PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Swansea vs Birmingham Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Swansea
Swansea
Vs
44%
29%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Birmingham
Birmingham
England: League Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Swansea are tipped to win, the model’s favourite result, with a 44% chance of a home triumph, a 29% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of Birmingham taking the points. The expected total is 2.5 goals, so the most likely total is two, though the model’s single most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw at 13.8%. Swansea have been productive at home, scoring 1.67 goals per game and conceding only 0.87 against teams of similar strength, while Birmingham’s away form is less convincing, scoring 0.85 and conceding 1.54 to comparable opponents. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.6%), Under 5.5 (95.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.6%), Home +2 handicap (89.2%) and Under 4.5 (89.1%). Each pick carries its own probability and no other outcome is assigned a win chance.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Birmingham edged Swansea 1-0, a result that surprised the model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, which had a 44% probability. The model’s call was wrong. The final score of 0-1 gave the away side the win, extending their recent form streak of a win after a 2-1 victory over Wrexham. Swansea’s home form, coming off a 3-0 win at Derby, had been solid, yet the away side’s 0-1 triumph proved decisive. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.6%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.6%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.6%, Under 5.5 hit at 95.8%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.2%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 90.6%, Home +2 handicap hit at 89.2%, and Under 4.5 hit at 89.1%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Swansea win✗ Miss
44.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Birmingham win✓ Hit
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W02L03L33D22D10W12L21W11D31WA·POR10/03A·WRE13/03H·COV21/03A·SHE03/04H·MID06/04A·LEI11/04H·SOU18/04A·QPR21/04A·NOR25/04H·CHA02/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.201.670.871.131.53
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (29)1.451.141.670.871.211.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L01L12L20W11D21W21W11DH·QPR11/03H·SHE14/03A·DER21/03H·BLA03/04A·IPS06/04H·WRE12/04A·HUL18/04H·PRE22/04H·BRI25/04A·POR02/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.301.271.001.001.60
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.071.261.291.000.851.54
vs Weaker (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.4%
0-1 ✓
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
Swansea goals ↓
Birmingham goals →
01234
09.4%7.5%4.7%1.7%0.4%
110%14%6.7%2.4%0.6%
28.4%9.0%4.8%1.7%0.5%
34.0%4.3%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.4%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swansea goals (down), columns = Birmingham goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
3.00
Cardiff
2.40
Millwall
2.33
Arsenal
2.17
Doncaster
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Accrington
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Wigan
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Chelsea
1.80
Newcastle
1.80
Grimsby
1.75
Wrexham
1.75
Fulham
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Crystal Palace
1.67
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Stockport
1.50
Everton
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Charlton
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Liverpool
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Preston
1.50
Mansfield
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
Salford
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Barnet
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Leicester
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Manchester United
1.00
Hull
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Bolton
1.00
Sheffield Weds
0.67
Huddersfield
0.67
Burton
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
AFC Wimbledon
0.50
Stoke
0.50
Derby
0.50
Newport County
0.50
Rochdale
0.49
York
0.36
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Exeter
0.00
West Ham
0.00
Sheffield United
0.00
Blackpool
0.00
Blackburn
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Oldham
0.00
Shrewsbury
0.00
Crawley Town
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
QPR
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Watford
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Nottingham Forest
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Luton
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Swansea is 0.25 points better than Birmingham in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brighton
4.00
Hull
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Wolves
2.67
Manchester City
2.33
Wrexham
2.25
Chelsea
2.20
Cardiff
2.00
West Ham
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Barnet
2.00
QPR
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Swansea
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Nottingham Forest
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Brentford
2.00
Newcastle
1.80
Southampton
1.67
Cambridge
1.67
Accrington
1.67
Lincoln
1.67
Crystal Palace
1.67
Grimsby
1.50
Stockport
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Arsenal
1.50
Preston
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
Reading
1.33
Millwall
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.33
Fulham
1.25
Wycombe
1.25
Coventry
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Cheltenham
1.00
Sheffield United
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Blackburn
1.00
Oldham
1.00
Shrewsbury
1.00
Crawley Town
1.00
Stevenage
1.00
AFC Wimbledon
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Watford
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Norwich
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Liverpool
1.00
Derby
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Swindon
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Huddersfield
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Peterboro
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Port Vale
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Rochdale
0.58
Burton
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
York
0.43
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Exeter
0.00
Blackpool
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Stoke
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Luton
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Swansea is 1.00 goals better than Birmingham in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Salford
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Manchester City
0.33
Wycombe
0.50
Port Vale
0.67
Southampton
0.67
Cambridge
0.67
Millwall
0.67
Crystal Palace
0.67
Brighton
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Fulham
0.75
Brentford
0.75
Arsenal
0.83
Coventry
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Burton
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Blackpool
1.00
Northampton
1.00
Rotherham
1.00
Stockport
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Leyton Orient
1.00
Everton
1.00
Tottenham
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Luton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Cardiff
1.20
Reading
1.33
Accrington
1.33
Newcastle
1.40
Cheltenham
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Stoke
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Derby
1.50
Newport County
1.50
Preston
1.50
Bradford
1.67
Sheffield Weds
1.67
Huddersfield
1.67
Wrexham
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Chelsea
1.80
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Exeter
2.00
Sheffield United
2.00
Grimsby
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Blackburn
2.00
Barnet
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Watford
2.00
Bournemouth
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Milton Keynes Dons
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Portsmouth
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
West Ham
3.00
Barnsley
3.00
Oldham
3.00
Shrewsbury
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
QPR
3.00
Nottingham Forest
3.00
Hull
3.00
Oxford
3.00
Crewe
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Rochdale
3.23
Middlesbrough
4.00
York
4.34
Swansea is 0.75 goals worse than Birmingham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
80%
Barnet
77%
Peterboro
72%
Ipswich
71%
Chesterfield
71%
Manchester United
70%
Sunderland
70%
Stoke
66%
Manchester City
66%
Blackburn
65%
Bournemouth
65%
Notts County
64%
Portsmouth
63%
Tranmere
63%
Birmingham
62%
Fulham
62%
Middlesbrough
62%
Hull
61%
Chelsea
60%
Leicester
60%
Liverpool
60%
Oldham
58%
Stevenage
58%
Preston
58%
Brighton
57%
Bristol Rvs
57%
Blackpool
57%
Cardiff
57%
Everton
56%
Coventry
56%
Barnsley
56%
Stockport
55%
West Brom
55%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Tottenham
54%
Arsenal
54%
Aston Villa
54%
Bristol City
54%
Exeter
53%
Newcastle
53%
Bolton
53%
Norwich
52%
Plymouth
52%
Salford
51%
Gillingham
51%
Burnley
51%
Wycombe
50%
Oxford
50%
AFC Wimbledon
50%
Millwall
50%
Doncaster
49%
West Ham
49%
Southampton
49%
Swansea
49%
Leyton Orient
49%
Charlton
48%
Wolves
48%
Lincoln
47%
Reading
46%
Sheffield United
46%
Luton
46%
Wrexham
46%
Derby
45%
Brentford
44%
Grimsby
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Watford
44%
Crewe
44%
Rotherham
44%
Northampton
43%
Cheltenham
42%
Burton
42%
Wigan
42%
Crystal Palace
42%
Sheffield Weds
40%
Crawley Town
39%
Cambridge
37%
Colchester
37%
Fleetwood Town
35%
Accrington
35%
Milton Keynes Dons
35%
Bradford
33%
Huddersfield
32%
Mansfield
32%
QPR
31%
Port Vale
31%
Newport County
30%
Bromley
30%
Swindon
27%
Walsall
26%
Swansea is 13.0 percentage points worse than Birmingham in terms of average possession (49% vs 62%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

For 3.4 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

16010425544122122102427556147916141269106H·CHAA·NORA·QPRH·SOUA·LEIH·MIDA·SHEH·COVA·WREA·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

8053132223311312210844262423H·CHAA·NORA·QPRH·SOUA·LEIH·MIDA·SHEH·COVA·WREA·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 11.5 · Total 20.8

⚠️ Fouls

260514913711371412141111131015101010919221810262524252019H·CHAA·NORA·QPRH·SOUA·LEIH·MIDA·SHEH·COVA·WREA·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BirminghamBirmingham

For 6.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

190936533626346910267101121168910198711A·PORH·BRIH·PREA·HULH·WREA·IPSH·BLAA·DERH·SHEH·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

80223124411111412544428221574A·PORH·BRIH·PREA·HULH·WREA·IPSH·BLAA·DERH·SHEH·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

300101910811916910111911147161213119929182025213021282418A·PORH·BRIH·PREA·HULH·WREA·IPSH·BLAA·DERH·SHEH·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.69.64.04.23.722.321.723.1
vs Stronger (3)8.010.04.03.75.01.024.021.030.0
vs Similar (46)10.210.59.94.04.23.822.321.922.8
vs Weaker (1)15.015.0-2.02.0-18.018.0-
% over line54%57%50%60%68%50%58%57%59%
% under line46%43%50%40%32%50%42%43%41%
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.111.09.13.74.23.222.122.621.6
vs Stronger (3)12.714.010.03.34.02.032.734.030.0
vs Similar (45)10.010.59.43.84.23.421.621.721.5
vs Weaker (2)9.517.02.02.03.01.019.022.016.0
% over line50%58%42%46%54%38%48%46%50%
% under line50%42%58%54%46%62%52%54%50%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
11.9
Sheffield United
11.6
Plymouth
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Newcastle
11.1
Millwall
11.1
Leicester
11.0
Southampton
11.0
West Ham
11.0
Swindon
10.9
Middlesbrough
10.9
Stoke
10.8
Portsmouth
10.7
Preston
10.7
Port Vale
10.7
Barnsley
10.6
Cardiff
10.6
Bournemouth
10.5
Luton
10.5
Wigan
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Blackburn
10.5
Hull
10.5
Huddersfield
10.4
Burton
10.4
Norwich
10.4
Bromley
10.3
Grimsby
10.3
Liverpool
10.3
QPR
10.3
Bolton
10.2
Wycombe
10.2
Walsall
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Blackpool
10.2
Exeter
10.2
Chesterfield
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Swansea
10.2
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Fleetwood Town
10.1
Barnet
10.1
Watford
10.1
Wrexham
10.1
Birmingham
10.1
Oldham
10.1
Northampton
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Bristol City
9.9
Tranmere
9.9
Chelsea
9.9
Bradford
9.9
Derby
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Ipswich
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Tottenham
9.8
Stockport
9.8
Rotherham
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
AFC Wimbledon
9.7
Coventry
9.7
Cheltenham
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Leyton Orient
9.6
Brighton
9.6
Salford
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Accrington
9.6
Charlton
9.5
Aston Villa
9.5
West Brom
9.5
Everton
9.4
Bristol Rvs
9.4
Newport County
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Notts County
9.4
Gillingham
9.4
Burnley
9.3
Crewe
9.3
Reading
9.3
Colchester
9.2
Sunderland
9.2
Cambridge
9.1
Lincoln
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
York
9.0
Milton Keynes Dons
8.8
Crystal Palace
8.7
Stevenage
8.6
Shrewsbury
8.4
Rochdale
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Plymouth
5.0
Tottenham
4.7
Bristol Rvs
4.5
Bournemouth
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Watford
4.4
Notts County
4.4
Sunderland
4.3
Bradford
4.3
Peterboro
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Shrewsbury
4.2
Hull
4.2
Ipswich
4.2
Crawley Town
4.2
Newcastle
4.2
Chesterfield
4.1
Brighton
4.1
Rotherham
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Derby
4.1
Lincoln
4.0
Accrington
4.0
Leyton Orient
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Gillingham
4.0
Southampton
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Blackburn
4.0
Doncaster
3.9
York
3.9
Portsmouth
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Grimsby
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Crewe
3.8
Tranmere
3.8
Brentford
3.8
Bristol City
3.8
Newport County
3.8
Crystal Palace
3.8
QPR
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Luton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Fleetwood Town
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Walsall
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Bolton
3.7
Cheltenham
3.7
Blackpool
3.7
Barnet
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.6
Millwall
3.6
Burton
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Leicester
3.6
Salford
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
