Táborsko’s recent run of four wins after a defeat has the model leaning heavily toward a home victory, reflected in a 76% probability of a win versus only 8% for Třinec. The Czech-Republic FNL fixture is expected to see 3.3 goals on average, with the most likely total of three goals carrying a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Táborsko, with a 12% probability, and the model’s pick is a home win. Táborsko’s home form against weaker opposition shows an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded, while Třinec’s away record against stronger sides yields 1.25 scored and 1.56 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Under 7.5 (97.9%), Home +2 handicap (97.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (96.1%), Under 6.5 (94.7%), Home over 0.5 goals (92.5%), Home or Draw (92.3%), and Home +1 handicap (92.3%). The probabilities for the match outcome are 76%home win, 16% draw, and 8% away win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Táborsko win
76.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
15.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Třinec win
7.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Táborsko
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.17
1.57
1.07
1.38
1.25
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
4.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.65
0.96
1.75
0.67
1.57
1.21
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Třinec
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.60
1.23
1.77
1.59
1.47
vs Stronger (29)
1.24
1.66
1.23
1.77
1.25
1.56
vs Similar (1)
7.00
0.00
-
-
7.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Táborsko) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.6%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.0%
No
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.0%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
5.0%
Táborsko goals ↓
Třinec goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
2.0%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
1
8.6%
7.5%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
2
12%
8.9%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
3
10%
7.7%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
4
6.7%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Táborsko goals (down), columns = Třinec goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Táborsko is 1.17 points better than Třinec in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Táborsko is 0.33 goals better than Třinec in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Táborsko is 1.00 goals better than Třinec in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Táborsko or Draw
92.3%
Avg Implied -
76%
16%
8%
covers Táborsko + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Táborsko or Třinec
84.1%
Avg Implied -
76%
16%
8%
covers Táborsko + Třinec
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Třinec
23.5%
Avg Implied -
76%
16%
8%
covers Draw + Třinec
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Táborsko over/under 0.5
Over
92.5%
Under
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 1.5
Over
73.1%
Under
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 2.5
Over
48.0%
Under
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 3.5
Over
26.2%
Under
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 0.5
Over
52.2%
Under
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 1.5
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 2.5
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 3.5
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Táborsko, so a minus line means Táborsko give that many goals of a start and Třinec receive them. At -1, Táborsko must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Táborsko win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Táborsko)
Táborsko -2
33.9%
Draw -2
21.8%
Třinec +2
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Táborsko)
Táborsko -1
55.7%
Draw -1
20.8%
Třinec +1
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Táborsko)
Táborsko +1
92.3%
Draw +1
5.4%
Třinec -1
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Táborsko)
Táborsko +2
97.8%
Draw +2
1.8%
Třinec -2
0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Táborsko
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
0.79
0.50
0.81
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.46
0.83
0.33
0.93
0.57
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Třinec
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.31
0.92
0.82
0.59
vs Stronger (29)
0.52
0.76
0.31
0.92
0.69
0.62
vs Similar (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Táborsko) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Táborsko over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Táborsko
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.79
0.57
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.50
0.92
0.33
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Třinec
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.92
0.85
0.76
0.88
vs Stronger (29)
0.72
0.90
0.92
0.85
0.56
0.94
vs Similar (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Táborsko) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Táborsko over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Táborsko's squad is €3m more valuable than Třinec's (€3m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Táborsko and Třinec have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Táborsko and Třinec have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Táborsko's defence is €1m more valuable than Třinec's (€1m vs €0m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →