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Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-2
Swift Hesperange
Swift Hesperange
Vs
33%
23%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
US Hostert
US Hostert
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Swift Hesperange hosts US Hostert in the Luxembourg National Division on August 23, 2026. The away team's recent form has been marred by two consecutive defeats, but they bounced back with a 2-4 win over UN Kaerjeng 97. Conversely, Swift Hesperange suffered two straight defeats, including a 2-7 thrashing at the hands of Wiltz. The model predicts an away win, with a 43% chance of success, while the home side's chances stand at 34% and a draw at 23%.

The expected total goals are 3.6, indicating a high-scoring match. The single most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 9.6%. Swift Hesperange has scored an average of 1.12 goals at home against weaker opponents, while conceding 1.38. US Hostert has averaged 1.1 goals away against stronger opponents, while conceding 2.5.

The model's selection is an away win, with a 43% chance of success. Other suggested picks include Over 3.5 cards (89.6%), Over 1.5 (88.5%), Over 21.5 fouls (88.4%), BTTS Yes (70.6%), and Over 2.5 (70.1%). The home win percentage is 34%, the draw percentage is 23%, and the away win percentage is 43%.

Results analysis

The model’s prediction proved accurate as US Hostert secured a 0-2 away win, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was the away win, given a 43 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 0-2 matched the actual result, confirming the favoured outcome. Every suggested pick also hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5 %, Under 7.5 at 96.8 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.2 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.7 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.3 %, and Under 6.5 at 92.5 %. The model’s selections performed strongly, delivering a clean sweep of hits.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Swift Hesperange win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.72
Edge
+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
4.92
Marathonbet
4.85
Dafabet
4.80
Betfair
4.75
Draw✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.96
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
US Hostert win✓ Hit
43.0%
Avg Implied 57.9% · @ 1.57
Edge
-14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.63
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.57
William Hil
1.57

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-715L11D03L01L01L30W32W01L27L05LH·FC 12/04A·AS 19/04H·F9126/04A·US 03/05H·US 10/05H·VIC17/05A·UNI23/05A·US 02/08H·WIL09/08A·RAC16/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.800.851.920.941.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.771.730.501.620.931.79
vs Weaker (8)1.252.001.402.401.001.33
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

US HostertUS Hostert

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L03L04L42W10W01L42W23L24L51WA·F9112/04H·ATE19/04A·US 26/04H·MAM03/05A·SWI10/05H·RAC17/05A·VIC23/05A·RÉS02/08A·UN 09/08H·ETZ16/08
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.901.501.671.612.06
vs Stronger (15)1.132.001.141.571.122.38
vs Similar (13)1.622.001.252.001.782.00
vs Weaker (2)4.500.505.001.004.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.5%
@ 1.15+8.6%
Under 1.5
11.5%
@ 4.55-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Under
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.1%
@ 1.49+8.6%
Under 2.5
29.9%
@ 2.38-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.45
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.9%
@ 2.22+7.4%
Under 3.5
51.1%
@ 1.57-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.23
10Bet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.6%
@ 1.54+11.0%
No
29.4%
@ 2.26-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.57
William Hil
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
10Bet
1.50
No
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.28
William Hil
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%@ 7.55+4.6%
1-2
8.4%@ 7.42+3.3%
2-1
7.4%@ 13.50+4.6%
2-2
7.1%@ 11.83+3.9%
1-3
5.4%@ 10.15+1.7%
0-2 ✓
5.0%@ 8.33+0.4%
2-3
4.6%@ 16.17+2.2%
0-1
4.3%@ 8.62-0.1%
Swift Hesperange goals ↓
US Hostert goals →
01234
03.6%4.3%5.0%3.2%1.5%
13.7%9.6%8.4%5.4%2.6%
23.8%7.4%7.1%4.6%2.2%
32.2%4.2%4.0%2.6%1.2%
40.9%1.8%1.7%1.1%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swift Hesperange goals (down), columns = US Hostert goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
Swift Hesperange is 1.20 points worse than US Hostert in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
Swift Hesperange is 1.80 goals worse than US Hostert in terms of goals scored per game (0.40 vs 2.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
Swift Hesperange is 2.20 goals worse than US Hostert in terms of goals conceded per game (4.20 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

US HostertUS Hostert

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.27.27.00.71.00.329.627.239.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)7.27.2-0.71.50.027.227.2-
vs Weaker (14)7.0-7.00.60.01.339.0-39.0
% over line20%25%0%10%16%4%80%75%100%
% under line80%75%100%90%84%96%20%25%0%
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

US HostertUS Hostert

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.78.00.60.80.529.028.032.0
vs Stronger (26)8.08.08.00.70.41.233.034.032.0
vs Similar (22)9.09.0-0.51.50.025.025.0-
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%0%0%8%8%8%75%67%100%
% under line100%100%100%92%92%92%25%33%0%
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
31.2%
@ 2.19-10.8%
Under 9.5
68.8%
@ 1.59+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.19
Under
1xBet
1.59
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
89.6%
Under 3.5
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
88.4%
Under 21.5
11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Swift Hesperange or Draw✗ Miss
57.0%
Avg Implied 41.7% · @ 2.20
Edge
+15.3%
33%
23%
43%
covers Swift Hesperange + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Swift Hesperange or US Hostert✓ Hit
76.5%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.19
Edge
-0.9%
33%
23%
43%
covers Swift Hesperange + US Hostert
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Draw or US Hostert✓ Hit
66.5%
Avg Implied 80.9% · @ 1.14
Edge
-14.4%
33%
23%
43%
covers Draw + US Hostert
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.12

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Swift Hesperange over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
81.6%
@ 1.39+15.4%
Under
18.4%
@ 2.71-15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.40
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.82
1xBet
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Swift Hesperange over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.4%
@ 2.77+17.1%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.38-17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.92
10Bet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.46
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Swift Hesperange over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.0%
@ 6.85+10.5%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.07-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.85
Under
1xBet
1.07
Swift Hesperange over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
Under
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.5%
@ 1.06-0.2%
Under
14.5%
@ 6.33+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
6.65
10Bet
6.00
US Hostert over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
57.4%
@ 1.48-4.6%
Under
42.6%
@ 2.42+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.48
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
US Hostert over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
30.4%
@ 2.50-6.4%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.46+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
US Hostert over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 4.60-6.9%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.14+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.14

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Swift Hesperange, so a minus line means Swift Hesperange give that many goals of a start and US Hostert receive them. At -1, Swift Hesperange must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Swift Hesperange win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Swift Hesperange)Actual: US Hostert
Swift Hesperange -2
7.0%
Draw -2
10.1%
US Hostert +2
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Swift Hesperange)Actual: US Hostert
Swift Hesperange -1
17.1%
@ 5.38+0.4%
Draw -1
16.4%
@ 4.54-3.4%
US Hostert +1
66.5%
@ 1.42+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.25
Betfair
4.50
Draw
10Bet
4.75
Betfair
4.33
Away
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.33
Handicap +1 (Swift Hesperange)Actual: US Hostert
Swift Hesperange +1
57.0%
@ 2.26+17.8%
Draw +1
18.8%
@ 3.67-5.4%
US Hostert -1
24.3%
@ 2.41-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Marathonbet
2.19
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
10Bet
3.60
Away
10Bet
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
Handicap +2 (Swift Hesperange)Actual: Draw
Swift Hesperange +2
75.7%
@ 1.46+15.1%
Draw +2
13.2%
@ 4.70-5.7%
US Hostert -2
11.1%
@ 4.30-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.46
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
4.30

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-604L11D02L00D00D00D11D01L06L00DH·FC 12/04A·AS 19/04H·F9126/04A·US 03/05H·US 10/05H·VIC17/05A·UNI23/05A·US 02/08H·WIL09/08A·RAC16/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.730.151.230.410.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.410.550.251.000.500.29
vs Weaker (8)0.001.250.001.600.000.67
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

US HostertUS Hostert

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L02L01L00D01L31W21W12L30WA·F9112/04H·ATE19/04A·US 26/04H·MAM03/05A·SWI10/05H·RAC17/05A·VIC23/05A·RÉS02/08A·UN 09/08H·ETZ16/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.420.920.670.89
vs Stronger (15)0.200.930.290.860.121.00
vs Similar (13)0.691.000.001.251.000.89
vs Weaker (2)2.500.003.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
74.0%
@ 1.23-0.8%
Under 0.5
26.0%
@ 3.66+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Under
William Hil
3.80
Betfair
3.80
1xBet
3.60
10Bet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.5%
@ 2.15-9.1%
Under 1.5
66.5%
@ 1.60+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
William Hil
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 4.80-5.3%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.15+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
1xBet
4.70
William Hil
4.50
Under
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swift Hesperange over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.1%
@ 2.31+6.8%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.56-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
1xBet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Swift Hesperange over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 8.20+1.4%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.03-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Under
1xBet
1.03
Swift Hesperange over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 11.00-4.6%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
US Hostert over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.7%
@ 1.53-13.8%
Under
53.3%
@ 2.35+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.40
1xBet
2.30
US Hostert over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 3.60-13.5%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.24+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.24
US Hostert over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 10.00-6.7%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D00D01L01L01L30W21W00D21W05LH·FC 12/04A·AS 19/04H·F9126/04A·US 03/05H·US 10/05H·VIC17/05A·UNI23/05A·US 02/08H·WIL09/08A·RAC16/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.070.690.690.531.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.361.180.250.620.431.50
vs Weaker (8)1.250.751.400.801.000.67
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

US HostertUS Hostert

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D02L41W10W00D11D02L12L21WA·F9112/04H·ATE19/04A·US 26/04H·MAM03/05A·SWI10/05H·RAC17/05A·VIC23/05A·RÉS02/08A·UN 09/08H·ETZ16/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.080.750.941.17
vs Stronger (15)0.931.070.860.711.001.38
vs Similar (13)0.921.001.250.750.781.11
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.4%
@ 1.13+0.5%
Under 0.5
17.6%
@ 5.10-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
5.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.2%
@ 1.68-2.6%
Under 1.5
47.8%
@ 2.05+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Under
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.3%
@ 3.20-3.4%
Under 2.5
74.7%
@ 1.29+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.29

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swift Hesperange over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.1%
@ 1.96+5.9%
Under
46.9%
@ 1.75-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.96
Under
1xBet
1.75
Swift Hesperange over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.2%
@ 6.00+5.9%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.08-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.08
Swift Hesperange over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 11.00-4.1%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
US Hostert over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.0%
@ 1.37-8.6%
Under
41.0%
@ 2.85+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.85
US Hostert over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
22.4%
@ 2.70-11.9%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.41+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.70
Under
1xBet
1.41
US Hostert over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 6.70-7.9%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.06+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Under
1xBet
1.06

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.5%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.7%✓ Hit
Under 7.596.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.2%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.6%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards96.1%--------
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.7%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.1%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls94.7%--------
Away under 2.5 2H goals94.3%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+7.9%✓ Hit
Under 6.592.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals90.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards89.6%--------
Over 1.588.5%1.15
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.13
--+8.6%✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls88.4%--------
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.8%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+13.5%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.5%1.03
1xBet
1.03
-----1.4%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners87.1%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+8.4%-
Away under 3.5 goals87.0%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.1%1.15
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
--+5.3%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals85.5%1.06
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
----0.2%✓ Hit
Under 5.584.2%1.08
1xBet
1.08
-----2.5%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap82.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals82.4%1.13
1xBet
1.13
----+0.5%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals81.6%1.39
Pinnacle
1.40
10Bet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
--+15.4%✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners79.2%1.32
1xBet
1.32
----+10.4%-
Over 4.5 cards79.0%--------
Home under 1.5 2H goals78.8%1.08
1xBet
1.08
-----5.9%✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls78.4%--------
Away under 1.5 2H goals77.6%1.41
1xBet
1.41
----+11.9%✗ Miss
Home or Away76.5%1.19
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
-0.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals76.0%1.07
1xBet
1.07
-----10.5%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap75.7%1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
----+15.1%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals74.7%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+3.4%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals74.0%1.23
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
--0.8%✗ Miss
BTTS Yes70.6%1.54
Superbet
1.57
William Hil
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
10Bet
1.50
+11.0%✗ Miss
Under 4.570.3%1.21
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
--5.0%✓ Hit
Over 2.570.1%1.49
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.50
+8.6%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Swift Hesperange and US Hostert have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Swift Hesperange and US Hostert have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Swift Hesperange and US Hostert have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Swift Hesperange and US Hostert have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
SH wins
1
Draws
2
UH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert · H/A from SH
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HSH Vs US Hostert0-1
30/11/25AUS Hostert Vs SH1-1
09/11/25HSH Vs US Hostert0-3
09/02/25HSH Vs US Hostert3-0
11/08/24AUS Hostert Vs SH1-5
12/02/23HSH Vs US Hostert5-1
14/08/22AUS Hostert Vs SH0-4

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs SH5-0
09/08/26HSH Vs Wiltz2-7
02/08/26AUS Rumelange Vs SH1-0
23/05/26AUnion Titus Petange Vs SH2-3
17/05/26HSH Vs Victoria Rosport3-0
10/05/26HSH Vs US Hostert0-1
03/05/26AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs SH1-0
26/04/26HSH Vs F91 Dudelange0-3
19/04/26AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs SH1-1
12/04/26HSH Vs FC Differdange 031-5

US HostertUS Hostert

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HUH Vs Etzella Ettelbruck5-1
09/08/26AUN Kaerjeng 97 Vs UH4-2
02/08/26ARésidence Walferdange Vs UH3-2
23/05/26AVictoria Rosport Vs UH2-4
17/05/26HUH Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg0-1
10/05/26ASwift Hesperange Vs UH0-1
03/05/26HUH Vs Mamer4-2
26/04/26AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs UH4-0
19/04/26HUH Vs Atert Bissen0-3
12/04/26AF91 Dudelange Vs UH3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Swift Hesperange
Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.18
HomeLLLWL1.16
AwayDLWLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.802.722.88
Over 1.5 %74%60%88%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.161.041.28
Conceded1.641.681.60
BTTS38%36%40%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners7.207.257.00
Cards6.606.258.00
US Hostert
US Hostert
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.28
HomeLLWLW1.21
AwayLWWLL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%33%38%
AVG goals3.463.293.62
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %70%62%77%
Over 3.5 %48%38%58%
Scored1.501.331.65
Conceded1.961.961.96
BTTS64%71%58%
Clean Sheet20%12%27%
Corners8.408.678.00
Cards6.206.006.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UNA StrassenUNA Strassen515
100%
3.0
101+9
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.2
-
2US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains515
100%
3.0
126+6
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.41.2
-
3FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03512
80%
2.4
114+7
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg510
60%
2.0
136+7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.61.2
-
5Résidence WalferdangeRésidence Walferdange59
60%
1.8
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
6UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 9759
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.61.8
-
7Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn59
60%
1.8
84+4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
8Atert BissenAtert Bissen59
60%
1.8
77+0
2.8
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.4
-
9US HostertUS Hostert56
40%
1.2
1110+1
4.2
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.22.0
-
10F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.6
-
11US RumelangeUS Rumelange56
40%
1.2
812-4
4.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.4
-
12WiltzWiltz54
20%
0.8
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
13Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport54
20%
0.8
1012-2
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.4
-
14AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch53
20%
0.6
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck51
0%
0.2
213-11
3.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.6
-
16Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange50
0%
0.0
221-19
4.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.44.2
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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