This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.58
1.17
1.50
1.67
1.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.58
1.17
1.50
1.67
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
42% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.2%
Under 1.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.1%
Under 2.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1 ✓
9.3%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
SV Horn goals ↓
SKN ST. Polten goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
9.3%
7.8%
3.8%
1.4%
1
7.1%
13%
9.0%
4.4%
1.6%
2
4.9%
7.1%
5.3%
2.6%
1.0%
3
1.9%
2.8%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SV Horn goals (down), columns = SKN ST. Polten goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.03
Grazer AK
2.00
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Horn
1.60
SKU Amstetten
1.50
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
First Vienna
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.37
FC Liefering
1.23
Admira Wacker
1.20
Dornbirn
1.17
Sturm Graz II
1.13
SV Kapfenberg
1.13
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.07
Rapid Wien II
1.00
Austria Vienna (Am)
0.97
SV Horn is 0.27 points worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC BW Linz
2.10
Grazer AK
1.73
FC Liefering
1.73
SKN ST. Polten
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Sturm Graz II
1.43
Dornbirn
1.43
Floridsdorfer AC
1.37
SV Kapfenberg
1.33
Admira Wacker
1.30
SV Horn
1.27
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.13
First Vienna
1.13
Rapid Wien II
1.10
SV Horn is 0.43 goals worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SKN ST. Polten
0.90
FC BW Linz
0.90
Grazer AK
0.97
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
First Vienna
1.10
SV Horn
1.10
Admira Wacker
1.40
Dornbirn
1.47
SV Lafnitz
1.53
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.80
FC Liefering
1.80
Rapid Wien II
1.83
Sturm Graz II
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.87
Austria Vienna (Am)
2.03
SV Horn is 0.20 goals worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 0.90).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Liefering
54%
SKN ST. Polten
53%
FC BW Linz
53%
Floridsdorfer AC
52%
Grazer AK
52%
First Vienna
51%
SV Horn
51%
SV Lafnitz
51%
Austria Vienna (Am)
50%
SKU Amstetten
49%
Rapid Wien II
49%
Admira Wacker
49%
SK Vorwarts Steyr
47%
Dornbirn
47%
SV Kapfenberg
41%
SV Horn is 1.8 percentage points worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of average possession (51% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SV Horn
For 6.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 15.5 · Total 32.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SKN ST. Polten
For 9.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 13.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Horn
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (12)
9.2
7.0
11.5
2.2
1.8
2.5
32.5
30.5
34.5
vs Stronger (1)
6.0
6.0
-
8.0
8.0
-
34.0
34.0
-
vs Similar (11)
10.3
8.0
11.5
1.6
0.6
2.5
32.0
27.0
34.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
25%
0%
50%
25%
17%
33%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
75%
100%
50%
75%
83%
67%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (12)
13.3
18.0
11.0
0.9
0.7
1.2
24.3
24.0
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
13.3
18.0
11.0
0.9
0.7
1.2
24.3
24.0
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
17%
17%
17%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
83%
83%
83%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Dornbirn
14.2
SKN ST. Polten
13.3
Grazer AK
10.8
Floridsdorfer AC
10.8
FC Liefering
10.1
SV Kapfenberg
10.0
SK Vorwarts Steyr
10.0
Admira Wacker
9.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
9.5
SKU Amstetten
9.4
FC BW Linz
9.3
SV Horn
9.2
Rapid Wien II
9.2
SV Lafnitz
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Horn
6.5
SV Lafnitz
5.2
SV Kapfenberg
4.8
Dornbirn
4.6
Admira Wacker
4.4
SK Vorwarts Steyr
4.2
Rapid Wien II
4.2
FC Liefering
3.9
Grazer AK
3.8
Austria Vienna (Am)
3.8
Floridsdorfer AC
3.8
SKN ST. Polten
3.7
FC BW Linz
3.7
SKU Amstetten
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Horn
32.5
Floridsdorfer AC
30.2
FC BW Linz
29.7
Grazer AK
28.0
SV Lafnitz
27.5
SV Kapfenberg
26.5
FC Liefering
25.0
SKN ST. Polten
24.3
Dornbirn
22.8
Austria Vienna (Am)
22.0
Admira Wacker
21.6
SK Vorwarts Steyr
21.5
Rapid Wien II
21.2
SKU Amstetten
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.4%
Under 9.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.9%
Under 3.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.7%
Under 21.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SV Horn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.42
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.73
0.40
1.20
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
42% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.83
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.83
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SV Horn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SV Horn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.33
1.17
0.33
0.83
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.27
1.00
0.20
0.83
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.83
0.67
1.33
0.83
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.83
0.67
1.33
0.83
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
58% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Horn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SV Horn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Horn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Austria: 2. Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →