PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Syunik vs Ararat II Result & Analysis

Date: 25/05/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 4-0
Syunik
Syunik
Vs
70%
17%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ararat II
Ararat II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Syunik a 70% win probability against Ararat II in the Armenia: First League on 2026-05-25, with 17% for the draw and 13% for Ararat II. The model estimates around 3.8 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (20%) and 2-1 the most likely scoreline (9.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (90%), Over 2.5 (73%).

Results analysis

Syunik finished 4-0 against Ararat II (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 70% home win, 17% draw and 13% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (90%), Over 2.5 (73%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Syunik win✓ Hit
69.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat II win✗ Miss
13.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

SyunikSyunik

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-930W60W21W50W91W42W12L40W23L12LA·MIK18/03A·BEN23/03H·VAN28/03A·BAN08/04H·SHI14/04A·NOA22/04H·BKM26/04A·LER04/05H·PYU11/05A·SAR17/05
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
3.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.700.872.710.862.690.88
vs Stronger (6)1.171.831.001.671.332.00
vs Similar (5)1.200.602.000.500.670.67
vs Weaker (19)3.580.633.440.673.700.60
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ararat IIArarat II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L02L02L21W24L21W14L04L03L16LH·LER31/03A·PYU07/04H·SAR13/04H·MIK20/04A·ARA26/04A·SHI30/04H·HAY05/05A·BKM11/05A·ARA15/05H·AND21/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.831.691.621.432.07
vs Stronger (17)1.182.471.222.441.122.50
vs Similar (10)1.900.902.000.401.801.40
vs Weaker (3)2.671.333.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Syunik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%117%220%319%415%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.0%
Under 1.5
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.2%
Under 2.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.7%
Under 3.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.0%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
8.0%
1-1
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
Syunik goals ↓
Ararat II goals →
01234
02.9%1.8%1.4%0.5%0.1%
15.3%7.4%3.8%1.4%0.4%
28.0%9.0%5.1%1.9%0.5%
37.2%8.0%4.5%1.7%0.5%
44.8%5.4%3.0%1.1%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Syunik goals (down), columns = Ararat II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sardarapat
2.53
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Syunik
2.21
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Van II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Shirak II
0.60
Syunik is 0.94 points better than Ararat II in terms of average points per game (2.21 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Syunik
2.76
Sardarapat
2.70
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Banants II
1.53
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Van II
1.10
Mika
1.07
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Syunik is 1.33 goals better than Ararat II in terms of goals scored per game (2.76 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sardarapat
0.60
Hayq
0.80
Syunik
0.90
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Van II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Syunik is 1.04 goals better than Ararat II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.573.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (27)
€2m
BI (40)
€2m
HAY (36)
€1m
AND (40)
€1m
SYU (27)
€1m
NI (44)
€1m
BI (46)
€1m
SI (51)
€1m
PI (38)
€1m
LA (55)
€0m
BI (47)
€0m
MIK (42)
€0m
AI (34)
€0m
Syunik and Ararat II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Syunik vs Ararat II · H/A from SYU
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/25AArarat II Vs SYU1-3
01/04/25AArarat II Vs SYU1-3
17/09/24HSYU Vs Ararat II1-0
10/03/24AArarat II Vs SYU1-3
21/08/23HSYU Vs Ararat II1-0
18/05/23HSYU Vs Ararat II2-0
09/03/23AArarat II Vs SYU3-0
06/12/22HSYU Vs Ararat II1-3

SyunikSyunik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26ASardarapat Vs SYU2-1
11/05/26HSYU Vs Pyunik II2-3
04/05/26ALernayin Artsakh Vs SYU0-4
26/04/26HSYU Vs BKMA II1-2
22/04/26ANoah II Vs SYU2-4
14/04/26HSYU Vs Shirak II9-1
08/04/26ABanants II Vs SYU0-5
28/03/26HSYU Vs Van II2-1
23/03/26ABentonit Ijevan Vs SYU0-6
18/03/26AMika Vs SYU0-3

Ararat IIArarat II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/26HAI Vs Andranik1-6
15/05/26AArarat-Armenia II Vs AI3-0
11/05/26ABKMA II Vs AI4-0
05/05/26HAI Vs Hayq1-4
30/04/26AShirak II Vs AI1-2
26/04/26AAraks Ararat Vs AI4-2
20/04/26HAI Vs Mika2-1
13/04/26HAI Vs Sardarapat0-2
07/04/26APyunik II Vs AI2-0
31/03/26HAI Vs Lernayin Artsakh0-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Syunik
Syunik
Armenia: First League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL2.32
HomeWWWLL2.33
AwayWWWWL2.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%75%73%
AVG goals3.523.463.58
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %70%62%77%
Over 3.5 %42%38%46%
Scored2.742.712.77
Conceded0.780.750.81
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet46%46%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Ararat II
Ararat II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.22
HomeLLWLL1.36
AwayLLWLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals3.503.363.64
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %68%60%76%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored1.601.641.56
Conceded1.901.722.08
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SardarapatSardarapat3076
80%
2.5
8118+63
3.3
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.70.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II3071
73%
2.4
7731+46
3.6
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.61.0
-
3HayqHayq3068
73%
2.3
5924+35
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
4AndranikAndranik3066
70%
2.2
7630+46
3.5
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.51.0
-
5SyunikSyunik2964
72%
2.2
8026+54
3.7
83%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.9
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II3044
40%
1.5
4343+0
2.9
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
7Ararat IIArarat II3038
40%
1.3
4358-15
3.4
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Araks AraratAraks Ararat3037
37%
1.2
3851-13
3.0
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Banants IIBanants II3036
30%
1.2
4654-8
3.3
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
10Noah IINoah II3031
27%
1.0
3958-19
3.2
73%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.9
-
11Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
77%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
12MikaMika3028
23%
0.9
3260-28
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3024
20%
0.8
4662-16
3.6
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
14Van IIVan II3024
20%
0.8
3358-25
3.0
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2923
24%
0.8
2271-49
3.2
76%
62%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
16Shirak IIShirak II3018
13%
0.6
3489-55
4.1
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.13.0
-
Armenia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

← all matches