SV Kapfenberg will struggle at home after a winless streak, while FC BW Linz comes off five straight victories. The model sees an away win as the most likely outcome, with a 60% chance of FC BW Linz triumphing, 27% for a draw and 13% for a home win. The expected total of goals is 2.2, and the single most probable scoreline is 0-1 for the visitors, a 16.2% chance. Kapfenberg averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.58 conceded against similarly ranked teams, whereas Linz averages 0.83 scored and 1.42 conceded away. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.6%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.7%), Home under 2.5 goals (97.5%), Under 5.5 (97.4%) and Away +2 handicap (96.5%). The model’s edge on the Under 5.5 pick, with a 12% advantage, reflects the low-scoring form of both sides.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Away win, failed to materialise as SV Kapfenberg secured a 2-1 victory, extending their recent win streak. The model had assigned a 60% probability to the away triumph, but the result proved wrong. The final score of 2-1 gave the home side the win. All of the model’s suggested picks were correct: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.8%, Home under 3.5 goals at 99.6%, Under 6.5 at 99.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.6%, Home under 2.5 goals at 97.5%, Under 5.5 at 97.4% and Away +2 handicap at 96.5%. The model’s overall prediction of an away win was therefore wrong.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
SV Kapfenberg win✓ Hit
13.0%
Avg Implied 12.6% · @ 7.32
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
8.60
Marathonbet
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 18.0% · @ 5.11
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.69
Dafabet
5.40
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Superbet
5.20
FC BW Linz win✗ Miss
60.4%
Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.33
Edge
-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Dafabet
1.34
SBO
1.33
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
SV Kapfenberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
2.00
1.07
1.73
1.27
2.27
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
3.50
0.33
3.00
2.00
5.00
vs Similar (25)
1.12
1.80
1.25
1.42
1.00
2.15
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
-
-
4.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC BW Linz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.47
2.20
1.47
0.87
1.47
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.70
1.35
2.64
1.27
0.83
1.42
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.3%
@ 1.13-15.7%
Under 1.5
33.7%
@ 5.16+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Pinnacle
5.28
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.5%
@ 1.46-25.0%
Under 2.5
61.5%
@ 2.54+25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
BetVictor
1.47
Betano
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.62
Unibet
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.6%
@ 2.18-24.1%
Under 3.5
81.4%
@ 1.63+24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.26
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Under
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.0%
@ 1.72-15.7%
No
62.0%
@ 1.99+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
No
Betfair
2.05
1xBet
2.04
William Hil
2.00
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
16.2%@ 7.88+10.7%
0-2
13.9%@ 6.91+7.7%
0-0
11.8%@ 15.82+9.1%
1-1
11.8%@ 8.99+7.0%
1-2
8.6%@ 7.42+2.8%
0-3
7.5%@ 8.39+2.3%
1-0
5.6%@ 20.90+3.5%
1-3
4.6%@ 9.06-0.2%
SV Kapfenberg goals ↓
FC BW Linz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
16%
14%
7.5%
3.0%
1
5.6%
12%
8.6%
4.6%
1.9%
2
2.1%
3.3%
2.7%
1.4%
0.6%
3
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SV Kapfenberg goals (down), columns = FC BW Linz goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
SV Kapfenberg is 1.80 points worse than FC BW Linz in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
SV Kapfenberg is 1.40 goals worse than FC BW Linz in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 2.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
SV Kapfenberg is 1.80 goals worse than FC BW Linz in terms of goals conceded per game (2.40 vs 0.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SV Kapfenberg
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC BW Linz
For 5.9 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Kapfenberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
8.8
10.5
1.1
0.9
1.2
21.2
23.2
19.8
vs Stronger (6)
8.5
11.0
6.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
14.5
17.0
12.0
vs Similar (42)
10.1
8.0
11.4
1.1
0.9
1.3
22.9
25.3
21.4
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
50%
33%
16%
12%
19%
50%
75%
33%
% under line
60%
50%
67%
84%
88%
81%
50%
25%
67%
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC BW Linz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.7
9.4
3.4
3.8
3.1
22.3
21.5
23.0
vs Stronger (15)
10.0
9.6
10.4
3.6
3.6
3.6
22.9
22.6
23.3
vs Similar (32)
8.6
8.2
8.9
3.7
3.9
3.5
21.9
20.9
22.9
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
34%
30%
38%
48%
52%
44%
54%
55%
52%
% under line
66%
70%
62%
52%
48%
56%
46%
45%
48%
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.6%
@ 1.81-5.7%
Under 9.5
54.4%
@ 1.91+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
76.0%
Under 3.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.4%
Under 21.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
SV Kapfenberg or Draw✓ Hit
39.6%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.05
Edge
+9.3%
13%
27%
60%
covers SV Kapfenberg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.12
1xBet
3.12
William Hil
3.10
SV Kapfenberg or FC BW Linz✓ Hit
73.4%
Avg Implied 82.6% · @ 1.12
Edge
-9.2%
13%
27%
60%
covers SV Kapfenberg + FC BW Linz
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Draw or FC BW Linz✗ Miss
87.0%
Avg Implied 87.1% · @ 1.06
Edge
-0.1%
13%
27%
60%
covers Draw + FC BW Linz
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
46.2%
@ 1.60-11.6%
Under
53.8%
@ 2.19+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
12.8%
@ 3.95-10.7%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.21+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.01
BetVictor
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 9.99-6.9%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.04+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
Superbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
SV Kapfenberg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.4%
@ 17.00-99.6%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.0%
@ 1.05-8.7%
Under
20.0%
@ 8.28+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Under
1xBet
9.50
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Betano
7.10
FC BW Linz over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.8%
@ 1.35-21.0%
Under
52.2%
@ 2.97+21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.11
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
FC BW Linz over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.9%
@ 2.12-22.0%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.66+22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Betano
2.12
Under
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
FC BW Linz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.0%
@ 3.85-16.2%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.23+16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.17
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.75
Under
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to SV Kapfenberg, so a minus line means SV Kapfenberg give that many goals of a start and FC BW Linz receive them. At -1, SV Kapfenberg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal SV Kapfenberg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (SV Kapfenberg)Actual: FC BW Linz
SV Kapfenberg -2
0.6%
@ 51.00-1.2%
Draw -2
2.8%
@ 23.00-1.3%
FC BW Linz +2
96.5%
@ 1.02+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
51.00
Draw
Bet365
23.00
Away
Bet365
1.02
Handicap -1 (SV Kapfenberg)Actual: Draw
SV Kapfenberg -1
3.5%
@ 19.00-1.5%
Draw -1
9.5%
@ 10.00+0.1%
FC BW Linz +1
87.0%
@ 1.10+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.10
Handicap +1 (SV Kapfenberg)Actual: SV Kapfenberg
SV Kapfenberg +1
39.6%
@ 3.05+11.0%
Draw +1
26.4%
@ 3.61+2.2%
FC BW Linz -1
33.9%
@ 1.86-13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.12
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
2.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.64
10Bet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.20
Away
Marathonbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.72
Handicap +2 (SV Kapfenberg)Actual: SV Kapfenberg
SV Kapfenberg +2
66.1%
@ 1.78+16.7%
Draw +2
19.2%
@ 3.95-3.1%
FC BW Linz -2
14.7%
@ 3.11-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.30
Away
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
Unibet
2.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SV Kapfenberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.27
0.40
1.13
0.40
1.40
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.75
0.33
2.00
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (25)
0.36
1.08
0.42
0.92
0.31
1.23
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC BW Linz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.80
0.73
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.83
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.70
0.91
0.73
0.17
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.1%
@ 1.22-0.3%
Under 0.5
24.9%
@ 3.76+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
10Bet
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.6%
@ 2.14-4.9%
Under 1.5
61.4%
@ 1.64+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Under
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.65
William Hil
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.3%
@ 4.65-5.6%
Under 2.5
85.7%
@ 1.16+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Under
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.7%
@ 2.76+2.3%
Under
64.3%
@ 1.39-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.08
10Bet
2.88
Superbet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Betano
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.37
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 9.94-4.3%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.03+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC BW Linz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
56.3%
@ 1.41-9.3%
Under
43.7%
@ 2.69+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.81
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.72
1xBet
2.70
Unibet
2.60
FC BW Linz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
24.1%
@ 2.91-7.6%
Under
75.9%
@ 1.35+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.10
Betano
3.05
1xBet
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Under
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
FC BW Linz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 7.07-5.9%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.06+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.70
Under
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SV Kapfenberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.67
0.60
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.72
0.83
0.50
0.69
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC BW Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC BW Linz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.73
1.40
0.73
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
0.65
1.73
0.55
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.7%
@ 1.13+1.8%
Under 0.5
16.3%
@ 5.10-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.5%
@ 1.69-1.1%
Under 1.5
46.5%
@ 2.04+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.2%
@ 3.11-0.6%
Under 2.5
70.8%
@ 1.32+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Under
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
37.2%
@ 2.27-3.5%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.56+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.31
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.23
Betano
2.22
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 7.65-3.0%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.05+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.70
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 11.25-6.9%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
FC BW Linz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
73.9%
@ 1.27+1.1%
Under
26.1%
@ 3.42-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Under
1xBet
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.35
FC BW Linz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.8%
@ 2.29+0.4%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.55-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.33
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Under
1xBet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
FC BW Linz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 4.92-4.0%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.14+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
97.5%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.4%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
+11.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
96.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
94.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.06
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.4%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+17.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.0%
1.23
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
+16.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
87.2%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+10.7%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
87.0%
1.06
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
-0.1%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
87.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.7%
1.16
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.14
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.14
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.13
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
80.0%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-8.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
1.32
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+7.8%
-
Over 3.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
75.9%
1.35
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.1%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals
73.9%
1.27
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.4%
1.12
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
-9.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
70.8%
1.32
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+0.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
FC BW Linz · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ronivaldo27%
Shon Weissman26%
Simon Seidl21%
Nico Maier14%
David Bumberger6%
Dominik Reiter6%
Thomas Goiginger6%
Martin Moormann5%
Christopher Cvetko4%
Mamadou Fofana4%
Alexander Briedl4%
Manuel Maranda0%
Simon Pirkl0%
Paul Mensah0%
Alem Pašić0%
Anderson0%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Luiz0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Muharem Husković0%
Isak Dahlqvist0%
David Riegler0%
Jakob Knollmuller0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Viktor Baier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alem Pašić46%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss36%
Martin Moormann26%
Dominik Reiter25%
Manuel Maranda23%
Thomas Goiginger22%
Cheick Oumar Condé20%
Muharem Husković18%
Anderson17%
David Bumberger12%
Christopher Cvetko12%
João Luiz12%
Shon Weissman11%
David Riegler11%
Alexander Briedl11%
Simon Seidl10%
Ronivaldo10%
Nico Maier10%
Isak Dahlqvist9%
Paul Mensah7%
Nico Mantl7%
Elias Bakatukanda7%
Simon Pirkl0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Jakob Knollmuller0%
Viktor Baier0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anderson33%
David Bumberger19%
Simon Pirkl17%
Simon Seidl14%
Thomas Goiginger11%
Isak Dahlqvist9%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss7%
Paul Mensah7%
Dominik Reiter6%
Nico Maier5%
Mamadou Fofana4%
Shon Weissman4%
Alexander Briedl4%
Ronivaldo3%
Manuel Maranda0%
Christopher Cvetko0%
Alem Pašić0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Luiz0%
Martin Moormann0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Muharem Husković0%
David Riegler0%
Jakob Knollmuller0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Viktor Baier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shon Weissman22%
Simon Seidl21%
Ronivaldo20%
Fabio Varesi-Strauss14%
Jakob Knollmuller14%
David Bumberger12%
Paul Mensah7%
Dominik Reiter6%
Thomas Goiginger6%
Nico Maier5%
Alem Pašić4%
Manuel Maranda0%
Simon Pirkl0%
Christopher Cvetko0%
Anderson0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Luiz0%
Martin Moormann0%
Mamadou Fofana0%
Oliver Wahling0%
Cheick Oumar Condé0%
Muharem Husković0%
Isak Dahlqvist0%
Alexander Briedl0%
David Riegler0%
Elias Bakatukanda0%
Viktor Baier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
SV Kapfenberg's squad is €3m less valuable than FC BW Linz's (€3m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
SV Kapfenberg's attack is €1m less valuable than FC BW Linz's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
SV Kapfenberg and FC BW Linz have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
SV Kapfenberg and FC BW Linz have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Liefering
First Vienna
Floridsdorfer AC
Austria Salzburg
Wacker Innsbruck
Austria Vienna (Am)
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Admira Wacker
SKU Amstetten
Sturm Graz II
Rapid Wien II
Voitsberg
WSPG Wels
SKN ST. Polten