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Swansea vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Swansea
Swansea
Vs
44%
30%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: R Ricardo

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Swansea win✓ Hit
43.9%
Avg Implied 49.4% · @ 1.90
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.43
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 4.04
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D31W12L20W40W02L10W11D03LH·WES11/01H·BIR17/01H·BLA20/01A·HUL24/01A·WAT31/01H·SHE08/02A·DER14/02H·BRI21/02H·PRE24/02A·IPS28/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.371.441.190.861.57
vs Stronger (3)0.673.331.003.500.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.221.151.500.860.921.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L11D02L00D01L12L22D21W12LH·QPR17/01H·MID21/01A·BIR24/01H·SOU31/01A·WES07/02A·CHA11/02H·FUL15/02H·LEI21/02H·OXF25/02A·COV28/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.031.331.070.731.00
vs Stronger (6)0.671.000.750.750.501.50
vs Similar (24)1.121.041.551.180.770.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.7%
Under 1.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.05-3.4%
Under 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.72+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
2-0 ✓
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.7%
Swansea goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
011%8.1%4.7%1.6%0.4%
112%14%6.4%2.1%0.5%
28.7%8.8%4.4%1.5%0.4%
34.0%4.0%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.4%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swansea goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Swansea is 0.20 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Swansea is 0.13 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Swansea is 0.07 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Swansea is 2.7 percentage points better than Stoke in terms of average possession (55% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

For 5.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

180448352682857643551354128810131371018A·IPSH·PREH·BRIA·DERH·SHEA·WATA·HULH·BLAH·BIRH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

60122242222222323131464445504A·IPSH·PREH·BRIA·DERH·SHEA·WATA·HULH·BLAH·BIRH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 14.6 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

32013175171411122091511106131014101481530222532242119242423A·IPSH·PREH·BRIA·DERH·SHEA·WATA·HULH·BLAH·BIRH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 4.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

150178774111562245665462815111211491298A·COVH·OXFH·LEIH·FULA·CHAA·WESH·SOUA·BIRH·MIDH·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

70112121124211231121342333625237A·COVH·OXFH·LEIH·FULA·CHAA·WESH·SOUA·BIRH·MIDH·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.2 · Against 8.6 · Total 16.8

⚠️ Fouls

260671155651065988181071110111013161115111726172121A·COVH·OXFH·LEIH·FULA·CHAA·WESH·SOUA·BIRH·MIDH·QPR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.69.53.93.94.023.322.324.6
vs Stronger (5)7.610.06.04.65.04.326.021.029.3
vs Similar (44)9.69.310.03.93.93.923.122.623.9
vs Weaker (1)15.015.0-2.02.0-18.018.0-
% over line46%46%45%58%57%59%62%61%64%
% under line54%54%55%42%43%41%38%39%36%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.110.04.03.94.020.822.219.4
vs Stronger (8)9.210.28.23.14.02.218.119.516.8
vs Similar (41)10.210.010.44.24.04.421.322.719.9
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-3.03.0-21.021.0-
% over line60%62%58%50%50%50%42%50%33%
% under line40%38%42%50%50%50%58%50%67%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Oxford
11.1
Hull
10.8
Millwall
10.6
Portsmouth
10.6
Preston
10.6
Norwich
10.5
Southampton
10.4
Leicester
10.3
Middlesbrough
10.3
Coventry
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Stoke
10.1
Blackburn
10.0
QPR
9.9
Wrexham
9.9
Watford
9.9
Ipswich
9.8
Derby
9.8
Birmingham
9.8
West Brom
9.5
Swansea
9.5
Bristol City
9.4
Charlton
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.2
Ipswich
4.2
Blackburn
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Derby
4.0
Portsmouth
4.0
Swansea
3.9
Hull
3.9
Coventry
3.9
Sheffield United
3.7
Southampton
3.7
QPR
3.7
Charlton
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Preston
3.6
Millwall
3.5
Birmingham
3.5
Bristol City
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Norwich
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Leicester
3.4
Wrexham
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Swansea
23.3
Blackburn
23.2
Ipswich
23.2
Southampton
23.1
Portsmouth
22.7
Middlesbrough
22.6
Derby
22.2
Birmingham
22.1
QPR
21.9
Leicester
21.9
Sheffield United
21.9
Millwall
21.9
West Brom
21.8
Sheffield Weds
21.7
Charlton
21.6
Hull
21.6
Oxford
21.5
Norwich
21.1
Watford
20.9
Stoke
20.8
Coventry
20.8
Bristol City
20.7
Preston
20.5
Wrexham
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.4%
Under 9.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.2%
Under 3.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
41.5%
Under 21.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D02L00D10W00D10W01L02LH·WES11/01H·BIR17/01H·BLA20/01A·HUL24/01A·WAT31/01H·SHE08/02A·DER14/02H·BRI21/02H·PRE24/02A·IPS28/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.500.560.290.79
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.501.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.410.590.500.500.310.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W01L01L00D00D10W10W11D11DH·QPR17/01H·MID21/01A·BIR24/01H·SOU31/01A·WES07/02A·CHA11/02H·FUL15/02H·LEI21/02H·OXF25/02A·COV28/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.400.870.130.270.67
vs Stronger (6)0.500.330.500.000.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.580.421.000.180.230.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L20W10W20W30W02L00D10W01LH·WES11/01H·BIR17/01H·BLA20/01A·HUL24/01A·WAT31/01H·SHE08/02A·DER14/02H·BRI21/02H·PRE24/02A·IPS28/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.940.620.570.79
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.502.500.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.810.561.000.360.620.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W01L00D01L02L12L10W01LH·QPR17/01H·MID21/01A·BIR24/01H·SOU31/01A·WES07/02A·CHA11/02H·FUL15/02H·LEI21/02H·OXF25/02A·COV28/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.470.930.470.33
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.250.750.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.540.620.551.000.540.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls85.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards70.9%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Vipotnik43%
Adam Idah19%
Bobby Wales17%
Liam Cullen12%
Ronald10%
Leo Walta10%
Ethan Galbraith9%
Gonçalo Franco8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Josh Key6%
Zeidane Inoussa3%
Jay Fulton3%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Ben Cabango2%
Josh Tymon2%
Cameron Burgess2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Melker Widell0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Stamenić34%
Ishé Samuels-Smith25%
Josh Tymon20%
Jay Fulton18%
Ben Cabango17%
Gonçalo Franco16%
Ethan Galbraith16%
Cameron Burgess16%
Melker Widell14%
Zeidane Inoussa14%
Josh Key12%
Liam Cullen12%
Malick Yalcouyé8%
Ronald8%
Adam Idah7%
Joel Ward6%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Žan Vipotnik4%
Lawrence Vigouroux2%
Manuel Benson0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Leo Walta0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Tymon20%
Bobby Wales17%
Ishé Samuels-Smith12%
Ronald10%
Josh Key9%
Gustavo Nunes8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Kaelan Casey8%
Adam Idah7%
Zeidane Inoussa7%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Gonçalo Franco6%
Žan Vipotnik6%
Malick Yalcouyé6%
Melker Widell5%
Liam Cullen2%
Ethan Galbraith2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Vipotnik18%
Ji-sung Eom10%
Adam Idah7%
Ethan Galbraith5%
Josh Tymon4%
Liam Cullen2%
Melker Widell2%
Gonçalo Franco2%
Ronald2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Josh Key0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Zeidane Inoussa0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé11%
Divin Mubama11%
Million Manhoef10%
Sam Gallagher10%
Milan Smit7%
Ben Gibson7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Ben Wilmot5%
Róbert Boženík4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Bosun Lawal3%
Steven​ N'Zonzi3%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ben Pearson3%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Tchamadeu42%
Maksym Talovierov42%
Ben Pearson35%
Favour Fawunmi25%
Bosun Lawal23%
Sydney Agina20%
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé14%
Ashley Phillips14%
Ben Wilmot14%
Tommy Simkin12%
Divin Mubama11%
Tatsuki Seko9%
Róbert Boženík8%
Million Manhoef8%
Viktor Johansson8%
Ben Gibson7%
Steven​ N'Zonzi6%
Tomáš Rigo6%
Jun-Ho Bae4%
Aaron Cresswell4%
Sam Gallagher0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Milan Smit0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sorba Thomas21%
Jamie Donley17%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Million Manhoef8%
Lamine Cissé8%
Junior Tchamadeu8%
Milan Smit7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Eric Bocat6%
Lewis Baker6%
Viktor Johansson4%
Divin Mubama4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Tatsuki Seko2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Divin Mubama14%
Lamine Cissé14%
Million Manhoef12%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi12%
Sorba Thomas11%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Milan Smit7%
Bosun Lawal7%
Lewis Baker6%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ben Wilmot3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Swansea's squad is €12m more valuable than Stoke's (€91m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Swansea's attack is €20m more valuable than Stoke's (€56m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Swansea's midfield is €2m less valuable than Stoke's (€9m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Swansea's defence is €6m less valuable than Stoke's (€26m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
SWA wins
3
Draws
4
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Swansea vs Stoke · H/A from SWA
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25AStoke Vs SWA2-1
15/02/25AStoke Vs SWA3-1
05/10/24HSWA Vs Stoke0-0
10/04/24HSWA Vs Stoke3-0
12/12/23AStoke Vs SWA1-1
21/02/23HSWA Vs Stoke1-3
31/08/22AStoke Vs SWA1-1
08/02/22AStoke Vs SWA3-0

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26AIpswich Vs SWA3-0
24/02/26HSWA Vs Preston1-1
21/02/26HSWA Vs Bristol City1-0
14/02/26ADerby Vs SWA2-0
08/02/26HSWA Vs Sheffield Weds4-0
31/01/26AWatford Vs SWA0-2
24/01/26AHull Vs SWA2-1
20/01/26HSWA Vs Blackburn3-1
17/01/26HSWA Vs Birmingham1-1
11/01/26HSWA Vs West Brom1-1

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26ACoventry Vs STK2-1
25/02/26HSTK Vs Oxford2-1
21/02/26HSTK Vs Leicester2-2
15/02/26HSTK Vs Fulham1-2
11/02/26ACharlton Vs STK1-0
07/02/26AWest Brom Vs STK0-0
31/01/26HSTK Vs Southampton0-2
24/01/26ABirmingham Vs STK1-1
21/01/26HSTK Vs Middlesbrough1-2
17/01/26HSTK Vs QPR0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.42
HomeDWWWD1.79
AwayLLWLL0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%27%
AVG goals2.462.682.18
Over 1.5 %70%75%64%
Over 2.5 %46%46%45%
Over 3.5 %22%32%9%
Scored1.241.540.86
Conceded1.221.141.32
BTTS52%61%41%
Clean Sheet28%32%23%
Corners9.529.579.45
Cards3.943.894.00
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL1.32
HomeLLLDW1.50
AwayWDDLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%29%
AVG goals2.122.232.00
Over 1.5 %60%65%54%
Over 2.5 %40%46%33%
Over 3.5 %14%15%12%
Scored1.041.230.83
Conceded1.081.001.17
BTTS38%46%29%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners10.0610.0810.04
Cards3.983.924.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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