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Swansea vs Watford Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 1-1
Swansea
Swansea
Vs
40%
31%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Referee: S Martin

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Swansea win✗ Miss
39.9%
Avg Implied 52.5% · @ 1.80
Edge
-12.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.52
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.57
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W10W10W21W01L33D01L31W10WH·DER05/04H·PLY09/04A·SUN12/04H·HUL18/04A·QPR21/04A·MIL26/04H·OXF03/05A·MID09/08H·CRA12/08H·SHE16/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.401.561.000.641.86
vs Stronger (3)1.671.672.003.001.501.00
vs Similar (26)1.001.381.430.860.502.00
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W12L12L01L12L11D01L12L21WA·BRI05/04H·HUL08/04A·WES12/04H·BUR18/04A·POR21/04A·BLA26/04H·SHE03/05A·CHA09/08H·NOR12/08H·QPR16/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.431.001.330.871.53
vs Stronger (2)1.003.000.004.002.002.00
vs Similar (28)0.931.321.071.140.791.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.9%
Under 1.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.0%
@ 2.14-3.9%
Under 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.67+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.5%
Swansea goals ↓
Watford goals →
01234
012%9.2%5.5%1.9%0.5%
111%14%6.8%2.4%0.6%
27.9%8.2%4.3%1.5%0.4%
33.3%3.4%1.8%0.6%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swansea goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Swansea is 0.15 points better than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Swansea is 0.09 goals better than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Swansea is 0.13 goals better than Watford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Swansea is 3.3 percentage points better than Watford in terms of average possession (55% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SwanseaSwansea

For 4.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

1504887275474354714314312159911811547H·SHEH·CRAA·MIDH·OXFA·MILA·QPRH·HULA·SUNH·PLYH·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

7013252211112332224272225522H·SHEH·CRAA·MIDH·OXFA·MILA·QPRH·HULA·SUNH·PLYH·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

36013148101515810911171915151613111271227183018203630292319H·SHEH·CRAA·MIDH·OXFA·MILA·QPRH·HULA·SUNH·PLYH·DER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

For 4.8 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.9

🚩 Corners

1102483238264364163732261151010959104H·QPRH·NORA·CHAH·SHEA·BLAA·PORH·BURA·WESH·HULA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

10022112115534542431142311079632H·QPRH·NORA·CHAH·SHEA·BLAA·PORH·BURA·WESH·HULA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 9.3 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

27099121016615121412121317412107691118222227262521221320H·QPRH·NORA·CHAH·SHEA·BLAA·PORH·BURA·WESH·HULA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.49.73.53.63.323.624.023.3
vs Stronger (4)5.84.57.05.04.06.026.524.029.0
vs Similar (45)9.89.510.03.43.73.123.524.322.7
vs Weaker (1)15.015.0-2.02.0-18.018.0-
% over line44%48%39%56%58%54%65%72%57%
% under line56%52%61%44%42%46%35%28%43%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.39.94.24.04.422.821.823.9
vs Stronger (5)12.012.012.02.41.53.022.520.025.0
vs Similar (45)9.910.19.74.44.34.622.922.023.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line55%58%52%60%64%56%62%54%70%
% under line45%42%48%40%36%44%38%46%30%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.6
Sheffield Weds
11.1
Portsmouth
11.1
QPR
10.8
Sheffield United
10.7
Hull
10.5
Oxford
10.4
Ipswich
10.4
Millwall
10.3
Stoke
10.3
West Brom
10.2
Derby
10.1
Southampton
10.1
Middlesbrough
10.1
Norwich
10.0
Watford
9.9
Leicester
9.9
Blackburn
9.8
Bristol City
9.7
Swansea
9.6
Charlton
9.6
Preston
9.5
Wrexham
9.3
Birmingham
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Portsmouth
4.3
Blackburn
4.0
Norwich
4.0
Sheffield United
3.9
Charlton
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Southampton
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Preston
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.8
Coventry
3.8
QPR
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
West Brom
3.8
Leicester
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Oxford
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.6
Wrexham
3.6
Bristol City
3.5
Derby
3.5
Hull
3.4
Millwall
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
24.9
Millwall
24.2
Portsmouth
24.1
Blackburn
24.0
Southampton
23.9
Preston
23.9
Sheffield Weds
23.6
Charlton
23.6
Swansea
23.5
QPR
22.9
Ipswich
22.8
Watford
22.8
Norwich
22.5
Sheffield United
22.3
Middlesbrough
21.8
Hull
21.8
West Brom
21.5
Wrexham
21.5
Leicester
21.3
Stoke
21.3
Coventry
21.3
Derby
21.3
Oxford
21.3
Bristol City
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.8%
Under 9.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.6%
Under 21.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W00D00D10W01L11D00D10W00DH·DER05/04H·PLY09/04A·SUN12/04H·HUL18/04A·QPR21/04A·MIL26/04H·OXF03/05A·MID09/08H·CRA12/08H·SHE16/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.940.440.140.64
vs Stronger (3)0.670.672.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.540.540.860.430.170.67
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L11D01L00D11D00D02L21WA·BRI05/04H·HUL08/04A·WES12/04H·BUR18/04A·POR21/04A·BLA26/04H·SHE03/05A·CHA09/08H·NOR12/08H·QPR16/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.670.930.270.67
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.003.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.710.710.790.210.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W11D00D22D01L21W10WH·DER05/04H·PLY09/04A·SUN12/04H·HUL18/04A·QPR21/04A·MIL26/04H·OXF03/05A·MID09/08H·CRA12/08H·SHE16/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.620.560.501.21
vs Stronger (3)1.001.000.002.001.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.460.850.570.430.331.33
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W11D01L00D12L00D01L10W00DA·BRI05/04H·HUL08/04A·WES12/04H·BUR18/04A·POR21/04A·BLA26/04H·SHE03/05A·CHA09/08H·NOR12/08H·QPR16/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.330.400.600.87
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.610.360.360.570.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners70.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Žan Vipotnik43%
Adam Idah19%
Bobby Wales17%
Liam Cullen12%
Ronald10%
Leo Walta10%
Ethan Galbraith9%
Gonçalo Franco8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Josh Key6%
Zeidane Inoussa3%
Jay Fulton3%
Malick Yalcouyé3%
Ben Cabango2%
Josh Tymon2%
Cameron Burgess2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Melker Widell0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Stamenić34%
Ishé Samuels-Smith25%
Josh Tymon20%
Jay Fulton18%
Ben Cabango17%
Gonçalo Franco16%
Ethan Galbraith16%
Cameron Burgess16%
Melker Widell14%
Zeidane Inoussa14%
Josh Key12%
Liam Cullen12%
Malick Yalcouyé8%
Ronald8%
Adam Idah7%
Joel Ward6%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Žan Vipotnik4%
Lawrence Vigouroux2%
Manuel Benson0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Leo Walta0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Tymon20%
Bobby Wales17%
Ishé Samuels-Smith12%
Ronald10%
Josh Key9%
Gustavo Nunes8%
Marko Stamenić8%
Kaelan Casey8%
Adam Idah7%
Zeidane Inoussa7%
Ji-sung Eom6%
Gonçalo Franco6%
Žan Vipotnik6%
Malick Yalcouyé6%
Melker Widell5%
Liam Cullen2%
Ethan Galbraith2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Žan Vipotnik18%
Ji-sung Eom10%
Adam Idah7%
Ethan Galbraith5%
Josh Tymon4%
Liam Cullen2%
Melker Widell2%
Gonçalo Franco2%
Ronald2%
Lawrence Vigouroux0%
Manuel Benson0%
Josh Key0%
Joel Ward0%
Jay Fulton0%
Cameron Burgess0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Leo Walta0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Zeidane Inoussa0%
Kaelan Casey0%
Ishé Samuels-Smith0%
Bobby Wales0%
Samuel Parker0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Grieves20%
Rocco Vata17%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard16%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Vivaldo14%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Edoardo Bove9%
Edo Kayembe8%
Tom Ince7%
Kwadwo Baah7%
Jeremy Ngakia6%
Marc Bola5%
James Abankwah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Giorgi Chakvetadze0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Amin Nabizada0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Morris33%
Hector Kyprianou31%
Pierre Ekwah29%
Nestory Irankunda29%
Imrân Louza25%
Stephen Mfuni25%
Ryan Andrews25%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Matthew Pollock19%
James Abankwah19%
Edoardo Bove18%
Jeremy Petris17%
Formose Mendy17%
Saba Goglichidze17%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Kwadwo Baah14%
Edo Kayembe13%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Max Alleyne12%
Kévin Keben Biakolo10%
Nampalys Mendy8%
Egil Selvik7%
Vivaldo7%
Marc Bola5%
Othmane Maamma4%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Tom Ince0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Rocco Vata0%
Jack Grieves0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Rocco Vata17%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Giorgi Chakvetadze10%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Marc Bola8%
Vivaldo7%
Kévin Keben Biakolo6%
Othmane Maamma4%
Hector Kyprianou4%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Edo Kayembe3%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Tom Ince0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rocco Vata33%
Amin Nabizada33%
Nestory Irankunda21%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard14%
Vivaldo11%
Edo Kayembe11%
Tom Ince7%
Mamadou Doumbia6%
Marc Bola5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Swansea's squad is €2m more valuable than Watford's (€91m vs €88m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Swansea's attack is €28m more valuable than Watford's (€56m vs €28m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Swansea's midfield is €29m less valuable than Watford's (€9m vs €38m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Swansea's defence is €4m more valuable than Watford's (€26m vs €22m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
SWA wins
1
Draws
3
WAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Swansea vs Watford · H/A from SWA
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/25AWatford Vs SWA1-0
05/11/24HSWA Vs Watford1-0
06/03/24AWatford Vs SWA1-1
24/10/23HSWA Vs Watford0-1
30/12/22HSWA Vs Watford4-0
05/10/22AWatford Vs SWA1-2
08/05/21AWatford Vs SWA2-0
02/01/21HSWA Vs Watford2-1

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25HSWA Vs Sheffield United1-0
12/08/25HSWA Vs Crawley Town3-1
09/08/25AMiddlesbrough Vs SWA1-0
03/05/25HSWA Vs Oxford3-3
26/04/25AMillwall Vs SWA1-0
21/04/25AQPR Vs SWA1-2
18/04/25HSWA Vs Hull1-0
12/04/25ASunderland Vs SWA0-1
09/04/25HSWA Vs Plymouth3-0
05/04/25HSWA Vs Derby1-0

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25HWAT Vs QPR2-1
12/08/25HWAT Vs Norwich1-2
09/08/25ACharlton Vs WAT1-0
03/05/25HWAT Vs Sheffield Weds1-1
26/04/25ABlackburn Vs WAT2-1
21/04/25APortsmouth Vs WAT1-0
18/04/25HWAT Vs Burnley1-2
12/04/25AWest Brom Vs WAT2-1
08/04/25HWAT Vs Hull1-0
05/04/25ABristol City Vs WAT2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.34
HomeWWDWW1.62
AwayDWWLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%29%
AVG goals2.322.422.21
Over 1.5 %58%62%54%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %18%19%17%
Scored1.101.420.75
Conceded1.221.001.46
BTTS40%38%42%
Clean Sheet30%42%17%
Corners9.549.369.74
Cards3.623.763.48
Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.14
HomeWLDLW1.72
AwayLLLLL0.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%52%12%
AVG goals2.462.162.76
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %14%4%24%
Scored1.081.161.00
Conceded1.381.001.76
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners10.1110.299.91
Cards4.494.214.78

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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