.1%
@ 1.45-2.5%
No
38.9%
@ 2.54+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
No
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
Unibet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 7.14+6.1%
2-1
8.6%@ 10.06+4.1%
1-2
8.2%@ 8.32+2.8%
1-0
6.6%@ 12.70+3.0%
0-1 ✓
6.3%@ 10.51+2.0%
2-2
6.3%@ 10.66+2.0%
0-0
6.2%@ 15.18+3.2%
2-0
5.9%@ 17.10+3.2%
SV Darmstadt 98 goals ↓
Hannover 96 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
6.3%
5.4%
2.6%
1.0%
1
6.6%
12%
8.2%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.9%
8.6%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
3
3.0%
4.3%
3.2%
1.5%
0.6%
4
1.1%
1.6%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SV Darmstadt 98 goals (down), columns = Hannover 96 goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.14
Hannover 96
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.58
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Energie Cottbus
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.07
SV Darmstadt 98 is 0.24 points worse than Hannover 96 in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.18
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.67
FC St. Pauli
1.62
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Energie Cottbus
1.12
VfL Osnabrück
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
SV Darmstadt 98 is 0.09 goals worse than Hannover 96 in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
VfL Wolfsburg
0.93
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
FC St. Pauli
1.26
Hertha BSC
1.29
Hannover 96
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Energie Cottbus
1.82
VfL Osnabrück
1.87
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
SV Darmstadt 98 is 0.03 goals worse than Hannover 96 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
SV Darmstadt 98 is 4.8 percentage points worse than Hannover 96 in terms of average possession (51% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SV Darmstadt 98
For 5.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hannover 96
For 6.9 · Against 4.3 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Darmstadt 98
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.8
10.3
4.1
3.9
4.2
23.8
24.6
23.0
vs Stronger (1)
9.0
9.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
30.0
30.0
-
vs Similar (45)
10.5
10.7
10.4
4.0
4.0
4.0
23.6
24.5
22.9
vs Weaker (4)
11.0
13.0
9.0
4.0
2.0
6.0
24.0
23.0
25.0
% over line
56%
56%
56%
60%
52%
68%
72%
80%
64%
% under line
44%
44%
44%
40%
48%
32%
28%
20%
36%
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hannover 96
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
11.7
9.3
4.8
4.8
4.8
26.3
25.8
26.8
vs Stronger (1)
14.0
14.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
18.0
18.0
-
vs Similar (44)
10.5
11.4
9.6
4.8
4.8
4.7
26.3
26.0
26.5
vs Weaker (5)
9.4
16.0
7.8
5.4
6.0
5.2
28.6
29.0
28.5
% over line
52%
67%
38%
70%
67%
73%
82%
75%
88%
% under line
48%
33%
62%
30%
33%
27%
18%
25%
12%
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Energie Cottbus
13.7
VfL Wolfsburg
11.7
VfL Osnabrück
10.9
Dynamo Dresden
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.5
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
Hannover 96
10.5
Hertha BSC
10.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
Holstein Kiel
10.1
1. FC Magdeburg
10.0
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
FC St. Pauli
9.6
1. FC Nürnberg
9.6
Karlsruher SC
9.4
1. FC Heidenheim
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Holstein Kiel
5.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.0
1. FC Nürnberg
4.9
VfL Bochum
4.9
Hannover 96
4.8
Hertha BSC
4.8
1. FC Magdeburg
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.6
VfL Osnabrück
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.6
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
Arminia Bielefeld
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.1
1. FC Heidenheim
3.7
FC St. Pauli
3.7
VfL Wolfsburg
3.6
Energie Cottbus
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Holstein Kiel
26.4
Hannover 96
26.3
Energie Cottbus
26.3
Arminia Bielefeld
25.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.5
VfL Osnabrück
25.2
1. FC Nürnberg
24.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.3
Hertha BSC
24.1
SV Darmstadt 98
23.8
1. FC Magdeburg
23.7
Karlsruher SC
23.2
Dynamo Dresden
23.1
VfL Bochum
23.0
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
1. FC Heidenheim
20.5
FC St. Pauli
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.4%
@ 1.55-4.9%
Under 9.5
45.6%
@ 2.26+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.35
Unibet
2.33
Marathonbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.8%
Under 3.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
74.0%
Under 21.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw✗ Miss
65.3%
Avg Implied 55.7% · @ 1.68
Edge
+9.6%
38%
27%
35%
covers SV Darmstadt 98 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
SV Darmstadt 98 or Hannover 96✓ Hit
73.8%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.24
Edge
-1.4%
38%
27%
35%
covers SV Darmstadt 98 + Hannover 96
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or Hannover 96✓ Hit
60.9%
Avg Implied 69.1% · @ 1.35
Edge
-8.2%
38%
27%
35%
covers Draw + Hannover 96
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
79.3%
@ 1.23+4.1%
Under
20.7%
@ 3.74-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
4.01
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.7%
@ 2.19+4.0%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.63-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
Betfair
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.0%
@ 4.83+1.8%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.15-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Pinnacle
5.20
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.14
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 11.00-1.0%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.03+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Hannover 96 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.1%
@ 1.14-4.2%
Under
22.9%
@ 4.97+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
Pinnacle
5.42
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Hannover 96 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.3%
@ 1.77-9.4%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.98+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.78
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
Hannover 96 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.5%
@ 3.42-8.7%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.28+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Hannover 96 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 7.27-6.6%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.07+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.30
1xBet
7.10
Marathonbet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SV Darmstadt 98, so a minus line means SV Darmstadt 98 give that many goals of a start and Hannover 96 receive them. At -1, SV Darmstadt 98 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SV Darmstadt 98 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hannover 96
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.93
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.50
0.69
0.54
0.92
0.46
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
72.1%
@ 1.26-1.8%
Under 0.5
27.9%
@ 3.56+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
William Hil
3.60
10Bet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.8%
@ 2.24-2.0%
Under 1.5
60.2%
@ 1.61+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Betano
2.32
SBO
2.31
Marathonbet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Under
Superbet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.1%
@ 4.96-5.8%
Under 2.5
86.9%
@ 1.15+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.90
Superbet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.9%
@ 1.96+1.6%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.77-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.82
Unibet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 5.78-0.7%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.10+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
5.90
Superbet
5.75
Betano
5.70
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 16.58-2.9%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Hannover 96 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.3%
@ 1.73-4.4%
Under
50.7%
@ 2.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
Unibet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Hannover 96 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 4.55-7.8%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.16+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Hannover 96 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 12.00-5.9%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SV Darmstadt 98
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.07
0.33
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.90
0.57
1.07
0.33
0.73
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hannover 96) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hannover 96
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.83
0.80
0.73
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.73
0.85
0.69
1.00
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.1%
@ 1.15-0.3%
Under 0.5
18.9%
@ 5.03+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.10
Betano
5.10
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.5%
@ 1.74-5.2%
Under 1.5
51.5%
@ 2.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.8%
@ 3.28-5.6%
Under 2.5
77.2%
@ 1.30+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.22
1xBet
3.22
Under
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.9%
@ 1.67+1.3%
Under
43.1%
@ 2.08-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Under
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.8%
@ 4.20-3.2%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.19+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.35
Superbet
4.25
Betano
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 10.75-3.6%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.03+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Hannover 96 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.5%
@ 1.49-8.8%
Under
46.5%
@ 2.47+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Hannover 96 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 3.30-11.1%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.28+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Hannover 96 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 8.45-6.3%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.8%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.1%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.7%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
83.2%
1.23
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+10.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.5%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.15
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.9%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
10Bet
1.17
-0.3%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
80.7%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
80.0%
1.10
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
-
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.3%
1.23
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
79.0%
1.15
Pinnacle
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.14
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.2%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.1%
1.14
Pinnacle
1.17
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.8%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.1%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-1.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SV Darmstadt 98
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Smit33%
Aleksandar Vukotić25%
Lance Duijvestijn25%
Lee Ho-jae25%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Kai Klefisch0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Yosuke Furukawa0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcel Schuhen50%
Kai Klefisch33%
Noah Weißhaupt25%
Yosuke Furukawa25%
Aleksandar Vukotić0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Lance Duijvestijn0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Lee Ho-jae0%
Milan Smit0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lance Duijvestijn50%
Kai Klefisch33%
Milan Smit33%
Aleksandar Vukotić0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Lee Ho-jae0%
Yosuke Furukawa0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Vukotić0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Kai Klefisch0%
Raoul Petretta0%
Lance Duijvestijn0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Christopher Lannert0%
Noah Weißhaupt0%
Florian Kleinhansl0%
Lee Ho-jae0%
Yosuke Furukawa0%
Milan Smit0%
Nicolas Verkooijen0%
Manolo Merx0%
Hannover 96
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maurice Neubauer33%
Lars Timo Gindorf33%
Benedikt Pichler0%
Mustapha Bundu0%
Benjamin Källman0%
Boris Tomiak0%
Waniss Taibi0%
Bastian Allgeier0%
Kolja Oudenne0%
Ime Okon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maurice Neubauer33%
Boris Tomiak33%
Benedikt Pichler0%
Mustapha Bundu0%
Benjamin Källman0%
Waniss Taibi0%
Lars Timo Gindorf0%
Bastian Allgeier0%
Kolja Oudenne0%
Ime Okon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benedikt Pichler0%
Mustapha Bundu0%
Benjamin Källman0%
Maurice Neubauer0%
Boris Tomiak0%
Waniss Taibi0%
Lars Timo Gindorf0%
Bastian Allgeier0%
Kolja Oudenne0%
Ime Okon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mustapha Bundu67%
Kolja Oudenne67%
Lars Timo Gindorf33%
Benedikt Pichler0%
Benjamin Källman0%
Maurice Neubauer0%
Boris Tomiak0%
Waniss Taibi0%
Bastian Allgeier0%
Ime Okon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (33)
€154m
FSP (27)
€46m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
HB (24)
€25m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
EC (26)
€11m
VO (25)
€10m
SV Darmstadt 98's squad is €9m less valuable than Hannover 96's (€24m vs €33m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (10)
€56m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FK (9)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
HB (8)
€8m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
EC (10)
€4m
SGF (6)
€4m
SV Darmstadt 98 and Hannover 96 have a similar attack value (both €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (8)
€32m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
VO (7)
€3m
EC (4)
€2m
SV Darmstadt 98's midfield is €5m less valuable than Hannover 96's (€6m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (15)
€66m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
HB (10)
€13m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
EC (12)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
SV Darmstadt 98's defence is €3m less valuable than Hannover 96's (€8m vs €12m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
Eintracht Braunschweig
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Bochum
Energie Cottbus
VfL Osnabrück
Dynamo Dresden
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel