This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.63
1.00
1.53
1.00
1.73
vs Stronger (22)
0.95
1.82
1.00
1.55
0.91
2.09
vs Similar (8)
1.12
1.12
1.00
1.50
1.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.2%
@ 1.71+3.7%
Under 2.5
40.8%
@ 2.13-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.8%
Under 3.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.5%
No
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
10.0%
2-0 ✓
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.0%
SV Darmstadt 98 goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
3.8%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
1
8.6%
11%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
2
9.8%
10.0%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.7%
6.8%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
4
3.4%
3.5%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SV Darmstadt 98 goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SV Wehen
3.00
1. FC Heidenheim
2.03
Hamburger SV
2.00
SV Darmstadt 98
1.94
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.78
FC St. Pauli
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Karlsruher SC
1.44
Hannover 96
1.33
1. FC Magdeburg
1.31
Hansa Rostock
1.31
Holstein Kiel
1.31
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.25
1. FC Nürnberg
1.19
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.03
Arminia Bielefeld
0.97
Jahn Regensburg
0.91
Regensburg
0.91
SV Sandhausen
0.86
SV Darmstadt 98 is 1.03 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.94 vs 0.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SV Wehen
3.00
Hamburger SV
2.17
1. FC Heidenheim
2.08
SC Paderborn 07
1.97
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.81
Karlsruher SC
1.75
Holstein Kiel
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.56
Hannover 96
1.44
SV Darmstadt 98
1.44
Arminia Bielefeld
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.31
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
SV Sandhausen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
1.03
Jahn Regensburg
1.00
Regensburg
1.00
1. FC Nürnberg
0.92
SV Darmstadt 98 is 0.44 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SV Wehen
0.50
SV Darmstadt 98
0.97
FC St. Pauli
1.14
1. FC Heidenheim
1.17
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
SC Paderborn 07
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.31
Hansa Rostock
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.36
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.47
Karlsruher SC
1.47
Hannover 96
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Jahn Regensburg
1.71
Regensburg
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.72
Holstein Kiel
1.75
SV Sandhausen
1.83
Arminia Bielefeld
1.89
SV Darmstadt 98 is 0.73 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SV Darmstadt 98
For 5.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 5.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Darmstadt 98
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.3
9.1
3.1
2.8
3.5
24.5
24.4
24.5
vs Stronger (3)
10.0
14.0
6.0
2.3
1.0
3.0
18.0
18.0
18.0
vs Similar (37)
9.9
9.2
10.6
3.2
2.9
3.5
25.3
25.3
25.2
vs Weaker (10)
7.1
8.3
6.4
3.2
2.8
3.5
23.8
23.0
24.2
% over line
42%
44%
41%
50%
44%
56%
67%
62%
71%
% under line
58%
56%
59%
50%
56%
44%
33%
38%
29%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.2
9.8
4.3
4.7
4.0
26.4
26.2
26.6
vs Stronger (36)
9.6
8.9
10.3
4.5
4.4
4.5
26.1
26.5
25.7
vs Similar (14)
9.1
9.8
8.2
3.9
5.1
2.3
27.2
25.6
29.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
46%
54%
70%
65%
75%
84%
85%
83%
% under line
50%
54%
46%
30%
35%
25%
16%
15%
17%
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Heidenheim
11.2
Hamburger SV
11.0
1. FC Nürnberg
10.7
Hannover 96
10.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.3
SV Sandhausen
10.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
9.9
Holstein Kiel
9.9
SC Paderborn 07
9.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.8
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.8
Hansa Rostock
9.5
Regensburg
9.5
Arminia Bielefeld
9.5
Karlsruher SC
9.4
SV Darmstadt 98
9.2
FC St. Pauli
9.2
1. FC Magdeburg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
1. FC Magdeburg
4.8
SV Darmstadt 98
4.7
Hansa Rostock
4.5
SV Sandhausen
4.4
Hamburger SV
