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Swindon vs Salford Result & Analysis

Date: 17/01/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-3
Swindon
Swindon
Vs
44%
27%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Salford
Salford
England: League Two
Referee: C Breakspear

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Swindon win✗ Miss
44.3%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.46
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.38
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Salford win✓ Hit
28.8%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.68
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SwindonSwindon

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D22D21W40W01L30W10W01L20W20WA·FLE15/11H·GRI22/11A·CHE29/11H·BOL06/12H·CHE09/12A·BRI13/12H·CRA20/12A·MIL26/12A·CHE29/12H·GIL01/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.031.530.871.531.20
vs Stronger (2)2.501.004.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.461.041.360.931.571.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Salford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SalfordSalford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L43W40W11D43W31W10W00D21WA·MIL15/11A·BRO22/11H·CRA29/11H·LEY05/12A·FLE09/12H·COL13/12A·BAR20/12H·HAR26/12H·FLE29/12A·BAR01/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.201.811.121.431.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.591.221.871.201.251.25
vs Weaker (3)2.001.001.000.002.501.50
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Swindon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.4%
@ 1.80+2.8%
Under 2.5
45.6%
@ 1.92-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
Swindon goals ↓
Salford goals →
01234
06.9%6.1%4.5%1.9%0.6%
18.1%13%7.2%3.0%0.9%
27.4%9.3%5.8%2.4%0.8%
33.9%4.9%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.6%2.0%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swindon goals (down), columns = Salford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bromley
1.89
Milton Keynes Dons
1.87
Cambridge
1.78
Notts County
1.78
Salford
1.71
Grimsby
1.69
Chesterfield
1.67
Barnet
1.65
Swindon
1.63
Oldham
1.48
Crewe
1.46
Colchester
1.43
Walsall
1.41
Bristol Rvs
1.35
Fleetwood Town
1.33
Accrington
1.15
Gillingham
1.15
Cheltenham
1.13
Shrewsbury
1.07
Newport County
0.93
Tranmere
0.89
Crawley Town
0.87
Harrogate
0.85
Barrow
0.78
Swindon is 0.08 points worse than Salford in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Milton Keynes Dons
1.87
Grimsby
1.60
Notts County
1.59
Bromley
1.54
Swindon
1.52
Barnet
1.52
Chesterfield
1.48
Cambridge
1.43
Crewe
1.39
Colchester
1.35
Salford
1.31
Oldham
1.30
Fleetwood Town
1.24
Walsall
1.22
Bristol Rvs
1.22
Tranmere
1.17
Gillingham
1.15
Cheltenham
1.15
Newport County
1.04
Accrington
1.02
Barrow
0.98
Crawley Town
0.96
Shrewsbury
0.91
Harrogate
0.85
Swindon is 0.22 goals better than Salford in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cambridge
0.72
Oldham
0.96
Milton Keynes Dons
0.98
Bromley
1.00
Notts County
1.06
Colchester
1.07
Grimsby
1.10
Barnet
1.15
Salford
1.16
Chesterfield
1.19
Walsall
1.22
Accrington
1.26
Crewe
1.26
Fleetwood Town
1.26
Swindon
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.41
Crawley Town
1.48
Harrogate
1.48
Shrewsbury
1.50
Gillingham
1.57
Newport County
1.67
Barrow
1.70
Tranmere
1.72
Cheltenham
1.72
Swindon is 0.12 goals worse than Salford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Chesterfield
58%
Barnet
56%
Crawley Town
56%
Grimsby
55%
Notts County
55%
Colchester
54%
Swindon
52%
Cambridge
51%
Salford
50%
Crewe
50%
Fleetwood Town
50%
Milton Keynes Dons
49%
Cheltenham
49%
Tranmere
49%
Oldham
48%
Accrington
48%
Harrogate
47%
Gillingham
47%
Newport County
47%
Barrow
46%
Bromley
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Walsall
41%
Swindon is 1.7 percentage points better than Salford in terms of average possession (52% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

SwindonSwindon

For 5.7 · Against 6.9 · Total 12.6

🚩 Corners

16088478511274663768698316111313111210141511H·GILA·CHEA·MILH·CRAA·BRIH·CHEA·CHEH·GRIA·FLEH·TRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

704322113122241223337234345436H·GILA·CHEA·MILH·CRAA·BRIH·CHEA·CHEH·GRIA·FLEH·TRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.2

⚠️ Fouls

29041710581091371511999177181151821151822222018242923H·GILA·CHEA·MILH·CRAA·BRIH·CHEA·CHEH·GRIA·FLEH·TRA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SalfordSalford

For 5.9 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

16035647343536251124744381010788616117A·BARH·FLEH·HARA·BARH·COLA·FLEH·LEYH·CRAA·BROA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

40122211231222122223422334324A·BARH·FLEH·HARA·BARH·COLA·FLEH·LEYH·CRAA·BROA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

3009109138131712139151598148161112819222129223017222720A·BARH·FLEH·HARA·BARH·COLA·FLEH·LEYH·CRAA·BROA·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwindonSwindon

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.09.73.63.93.321.922.121.6
vs Stronger (2)14.0-14.01.50.03.021.0-21.0
vs Similar (46)10.211.09.33.84.13.422.022.121.8
vs Weaker (2)11.5-11.52.5-2.520.0-20.0
% over line60%64%57%52%62%42%50%48%52%
% under line40%36%43%48%38%58%50%52%48%
This opponent (Salford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SalfordSalford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.99.63.84.03.624.625.423.7
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (46)9.69.99.14.04.13.824.825.623.8
vs Weaker (3)12.710.014.02.72.03.022.721.023.5
% over line46%44%48%50%54%46%67%80%52%
% under line54%56%52%50%46%54%33%20%48%
This opponent (Swindon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
11.0
Oldham
10.8
Harrogate
10.7
Barnet
10.5
Bromley
10.4
Swindon
10.3
Grimsby
10.2
Shrewsbury
10.1
Chesterfield
10.1
Cheltenham
10.0
Barrow
9.9
Salford
9.8
Bristol Rvs
9.8
Newport County
9.7
Crewe
9.6
Walsall
9.6
Fleetwood Town
9.4
Accrington
9.2
Notts County
9.2
Cambridge
9.1
Colchester
8.8
Milton Keynes Dons
8.8
Tranmere
8.6
Gillingham
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Gillingham
4.8
Accrington
4.6
Colchester
4.4
Crawley Town
4.3
Shrewsbury
4.2
Crewe
4.2
Grimsby
4.1
Bristol Rvs
4.1
Chesterfield
4.1
Tranmere
4.1
Notts County
4.1
Salford
4.0
Walsall
3.9
Bromley
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Swindon
3.8
Milton Keynes Dons
3.8
Fleetwood Town
3.7
Cambridge
3.6
Barnet
3.6
Newport County
3.5
Cheltenham
3.4
Barrow
3.4
Harrogate
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Oldham
25.9
Crewe
25.7
Colchester
25.4
Gillingham
24.9
Milton Keynes Dons
24.8
Salford
24.8
Cheltenham
24.7
Grimsby
24.5
Barnet
24.4
Cambridge
24.2
Crawley Town
23.8
Accrington
23.7
Fleetwood Town
23.6
Shrewsbury
23.5
Notts County
23.2
Tranmere
23.1
Walsall
23.0
Newport County
22.9
Bristol Rvs
22.8
Bromley
22.2
Chesterfield
22.0
Swindon
21.9
Harrogate
21.9
Barrow
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.8%
Under 9.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.8%
Under 3.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.9%
Under 21.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

SwindonSwindon

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D11D10W00D30W00D01L00D00DA·FLE15/11H·GRI22/11A·CHE29/11H·BOL06/12H·CHE09/12A·BRI13/12H·CRA20/12A·MIL26/12A·CHE29/12H·GIL01/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.670.330.870.73
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (28)0.790.500.640.360.930.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Salford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SalfordSalford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L11D10W10W11D20W00D00D11DA·MIL15/11A·BRO22/11H·CRA29/11H·LEY05/12A·FLE09/12H·COL13/12A·BAR20/12H·HAR26/12H·FLE29/12A·BAR01/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.570.750.500.860.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.780.560.800.530.750.58
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Swindon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swindon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swindon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swindon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

SwindonSwindon

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W30W01L00D10W00D20W20WA·FLE15/11H·GRI22/11A·CHE29/11H·BOL06/12H·CHE09/12A·BRI13/12H·CRA20/12A·MIL26/12A·CHE29/12H·GIL01/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.870.530.670.47
vs Stronger (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.680.540.710.570.640.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Salford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SalfordSalford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D32W30W01L32W11D10W00D10WA·MIL15/11A·BRO22/11H·CRA29/11H·LEY05/12A·FLE09/12H·COL13/12A·BAR20/12H·HAR26/12H·FLE29/12A·BAR01/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.631.060.620.570.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.810.671.070.670.500.67
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Swindon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swindon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swindon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swindon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls74.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Swindon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Drinan46%
Ben Middlemas25%
Fletcher Holman23%
Ollie Palmer21%
Harry Smith20%
Ollie Clarke17%
James Scanlon17%
Billy Bodin14%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan13%
Paul Glatzel9%
Billy Kirkman9%
Joe Snowdon9%
Ryan Tafazolli9%
Finley Munroe8%
Junior Hoilett7%
Michael Olakigbe6%
James Ball4%
Filozofe Mabete4%
Jamie Knight-Lebel3%
Will Wright3%
Joel McGregor3%
Darren Oldaker2%
Tom Nichols2%
Gavin Kilkenny2%
Connor Ripley0%
Daniel Butterworth0%
Jake Thomas Batty0%
Thomas Wilson-Brown0%
Adam Murphy0%
Aidan Borland0%
Jake Tabor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Harry Smith40%
Adam Murphy33%
Finley Munroe29%
Ben Middlemas25%
Tom Nichols22%
Daniel Butterworth20%
Billy Kirkman18%
Jake Tabor18%
Ollie Clarke17%
Joe Snowdon15%
Junior Hoilett14%
Filozofe Mabete14%
Will Wright14%
Joel McGregor14%
Jamie Knight-Lebel13%
Ryan Tafazolli13%
Thomas Wilson-Brown13%
Aaron Drinan12%
Gavin Kilkenny12%
Aidan Borland12%
Paul Glatzel9%
James Ball9%
Connor Ripley8%
Jake Thomas Batty6%
Darren Oldaker5%
Ollie Palmer5%
Billy Bodin4%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Fletcher Holman0%
James Scanlon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Finley Munroe25%
Fletcher Holman18%
Joe Snowdon15%
Junior Hoilett14%
Darren Oldaker12%
Aaron Drinan12%
Michael Olakigbe12%
Jake Thomas Batty12%
Will Wright11%
Paul Glatzel9%
Billy Kirkman9%
Ollie Palmer5%
James Ball4%
Connor Ripley4%
Ollie Clarke3%
Joel McGregor3%
Gavin Kilkenny2%
Harry Smith0%
Daniel Butterworth0%
Ryan Tafazolli0%
Tom Nichols0%
Billy Bodin0%
Filozofe Mabete0%
Thomas Wilson-Brown0%
Adam Murphy0%
Ben Middlemas0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Jamie Knight-Lebel0%
Aidan Borland0%
Jake Tabor0%
James Scanlon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ben Middlemas25%
Aaron Drinan24%
Ollie Palmer24%
Ollie Clarke14%
Michael Olakigbe12%
Paul Glatzel9%
Fletcher Holman9%
Jake Tabor9%
Will Wright3%
James Ball0%
Harry Smith0%
Junior Hoilett0%
Connor Ripley0%
Daniel Butterworth0%
Ryan Tafazolli0%
Darren Oldaker0%
Tom Nichols0%
Billy Bodin0%
Gavin Kilkenny0%
Filozofe Mabete0%
Joe Snowdon0%
Finley Munroe0%
Jake Thomas Batty0%
Thomas Wilson-Brown0%
Adam Murphy0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Jamie Knight-Lebel0%
Billy Kirkman0%
Aidan Borland0%
Joel McGregor0%
James Scanlon0%
Salford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Udoh22%
Kallum Cesay21%
Kelly N'Mai19%
Kadeem Harris15%
Ryan Graydon15%
Adebola Oluwo15%
Fabio Borini13%
Matt Butcher11%
Ben Woodburn10%
Cole Stockton9%
Zach Awe9%
Jorge Grant9%
Luke Garbutt8%
Ossama Ashley5%
Ollie Turton5%
Josh Austerfield4%
Rosaire Longelo2%
Brandon Cooper0%
Tom Edwards0%
Haji Mnoga0%
Mark Howard0%
Michael Rose0%
Kevin Berkoe0%
Jay Bird0%
Nicolás Siri0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Matthew Young0%
Kyrell Malcolm0%
Ruben Butt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Haji Mnoga47%
Ben Woodburn30%
Ossama Ashley26%
Ryan Graydon26%
Kelly N'Mai25%
Kadeem Harris23%
Jorge Grant18%
Adebola Oluwo17%
Tom Edwards17%
Luke Garbutt16%
Fabio Borini13%
Kallum Cesay12%
Rosaire Longelo11%
Jay Bird11%
Brandon Cooper10%
Ollie Turton9%
Matt Butcher9%
Josh Austerfield9%
Daniel Udoh5%
Matthew Young4%
Cole Stockton3%
Mark Howard0%
Michael Rose0%
Kevin Berkoe0%
Nicolás Siri0%
Zach Awe0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Kyrell Malcolm0%
Ruben Butt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Graydon19%
Kelly N'Mai16%
Kadeem Harris15%
Kevin Berkoe14%
Daniel Udoh12%
Luke Garbutt12%
Kallum Cesay9%
Zach Awe9%
Jorge Grant9%
Alfie Dorrington8%
Ben Woodburn7%
Fabio Borini7%
Josh Austerfield7%
Cole Stockton6%
Adebola Oluwo2%
Matt Butcher2%
Rosaire Longelo2%
Matthew Young2%
Brandon Cooper0%
Tom Edwards0%
Haji Mnoga0%
Mark Howard0%
Ollie Turton0%
Ossama Ashley0%
Michael Rose0%
Jay Bird0%
Nicolás Siri0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Kyrell Malcolm0%
Ruben Butt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ryan Graydon33%
Kallum Cesay15%
Daniel Udoh12%
Kadeem Harris12%
Jay Bird11%
Adebola Oluwo7%
Ben Woodburn7%
Kelly N'Mai6%
Rosaire Longelo5%
Jorge Grant4%
Haji Mnoga3%
Cole Stockton3%
Luke Garbutt2%
Fabio Borini0%
Matt Butcher0%
Brandon Cooper0%
Tom Edwards0%
Mark Howard0%
Ollie Turton0%
Ossama Ashley0%
Michael Rose0%
Kevin Berkoe0%
Josh Austerfield0%
Nicolás Siri0%
Zach Awe0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Princewill Ehibhatiomhan0%
Matthew Young0%
Kyrell Malcolm0%
Ruben Butt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (24)
€15m
SAL (26)
€8m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Swindon's squad is €4m less valuable than Salford's (€4m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (8)
€5m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Swindon and Salford have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (6)
€7m
SAL (5)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Swindon and Salford have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Swindon's defence is €2m less valuable than Salford's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
SWI wins
4
Draws
3
SAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Swindon vs Salford · H/A from SWI
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ASalford Vs SWI3-2
04/03/25HSWI Vs Salford2-2
22/10/24ASalford Vs SWI2-1
10/02/24HSWI Vs Salford1-1
21/10/23ASalford Vs SWI2-2
18/02/23ASalford Vs SWI1-2
06/08/22HSWI Vs Salford0-0
26/02/22HSWI Vs Salford1-2

SwindonSwindon

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/26HSWI Vs Gillingham2-0
29/12/25ACheltenham Vs SWI0-2
26/12/25AMilton Keynes Dons Vs SWI1-0
20/12/25HSWI Vs Crawley Town1-0
13/12/25ABristol Rvs Vs SWI0-3
09/12/25HSWI Vs Cheltenham0-1
06/12/25HSWI Vs Bolton4-0
29/11/25AChesterfield Vs SWI1-2
22/11/25HSWI Vs Grimsby2-2
15/11/25AFleetwood Town Vs SWI1-1

SalfordSalford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/26ABarrow Vs SAL1-2
29/12/25HSAL Vs Fleetwood Town0-0
26/12/25HSAL Vs Harrogate1-0
20/12/25ABarnet Vs SAL1-3
13/12/25HSAL Vs Colchester4-3
09/12/25AFleetwood Town Vs SAL1-1
05/12/25HSAL Vs Leyton Orient4-0
29/11/25HSAL Vs Crawley Town4-3
22/11/25ABromley Vs SAL2-0
15/11/25AMilton Keynes Dons Vs SAL2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Swindon
Swindon
England: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.82
HomeDWLWW1.96
AwayDWWLW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals2.862.922.79
Over 1.5 %74%69%79%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %36%42%29%
Scored1.761.811.71
Conceded1.101.121.08
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet34%38%29%
Corners10.3810.969.74
Cards3.794.083.48
Salford
Salford
England: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.50
HomeWWWWD1.54
AwayLLDWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%38%42%
AVG goals3.002.963.04
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.501.581.42
Conceded1.501.381.62
BTTS64%62%67%
Clean Sheet18%27%8%
Corners9.759.929.57
Cards3.984.203.74

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Notts CountyNotts County4987
53%
1.8
7852+26
2.7
73%
55%
27%
9.2
45%
4.4
65%
24.4
73%
6
2221.61.1
55%
2BromleyBromley4687
52%
1.9
7146+25
2.5
76%
52%
28%
10.3
63%
3.7
57%
21.8
59%
4
1121.51.0
44%
3Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons4686
52%
1.9
8645+41
2.8
78%
54%
37%
8.8
37%
3.8
61%
23.4
61%
15
5731.91.0
49%
4SalfordSalford4984
53%
1.7
6457+7
2.5
65%
47%
24%
9.8
51%
3.7
43%
25.3
71%
8
3231.31.2
50%
5CambridgeCambridge4682
48%
1.8
6633+33
2.2
72%
35%
13%
9.2
50%
3.1
35%
22.9
59%
5
2121.40.7
51%
6GrimsbyGrimsby4881
48%
1.7
7753+24
2.7
71%
50%
31%
10.5
54%
4.0
65%
24.2
69%
4
1021.61.1
55%
7ChesterfieldChesterfield4880
44%
1.7
7157+14
2.7
71%
44%
29%
10.2
58%
4.1
56%
22.0
48%
6
3121.51.2
58%
8BarnetBarnet4676
46%
1.7
7053+17
2.7
76%
48%
30%
10.2
57%
3.6
50%
23.8
65%
4
0131.51.2
56%
9SwindonSwindon4675
48%
1.6
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
28%
11.2
74%
3.5
46%
20.7
37%
4
2111.51.3
52%
10OldhamOldham4668
39%
1.5
6044+16
2.3
65%
48%
20%
10.1
61%
3.9
63%
25.0
72%
3
1111.31.0
48%
11CreweCrewe4667
41%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
72%
52%
30%
9.3
59%
3.9
52%
25.5
74%
4
2111.41.3
50%
12ColchesterColchester4666
39%
1.4
6249+13
2.4
67%
35%
20%
9.1
37%
4.1
63%
24.9
76%
4
1021.31.1
54%
13WalsallWalsall4665
39%
1.4
5656+0
2.4
70%
48%
26%
10.0
59%
3.8
50%
23.1
61%
3
1121.21.2
41%
14Bristol RvsBristol Rvs4662
41%
1.3
5665-9
2.6
72%
52%
30%
9.4
39%
4.7
76%
24.2
70%
5
2031.21.4
-
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town4661
33%
1.3
5758-1
2.5
74%
46%
20%
10.0
57%
3.8
54%
23.0
63%
3
1111.21.3
50%
16AccringtonAccrington4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
37%
20%
9.5
48%
4.0
54%
22.2
48%
2
1111.01.3
48%
17GillinghamGillingham4653
28%
1.2
5372-19
2.7
70%
46%
30%
9.5
43%
4.0
61%
23.9
63%
3
1211.21.6
47%
18CheltenhamCheltenham4652
30%
1.1
5379-26
2.9
80%
48%
33%
9.6
54%
3.6
48%
22.7
61%
3
1111.21.7
49%
19ShrewsburyShrewsbury4649
28%
1.1
4269-27
2.4
63%
46%
30%
8.2
30%
4.0
54%
22.3
61%
3
0120.91.5
44%
20Newport CountyNewport County4643
26%
0.9
4877-29
2.7
76%
57%
28%
9.5
54%
4.0
54%
23.5
70%
2
0011.01.7
47%
21TranmereTranmere4641
22%
0.9
5479-25
2.9
83%
54%
35%
10.2
54%
3.8
57%
22.4
61%
4
1111.21.7
49%
22Crawley TownCrawley Town4640
17%
0.9
4468-24
2.4
74%
43%
26%
12.0
78%
4.1
59%
25.7
76%
3
2111.01.5
56%
23HarrogateHarrogate4639
22%
0.8
3968-29
2.3
70%
37%
17%
10.3
63%
3.1
39%
21.7
41%
1
0100.81.5
47%
24BarrowBarrow4636
20%
0.8
4578-33
2.7
72%
63%
33%
9.9
59%
3.3
48%
20.4
39%
2
0111.01.7
46%
England: League Two 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →

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