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SV Elversberg vs Preußen Münster Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2026
Time: 13:30
Final 3-0
SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
Vs
67%
20%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Preußen Münster
Preußen Münster
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Odd / Even7 Home & Away Over/Under8 Handicap9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives SV Elversberg a 67% win probability against Preußen Münster in the Germany: 2. Bundesliga on 2026-05-17, with 20% for the draw and 13% for Preußen Münster. The model estimates around 3.3 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (22%) and 2-0 the most likely scoreline (10.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (85%).

Results analysis

SV Elversberg finished 3-0 against Preußen Münster (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 67% home win, 20% draw and 13% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (85%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SV Elversberg win✓ Hit
66.8%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.21
Edge
-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied 15.0% · @ 6.11
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Preußen Münster win✗ Miss
13.3%
Avg Implied 9.1% · @ 10.13
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D10W02L31W11D12L30W33D51W13LA·HOL28/02H·1. 06/03A·SPV13/03H·ARM21/03A·HAN05/04H·FC 12/04H·KAR17/04A·SV 25/04H·SC 03/05A·FOR10/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.202.070.931.811.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.621.311.751.121.501.50
vs Weaker (14)2.291.072.500.672.121.38
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Preußen Münster) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W12L06L13L00D00D14L23L33D11DA·EIN01/03H·HER08/03A·DYN15/03H·1. 22/03A·HOL05/04H·SPV11/04A·FC 19/04H·ARM25/04A·HAN03/05H·SV 10/05
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.771.271.600.931.93
vs Stronger (24)0.921.621.001.500.831.75
vs Similar (6)1.832.332.332.001.332.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Elversberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.6%
Under 1.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.4%
@ 1.35-5.3%
Under 2.5
36.6%
@ 2.96+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.2%
Under 3.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
8.0%
3-0 ✓
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
SV Elversberg goals ↓
Preußen Münster goals →
01234
04.7%2.8%1.7%0.6%0.1%
18.0%9.3%4.0%1.3%0.3%
210%9.7%4.7%1.5%0.4%
37.8%7.5%3.6%1.1%0.3%
44.5%4.3%2.1%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SV Elversberg goals (down), columns = Preußen Münster goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Schalke 04
2.06
SV Elversberg
1.82
SC Paderborn 07
1.82
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
Rot-Weiß Essen
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
Karlsruher SC
1.29
VfL Bochum
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.09
Preußen Münster
0.88
SV Elversberg is 0.94 points better than Preußen Münster in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
SV Elversberg
1.88
Hannover 96
1.76
SC Paderborn 07
1.74
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
FC Schalke 04
1.47
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.12
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.97
Rot-Weiß Essen
0.50
SV Elversberg is 0.76 goals better than Preußen Münster in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Schalke 04
0.91
Rot-Weiß Essen
1.00
SV Elversberg
1.15
Hertha BSC
1.29
Hannover 96
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
SC Paderborn 07
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.56
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Preußen Münster
1.79
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
SV Elversberg is 0.65 goals better than Preußen Münster in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.79).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
SV Elversberg
53%
SC Paderborn 07
53%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Preußen Münster
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
FC Schalke 04
46%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
Rot-Weiß Essen
39%
SV Elversberg is 1.9 percentage points better than Preußen Münster in terms of average possession (53% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg

For 6.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

16052267521824109162115757812310141081612A·FORH·SC A·SV H·KARH·FC A·HANH·ARMA·SPVH·1. A·HOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

9033623114331212223951561324A·FORH·SC A·SV H·KARH·FC A·HANH·ARMA·SPVH·1. A·HOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

3207611151910881391113771213411161613262916222414251532A·FORH·SC A·SV H·KARH·FC A·HANH·ARMA·SPVH·1. A·HOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster

For 4.3 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

160576107127643116345487121689101499127H·SV A·HANH·ARMA·FC H·SPVA·HOLH·1. A·DYNH·HERA·EIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

604163213322212242335633643466H·SV A·HANH·ARMA·FC A·HOLH·1. A·DYNH·HERA·EINH·1.
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

300111018111797912141215111913510912821292616262730181920H·SV A·HANH·ARMA·FC H·SPVA·HOLH·1. A·DYNH·HERA·EIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.010.04.53.45.524.022.725.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)9.59.29.74.53.75.224.123.424.7
vs Weaker (23)9.68.810.54.43.25.823.821.925.9
% over line50%46%54%66%54%77%70%50%88%
% under line50%54%46%34%46%23%30%50%12%
This opponent (Preußen Münster) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.710.05.45.55.326.728.025.4
vs Stronger (39)10.310.210.45.25.25.226.327.025.7
vs Similar (8)9.08.210.36.16.26.028.431.024.0
vs Weaker (3)6.37.06.07.09.06.026.331.024.0
% over line52%52%52%84%88%80%74%84%64%
% under line48%48%48%16%12%20%26%16%36%
This opponent (SV Elversberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
VfL Bochum
10.7
Hertha BSC
10.7
Dynamo Dresden
10.6
1. FC Magdeburg
10.3
SV Darmstadt 98
10.3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
Hannover 96
10.2
Holstein Kiel
10.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.1
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
Preußen Münster
9.9
SC Paderborn 07
9.8
1. FC Nürnberg
9.7
FC Schalke 04
9.7
SV Elversberg
9.6
Karlsruher SC
9.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Preußen Münster
5.6
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.3
Holstein Kiel
5.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.1
1. FC Nürnberg
4.9
Hannover 96
4.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.8
VfL Bochum
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.7
1. FC Magdeburg
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.5
Hertha BSC
4.4
SV Darmstadt 98
4.3
Arminia Bielefeld
4.2
Dynamo Dresden
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Preußen Münster
26.7
Hannover 96
26.6
Holstein Kiel
25.8
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.6
Arminia Bielefeld
25.4
1. FC Nürnberg
25.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.8
SC Paderborn 07
24.5
Hertha BSC
24.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.2
SV Elversberg
24.0
SV Darmstadt 98
23.7
FC Schalke 04
23.7
1. FC Magdeburg
23.5
Dynamo Dresden
23.4
Karlsruher SC
23.1
VfL Bochum
23.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.1%
Under 3.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.3%
Under 21.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HB (35)
€60m
SP0 (31)
€53m
H9 (32)
€51m
VB (32)
€47m
HK (34)
€38m
KS (27)
€36m
SD9 (24)
€32m
SGF (35)
€27m
EB (29)
€23m
AB (28)
€18m
PM (31)
€16m
RE (27)
€8m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VB (10)
€19m
SD9 (9)
€17m
KS (8)
€16m
HB (7)
€14m
H9 (10)
€13m
SGF (9)
€12m
HK (8)
€10m
SP0 (11)
€10m
EB (11)
€9m
AB (12)
€8m
PM (8)
€4m
RE (11)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HB (10)
€27m
H9 (11)
€25m
SP0 (9)
€21m
VB (9)
€19m
HK (9)
€12m
SD9 (5)
€8m
SGF (10)
€7m
KS (8)
€5m
PM (8)
€4m
EB (5)
€4m
AB (4)
€2m
RE (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP0 (11)
€22m
HB (18)
€20m
HK (17)
€15m
KS (11)
€15m
H9 (11)
€13m
VB (13)
€10m
EB (13)
€9m
SGF (16)
€9m
SD9 (10)
€8m
PM (15)
€7m
AB (12)
€7m
RE (11)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

SV Elversberg vs Preußen Münster · H/A from SE
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/25APreußen Münster Vs SE1-1
15/03/25HSE Vs Preußen Münster0-1
19/10/24APreußen Münster Vs SE1-1

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26AFortuna Düsseldorf Vs SE3-1
03/05/26HSE Vs SC Paderborn 075-1
25/04/26ASV Darmstadt 98 Vs SE3-3
17/04/26HSE Vs Karlsruher SC3-0
12/04/26HSE Vs FC Schalke 041-2
05/04/26AHannover 96 Vs SE1-1
21/03/26HSE Vs Arminia Bielefeld3-1
13/03/26ASpVgg Greuther Fürth Vs SE2-0
06/03/26HSE Vs 1. FC Magdeburg1-0
28/02/26AHolstein Kiel Vs SE1-1

Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HPM Vs SV Darmstadt 981-1
03/05/26AHannover 96 Vs PM3-3
25/04/26HPM Vs Arminia Bielefeld2-3
19/04/26AFC Schalke 04 Vs PM4-1
11/04/26HPM Vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth0-0
05/04/26AHolstein Kiel Vs PM0-0
22/03/26HPM Vs 1. FC Magdeburg1-3
15/03/26ADynamo Dresden Vs PM6-0
08/03/26HPM Vs Hertha BSC1-2
01/03/26AEintracht Braunschweig Vs PM1-2

📊 12. Overall Statistics

SV Elversberg
SV Elversberg
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.80
HomeWWLWW2.08
AwayDLDDL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.923.042.81
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.922.291.58
Conceded1.000.751.23
BTTS54%42%65%
Clean Sheet34%50%19%
Corners9.569.0410.04
Cards4.573.575.46
Preußen Münster
Preußen Münster
Germany: 2. Bundesliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.00
HomeLLDLD1.16
AwayWLDLD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.742.562.92
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %52%44%60%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.201.281.12
Conceded1.541.281.80
BTTS64%72%56%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners9.869.6810.04
Cards5.656.005.32

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 043470
62%
2.1
5031+19
2.4
62%
47%
18%
9.3
38%
4.5
65%
24.6
71%
0
0001.50.9
46%
2SV ElversbergSV Elversberg3462
53%
1.8
6439+25
3.0
82%
59%
38%
10.3
62%
4.8
70%
24.4
71%
0
0001.91.1
53%
3SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 073462
53%
1.8
5945+14
3.1
88%
62%
26%
9.7
56%
4.7
79%
24.1
71%
53
1021221.71.3
53%
4Hannover 96Hannover 963460
47%
1.8
6044+16
3.1
85%
68%
41%
10.3
47%
4.7
68%
26.1
79%
51
1325131.81.3
56%
5SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 983452
38%
1.5
5745+12
3.0
82%
56%
41%
10.4
56%
3.8
55%
23.4
65%
32
17881.71.3
51%
61. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern3452
47%
1.5
5247+5
2.9
76%
59%
38%
9.6
62%
5.2
76%
25.5
76%
0
0001.51.4
48%
7Hertha BSCHertha BSC3451
41%
1.5
4744+3
2.7
68%
47%
24%
10.3
56%
4.9
73%
23.9
68%
60
1427201.41.3
49%
81. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg3446
35%
1.4
4745+2
2.7
82%
53%
18%
9.7
47%
4.9
79%
25.1
74%
0
0001.41.3
49%
9VfL BochumVfL Bochum3444
32%
1.3
4947+2
2.8
85%
50%
26%
10.8
62%
5.2
75%
23.2
56%
47
1919101.41.4
46%
10Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC3444
35%
1.3
5364-11
3.4
85%
76%
53%
9.4
41%
4.8
59%
22.4
47%
36
165151.61.9
48%
11Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden3441
32%
1.2
5453+1
3.1
88%
71%
35%
10.8
59%
4.2
62%
23.1
56%
0
0001.61.6
50%
12Holstein KielHolstein Kiel3441
32%
1.2
4448-4
2.7
82%
53%
24%
10.1
56%
5.8
85%
27.6
91%
38
1012151.31.4
52%
13SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth3640
31%
1.1
5169-18
3.3
83%
64%
36%
10.2
47%
4.8
74%
24.2
69%
27
12791.41.9
48%
14Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld3439
29%
1.1
5351+2
3.1
85%
53%
38%
10.4
59%
4.8
64%
26.4
82%
18
8271.61.5
52%
151. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg3439
35%
1.1
5258-6
3.2
76%
53%
35%
10.0
50%
4.9
74%
23.8
68%
0
0001.51.7
54%
16Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig3437
29%
1.1
3654-18
2.6
79%
50%
24%
10.5
65%
5.4
76%
25.4
71%
23
9491.11.6
44%
17Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf3437
32%
1.1
3353-20
2.5
71%
56%
15%
8.9
41%
5.2
77%
23.2
68%
0
0001.01.6
49%
18Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster3430
18%
0.9
3861-23
2.9
82%
62%
32%
10.0
56%
5.6
88%
26.5
71%
16
4471.11.8
52%
19Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
50%
8
4130.51.0
39%
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →

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