Reading
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Swindon
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Port Vale
3.5
Leeds
3.4
Oxford
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
Stockport
3.4
Preston
3.4
Exeter
3.3
Burnley
3.2
Wigan
3.2
AFC Wimbledon
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Rochdale
3.0
Sheffield Weds
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Rochdale
29.0
Crewe
25.7
Crawley Town
25.3
Oldham
25.1
Colchester
25.0
Bradford
24.8
Salford
24.6
Huddersfield
24.5
Notts County
24.5
Stevenage
24.4
Plymouth
24.4
Bristol Rvs
24.2
Rotherham
24.0
Ipswich
24.0
Gillingham
23.9
Luton
23.9
Grimsby
23.9
Peterboro
23.8
Aston Villa
23.7
Barnet
23.6
Blackpool
23.6
Milton Keynes Dons
23.6
Wigan
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Newport County
23.2
Wolves
23.2
Bournemouth
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.1
Doncaster
23.1
Leyton Orient
23.1
Chelsea
23.0
Cheltenham
23.0
Cambridge
22.8
Sunderland
22.8
Tottenham
22.7
Fleetwood Town
22.7
Tranmere
22.7
Walsall
22.7
Lincoln
22.6
Shrewsbury
22.6
Southampton
22.6
Derby
22.6
Bolton
22.4
Northampton
22.4
Reading
22.4
Accrington
22.4
Swansea
22.3
West Ham
22.3
Mansfield
22.3
Chesterfield
22.1
Bromley
22.1
Leicester
22.1
Birmingham
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Brighton
22.0
Portsmouth
22.0
Everton
21.9
Manchester United
21.9
Burton
21.9
Exeter
21.9
Oxford
21.9
Leeds
21.8
Charlton
21.7
Newcastle
21.6
Sheffield Weds
21.6
Sheffield United
21.6
Crystal Palace
21.5
Middlesbrough
21.5
Watford
21.4
Hull
21.4
Wycombe
21.3
Manchester City
21.3
Stockport
21.2
Blackburn
21.2
Port Vale
21.2
Norwich
21.2
Bristol City
21.1
Liverpool
21.0
QPR
21.0
Swindon
21.0
Millwall
21.0
Barnsley
20.9
Coventry
20.9
West Brom
20.8
Cardiff
20.7
Stoke
20.6
Burnley
20.4
Fulham
20.2
York
20.0
Preston
19.8
Brentford
19.6
Wrexham
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.5%
Under 3.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
57.1%
Under 21.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Swansea or Draw✗ Miss
73.1%
Avg Implied -
44%
29%
27%
covers Swansea + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swansea or Birmingham✓ Hit
71.1%
Avg Implied -
44%
29%
27%
covers Swansea + Birmingham
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Birmingham✓ Hit
55.9%
Avg Implied -
44%
29%
27%
covers Draw + Birmingham
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Swansea over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.2%
Under
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.0%
Under
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.7%
Under
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.0%
Under
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Swansea, so a minus line means Swansea give that many goals of a start and Birmingham receive them. At -1, Swansea must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Swansea win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Swansea)Actual: Birmingham
Swansea -2
8.4%
Draw -2
13.6%
Birmingham +2
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Swansea)Actual: Birmingham
Swansea -1
22.1%
Draw -1
22.1%
Birmingham +1
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Swansea)Actual: Draw
Swansea +1
73.1%
Draw +1
16.2%
Birmingham -1
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Swansea)Actual: Swansea
Swansea +2
89.2%
Draw +2
7.6%
Birmingham -2
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L03L11D21W00D10W10W00D00DA·POR10/03A·WRE13/03H·COV21/03A·SHE03/04H·MID06/04A·LEI11/04H·SOU18/04A·QPR21/04A·NOR25/04H·CHA02/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.600.470.470.60
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (29)0.550.480.600.470.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L00D12L00D01L21W20W11DH·QPR11/03H·SHE14/03A·DER21/03H·BLA03/04A·IPS06/04H·WRE12/04A·HUL18/04H·PRE22/04H·BRI25/04A·POR02/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.730.470.471.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.560.740.790.500.311.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D22D01L10W02L11D11D31WA·POR10/03A·WRE13/03H·COV21/03A·SHE03/04H·MID06/04A·LEI11/04H·SOU18/04A·QPR21/04A·NOR25/04H·CHA02/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.671.070.400.670.93
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (29)0.900.661.070.400.710.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Birmingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BirminghamBirmingham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L00D20W10W00D01L00DH·QPR11/03H·SHE14/03A·DER21/03H·BLA03/04A·IPS06/04H·WRE12/04A·HUL18/04H·PRE22/04H·BRI25/04A·POR02/05← ChampionshipLeague Cup →
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.530.530.530.60
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.520.520.500.500.540.54
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Birmingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals90.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.589.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals82.5%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap77.9%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals76.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls74.3%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw73.1%-------✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap73.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls73.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.6%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away71.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals71.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joseph Opoku50%
Adam Idah25%
Ji-sung Eom25%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Josh Key0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Tymon0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Elijah Just0%
Ben Cabango0%
Žan Vipotnik0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Filip Lissah0%
Melker Widell0%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filip Lissah50%
Melker Widell50%
Jay Fulton25%
Josh Tymon25%
Elijah Just25%
Marko Stamenić25%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Josh Key0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Ben Cabango0%
Adam Idah0%
Žan Vipotnik0%
Ji-sung Eom0%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo0%
Joseph Opoku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Tymon25%
Žan Vipotnik25%
Ji-sung Eom25%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Josh Key0%
Jay Fulton0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Elijah Just0%
Ben Cabango0%
Adam Idah0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Filip Lissah0%
Melker Widell0%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo0%
Joseph Opoku0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Idah25%
Žan Vipotnik25%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Josh Key0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Tymon0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Elijah Just0%
Ben Cabango0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Ji-sung Eom0%
Filip Lissah0%
Melker Widell0%
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo0%
Joseph Opoku0%
Birmingham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Demarai Gray40%
Phil Neumann20%
August Priske20%
Seung Ho Paik0%
Luis Vázquez0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
Jay Stansfield0%
Jhon Solís0%
James Beadle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bright Osayi-Samuel60%
Alex Cochrane20%
Jhon Solís20%
Seung Ho Paik0%
Luis Vázquez0%
Demarai Gray0%
Phil Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Ethan Laird0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
Jay Stansfield0%
James Beadle0%
August Priske0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Seung Ho Paik20%
Alex Cochrane20%
Carlos Vicente20%
August Priske20%
Luis Vázquez0%
Demarai Gray0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Phil Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Ethan Laird0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Jay Stansfield0%
Jhon Solís0%
James Beadle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Seung Ho Paik20%
Demarai Gray20%
Luis Vázquez0%
Bright Osayi-Samuel0%
Phil Neumann0%
Tomoki Iwata0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Ethan Laird0%
Christoph Klarer0%
Carlos Vicente0%
Jay Stansfield0%
Jhon Solís0%
James Beadle0%
August Priske0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Swansea's squad is €2m less valuable than Birmingham's (€91m vs €93m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Swansea's attack is €10m more valuable than Birmingham's (€56m vs €46m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Swansea's midfield is €3m less valuable than Birmingham's (€9m vs €12m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Swansea's defence is €9m less valuable than Birmingham's (€26m vs €35m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
SWA wins
5
Draws
3
BIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Swansea vs Birmingham · H/A from SWA
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26HSWA Vs Birmingham1-1
20/09/25ABirmingham Vs SWA1-0
13/01/24ABirmingham Vs SWA2-2
05/08/23HSWA Vs Birmingham1-1
04/02/23HSWA Vs Birmingham3-4
08/11/22ABirmingham Vs SWA2-2
19/03/22HSWA Vs Birmingham0-0
23/10/21ABirmingham Vs SWA2-1

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26HSWA Vs Charlton3-1
25/04/26ANorwich Vs SWA1-1
21/04/26AQPR Vs SWA1-2
18/04/26HSWA Vs Southampton1-2
11/04/26ALeicester Vs SWA0-1
06/04/26HSWA Vs Middlesbrough2-2
03/04/26ASheffield United Vs SWA3-3
21/03/26HSWA Vs Coventry0-3
13/03/26AWrexham Vs SWA2-0
10/03/26APortsmouth Vs SWA1-2

BirminghamBirmingham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26APortsmouth Vs BIR1-1
25/04/26HBIR Vs Bristol City2-1
22/04/26HBIR Vs Preston2-1
18/04/26AHull Vs BIR1-1
12/04/26HBIR Vs Wrexham2-0
06/04/26AIpswich Vs BIR2-1
03/04/26HBIR Vs Blackburn0-1
21/03/26ADerby Vs BIR1-0
14/03/26HBIR Vs Sheffield United1-1
11/03/26HBIR Vs QPR1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Swansea
Swansea
England: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.44
HomeWLDLW1.68
AwayLDWWD1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%32%
AVG goals2.642.792.45
Over 1.5 %80%82%77%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %24%36%9%
Scored1.321.541.05
Conceded1.321.251.41
BTTS60%68%50%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners10.1810.649.59
Cards3.984.213.68
Birmingham
Birmingham
England: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.42
HomeDLWWW1.85
AwayLLLDD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%25%
AVG goals2.482.582.38
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %18%27%8%
Scored1.261.620.88
Conceded1.220.961.50
BTTS58%65%50%
Clean Sheet20%27%12%
Corners10.1011.049.08
Cards3.724.153.25

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CharltonCharlton39
100%
3.0
52+3
2.3
67%
67%
0%
10.3
67%
3.3
33%
26.0
100%
31
183101.70.7
42%
2WolvesWolves37
67%
2.3
94+5
4.3
100%
100%
100%
9.0
33%
4.7
100%
25.0
67%
273
79791163.01.3
-
3SwanseaSwansea37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
67%
0%
9.7
33%
4.3
100%
23.0
100%
91
569261.70.3
55%
4QPRQPR37
67%
2.3
52+3
2.3
67%
67%
33%
9.0
67%
3.0
33%
17.7
0%
71
2915271.70.7
46%
5SouthamptonSouthampton36
67%
2.0
94+5
4.3
100%
100%
67%
12.3
67%
7.0
67%
22.7
33%
205
7253793.01.3
56%
6MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough36
67%
2.0
64+2
3.3
100%
100%
33%
11.7
100%
2.7
33%
21.7
33%
142
7427412.01.3
59%
7MillwallMillwall36
67%
2.0
65+1
3.7
100%
67%
33%
14.0
100%
4.3
67%
19.3
33%
85
3029252.01.7
48%
8West BromWest Brom36
67%
2.0
65+1
3.7
100%
100%
67%
10.3
67%
2.0
0%
22.3
33%
52
1522152.01.7
52%
9WatfordWatford35
33%
1.7
43+1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
13.0
100%
5.0
67%
20.3
33%
88
2838221.31.0
51%
10BirminghamBirmingham35
33%
1.7
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
33%
9.7
67%
3.0
0%
24.0
100%
93
4612351.31.0
54%
11BlackburnBlackburn34
33%
1.3
55+0
3.3
100%
100%
33%
9.3
67%
4.7
100%
21.3
33%
36
157141.71.7
48%
12BoltonBolton34
33%
1.3
22+0
1.3
33%
33%
0%
11.3
67%
3.7
33%
19.3
33%
17
4490.70.7
-
13Bristol CityBristol City34
33%
1.3
45-1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
11.7
100%
3.7
33%
21.7
33%
66
2919181.31.7
49%
14CardiffCardiff33
0%
1.0
55+0
3.3
100%
67%
67%
15.3
100%
4.0
67%
22.7
100%
29
154101.71.7
-
15Sheffield UnitedSheffield United33
0%
1.0
22+0
1.3
33%
33%
33%
11.0
67%
4.0
100%
24.0
100%
110
2932490.70.7
52%
16NorwichNorwich33
33%
1.0
56-1
3.7
100%
100%
33%
9.7
67%
5.0
67%
22.0
67%
107
4631291.72.0
54%
17PortsmouthPortsmouth33
33%
1.0
56-1
3.7
100%
100%
67%
11.3
100%
2.7
33%
24.3
33%
32
135141.72.0
50%
18LincolnLincoln33
33%
1.0
35-2
2.7
67%
67%
33%
12.3
100%
3.0
33%
25.7
67%
12
3261.01.7
-
19West HamWest Ham32
0%
0.7
45-1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
12.3
100%
4.3
100%
20.7
33%
274
84481411.31.7
-
20WrexhamWrexham32
0%
0.7
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
13.3
67%
2.3
0%
23.0
100%
77
1523391.01.3
48%
21DerbyDerby31
0%
0.3
37-4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
11.3
67%
4.7
67%
22.3
100%
57
2514181.02.3
44%
22BurnleyBurnley31
0%
0.3
49-5
4.3
100%
100%
100%
9.3
33%
5.0
67%
20.3
0%
115
708371.33.0
-
23PrestonPreston30
0%
0.0
26-4
2.7
67%
67%
33%
9.0
33%
4.0
67%
25.0
67%
43
173220.72.0
46%
24StokeStoke30
0%
0.0
39-6
4.0
100%
100%
67%
7.7
0%
6.0
100%
27.0
100%
79
3511321.03.0
52%
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches