This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
2.13
0.75
1.50
0.64
2.86
vs Stronger (24)
0.71
2.21
0.79
1.50
0.60
3.20
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.83
0.50
1.50
0.75
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Elversberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.9%
Under 1.5
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
75.1%
@ 1.67+18.8%
Under 2.5
24.9%
@ 2.15-18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.2%
Under 3.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.6%
No
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
8.6%
3-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.3%
4-0
6.3%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
6.1%
1-0
5.3%
SV Elversberg goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.5%
1.4%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
1
5.3%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
2
8.6%
8.4%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
3
8.5%
8.3%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
4
6.3%
6.1%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SV Elversberg goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.87
Hamburger SV
1.76
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.71
Hannover 96
1.66
SC Paderborn 07
1.66
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Elversberg
1.63
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Karlsruher SC
1.58
FC Saarbrücken
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Hertha BSC
1.34
SV Darmstadt 98
1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.21
FC Schalke 04
1.18
Preußen Münster
1.16
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.02
Ulm
0.88
SSV Ulm 1846
0.88
Jahn Regensburg
0.74
Regensburg
0.74
SV Elversberg is 0.90 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 0.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.39
1. FC Nürnberg
1.92
SV Elversberg
1.87
1. FC Magdeburg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.74
Karlsruher SC
1.68
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Darmstadt 98
1.63
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
1. FC Köln
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.47
FC Schalke 04
1.47
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.37
Hannover 96
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.24
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.07
Ulm
1.06
SSV Ulm 1846
1.06
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Jahn Regensburg
0.68
Regensburg
0.68
SV Elversberg is 1.19 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.87 vs 0.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Hannover 96
1.03
1. FC Köln
1.03
SV Elversberg
1.08
Preußen Münster
1.18
SC Paderborn 07
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Magdeburg
1.39
Ulm
1.41
SSV Ulm 1846
1.41
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.45
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.55
SV Darmstadt 98
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.63
1. FC Nürnberg
1.66
FC Schalke 04
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.77
Jahn Regensburg
2.09
Regensburg
2.09
SV Elversberg is 1.01 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 2.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
58%
Hamburger SV
55%
FC Schalke 04
54%
Hertha BSC
53%
FC Saarbrücken
53%
1. FC Köln
53%
SV Elversberg
52%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
52%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
52%
1. FC Nürnberg
51%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
50%
Hannover 96
49%
Karlsruher SC
49%
SSV Ulm 1846
46%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
45%
Preußen Münster
43%
Jahn Regensburg
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SV Elversberg
For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 4.0 · Against 7.7 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 14.0 · Total 30.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Elversberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.5
10.4
4.4
3.8
5.1
22.0
22.3
21.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (36)
10.6
11.2
9.8
4.1
3.5
4.8
21.7
22.1
21.3
vs Weaker (14)
12.0
12.3
11.8
5.3
4.7
5.8
22.6
23.2
22.2
% over line
64%
65%
62%
72%
65%
79%
58%
58%
58%
% under line
36%
35%
38%
28%
35%
21%
42%
42%
42%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.8
9.3
4.8
4.8
4.8
25.9
27.9
23.8
vs Stronger (38)
10.2
11.4
9.1
4.8
4.8
4.7
25.2
27.4
23.0
vs Similar (12)
9.4
8.8
10.0
4.9
4.7
5.2
28.0
29.7
26.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
64%
36%
74%
76%
72%
78%
88%
68%
% under line
50%
36%
64%
26%
24%
28%
22%
12%
32%
This opponent (SV Elversberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Köln
11.2
1. FC Magdeburg
11.1
Hamburger SV
11.1
SV Elversberg
11.0
Hertha BSC
10.9
SC Paderborn 07
10.8
1. FC Nürnberg
10.7
Hannover 96
10.7
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.7
Jahn Regensburg
10.6
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.5
Karlsruher SC
10.2
Regensburg
10.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.6
SSV Ulm 1846
9.6
Ulm
9.6
Preußen Münster
9.6
SV Darmstadt 98
9.4
FC Schalke 04
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SSV Ulm 1846
6.2
Ulm
5.5
Preußen Münster
5.2
1. FC Magdeburg
5.1
Hamburger SV
5.1
1. FC Nürnberg
5.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5.0
Jahn Regensburg
5.0
SV Darmstadt 98
5.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.0
FC Schalke 04
5.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.0
1. FC Köln
4.8
Regensburg
4.8
Hertha BSC
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.5
SV Elversberg
4.5
Karlsruher SC
4.4
Hannover 96
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Jahn Regensburg
26.7
Regensburg
25.9
Preußen Münster
25.8
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.2
SSV Ulm 1846
25.2
Ulm
25.1
Hannover 96
25.0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
23.8
1. FC Nürnberg
23.6
Hamburger SV
23.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
23.2
1. FC Magdeburg
23.1
1. FC Köln
23.0
SV Darmstadt 98
22.7
SC Paderborn 07
22.6
Hertha BSC
22.5
SV Elversberg
22.0
Karlsruher SC
21.6
Fortuna Düsseldorf
21.4
FC Schalke 04
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.6%
Under 9.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.4%
Under 3.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.8%
Under 21.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SV Elversberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
1.13
0.47
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.05
0.33
1.42
0.42
0.56
0.22
vs Weaker (9)
0.00
0.56
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.97
0.25
0.69
0.36
1.29
vs Stronger (24)
0.29
0.96
0.21
0.71
0.40
1.30
vs Similar (6)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Elversberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SV Elversberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Elversberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Elversberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SV Elversberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.87
1.33
0.73
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.90
0.92
1.25
0.78
0.44
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.56
0.67
1.67
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.17
0.50
0.81
0.29
1.57
vs Stronger (24)
0.42
1.25
0.57
0.79
0.20
1.90
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.83
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Elversberg) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SV Elversberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Elversberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Elversberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
76.8%
1.45
-
-
-
-
-
+11.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
75.1%
1.67
-
-
-
-
-
+18.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SV Elversberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fisnik Asllani35%
Robin Fellhauer25%
Muhammed Damar24%
Luca Schnellbacher21%
Carlo Sickinger17%
Lukas Petkov15%
Tom Zimmerschied15%
Semih Şahin12%
Maurice Neubauer8%
Frederik Schmahl6%
Elias Baum5%
Florian Le Joncour5%
Filimon Gerezgiher5%
Paul Stock5%
Arne Sicker0%
Luca Dürholtz0%
Manuel Feil0%
Maximilian Rohr0%
Lukas Finn Pinckert0%
Nicolas Kristof0%
Mohammad Mahmoud0%
Younes Ebnoutalib0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Finn Pinckert31%
Semih Şahin20%
Maximilian Rohr19%
Lukas Petkov18%
Robin Fellhauer18%
Muhammed Damar15%
Fisnik Asllani14%
Elias Baum14%
Carlo Sickinger11%
Maurice Neubauer11%
Florian Le Joncour10%
Filimon Gerezgiher10%
Manuel Feil7%
Frederik Schmahl6%
Nicolas Kristof5%
Paul Stock5%
Tom Zimmerschied4%
Luca Schnellbacher3%
Arne Sicker0%
Luca Dürholtz0%
Mohammad Mahmoud0%
Younes Ebnoutalib0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Zimmerschied26%
Fisnik Asllani24%
Maurice Neubauer18%
Elias Baum16%
Paul Stock14%
Robin Fellhauer11%
Filimon Gerezgiher10%
Muhammed Damar9%
Semih Şahin8%
Manuel Feil7%
Lukas Petkov6%
Lukas Finn Pinckert6%
Florian Le Joncour5%
Luca Schnellbacher3%
Arne Sicker0%
Luca Dürholtz0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Maximilian Rohr0%
Nicolas Kristof0%
Frederik Schmahl0%
Mohammad Mahmoud0%
Younes Ebnoutalib0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fisnik Asllani43%
Luca Schnellbacher18%
Muhammed Damar15%
Lukas Petkov9%
Semih Şahin8%
Tom Zimmerschied7%
Carlo Sickinger6%
Florian Le Joncour5%
Filimon Gerezgiher5%
Frederik Schmahl3%
Elias Baum3%
Arne Sicker0%
Luca Dürholtz0%
Manuel Feil0%
Maurice Neubauer0%
Maximilian Rohr0%
Robin Fellhauer0%
Lukas Finn Pinckert0%
Nicolas Kristof0%
Paul Stock0%
Mohammad Mahmoud0%
Younes Ebnoutalib0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →