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Swansea vs Birmingham Result & Analysis

Date: 17/01/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 1-1
Swansea
Swansea
Vs
37%
29%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Birmingham
Birmingham
England: Championship
Referee: T Nield

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Swansea win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.68
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.2%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.18
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Birmingham win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied 35.4% · @ 2.65
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L20W10W12L21W01L10W10W12L11DA·WES29/11H·OXF06/12H·POR09/12A·STO13/12H·WRE19/12A·COV26/12A·OXF29/12H·WES01/01A·MIL04/01H·WES11/01
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.331.391.330.921.33
vs Stronger (2)1.003.501.003.50--
vs Similar (27)1.151.191.331.070.921.33
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W13L12L11D03L11D11D03L32W32WH·WAT01/12A·SOU06/12A·QPR09/12H·CHA13/12A·SHE20/12H·DER26/12H·SOU29/12A·WAT01/01H·COV04/01A·CAM10/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.371.931.000.871.73
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (26)1.381.382.151.000.621.77
vs Weaker (3)1.671.330.001.002.501.50
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.6%
Under 1.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.9%
@ 2.11+2.6%
Under 2.5
53.1%
@ 1.68-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
Swansea goals ↓
Birmingham goals →
01234
09.1%8.4%5.9%2.4%0.8%
19.0%14%7.8%3.2%1.0%
26.8%8.4%5.2%2.1%0.7%
33.0%3.7%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swansea goals (down), columns = Birmingham goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Swansea and Birmingham are level in average points per game (both 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Swansea and Birmingham are level in goals scored per game (both 1.24).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Swansea is 0.07 goals worse than Birmingham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Swansea is 0.8 percentage points better than Birmingham in terms of average possession (55% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

For 5.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.5

🚩 Corners

1801353124551475776561021718159611121311128H·WESA·MILH·WESA·OXFA·COVH·WREA·STOH·PORH·OXFA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

701322542222432324214276247563H·WESA·MILH·WESA·OXFA·COVH·WREA·STOH·PORH·OXFA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.7 · Total 22.3

⚠️ Fouls

30081581271511131313810141669813131123202224261830152124H·WESA·MILH·WESA·OXFA·COVH·WREA·STOH·PORH·OXFA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BirminghamBirmingham

For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

150226442512148103368766288713121391512A·CAMH·COVA·WATH·SOUH·DERA·SHEH·CHAA·QPRA·SOUH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

7013221124241341211321533657325A·CAMH·COVA·WATH·SOUH·DERA·SHEH·CHAA·QPRA·SOUH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 9.2 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

300971381451015171313698811119111016211925301917192021A·CAMH·COVA·WATH·SOUH·DERA·SHEH·CHAA·QPRA·SOUH·WAT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.59.73.73.83.723.122.623.7
vs Stronger (4)8.510.07.05.55.06.025.021.029.0
vs Similar (45)9.59.29.93.63.83.523.022.923.2
vs Weaker (1)15.015.0-2.02.0-18.018.0-
% over line46%46%45%48%46%50%60%61%59%
% under line54%54%55%52%54%50%40%39%41%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.310.58.03.84.13.422.622.722.5
vs Stronger (2)5.05.0-2.52.5-38.038.0-
vs Similar (29)9.59.99.04.34.73.921.922.721.1
vs Weaker (19)9.311.96.43.03.42.622.721.124.6
% over line41%58%22%46%56%35%55%50%61%
% under line59%42%78%54%44%65%45%50%39%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Oxford
10.9
Coventry
10.7
Sheffield United
10.6
Norwich
10.5
Millwall
10.5
Hull
10.4
Sheffield Weds
10.4
Portsmouth
10.3
QPR
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.1
Derby
10.1
Southampton
10.1
Blackburn
10.0
Leicester
10.0
West Brom
9.9
Preston
9.8
Stoke
9.8
Ipswich
9.7
Wrexham
9.7
Watford
9.6
Swansea
9.6
Birmingham
9.4
Bristol City
9.3
Charlton
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.2
Portsmouth
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Ipswich
3.9
Birmingham
3.8
Blackburn
3.8
Swansea
3.7
Southampton
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Charlton
3.7
QPR
3.6
Derby
3.6
Hull
3.6
Norwich
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Oxford
3.5
Sheffield United
3.5
Preston
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.3
Wrexham
3.3
West Brom
3.3
Leicester
3.3
Bristol City
3.3
Millwall
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Blackburn
23.8
Swansea
23.1
Southampton
22.8
Birmingham
22.7
Portsmouth
22.4
Charlton
22.4
QPR
22.4
Millwall
22.4
Ipswich
22.2
Middlesbrough
22.0
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Hull
21.9
Sheffield United
21.8
Stoke
21.7
Leicester
21.6
Norwich
21.5
Oxford
21.4
West Brom
21.3
Watford
21.2
Derby
21.2
Coventry
21.0
Preston
20.9
Bristol City
20.1
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.6%
Under 9.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.6%
Under 3.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.3%
Under 21.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W00D01L01L01L10W00D01L00DA·WES29/11H·OXF06/12H·POR09/12A·STO13/12H·WRE19/12A·COV26/12A·OXF29/12H·WES01/01A·MIL04/01H·WES11/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.440.720.330.58
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (27)0.370.670.400.730.330.58
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L01L10W02L01L00D02L21W20WH·WAT01/12A·SOU06/12A·QPR09/12H·CHA13/12A·SHE20/12H·DER26/12H·SOU29/12A·WAT01/01H·COV04/01A·CAM10/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.771.000.470.331.07
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (26)0.650.811.150.460.151.15
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.001.001.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D10W11D20W00D00D10W11D11DA·WES29/11H·OXF06/12H·POR09/12A·STO13/12H·WRE19/12A·COV26/12A·OXF29/12H·WES01/01A·MIL04/01H·WES11/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.940.610.580.75
vs Stronger (2)0.502.500.502.50--
vs Similar (27)0.780.520.930.330.580.75
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D11D01L01L10W11D01L11D12LH·WAT01/12A·SOU06/12A·QPR09/12H·CHA13/12A·SHE20/12H·DER26/12H·SOU29/12A·WAT01/01H·COV04/01A·CAM10/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.930.530.530.67
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (26)0.730.581.000.540.460.62
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls79.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards75.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Vipotnik43%
Adam Idah19%
Bobby Wales17%
Liam Cullen12%
Ronald10%
Leo Walta10%
Ethan Galbraith9%
Gonçalo Franco8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Josh Key6%
Zeidane Inoussa3%
Jay Fulton3%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Ben Cabango2%
Josh Tymon2%
Cameron Burgess2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Melker Widell0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Stamenić34%
Ishé Samuels-Smith25%
Josh Tymon20%
Jay Fulton18%
Ben Cabango17%
Gonçalo Franco16%
Ethan Galbraith16%
Cameron Burgess16%
Melker Widell14%
Zeidane Inoussa14%
Josh Key12%
Liam Cullen12%
Malick Yalcouyé8%
Ronald8%
Adam Idah7%
Joel Ward6%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Žan Vipotnik4%
Lawrence Vigouroux2%
Manuel Benson0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Leo Walta0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Tymon20%
Bobby Wales17%
Ishé Samuels-Smith12%
Ronald10%
Josh Key9%
Gustavo Nunes8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Kaelan Casey8%
Adam Idah7%
Zeidane Inoussa7%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Gonçalo Franco6%
Žan Vipotnik6%
Malick Yalcouyé6%
Melker Widell5%
Liam Cullen2%
Ethan Galbraith2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Vipotnik18%
Ji-sung Eom10%
Adam Idah7%
Ethan Galbraith5%
Josh Tymon4%
Liam Cullen2%
Melker Widell2%
Gonçalo Franco2%
Ronald2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Josh Key0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Zeidane Inoussa0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Ducksch25%
Jay Stansfield19%
Carlos Vicente17%
Patrick Roberts14%
Demarai Gray13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Seung-Ho Paik9%
Lyndon Dykes9%
Phil Neumann9%
Christoph Klarer7%
Tomoki Iwata6%
Jack Robinson6%
Kai Wagner6%
Jhon Solís6%
August Priske6%
Keshi Anderson5%
Alex Cochrane4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Ethan Laird0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
James Beadle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jhon Solís28%
Jack Robinson25%
Christoph Klarer24%
Jay Stansfield23%
Bright Osayi-Samuel21%
Phil Neumann17%
Tomoki Iwata17%
Ryan Allsop17%
Carlos Vicente17%
Seung-Ho Paik13%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Marc Leonard12%
Jonathan Panzo11%
Ibrahim Osman11%
James Beadle11%
Keshi Anderson10%
Ethan Laird9%
Marvin Ducksch6%
Kai Wagner6%
August Priske6%
Patrick Roberts5%
Tommy Doyle5%
Lyndon Dykes4%
Lewis Koumas4%
Kyogo Furuhashi3%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Wagner17%
Alex Cochrane13%
Demarai Gray13%
Jay Stansfield13%
Ibrahim Osman11%
Tommy Doyle10%
Willum Thor Willumsson8%
Patrick Roberts8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
August Priske6%
Ethan Laird5%
Bright Osayi-Samuel3%
Marvin Ducksch3%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Tomoki Iwata2%
Keshi Anderson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kyogo Furuhashi0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Eiran Joe Cashin0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Osman28%
Marvin Ducksch25%
August Priske11%
Jay Stansfield11%
Kyogo Furuhashi10%
Tomoki Iwata9%
Patrick Roberts8%
Demarai Gray8%
Eiran Joe Cashin8%
Jack Robinson6%
Carlos Vicente6%
Tommy Doyle2%
Seung-Ho Paik2%
Willum Thor Willumsson0%
Keshi Anderson0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Phil Neumann0%
Kanya Fujimoto0%
Scott Wright0%
Lyndon Dykes0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Kai Wagner0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Marc Leonard0%
Jhon Solís0%
Lewis Koumas0%
James Beadle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Swansea's squad is €2m less valuable than Birmingham's (€91m vs €93m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Swansea's attack is €10m more valuable than Birmingham's (€56m vs €46m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Swansea's midfield is €3m less valuable than Birmingham's (€9m vs €12m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Swansea's defence is €9m less valuable than Birmingham's (€26m vs €35m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
SWA wins
4
Draws
4
BIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Swansea vs Birmingham · H/A from SWA
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ABirmingham Vs SWA1-0
13/01/24ABirmingham Vs SWA2-2
05/08/23HSWA Vs Birmingham1-1
04/02/23HSWA Vs Birmingham3-4
08/11/22ABirmingham Vs SWA2-2
19/03/22HSWA Vs Birmingham0-0
23/10/21ABirmingham Vs SWA2-1
02/04/21ABirmingham Vs SWA1-0

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/26HSWA Vs West Brom1-1
04/01/26AMillwall Vs SWA2-1
01/01/26HSWA Vs West Brom1-0
29/12/25AOxford Vs SWA0-1
26/12/25ACoventry Vs SWA1-0
19/12/25HSWA Vs Wrexham2-1
13/12/25AStoke Vs SWA2-1
09/12/25HSWA Vs Portsmouth1-0
06/12/25HSWA Vs Oxford2-0
29/11/25AWest Brom Vs SWA3-2

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26ACambridge Vs BIR2-3
04/01/26HBIR Vs Coventry3-2
01/01/26AWatford Vs BIR3-0
29/12/25HBIR Vs Southampton1-1
26/12/25HBIR Vs Derby1-1
20/12/25ASheffield United Vs BIR3-0
13/12/25HBIR Vs Charlton1-1
09/12/25AQPR Vs BIR2-1
06/12/25ASouthampton Vs BIR3-1
01/12/25HBIR Vs Watford2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD1.34
HomeWWWWD1.61
AwayLLLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%27%
AVG goals2.422.572.23
Over 1.5 %64%71%55%
Over 2.5 %46%46%45%
Over 3.5 %22%25%18%
Scored1.141.360.86
Conceded1.281.211.36
BTTS50%54%45%
Clean Sheet30%32%27%
Corners9.569.469.68
Cards3.743.793.68
Birmingham
Birmingham
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWW1.82
HomeWDDDW2.22
AwayLLLLW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%67%39%
AVG goals2.763.002.48
Over 1.5 %76%74%78%
Over 2.5 %56%56%57%
Over 3.5 %28%41%13%
Scored1.642.151.04
Conceded1.120.851.43
BTTS56%56%57%
Clean Sheet30%41%17%
Corners9.3310.508.00
Cards3.844.233.39

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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