4.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.3
Regensburg
4.3
SC Paderborn 07
4.3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.1
1. FC Nürnberg
4.0
Karlsruher SC
3.9
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3.9
Holstein Kiel
3.9
Hannover 96
3.9
FC St. Pauli
3.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.6
1. FC Heidenheim
3.5
Arminia Bielefeld
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
1. FC Kaiserslautern
28.2
Eintracht Braunschweig
26.7
Regensburg
26.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
26.0
1. FC Magdeburg
25.9
SV Darmstadt 98
24.8
Hansa Rostock
24.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.5
SV Sandhausen
23.5
Hannover 96
23.5
Hamburger SV
23.4
Karlsruher SC
23.4
FC St. Pauli
23.2
1. FC Nürnberg
23.1
SC Paderborn 07
22.3
Arminia Bielefeld
22.2
Holstein Kiel
21.8
1. FC Heidenheim
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.1%
Under 9.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.2%
Under 3.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.5%
Under 21.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SV Darmstadt 98
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.47
1.31
0.44
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.46
1.15
0.46
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
2.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.73
0.40
0.80
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (22)
0.45
0.68
0.36
0.64
0.55
0.73
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.88
0.50
1.25
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SV Darmstadt 98
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.81
0.56
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.67
0.77
0.62
0.91
0.73
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
1.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.60
0.73
0.53
1.07
vs Stronger (22)
0.50
1.14
0.64
0.91
0.36
1.36
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SV Darmstadt 98
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Phillip Tietz32%
Braydon Manu25%
Mathias Honsak20%
Patric Pfeiffer17%
Oscar Vilhelmsson14%
Filip Stojilković13%
Tobias Kempe12%
Marvin Mehlem9%
Frank Ronstadt9%
Matthias Bader8%
Aaron Seydel8%
Emir Karić7%
Jannik Müller7%
Fabian Holland4%
Magnus Warming0%
Christoph Zimmermann0%
Klaus Gjasula0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Alexander Brunst0%
Fabian Schnellhardt0%
Keanan Bennetts0%
Yassin Ben Balla0%
Thomas Isherwood0%
Clemens Riedel0%
André Leipold0%
Fabio Torsiello0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabian Holland39%
Marvin Mehlem38%
Alexander Brunst33%
Aaron Seydel31%
Patric Pfeiffer25%
Klaus Gjasula24%
Fabian Schnellhardt16%
Emir Karić15%
Jannik Müller15%
Braydon Manu14%
Oscar Vilhelmsson14%
Filip Stojilković13%
Phillip Tietz12%
Tobias Kempe12%
Clemens Riedel11%
Christoph Zimmermann10%
Marcel Schuhen9%
Matthias Bader8%
Thomas Isherwood7%
Magnus Warming6%
Frank Ronstadt4%
Mathias Honsak0%
Keanan Bennetts0%
Yassin Ben Balla0%
André Leipold0%
Fabio Torsiello0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Kempe27%
Braydon Manu25%
Marvin Mehlem16%
Fabian Schnellhardt12%
Fabian Holland11%
Matthias Bader8%
Mathias Honsak7%
Phillip Tietz6%
Frank Ronstadt4%
Patric Pfeiffer4%
Marcel Schuhen3%
Emir Karić0%
Magnus Warming0%
Christoph Zimmermann0%
Klaus Gjasula0%
Aaron Seydel0%
Jannik Müller0%
Alexander Brunst0%
Keanan Bennetts0%
Yassin Ben Balla0%
Thomas Isherwood0%
Filip Stojilković0%
Oscar Vilhelmsson0%
Clemens Riedel0%
André Leipold0%
Fabio Torsiello0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Phillip Tietz44%
Braydon Manu21%
Filip Stojilković20%
Mathias Honsak13%
Tobias Kempe8%
Magnus Warming6%
Fabian Schnellhardt4%
Marvin Mehlem3%
Emir Karić0%
Christoph Zimmermann0%
Matthias Bader0%
Klaus Gjasula0%
Aaron Seydel0%
Fabian Holland0%
Jannik Müller0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Alexander Brunst0%
Keanan Bennetts0%
Yassin Ben Balla0%
Thomas Isherwood0%
Patric Pfeiffer0%
Frank Ronstadt0%
Oscar Vilhelmsson0%
Clemens Riedel0%
André Leipold0%
Fabio Torsiello0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
FC St. Pauli
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
Hansa Rostock
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Braunschweig
Jahn Regensburg
SV Sandhausen
SV Wehen