This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.85
0.85
1.80
1.30
1.90
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.85
0.85
1.80
1.30
1.90
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Lafnitz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.6%
No
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.1%
SV Lafnitz goals ↓
SKN ST. Polten goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
11%
9.9%
5.1%
2.0%
1
6.5%
13%
9.4%
4.9%
1.9%
2
3.7%
5.7%
4.5%
2.3%
0.9%
3
1.2%
1.8%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = SV Lafnitz goals (down), columns = SKN ST. Polten goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.03
Grazer AK
2.00
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Horn
1.60
SKU Amstetten
1.50
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
First Vienna
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.37
FC Liefering
1.23
Admira Wacker
1.20
Dornbirn
1.17
Sturm Graz II
1.13
SV Kapfenberg
1.13
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.07
Rapid Wien II
1.00
Austria Vienna (Am)
0.97
SV Lafnitz is 0.50 points worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC BW Linz
2.10
Grazer AK
1.73
FC Liefering
1.73
SKN ST. Polten
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SV Lafnitz
1.60
Sturm Graz II
1.43
Dornbirn
1.43
Floridsdorfer AC
1.37
SV Kapfenberg
1.33
Admira Wacker
1.30
SV Horn
1.27
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.13
First Vienna
1.13
Rapid Wien II
1.10
SV Lafnitz is 0.10 goals worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SKN ST. Polten
0.90
FC BW Linz
0.90
Grazer AK
0.97
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
First Vienna
1.10
SV Horn
1.10
Admira Wacker
1.40
Dornbirn
1.47
SV Lafnitz
1.53
SKU Amstetten
1.63
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.80
FC Liefering
1.80
Rapid Wien II
1.83
Sturm Graz II
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.87
Austria Vienna (Am)
2.03
SV Lafnitz is 0.63 goals worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 0.90).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Liefering
54%
SKN ST. Polten
53%
FC BW Linz
53%
Floridsdorfer AC
52%
Grazer AK
52%
First Vienna
51%
SV Horn
51%
SV Lafnitz
51%
Austria Vienna (Am)
50%
SKU Amstetten
49%
Rapid Wien II
49%
Admira Wacker
49%
SK Vorwarts Steyr
47%
Dornbirn
47%
SV Kapfenberg
41%
SV Lafnitz is 2.0 percentage points worse than SKN ST. Polten in terms of average possession (51% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
SV Lafnitz
For 5.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 14.4 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SKN ST. Polten
For 5.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Lafnitz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
8.0
8.4
7.5
2.0
2.4
1.6
27.6
26.8
28.5
vs Stronger (2)
5.0
5.0
-
2.5
5.0
0.0
29.0
29.0
-
vs Similar (18)
8.4
9.2
7.5
1.9
2.1
1.8
27.4
26.2
28.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
22%
40%
0%
25%
30%
20%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
78%
60%
100%
75%
70%
80%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
9.1
8.8
9.5
1.1
1.1
1.2
23.0
21.5
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
9.1
8.8
9.5
1.1
1.1
1.2
23.0
21.5
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
25%
50%
10%
10%
10%
75%
50%
100%
% under line
62%
75%
50%
90%
90%
90%
25%
50%
0%
This opponent (SV Lafnitz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
14.5
Dornbirn
12.2
FC Liefering
11.2
Rapid Wien II
11.0
SV Kapfenberg
10.8
FC BW Linz
10.7
SKU Amstetten
10.1
Admira Wacker
10.1
SK Vorwarts Steyr
9.8
Grazer AK
9.7
Austria Vienna (Am)
9.6
Floridsdorfer AC
9.6
SKN ST. Polten
9.1
SV Horn
8.7
SV Lafnitz
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Horn
5.1
Dornbirn
5.1
SV Kapfenberg
4.4
SV Lafnitz
4.4
Admira Wacker
4.4
Floridsdorfer AC
4.1
SK Vorwarts Steyr
4.0
Austria Vienna (Am)
3.9
FC BW Linz
3.9
FC Liefering
3.8
Rapid Wien II
3.4
Grazer AK
3.4
SKU Amstetten
3.4
SKN ST. Polten
2.9
First Vienna
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Horn
30.5
Floridsdorfer AC
30.4
SV Lafnitz
27.6
FC BW Linz
26.4
Grazer AK
26.3
SV Kapfenberg
25.9
Dornbirn
25.7
SKU Amstetten
25.3
Admira Wacker
24.9
FC Liefering
24.7
First Vienna
23.5
Austria Vienna (Am)
23.5
Rapid Wien II
23.2
SKN ST. Polten
23.0
SK Vorwarts Steyr
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.0%
Under 9.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.4%
Under 3.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
85.0%
Under 21.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
SV Lafnitz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.65
0.65
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.70
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.50
0.89
0.44
0.56
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.95
0.25
1.00
0.30
0.90
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.25
1.00
0.30
0.90
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Lafnitz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
SV Lafnitz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
SV Lafnitz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.80
0.70
0.80
0.70
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.67
0.89
0.67
0.78
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (SKN ST. Polten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SKN ST. Polten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Lafnitz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
SV Lafnitz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Lafnitz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKN ST. Polten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Austria: 2. Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →